The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-8) travel to Annapolis this weekend for a showdown with the Navy Midshipmen (2-8). Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium and the game will be broadcast on the CBS Sports Network.
Taking a look at the Week 12 college football odds, Navy opened as a 5-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has yet to move at all after early betting, as the Midshipmen are currently listed at -5. The total for the game is sitting at 54 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Navy vs Tulsa
Tulsa dropped to 2-8 overall last weekend after a tough 47-21 loss to Memphis. The Golden Hurricane couldn’t keep any momentum going after an impressive Week 10 victory over UConn, as they allowed the Tigers to rack up 499 total yards while only gaining 252 yards themselves. QB Seth Boomer had one of his better games on the season, throwing for 149 yards and a touchdown. Booker is currently just completing 43.4% of his passes and has thrown for 921 yards and eight touchdowns in ten games. He has relied heavily on the receiving tandem of Justin Hobbs and Keenen Johnson, who have combined for 785 yards and six touchdowns. Tulsa has actually looked quite good rushing the football, averaging a respectable 210.4 yards per game. RB Shamari Brooks leads the charge, racking up 797 yards and six touchdowns. Overall, the offense is currently averaging just 23.3 points per game (103rd overall).
The Golden Hurricane have been absolutely brutal on the other side of the ball, allowing opponents to score an average of 29.4 points per game (80th overall). They have really been exposed on the ground, giving up a ridiculous 235.6 rushing yards per game (120th overall).
Navy lost their seventh game in a row last weekend, falling 35-24 to a very solid UCF team that has yet to lose a game yet this season. The Midshipmen battled hard but couldn’t find a way to stop the Knights when it mattered most, giving up at least seven points per quarter. QB Zach Abey took over the reigns at quarterback in Week 11, rushing for 85 yards and two touchdowns in a losing effort. True to form, Navy failed to record a single passing yard and now is averaging just 64.7 yards per game through the air (129th overall). They have also only thrown three touchdown passes the entire season, which clearly explains why their ground game is averaging a healthy 296.1 yards per contest (3rd overall). As a whole, the offense is currently averaging 25.0 points per game (96th overall).
On the other side of the ball, the Midshipmen are currently giving up an alarming 36.1 points per game (112th overall). They have really struggled quite badly against the run so far this season, allowing 198.2 rushing yards per game (95th overall).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Navy -5
Both of these teams are really struggling right now, as they have a combined record of just 4-16 so far this year. While it might seem best to avoid this particular matchup, I really do think Navy offers at least some value when taking a look at the bigger picture. Yes, the Midshipmen have certainly been underwhelming on offense this season – however, they do currently own the 3rd best rushing offense in the nation. Of course, a lot of that is due to the fact that they rarely throw the ball downfield, but that shouldn’t matter all that much against Tulsa on Saturday. This is a perfect matchup for Navy, as they get to face a Golden Hurricane run defense that is ranked almost dead last in the entire country and is currently giving up almost 250 yards per game on the ground.
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Navy is a very solid 13-6 over their last 19 games in the month of November. They are also 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings with the Golden Hurricane, which is certainly quite noteworthy. Tulsa is only 3-7 ATS over their last ten games on turf. They are also just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a losing record.
It is also important to note that this is the last true home game of the season for the Mids. They currently have 36 seniors on their roster, so I have no doubt in my mind that they will leave everything on the table in what will be their final appearance at Navy- Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Despite not winning a game since September, they have also played pretty well in several loses, including hanging tough with Notre Dame and UCF. Tulsa is a disaster right now and has lost three out of their last four games by 20+ points. I’m taking Navy to cover at home.