This Saturday the Arizona State Sun Devils will host the UCLA Bruins in a key Pac-12 South matchup. Kickoff is set for 10:30 EST at Sun Devil Stadium and will be televised on ESPN2. Oddsmakers have UCLA as a 10-point road favorite for this Week 6 contest. The over/under for this game is sitting at 59 points.
UCLA vs Arizona St Vegas Free Betting Preview
The Bruins (3-2) come into this game off an impressive 45-24 win at home against Arizona. Though it wasn’t a surprising result, as UCLA was an 11-point favorite.
The Sun Devils (4-1) suffered their first loss of the season this past Saturday. Arizona State fell 20-41 at USC as a 9-point dog. It wasn’t even as close as the final score would indicate. The Sun Devils scored 2 garbage touchdowns in the 4th quarter after going into the period down 6-41.
This series has been dominated by the road team of late. Each of the last 4 wins have come by the visiting team and the last two have been lopsided. Last year the Sun Devils won 38-23 at UCLA. the previous year the Bruins won 62-27 at Arizona State.
Free Point Spread Pick & Predictions: UCLA -10
I’ll admit laying this big number scares me, but I believe given the circumstances it’s the best bet. UCLA is a couple plays away from being 5-0 and likely ranked inside the Top 10. They lost in overtime to Texas A&M and gave up a late score in a loss at home to Stanford in their two losses.
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Arizona State started out 4-0, but that was a result of an easy schedule. Their two best wins were against Texas Tech and California. Two teams that play zero defense. They trailed in the 2nd half of both of those games. Let’s also not forget this team had to rally from a 16-point deficit in the 2nd half to beat UTSA 32-28.
On top of all that, the Sun Devils lost starting quarterback Manny Wilkins in the loss to USC. He’s not expected to play against UCLA. Taking his place will be red-shirt freshman Brady White. While White was highly rated out of high school, chances are he struggles in his first start. Keep in mind Wilkens was putting up ridiculous numbers this season. He had already thrown for 1,233 yards with a 65% completion rate.
The problem here is they aren’t going to be able to ease White into things. Arizona State’s defense is atrocious. They come in ranked 121st in the country, giving up 504 yards/game. They are especially bad against the pass, giving up an average of 396 yards/game through the air. They are going to have no answer for UCLA’s Josh Rosen, who is arguably the best the Pac-12 has to offer.
If Arizona State gets behind, this could get ugly. UCLA’s secondary has been really good in the early goings. Opposing quarterbacks are only completing 48.3% of their pass attempts against them. They are also better against the run than the numbers would suggest. The Bruins come in allowing 170 ypg and 4.5 yards/carry against the run. However, that’s come against teams who are averaging 227 ypg and 5.7 yards/carry. Arizona State is averaging 204 ypg on the ground, but that’s against teams who are allowing an average of 212 ypg.