The #17 overall UCF Knights (2-0) host the Stanford Cardinal (1-1) this weekend in Orlando. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, September 14th at Spectrum Stadium and the game will be televised nationally on CBS.

Taking a look at the Week 3 college football odds, UCF opened as an 7-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has shifted by half a point after early betting, as the Knights are currently listed at -7.5. The total for the game is sitting at 61 points.

Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: UCF vs Stanford

Stanford dropped back to .500 on the season after a tough 45-20 road loss against Pac-12 rival USC in Week 2. The Cardinal jumped out to an early 7-3 lead after the first quarter but it was all downhill from there, as the Trojans offense exploded for 42 points over the final three quarters. QB Davis Mills had a rough outing, going just 22/36 for 237 yards and a touchdown. RB Cameron Scarlett led the way on the ground, rushing for 82 yards and one touchdown on 17 carries. Mills also had some help on offense from the receiving duo of Colby Parkinson and Connor Wedington, who combined for 156 yards and a score. As a whole, Stanford gained just over 300 yards of total offense and made just two trips to the end zone against a Trojans defense that gave up over 400 yards to Fresno State back in Week 1.

The Cardinal defense obviously had a lot of issues against USC, giving up almost 500 yards of total offense and six touchdowns. Stanford was especially poor at defending against the pass, as new Trojans starting quarterback Kedon Slovis went 28/33 for 377 yards and three touchdowns.

UCF crushed Florida Atlantic 48-14 on the road in Week 2 and now sits at a perfect 2-0 to start the season. The Knights offense put up almost 600 total yards, including a 300+ yard rushing clinic on the ground. QB Dillon Gabriel went 7/19 for 245 yards and two touchdowns through the air while also adding 20 yards and a touchdown in the running game. The trio of Greg McCrae, Otis Anderson, and Bentavious Thompson had a monster day out of the backfield, combining for 250+ yards and three touchdowns. WR Adrian Killins was on the receiving end of the longest play of the day for UCF in the passing game, finding the end zone on a 74-yard bomb.

The Knights defense was also quite strong against the Owls in Week 2, holding the offense to just over 200 total yards and only one touchdown. The UCF secondary was especially dominant, forcing one interception and only allowing QB Chris Robison to complete 45% of his passes for 177 yards.

NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: UCF -7.5

I really like UCF at home in this particular matchup, especially considering how poorly the Cardinal defense played on the road against USC in Week 2. The Knights offense arguably has even more firepower than the Trojans, especially on the ground where they have averaged well over 300 yards rushing per game. While those numbers obviously aren’t sustainable all season, I do like their chances of a repeat performance here in Week 3. It’s important to remember that the Knights have now scored a combined 110 points over just their last two games. Even if the Stanford offense figures out a way to keep pace with the high-flying UCF attack for a couple of quarters, I think the Knights defense should eventually force a few key stops and put the game out of reach well before time starts to run down in the 4th quarter.

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The Knights have also fared quite well against the spread as of late, going 5-1 ATS over their last six games. UCF is also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite and 16-0 straight up over their last sixteen home games. Meanwhile, Stanford just gave up 45-points to USC and lost by over three touchdowns. While they should at least rebound a little bit in this matchup, I think they will lose by 10+ points yet again on Saturday. Give me the Knights to cover at home and win by double-digits!