The West Virginia Mountaineers cling to slim hopes of playing in the Big 12 title game as they visit the Kansas State Wildcats. Kickoff is 3:30 EST on Saturday, November 11 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kansas. The game can be seen on ESPN2.
Oddsmakers have the Wildcats as 1.5-point favorites at home. The over/under for the game is 62 points. Click here for a full list of Week 11 betting odds and links to game previews.
West Virginia vs Kansas State Vegas Game Odds & Betting Predictions
With a big win over Iowa State last week, West Virginia not only solidified a bowl spot but also stayed alive in the Big 12 title race. At 6-3 overall and 4-2 in conference play, the Mountaineers will need some help. But if they can win out, there’s a chance they can play in the renewal of the Big 12 Championship Game.
Kansas State is all but out of the running for a conference championship. However, after back-to-back wins over Kansas and Texas Tech, Wildcats are one win away from getting to a bowl game, which was far from a sure thing just a couple weeks ago. With two games left against ranked teams, a home date with West Virginia may be K-State’s best chance to get to six wins.
Free College Football Betting Selection: West Virginia +1.5
I don’t completely trust the Mountaineers in this game, but I’ll lean toward West Virginia anyway. The Kansas State defense that looked good during the first half of the season has dissipated over the past few weeks. With K-State also facing quarterback questions, West Virginia feels like the safer bet in this game.
While the Wildcats are giving up just 25 points per game on the season, they’re allowing 32 points per game over their last three games. With lowly Kansas being one of those games, that’s a concern for me, especially against a West Virginia team that can throw the ball up and down the field all day.
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To be fair, the Mountaineers were held to 20 points against a stout Iowa State defense last week. But West Virginia did find a way to win that game and they are still averaging 40 points per game on the season. WVU quarterback Will Grier has thrown at least two touchdown passes in every game this season. He also has three receivers who have a realistic chance at 1,000 yards receiving this year.
With the Wildcats suddenly struggling on defense, I can see Grier and the West Virginia offense having a big day. On the season, Grier is completing 65% of his passes and averaging over 9 yards per attempt. Those numbers point to a quarterback that’s playing at a high level.
On the other side of the field, the Wildcats are uncertain who will be their starting quarterback. Both Jesse Ertz and Alex Delton are dealing with injuries, which could leave it up to third-string quarterback Skylar Thompson.
Regardless of who starts, the Wildcats will win or lose based on how they can run the ball. The West Virginia held up against the run well last week in one of its better games. They may be able to put together another good performance this week, as the K-State offense is not the prototypical pass-heavy, big-play offense that’s common in the Big 12.
Ultimately, this game comes down to who do you trust more. Right now, I trust Grier and the West Virginia offense to move the ball and score points more than the K-State offense or defense. Even on the road, I’ll take my chances with the Mountaineers.