Jimmy Boyd in 
We are just hours away from the 152nd running of the Kentucky Derby. The 2026 “Run for the Roses” is set to take place on Saturday, May 2nd, at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky.
With the field officially set and post positions drawn, I’m ready to release my win/place/show predictions.
The official morning line odds may shift slightly before post time, but these will still be my core selections. If you aren’t familiar with how the morning-line odds work, be sure to check out our Kentucky Derby betting guide.
Can’t get to your local sportsbooks to place a bet on the race? You can also wager online. In fact, several sportsbooks release odds to win the race several weeks in advance.
Expert Handicapper Predictions for the 2026 Kentucky Derby
Win: Renegade (4-1)
Entering with sharp form, Renegade has the tactical speed needed to establish a dominant position early. Drawing the rail (Post 1) means he’ll absolutely need a clean, fast break, but with elite jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. in the saddle and Todd Pletcher’s legendary conditioning, he’s in prime position to dictate the race and wear the roses.
Place: Further Ado (6-1)
Further Ado has steadily improved with each start and showed off a lethal closing kick in his final prep race. Breaking from the outside (Post 18) gives Hall of Fame veteran John Velazquez plenty of options to avoid the early chaos. If the pace heats up too much on the front end, he could be the one flying down the stretch to catch the leaders.
Show: Danon Bourbon (20-1)
This Japanese invader is the ultimate wild card in the field. He brings stellar form and serious international intrigue to Churchill Downs. With excellent stamina numbers and a knack for staying out of trouble in crowded fields, don’t be shocked if Danon Bourbon makes a massive splash in the U.S. and clunks up the board at a great price.
More Derby Information
