The #25 overall Virginia Tech Hokies (7-3) host the Pitt Panthers (7-3) this weekend for an ACC Coastal clash from Blacksburg. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST on November 23rd at Lane Stadium and the game will be televised on ESPN2.
Taking a look at the Week 13 college football odds, Virginia Tech opened as 4-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread has come down by half a point after early betting, as the Hokies are currently available at -3.5. The total for the game is sitting at 44 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Virginia Tech vs Pitt
Pitt managed to slip past UNC on the road their last time out after a thrilling 34-27 overtime win. The Panthers scored seven unanswered points in the third quarter to break the game wide open but couldn’t find a way to hold on for the regulation victory down the stretch, getting outscored 17-3 over the final 15 minutes. However, the offense scored a touchdown on their first possession during extra time to lock up the win. QB Kenny Pickett went 25/41 for 359 passing yards and a touchdown through the air while also adding 59 yards and two scores on the ground as well. A.J. Davis also found the end zone on one of his team-high 19 carries for 58 yards. Shocky Jacques-Louis led the way for the receiving corps, hauling in four catches for 104 yards and a touchdown. Overall, Pitt generated almost 500 total yards of offense and scored four touchdowns.
The Panthers had a below average outing on the other side of the ball against UNC, giving up over 450 total yards of offense three touchdowns. Pitt had no answer for Tar Heels WR Dazz Newsome, as he torched the secondary for 170 receiving yards and a touchdown on 11 receptions.
Virginia Tech won their second straight game last weekend, crushing Georgia Tech 45-0 to improve to 7-3 on the season overall. The Hokies scored 31 unanswered points in the first half and never looked back, cruising to an easy victory over the final two quarters of the game. QB Hendon Hooker went 9/13 for 159 passing yards and a touchdown through the air while Quincy Patterson II found the end zone on one of his nine carries for 40 rushing yards. James Mitchell also got in on the scoring parade, making four catches for 90 yards and a touchdown. As a whole, Virginia Tech gained more than 450 total yards of offense and scored five touchdowns against a shell-shocked Yellow Jackets defense.
The Hokies were fantastic defensively against Georgia Tech, barely allowing more than 125 total yards of offense. Virginia Tech was especially solid defending against the pass, surrendering only 81 yards through the air and forcing two interceptions.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Virginia Tech -3.5
Now that the spread has come down by half a point, I think that the Hokies offer pretty decent value in this particular spot. Of course, Pitt has also been pretty solid through their first ten games, as both teams currently share identical 7-3 records on the season. However, Virginia Tech could easily be 8-2, as they lost to #15 overall Notre Dame by only a single point back in early November. The Panthers also really struggled against Georgia Tech, winning by only ten points. That certainly doesn’t bode that well for Pitt in this matchup considering that Virginia Tech just crushed the Yellow Jackets 45-0 last weekend.
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Both offenses could have trouble getting points on the board on Saturday afternoon, as neither defense has given up more than 21 points in three out of their last four outings. While some might point out that the Panthers have absolutely dominated Virginia Tech against the spread over the past several years, Pitt has already been held to 20 points or less six times this season. I just don’t trust their offense to get the job done in this ACC Coastal matchup, as Virginia Tech has really fixed a lot of their defensive issues after giving up 80 total points against Duke and Miami over a month ago. I’m going to lay the 3.5 points and roll with the slight home favorite here in Week 13, as I think that the Hokies should be able to grind out a tough cover in what should be a pretty low scoring game – give me Virginia Tech!