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What Our Handicappers Have on Today's Games
On Thursday the MLB Comp play is on the Seattle Mariners at 8:10 eastern. Seattle is 10-1 as a road favorite from -150 to -175 and is averaging over 5 runs per game the past week. Chicago has lost 6 of 8 as a home dog in this range. Road favorites league wide since 2004 that are off a home loss scoring 2 or less runs like Seattle are 17-4 vs an opponent like the Whitesox that lost at home last out. Paxton is back for Seattle and he has a 1.69 era in his last 3 starts and has a 1.42 era vs Chicago. Ranaduo counters for Chicago and he has an elevated Era at 6.75 on the year. Look for Seattle to take the opener. On Thursday 3 big plays are up including a 5* 100% MLB Totals system and an undefeated road warrior system. The NFLX Game of the week is also up. We are currently ranked #1 on several top leader boards. Jump on now and cash out on Thursday. For the MLB Free pick. Play on Seattle. RV
Free play on the draw when these two teams meet in Russia on Friday. I think it ends 0-0 or 1-1. The total is set at 2 so they are expecting a low score.
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Jeff Allen's Free Play for Saturday, September 3rd is on the Ohio Bobcats
Ohio is loaded for Frank Solich who is now the the most successful active coach in the MAC. The Bobcats have not had a losing season since 2006 and are loaded this year and will compete for the conference championship. Texas State is off a disappointing year that forced Coach Fran into retirement and return just 10 starters. This figures to be a slow rebuild for the Bobcats and the schedule maker didn't do them any favors opening them vs. ground and pound Ohio on the road. Lay the points with a home team that generally takes care of business when it's supposed to.
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This game is being played on a neutral in Australia. I don’t think that this neutral field will benefit either team so I am going to exploit the head to head matchup here. Cal is a team that went 9-27 combined from 2012 to 2014 before winning 8 games last year, behind a QB (Goff) that got drafted in the 1st round of the NFL Draft. This is also a Cal team that has only been a favorite away from home 3 times in the last 4 years. Cal lost their top 6 receivers and 5 of their top 6 tacklers. While Cal will have a reliable QB in Davis Webb from Texas Tech, he doesn’t have a lot of talent around him and it will take time for Webb to get in sync with these new receivers. I will also note that Cal has a new offensive coordinator. While it’s still the ‘Air Raid’ offense, there are new schemes being installed and it will take time before the Bears are putting up 40+ points. With only 3 seniors starting on defense, I like Hawaii to score enough points to cover this spread.
Hawaii is 5-0 ATS in Week 1 the last five years and are undervalued in this spot. There's a new Head Coach for Hawaii and he used to play for the Rainbow Warriors. Nick Rolovich was the QB for Hawaii and will have former teammate Brian SMith as the offensive coordinator and associate head coach. I think these two guys are going to gel great and Hawaii can only get better as a team. Rolovich was the OC at Nevada the last 4 years. Rolovich came to Nevada after a wildly productive four-year run at Hawaii, where he directed one of the top passing offenses in the nation. He was the quarterbacks coach all four seasons and spent the last two years as the Warriors' offensive coordinator. In Rolovich’s first game with Nevada in 2012, Rolovich beat Cal, 31-24, as a 12 point road dog, so their is some ‘deja vu’ here and a great storyline.
Hawaii returns 9 players on offense (73 offensive line starts). Senior QB Woolsey should be able to lead the team on some scores against this soft Cal defense. While Hawaii’s weakness is their secondary, the Cal Bears passing game is not going to be up to full speed yet. I think Hawaii will be improved offensively from last year and Cal will struggle to score, especially touchdowns and the defense is not good enough to offset the offensive regression.
Special Teams: Senior utility kicker Sanchez was one of only five kickers nationally to handle all duties. As a field goal kicker, he converted 8-of-11 attempts, including two from 47 yards and a long of 50 to earn all-Mountain West Honorable Mention. So we have a quality FG kicker on our side here as well. While we are looking for touchdowns, all scores will help and this game should have it’s fair share of field goal opportunities. (1* Hawaii plus the points)
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This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Hawaii #Warriors.
The public loves Michigan this year, and it's easy to see why. The Wolverines completely turned things around winning 10 games last season, after going just 5-7 in 2014. While Jim Harbaugh's first year as Michigan's head coach has come with plenty of fan fair, I believe this team is way overrated. It's important to keep in mind that all 10 of last year's wins came against teams that finished the season unranked. They lost at Utah, at home to Michigan State, and they were blown out at Ohio State.
The Wolverines will host the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors in their season opener, and they are asked to cover an enormous number here. Despite the fact that they played their fair share of cupcakes last season, they didn't win any games by as much as 40 points. Hawaii was brutal last year, losing 10 of 13 games. Many of those losses were blowouts, but even against the likes of Ohio State and Wisconsin, the margin of defeat was less than 40 points.
They lost 38-0 at Ohio State in Week 2, and it's worth noting that Michigan didn't fair much better losing 42-13 when they traveled to Columbus. Hawaii has plenty of talent returning from last season, and this team might just be more competitive than it was a year ago.
The Warriors will get a chance to work out the kinks a week earlier when they play California in Australia. The Wolverines will not have that luxury, with a new quarterback under center in their first game of the season. Even if everything goes smoothly for Michigan, and they somehow manage to build a big early lead, expect Harbaugh to pull the starters which would likely allow Hawaii to get a back door cover.
The KC Chiefs have started this Preseason off at 0-2, but they're playing much better than their record indicates. They lost their opener to Seattle, 17-16, after allowing a "Hail Mary" TD on the last play of the game. They followed that with a road loss in Los Angeles, 21-20, despite out-gaining the Rams 382 offensive yards to 264 total yards! Chiefs HC Andy Reid knows that you MUST build a "winning culture" during the exhibition season if you want to win during the Regular season, which is why these Chiefs went 4-0 during the 2015 NFL-X, scoring 24 points or more in 3 of those 4 games. The Bears offensive line is terrible and they have no talent at the RB position after losing All-Pro RB Matt Forte in the off-season. Expect the Chiefs to shut down this Bear's offense and get their 1st victory of the season on Saturday.
10* Play on KC Chiefs
Rickenbach MLB Game #903/904 - Free Pick - UNDER 9 +115 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 8:10 ET Thursday - We are getting great line value here as many are jumping on the over because the Brewers Wily Peralta has poor overall numbers this season. The key here is that Peralta has been pitching much better since he returned to the rotation after a demotion. In fact, the Milwaukee right-hander has a 2.25 ERA in his two home starts since returning and has only allowed 8 hits while striking out 11 in the 12 innings spanning those two outings. He'll be opposed by the Pirates Chad Kuhl tonight and he also has been pitching very well. The young Pittsburgh right-hander has pitched at least 6 innings while also allowed 2 earned runs or less in 5 of his last 6 starts! On the road this season Kuhl has a 2.00 ERA and he has an edge here in that the Brewers have never faced him. As for Peralta, he has allowed just 3 earned runs on only 10 hits in the 13 innings spanning his last two starts against them. The under is 13-7 this season when the Pirates are on the road and priced in a range of -100 to -150. Also, the under is 14-7 this season in the Brewers last 21 games against teams with a winning record. UNDER the total in Milwaukee is my Free Pick for Thursday night. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
#MLB Free Pick from Mike Lundin
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks
Runs have come easy for both the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Atlanta Braves as the teams have combined for 47 runs and 77 hits in the first three games of the four-game series. I like the D'Backs to get the better of their opponent here in the series-finale with a huge advantage on the mound.
Matt Wisler (4-11, 5.16 ERA) takes the ball for Atlanta. He'll make his first start since July 28 when he was sent down to the minors following a rough stretch. Wisler went 1-3 with a 10.18 ERA while serving up nine homers in 20 1/3 innings in his last four starts in the majors.
The D'Backs turn to Robbie Ray (7-11, 4.31). The left-hander has pitched effectively lately and enters the game as the reigning National League Player of the Week. He's 2-0 with an 0.95 ERA in his past three starts but allowed three runs on six hits in 4 1/3 innings at Atlanta on Aug. 14, 2015. He should still be able to put up a good enough performance to earn Arizona the W tonight.
Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last seven home games, Braves are 2-9 in their last 11 overall.
- Mike Lundin has TWO 10*-RATED SELECTIONS on Thursday. The action starts already in the afternoon with his *EARLY* Top Rated 10* AL *GAME OF THE WEEK* followed by Mike's Top Rated 10* MLB *TOTAL OF THE DAY* in the evening. If you're looking for a midnight snack you better not miss out on Mike's 8*-RATED MLB *LATE SHOW*.
8/25 07:10 PM MLB (907) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS (908) LOS ANGELES DODGERS.
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Your free play for Thursday, August 25, 2016 is in the baseball contest between the San Francisco Giants and the Dodgers from Los Angeles. This is a big park, great for pitchers, and a pair of strong pitching staffs square off. San Francisco is on a 5-2-1 run under the total on the road, plus 9-4-1 under away against a righty starter. Matt Moore is on the mound, a great strikeout pitcher. Ross Stripling goes here for the home team and the Under is 5-1 in Stripling's last six home starts. LA is 11-3 under the total at home against a left-handed starter and this shapes up as a defensive duel between two rivals in a pennant race. Play San Francisco/LA Dodgers Under the total.
Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on Seattle Mariners -140
The Key: Off back-to-back losses, the Seattle Mariners are hungry for a win here tonight in Game 1 of this series with the Chicago White Sox. The Mariners have a legitimate shot at making the playoffs at 67-59 on the season, while the White Sox are playing for pride here down the stretch. James Paxton is 4-5 with a 3.53 ERA in 13 starts this year, and 1-1 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.797 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Paxton gave up 1 earned run over 6 1/3 innings in his lone lifetime start vs. Chicago. Anthony Ranaudo will be making just his 3rd start of the season. The first 2 have not gone well as he's 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.406 WHIP while allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 2/3 innings. The Mariners are 13-3 in their last 16 games following a loss. Take Seattle.
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