The West Virginia Mountaineers (3-5) host the Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-5) this weekend for a BIG 12 clash from Morgantown. Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM EST on November 9th at Milan Puskar Stadium and the game will be televised on ESPN2.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, West Virginia opened as a 1.5-point home underdog earlier this week. The spread has increased by a full point after early betting, as the Mountaineers are currently available at +2.5. The total for the game is sitting at 59 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: West Virginia vs Texas Tech
Texas Tech lost their third straight game back in Week 9, falling 37-34 on the road against Kansas to drop to 3-5 on the season overall. The Red Raiders had a 27-20 lead heading into the fourth quarter but completely fell apart down the stretch, giving up 17 points over the final 15 minutes of the game. QB Jett Duffey played well, going 23/34 for 271 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air. RB SaRodorick Thompson led the way on the ground, rushing for 80 yards and a touchdown on a team-high 20 carries. Dalton Rigdon also found the end zone, hitting pay dirt on one of his seven catches for 76 receiving yards. Overall, Texas Tech generated almost 500 total yards of offense and scored four touchdowns despite coming up just short on the scoreboard.
The Red Raiders didn’t have a good outing on the other side of the ball against Kansas, surrendering well over 500 total yards of offense and allowing five touchdowns. Texas Tech had no answer for Jayhawks WR Stephon Robinson, as he torched the defense for 186 yards and two touchdowns on just six receptions.
West Virginia also fell to 3-5 on the season their last time out after a tough 17-14 road loss against #11 overall Baylor. The Mountaineers fought hard all game but couldn’t find a way to overcome a late field goal that put the Bears up for good. QB Austin Kendall went 20/39 for 205 passing yards and a touchdown while also getting picked off once. None of the backfield ever really got anything going on the ground, combining for just 62 net rushing yards. George Campbell led the way for the receiving corps despite making just one reception all game, as he found the end zone on a 83-yard bomb from Kendall. As a whole, West Virginia gained over 250 total yards and scored one touchdown on offense against a rock-solid Bears defense.
The Mountaineers were pretty solid defensively against Baylor, holding the Bears to just two touchdowns despite allowing well over 400 total yards of offense. West Virginia did struggle to contain WR Denzel Mims, however, as he racked up 99 receiving yards and a touchdown on only five catches.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: OVER 59
While I am leaning slightly towards Texas Tech in this BIG 12 clash, I do have some reservations about laying almost a full field goal with a team that has failed to cover the number in three out of their last four road games. The Red Raiders have also been brutal on defense as of late, giving up well over 35 points per game over their last five outings. However, they certainly have been firing on all cylinders offensively, scoring at least 34 points in three out of their last four games overall. Ultimately, this game could easily go either way – and while I do think Texas Tech should find a way to win outright, I’d much rather take my chances with the OVER on 59 in what should be a high-scoring matchup.
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These two schools have also been involved in some high-scoring battles in recent years, as the total has gone OVER in two out of their last three meetings. The OVER has also come through in four out of Texas Tech’s last five games overall and in three out of their last four road games as well. On the other side, the OVER has hit in four out of West Virginia’s last six games overall. I’m going to avoid both teams against what looks to be a pretty efficient spread in favor of the OVER on 59 total points scored on Saturday afternoon.