The Oregon State Beavers (1-3) head to California this weekend for a PAC-12 showdown with the UCLA Bruins (1-4). Kickoff is set for 9:00 PM EST on Saturday, October 5th at Rose Bowl Stadium and the game will be televised on the PAC 12 Network.
Taking a look at the Week 6 college football odds, UCLA opened as a 8.5-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread has decreased substantially after early betting, as the Bruins are currently listed at -6.5. The total for the game is sitting at 69.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: UCLA vs Oregon State
Oregon State has now lost three out their first four games to start the regular season after falling 31-28 at home against Stanford last weekend. The Beavers overcame a 14-0 deficit at the half but couldn’t quite find a way to complete the comeback despite scoring 21 points in the fourth quarter. QB Jake Luton went 27/39 for 337 yards and a touchdown while RB Artavis Pierce exploded for 141 yards and two touchdowns on the ground despite getting only 16 carries. WR Isaiah Hodgins also had a monster outing, hauling in 10 catches for 162 yards and a touchdown. As a whole, Oregon State racked up well over 500 total yards of offense and scored four touchdowns despite coming up just short on the scoreboard.
The Beavers defense certainly wasn’t at their best against Stanford, giving up over 350 total yards and allowing four touchdowns. Oregon State really had a tough time trying to slow down Cardinal QB Davis Mills, who passed for 245 yards and three touchdowns in the victory.
UCLA dropped to 1-4 last weekend after a tough 20-17 loss on the road against Arizona. The Bruins were actually up by a single point at the half but couldn’t hold on over the final 30 minutes, as the Wildcats rallied in the fourth quarter and scored seven unanswered points en route to victory. QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson went 17/33 for 180 yards and a touchdown while also getting picked off once. Joshua Kelley was an absolute beast on the ground, rushing for 127 yards and a touchdown on a game-high 27 carries. Jaylen Erwin and Kyle Phillips led the way for the receiving corps, as the duo combined for 13 receptions and 126 yards. Overall, UCLA generated over 450 yards of total offense and scored two touchdowns.
The Bruins were fairly solid defensively in Week 5, holding Arizona to just two touchdowns despite giving up well over 475 total yards of offense. UCLA was especially impressive against the run, as they didn’t allow a single Arizona rusher to gain more than 35 total yards on the ground.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: UNDER 69.5
I have a pretty hard time trusting either of these two teams against the spread here in Week 6, as both schools are a combined 2-7 overall to start the regular season. While I do think that UCLA deserves to be favored playing at home this weekend, I really have a difficult time laying any points in this matchup as Oregon State could easily win outright or stay within 3-6 points of the lead all game long. However, I do think that there is some value to be found with the UNDER on 69.5 total points scored. The Beavers offense has averaged well over 30 points per game to start the year but UCLA has been surprisingly solid on defense at times, holding Cincinnati, San Diego State, and Arizona to 24 or less points. The Bruins offense also hasn’t been overly explosive other than their ridiculous 67-point effort against Washington State. In fact, UCLA has now scored under 20 points in four out of five games so far this season.
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It has also usually been a defensive battle when these two schools have met over the past decade or so, as the UNDER has hit in six out of their last seven meetings. It has also come through in four out of the last five games Oregon State and UCLA have played at Rose Bowl Stadium. Ultimately, I think the Bruins should come out on top in this particular spot but I’m going to avoid both teams against the spread and take the UNDER on 69.5 total points scored instead.