Jimmy Boyd in The Open Championship hands the trophy to whoever survives the worst bounce of the week, not just whoever strikes it best. Weather draws split the field in ways no other major does, so one tee time can play calm while the very same holes turn brutal a few hours later. A price built weeks out is really just a guess at which half of that draw a player gets.
That’s what separates this board from a plain skill ranking, and it’s why I won’t rule out a proven links player just because his recent form looks quiet. A player who handles a bad lie and a stiff crosswind can be live at a price built for someone with better recent form, because the number is measuring survival as much as ball-striking. Reading it that way is the whole game here.
2027 Open Championship Odds
| # | Player | Best price | Book | Implied | 7 days | Since start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | +550 | BetRivers | 15.4% | – | – |
| 2 | Rory McIlroy | +800 | BetRivers | 11.1% | – | – |
| 3 | Jon Rahm | +1600 | BetRivers | 5.9% | – | – |
| 4 | Tommy Fleetwood | +2000 | BetRivers | 4.8% | – | – |
| 5 | Xander Schauffele | +2000 | BetRivers | 4.8% | – | – |
| 6 | Matthew Fitzpatrick | +2200 | BetRivers | 4.3% | – | – |
| 7 | Cameron Young | +2500 | BetRivers | 3.8% | – | – |
| 8 | Ludvig Aberg | +2500 | BetRivers | 3.8% | – | – |
| 9 | Bryson DeChambeau | +2800 | BetRivers | 3.4% | – | – |
| 10 | Christopher Gotterup | +3300 | BetRivers | 2.9% | – | – |
| 11 | Collin Morikawa | +3300 | BetRivers | 2.9% | – | – |
| 12 | Tyrrell Hatton | +3300 | BetRivers | 2.9% | – | – |
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| 13 | Viktor Hovland | +3300 | BetRivers | 2.9% | – | – |
| 14 | Justin Rose | +4000 | BetRivers | 2.4% | – | – |
| 15 | Robert MacIntyre | +4000 | BetRivers | 2.4% | – | – |
| 16 | Sam Burns | +4000 | BetRivers | 2.4% | – | – |
| 17 | Wyndham Clark | +4000 | BetRivers | 2.4% | – | – |
| 18 | Brooks Koepka | +5000 | BetRivers | 2.0% | – | – |
| 19 | Joaquin Niemann | +5000 | BetRivers | 2.0% | – | – |
| 20 | Justin Thomas | +5000 | BetRivers | 2.0% | – | – |
| 21 | Patrick Reed | +5000 | BetRivers | 2.0% | – | – |
| 22 | Russell Henley | +5000 | BetRivers | 2.0% | – | – |
| 23 | Shane Lowry | +5000 | BetRivers | 2.0% | – | – |
| 24 | Si Woo Kim | +5000 | BetRivers | 2.0% | – | – |
| 25 | Jackson Koivun | +5000 | BetRivers | 2.0% | – | – |
| 26 | Hideki Matsuyama | +6600 | BetRivers | 1.5% | – | – |
| 27 | Min Woo Lee | +6600 | BetRivers | 1.5% | – | – |
| 28 | Patrick Cantlay | +6600 | BetRivers | 1.5% | – | – |
| 29 | Ryan Fox | +6600 | BetRivers | 1.5% | – | – |
| 30 | Aaron Rai | +8000 | BetRivers | 1.2% | – | – |
| 31 | Adam Scott | +8000 | BetRivers | 1.2% | – | – |
| 32 | Alex Fitzpatrick | +8000 | BetRivers | 1.2% | – | – |
| 33 | Jordan Spieth | +8000 | BetRivers | 1.2% | – | – |
| 34 | Kristoffer Reitan | +8000 | BetRivers | 1.2% | – | – |
| 35 | Nicolai Hojgaard | +8000 | BetRivers | 1.2% | – | – |
| 36 | Joohyung Kim | +8000 | BetRivers | 1.2% | – | – |
| 37 | Ben Griffin | +10000 | BetRivers | 1.0% | – | – |
| 38 | David Puig | +10000 | BetRivers | 1.0% | – | – |
| 39 | J.J. Spaun | +10000 | BetRivers | 1.0% | – | – |
| 40 | Kurt Kitayama | +10000 | BetRivers | 1.0% | – | – |
| 41 | Marco Penge | +10000 | BetRivers | 1.0% | – | – |
| 42 | Rasmus Hojgaard | +10000 | BetRivers | 1.0% | – | – |
| 43 | Ryan Gerard | +10000 | BetRivers | 1.0% | – | – |
| 44 | Akshay Bhatia | +12500 | BetRivers | 0.8% | – | – |
| 45 | Alexander Noren | +12500 | BetRivers | 0.8% | – | – |
| 46 | Brian Harman | +12500 | BetRivers | 0.8% | – | – |
| 47 | Cameron Smith | +12500 | BetRivers | 0.8% | – | – |
| 48 | Corey Conners | +12500 | BetRivers | 0.8% | – | – |
| 49 | Gary Woodland | +12500 | BetRivers | 0.8% | – | – |
| 50 | Harris English | +12500 | BetRivers | 0.8% | – | – |
| 51 | Jake Knapp | +12500 | BetRivers | 0.8% | – | – |
| 52 | Jason Day | +12500 | BetRivers | 0.8% | – | – |
| 53 | Maverick McNealy | +12500 | BetRivers | 0.8% | – | – |
| 54 | Michael Brennan | +12500 | BetRivers | 0.8% | – | – |
| 55 | Rickie Fowler | +12500 | BetRivers | 0.8% | – | – |
| 56 | Sepp Straka | +12500 | BetRivers | 0.8% | – | – |
| 57 | Angel Ayora | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 58 | Daniel Berger | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 59 | Eric Cole | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 60 | J.T. Poston | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 61 | Jackson Suber | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 62 | Jordan Smith | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 63 | Keegan Bradley | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 64 | Keith Mitchell | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 65 | Lucas Herbert | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 66 | Matt Wallace | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 67 | Max Homa | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 68 | Pierceson Coody | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 69 | Sahith Theegala | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 70 | Sungjae Im | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 71 | Thomas Detry | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 72 | Tom McKibbin | +15000 | BetRivers | 0.7% | – | – |
| 73 | Alex Smalley | +20000 | BetRivers | 0.5% | – | – |
| 74 | Andrew Novak | +20000 | BetRivers | 0.5% | – | – |
| 75 | Bud Cauley | +20000 | BetRivers | 0.5% | – | – |
| 76 | Haotong Li | +20000 | BetRivers | 0.5% | – | – |
| 77 | Harry Hall | +20000 | BetRivers | 0.5% | – | – |
| 78 | Jacob Bridgeman | +20000 | BetRivers | 0.5% | – | – |
| 79 | Max Greyserman | +20000 | BetRivers | 0.5% | – | – |
| 80 | Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | +20000 | BetRivers | 0.5% | – | – |
| 81 | Ryo Hisatsune | +20000 | BetRivers | 0.5% | – | – |
| 82 | Jayden Trey Schaper | +25000 | BetRivers | 0.4% | – | – |
| 83 | Nick Taylor | +25000 | BetRivers | 0.4% | – | – |
Best price is the longest number we found across BetRivers. Implied probability strips nothing out; the whole board adds to more than 100% and that gap is the books’ margin. Movement is the change in what a winning dollar pays, so a move means the same thing at the top of the board and at the bottom; green means the price shortened. It reads across the books quoting a player both then and now, and a row too thinly quoted to compare shows a dash rather than a number. Since start runs from the first day we have every book’s price, which is not the market’s opening line.
A Price Built for Two Different Courses
The way I see it, betting this market well means looking past a leaderboard built on tour-standard courses. A player who struggles to control spin on firm turf, or who can’t keep the ball down in a crosswind, is fighting the course before he ever fights the field. Proven links players who don’t have a recent win can still carry real value at a longer number, because the skill that wins an Open championship isn’t always the skill that wins everywhere else.
Nick Taylor sits at +25000, a price that reflects a name without a recent result more than it reflects how that player actually handles a hard bounce. Whether that number is worth a ticket comes down to links history, not the current stat sheet, and that’s the first thing I check before laying money on a longshot. Shopping BetRivers matters too, since one book can weight weather risk differently than another and price the same player two different ways.
The Window Before the Forecast Sets the Price
I like the best price on a links specialist early, before any forecast model has a real read on tournament week. At that point the board still prices pure talent, not conditions, so a player built for wind and firm turf can sit at a number that undersells him.
That value fades fast. Once forecasts firm up and the board starts pricing which side of the draw catches the rough weather, prices on well-suited players tighten and the gap closes. Wait too long and you’re paying the true number instead of buying under it.
An early position also sets up a hedge for me. If the forecast turns ugly and that player’s price drops once the field sees the draw, there’s room to trade part of the ticket back for guaranteed profit before a shot is struck.
What Actually Reprices a Links Favorite
Scores move most futures boards. Here, a forecast update can do it faster, in my experience. A wind report calling for a rough afternoon draw, or a firmer green complex than expected, can shift a player’s number before he’s hit a single shot in the tournament.
That’s the volatility built into this market, and I check the board again close to tee times rather than assume the number I saw a month out still holds.
