The #8 overall Wisconsin Badgers (5-0) host the Michigan State Spartans (4-2) this weekend for a BIG 10 clash from Madison. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, October 12th at Camp Randall Stadium and the game will be televised on the BIG 10 Network.
Taking a look at the Week 7 college football odds, Wisconsin opened as a 10-point home favorite earlier this week. That spread has yet to move at all after early betting, as the Badgers are currently listed at -10. The total for the game is sitting at 42 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Wisconsin vs Michigan State
Michigan State failed to win their third straight game last weekend, falling 34-10 on the road against #3 overall Ohio State. The Spartans trailed 27-10 at the half and never found a way to get back within striking distance, getting completely shut out over the final two quarters. QB Brian Lewerke was 20/38 for 218 yards and a touchdown while also getting picked off once. RB Elijah Collins led the way on the ground, rushing for 63 yards on 12 carries. Darrell Stewart Jr. was on the receiving end of the only touchdown of the game for Michigan State, finding the end zone on one of his six catches for 68 yards. As a whole, the offense gained just 287 total yards against a tough Buckeyes defense.
The Spartans defense also had a pretty rough outing against Ohio State, giving up just under 550 yards of offense and four touchdowns. Michigan State really had a tough time trying to slow Buckeyes RB J.K. Dobbins, who racked up 172 yards and a touchdown on a game-high 24 carries.
Wisconsin moved to 5-0 on the season their last time out, crushing Kent State 48-0 at home to remain unbeaten through their first five games. The Badgers scored 28 unanswered points in the first half and never looked back, completely shutting out the Golden Flashes offense the entire game. QB Jack Coan played well, going 12/15 for 134 yards and two touchdowns through the air, while RB Jonathan Taylor exploded for 186 rushing yards and four touchdowns on the ground. Taylor also chipped in through the air, making three catches for 29 yards and another score. Jake Ferguson caught the only other touchdown pass of the game for Wisconsin, finding the end zone on a short two-yard passing play. Overall, the offense generated over 600 total yards and scored seven touchdowns against a shell-shocked Kent State defense.
The Badgers were basically perfect on the other side of the ball against the Golden Flashes, barely giving up more than 100 total yards of offense and not allowing a single point. Wisconsin was extremely impressive defending against the pass, surrendering just 64 yards through the air all game.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Wisconsin -10
Although this matchup certainly isn’t shaping up to be an offensive battle, it should still be a highly entertaining BIG 10 showdown between two very solid programs. While Michigan State is definitely capable of keeping this game close for a few quarters, it’s pretty hard to bet against the Badgers after their very impressive 5-0 start to the season. Wisconsin has won four out of their first five games by at least three touchdowns and averaged well over 40-points per game offensively. They have also been extremely solid on the other side of the ball, giving up just 29 points over their first five games combined. Michigan State hasn’t been quite as strong, losing by over 20+ points to Ohio State last weekend and getting upset at home by Arizona State back in Week 3.
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I think the Badgers offer some pretty decent value on Saturday afternoon, especially since they are playing at home here in Week 7. Wisconsin is a very solid 4-1 against the spread through their first five games, while Michigan State is only 2-4 ATS over that same time span. The Spartans are also just 2-8 ATS in their last ten games and only 1-5 against the spread over their last six meetings with BIG 10 opponents. Ultimately, the Badgers have clearly been the far superior team on both sides of the ball so far this year and should find a way to win by double-digits. I’ll lay the ten points and side with the unbeaten home favorite – give me Wisconsin to cover!