The #12 overall West Virginia Mountaineers (6-1) head to Austin this weekend for a showdown with the #15 overall Texas Longhorns (6-2). Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST at Texas Memorial Stadium and the game will be broadcast on FOX.
Taking a look at the Week 10 college football odds, Texas opened as a 2.5-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has remained unchanged after early betting, as the Longhorns are currently listed at -2.5. The total for the game is sitting at 58.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Texas vs West Virginia
West Virginia crushed Baylor 58-14 back on October 25th to improve to 6-1 overall on the season. The Mountaineers dominated the Bears on both sides of the ball, as WVU racked up 568 yards of total offense. QB Will Grier bounced back in a big way after a tough game against Iowa State, throwing for 353 yards and three touchdowns while also adding a rushing touchdown. His favorite target is clearly WR David Sills V, who found the end zone twice while also totaling 139 receiving yards. Sills V and Grier have now combined for 27 touchdowns since the start of the 2017-18 season, which is nine more than any other QB/WR combo in the FBS. As a whole, West Virginia is currently averaging 39.9 points per game on 479.1 yards of total offense.
Things have also looked very solid on the other side of the ball, as the Mountaineers are currently allowing opponents to score an average of just 19.6 points per game on 349.4 yards of total offense. They have looked really good against the run so far this season, giving up only 132.9 rushing yards per game (34th overall).
Texas is coming off a tough 38-35 loss to Oklahoma last weekend, as the Longhorns gave up 500+ total yards of offense for the second time in three games against an explosive Sooners offense. They also dropped six spots on the AP Top 25 Poll, falling from #9 to #15 overall heading into Week 10. QB Sam Ehlinger was solid but unspectacular, throwing for 283 yards and two touchdowns. Ehlinger is currently averaging 227.1 passing yards per game and has completed 63.5% of his passes so far this season. He also has added eight rushing touchdowns on almost 40 rushing yards per game. As a whole, Texas is currently averaging 31.3 points per game on 409.4 yards of total offense.
Things haven’t looked all that great defensively for the Longhorns, as they are currently giving up an average of 24.9 points per game on 378.5 total yards of offense. They were brutal against the pass last weekend, allowing over 300 yards through the air. Texas also allowed Tyler Cornelius and Tynan Wallace to connect for 222 yards and two touchdowns, which certainly doesn’t bode well for them against the high-flying WVU duo of Grier and Sills V.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: West Virginia +2.5
This game is shaping up to be a highly entertaining battle between two of the best teams in the entire country right now. Texas will be eager to rebound after a tough loss to Oklahoma dropped them to #15 overall while WVU will be looking to break into the Top 10 on the AP Top 25 Poll. While I wouldn’t be surprised if either team finds a way to win in this particular spot, I think that the Mountaineers and the free points offer the best value. West Virginia is really rolling on offense right now, scoring at least 35 points in six out of their seven games so far this season. They also have been quite impressive defensively, holding opponents under 20 points per game. Texas has been a little bit less explosive on offense while also allowing almost 5 points more per game defensively.
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The Longhorns are just 3-5 ATS so far this season. West Virginia is a very solid 4-1-1 ATS over their last six games against teams with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. They are also 5-1 ATS over their last six games as a road underdog of between 0.5 and 3 points.
I really think that the Mountaineers will make a big statement on the road this weekend as they attempt to improve to 7-1 overall. They have shown that they are one of the better teams nationwide on both sides of the ball and have really looked extremely well balanced. Texas has been pretty impressive offensively but has also shown a tendency to struggle defensively against quality opponents. I think that Western Virginia has the edge overall, which makes getting 2.5 free points even sweeter. I’m taking the road underdog on Saturday in what should be a thrilling matchup.