This Wednesday the Western Michigan Broncos (5-4, 3-2 MAC) will host the Kent State Golden Flashes (2-7, 1-4 MAC). Kickoff is set for 7:00 EST at Waldo Stadium in Kalamazoo and will be televised on the CBS Sports Network.
Oddsmakers currently have the Broncos listed as a 21.5-point home favorite with the total set at 47 points. Click here for our full Week 11 NCAAF betting schedule, which has all of our links to our game previews.
Kent State vs Western Michigan Game Preview & Vegas Odds
The Golden Flashes were in action last Tuesday and many of you might recall the beatdown they took at home to Bowling Green. Kent State lost 16-44 as a mere 1.5-point underdog. The Falcons led 17-0 at the end of the 1st quarter and never looked back, as they led 34-9 going into the 4th quarter.
Western Michigan also comes in off a loss, as they let one slip away in a 28-35 home loss to rival Central Michigan last Wednesday. The Broncos jumped out to a 14-0 lead and were up 28-14 going into the 4th quarter, before allowing 21 unanswered. That loss is going to make it difficult for Western Michigan to defend their MAC title, as they are going to need a lot of help just to win the West Division.
Last year’s meeting between these two was a lot closer than most expected. The Broncos came in ranked No. 14 in the country with a perfect 9-0 record. They were a 21-point road favorite, but found themselves down 14-0 early and tied 21-21 in the 4th quarter. Western Michigan pulled it together and won 37-21.
NCAAF Football Betting Pick & Predictions: UNDER 47
I just don’t feel great about backing either team on the spread in this one, but I do see some value here with the total and this staying UNDER the mark. For starters, we are at the point of the season where we start to see a lot more lower-scoring games, especially for these midwest teams. Temperatures are expected to be in the mid to low 30’s.
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While that plays a role, the bigger factor here is this Western Michigan offense is hurting right now. They lost their starting quarterback Jon Wassink to a broken collarbone in their win over Eastern Michigan back on Oct. 17th. True freshman Reece Goddard has taken his place and it’s not been pretty. Goddard was just 6 of 18 for 42 yards against the Chippewas last week.
They also just lost their No. 2 and No. 3 options at running back. Jarvion Franklin had to carry 26 times last week with those two in the lineup and now will be asked to provide an even bigger workload. At the same time, Kent State can set up their entire defense towards stopping Franklin. Chances are Franklin will have a big day, but all of this running is going to eat up the clock and make it that much harder for this to turn into a blowout.
As for the Golden Flashes and their offense, I think they are in for a long day against what is going to be a fired up Broncos defense on senior night. Kent State is the worst offense in the country, ranking 130th out of 130 FBS teams at just 12.0 ppg. It’s even worse on the road, where they aren’t even averaging a field goal (2.4 ppg). In fact, 3 points is their season-high on the road.
The biggest concern here would be the Broncos eclipsing this total on their own, but I think it’s more than worth the risk given all the key losses they have suffered at the skill positions.
UNDER is 23-11-1 in the Golden Flashes’ last 35 conference games and 6-2 in their last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record. .