The #20 overall Boise State Broncos (9-1) travel to Logan this weekend for a Mountain West Conference showdown against the Utah State Aggies (6-4). Kickoff is set for 10:30 PM EST on November 23rd at Maverik Stadium and the game will be televised on the CBS Sports Network.
Taking a look at the Week 13 college football odds, Boise State opened as a 7.5-point road favorite earlier this week. The spread has increased by a full point after early betting, as the Broncos are currently available at -8.5. The total for the game is sitting at 53 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Utah State vs Boise State
Boise State has now won nine out of their first ten games on the season after crushing New Mexico 42-9 last weekend to improve to 9-1 overall. The Broncos scored 28 unanswered points in the first quarter and cruised to victory from there, giving up only one touchdown the entire game. QB Jaylon Henderson was fantastic, going 15/28 for 292 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air. George Holani led the way on the ground, rushing for 73 yards on seven carries. John Hightower and Khalil Shakir ran circles around the Lobos secondary, combining for 220 receiving yards and two touchdowns on just nine catches. Overall, Boise State gained over 500 total yards and found the end zone five times on offense in the win.
The Broncos had a solid outing on the other side of the ball against New Mexico, giving up well under 300 total yards of offense and just nine points. Boise State was especially strong defending against the pass, allowing only 175 yards through the air while also not allowing a single Lobos receiver to make more than five total catches.
Utah State won their second straight game last weekend, beating Wyoming 26-21 at home to improve to 6-4 on the season overall. The Aggies had a 20-14 lead at the half and managed to hold on down the stretch despite getting outscored over the final two quarters. QB Jordan Love had an up and down game, going 18/29 for 282 passing yards and two touchdowns but also getting picked off twice as well. Gerold Bright couldn’t find much room on the ground, rushing for only 56 yards on a team-high 17 carries. Siaosi Mariner led the way for the receiving corps, torching the defense for 123 yards and a touchdown on four catches. As a whole, Utah State generated well over 400 total yards and scored two touchdowns on offense in the win.
The Aggies were fairly average defensively against Wyoming, surrendering over 300 total yards of offense and two touchdowns. However, Utah State was fantastic defending against the pass, forcing three interceptions and holding the Cowboys to only 185 yards through the air.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Boise State -8.5
I’m leaning slightly towards laying the 8.5 points and rolling with the road favorite in this Mountain West Conference clash on Saturday evening, as I think that the Broncos offer pretty decent value at anything under nine points. Not only has Boise State only lost just one game through their first ten outings this season, they are also a very respectable 4-2 against the spread over their last six conference games. While Utah State has also been playing well as of late, their defense has now given up at least 31 points in three out of their last four games.
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The biggest reason why I’m siding with the Broncos in this spot is based on how well they have fared against the spread in this particular matchup over the past decade or so. Boise State is a rock-solid 14-3 against the spread over the last 17 meetings between these two Mountain West Conference rivals, including a sparkling 7-1 record ATS in their last eight appearances at Maverik Stadium. I’m going to lay the points and take a shot with the Broncos here in Week 13, as they should find a way to cover the spread despite having to play on the road – give me Boise State!