The Utah State Aggies travel to Las Vegas this weekend where they will take on the UNLV Rebels. Kickoff will be at 6:00 PM EST on Saturday, October 21st at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada. The game will be televised on AT & T Sportsnet.
The Rebels enter this game as 4.5 point home favorites. Early betting has moved the line slightly, as UNLV opened at -3. The over/under for the game is 61.5 points. Click here for a full list of Week 8 betting odds and links to game previews.
Utah State vs UNLV Vegas Betting Line & Game Preview
The Aggies are looking to avoid a third consecutive loss on Saturday after dropping their last two games to Colorado State and Wyoming respectively. Utah State has really struggled with turnovers lately, as they committed three interceptions and two fumbles against Wyoming en route to a 28-23 defeat. QB Jordan Love threw all three picks before backup Kent Myers took over. Despite controlling the ball a little better, Myers still couldn’t find the end zone. In fact, the only passing touchdown that the Aggies had last weekend was thrown by Aaren Vaughns, a Junior WR. The Utah State ground attack looked marginally better and is a large reason why the Aggies currently have a 29.9 point per game scoring average (58th overall). On the other side of the ball, Utah State has definitely been average at best. The Aggies currently have the 85th overall scoring defense, as they are give up an average of 29.6 points per game. They have really struggled against the run, giving up an average of 179.6 yards on the ground per game (91st).
UNLV somehow managed to blow a 27-7 halftime lead against Air Force last weekend, eventually losing by a score of 34-30. QB Armani Rogers had a less than 50% completion rate and really struggled throughout the game. He had no touchdown passes and arguably cost the Rebels the game by fumbling the ball on a critical drive late in the game. UNLV did look great on the ground, however, as Rogers and RB Lexington Thomas combined for almost 200 yards rushing and two touchdowns. The Rebels defense was exploitable yet again, which has been a cause for concern all year long. The Rebels are allowing an average of 245.3 yards rushing per game (123rd out of 129 teams) while giving up 33.5 points per game (108th). They have also allowed 3 out of the 6 offenses they have faced this season to score 40+ points, including twice at home.
Free NCAAF Betting Prediction: Utah State +4.5
This game really looks like it could go either way. Utah State has looked brutal on offense over the past several weeks, especially through the air. On the other hand, it doesn’t look like this UNLV team can stop anyone right now, as their defensive play continues to be atrocious. The Rebels couldn’t even hold onto a 20 point lead for two quarters last weekend against Air Force, which had to have been extremely demoralizing for this group. I was leaning toward UNLV all week in this particular spot, especially with the spread hovering around three. However, with Utah State currently getting 4.5 points, I think I feel a little more comfortable taking the Aggies and hoping they can rebound offensively against a bad defensive team .
Click on the link for more free NCAA football picks against the spread and total.
UNLV is 2-4 ATS in their last six games at home, which is certainly cause for alarm. However, Utah State is just 3-11 ATS over their past 14 games so that’s obviously a major concern as well. This really is shaping up to be a pretty ugly game and I certainly don’t have a lot of faith in either team. Something has to give this weekend, and I almost always tend to side with whatever team has performed better defensively- especially if I’m also getting >3 points. This truly is a game that either team could conceivably win outright. I think that even if UNLV manages to emerge victorious this weekend, Utah State should be able to stay within striking distance and find a way to cover the spread by the final whistle.