The Florida State Seminoles travel to Charlottesville in Week 3 to battle the #25 overall Virginia Cavaliers. Kickoff is set for 7:30 PM EST on Saturday, September 14th at Scott Stadium and the game will be televised on the ACC Network.
Taking a look at the Week 3 college football odds, Virginia opened as a 7.5-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has yet to move at all after early betting, as the Cavaliers are currently listed at -7.5. The total for the game is sitting at 56 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Virginia vs Florida State
Florida State got back to .500 on the season after a thrilling 45-44 overtime victory over LA-Monroe in Week 2. The Seminoles led 24-7 at halftime but faltered in the second half, giving up 31 points to the Warhawks. However, they managed to get it back on the rails in overtime, scoring a touchdown to secure a much-needed victory. QB James Blackman played well despite struggling with interception problems, going 30/40 for 282 yards and three touchdowns. RB Cam Akers was an absolute beast on the ground, rushing for 193 yards and two touchdowns on a ridiculous 36 carries. He also caught five passes for 55 yards and another touchdown. Overall, Florida State racked up over 500 total yards of offense and scored six touchdowns in the win.
The Seminoles defense didn’t have a good outing against LA-Monroe in Week 2, giving up five touchdowns and over 400 yards of total offense. Florida State had a very tough time stopping the run specifically, as the duo of Josh Johnson and Caleb Evans combined for 158 yards and three touchdowns on the ground.
Virginia moved to 2-0 on the season after crushing William & Mary 52-17 at home in Week 2. The Cavaliers offense exploded in the first quarter, scoring 21 unanswered points and never looking back. QB Bryce Perkins didn’t have his best game despite the lopsided win, going 16/26 for 192 yards and two touchdowns while also throwing two interceptions. However, Perkins was able to chip in with 68 yards and a touchdown on the ground. RB Mike Hollins had a solid performance on the ground, rushing for 78 yards and two touchdowns on only 11 carries. WR Joe Reed led the way in the receiving game, catching four passes for 58 yards and a score. As a whole, Virginia racked up just under 500 yards of offense and scored five touchdowns.
The Cavaliers defense looked slightly above average against the Tribe, holding William & Mary to just over 200 yards of total offense and one touchdown. Virginia was especially strong against the pass, giving up only 130 passing yards and forcing an interception.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Virginia -7.5
This should be a highly entertaining battle between two ACC rivals on Saturday night, as both offenses have had very impressive starts to the regular season. Florida State has scored at least 31 points in each of their two games, while Virginia has scored 82 points combined in their two games. However, the Seminoles appear to have some very real issues on the defensive side of the ball, giving up 80 combined points over the last two weeks. This is especially troubling considering the caliber of their opponent in Week 2, as LA-Monroe is hardly a top-tier program. The Cavaliers offense put up 50+ against William & Mary but perhaps even more impressively, scored 30-points against Pitt on the road in Week 1. I have full confidence that they will put on another offensive clinic here in Week 3 against a poor Seminoles defense.
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It is also important to note how poorly Florida State has performed against the spread as of late, just going 1-6 ATS over their last seven games. They have also struggled mightily against ACC opponents, as they are only 3-11 in their last 14 games against conference rivals. On the other hand, Virginia has been quite solid against the spread in recent history, covering the spread in four out of their last five outings. Ultimately, I think the Cavaliers offense will create big problems for Florida State defensively, while their own defense should manage to come up with a few key stops. The Seminoles will certainly create some offense as well, but I don’t think it will be enough to cover. Give me Virginia at home!