The NFL season still has its defensive storyline unwritten, but the top of the board already tells you where the smart money leans. Will Anderson sits at +175 at FanDuel, good for 36.4% implied, with Fred Warner at +600 and Jeffery Simmons at +900 chasing close behind. I pull this from 90 players priced across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel, 5 sportsbooks in all, with the board refreshed as of November 10, 2026.

The spread from the top names down to the field is where the real work happens. Down near the bottom, Vita Vea sits at +40000, a price that only cashes if the stat sheet gets strange in a hurry. That gap between the favorites and the rest is exactly why shopping the number across books matters before you lock anything in.

2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds

Updated Tuesday, November 10 · best price across 5 booksbet365BetMGMDraftKingsCaesarsFanDuel
Favorite#1
Will AndersonDE · Texans
+17536.4% implied · FanDuel
7d -38%open -63%
Second favorite#2
Fred WarnerLB · 49ers
+60014.3% implied · DraftKings
7d -15%open -78%
Third favorite#3
Jeffery SimmonsDT · Bears
+90010.0% implied · FanDuel
7d -32%open -92%
Movers this weekDanielle Hunter+3500 → +7500+114%T.J. Watt+850 → +1400+65%Aidan Hutchinson+1000 → +1600+60%Devin Lloyd+5000 → +7500+50%
#PlayerBest priceBookImplied7 daysSince start
1Will AndersonDE · Texans+175FanDuel36.4%-38%-63%
2Fred WarnerLB · 49ers+600DraftKings14.3%-15%-78%
3Jeffery SimmonsDT · Bears+900FanDuel10.0%-32%-92%
4Dallas TurnerLB · Vikings+1000BetMGM9.1%-46%-82%
5T.J. WattLB · Steelers+1500BetMGM6.3%+65%+56%
6Greg RousseauLB · Bills+1600FanDuel5.9%-13%-72%
7Aidan HutchinsonDE · Lions+2000BetMGM4.8%+60%+231%
8Dexter LawrenceDT · Bengals+4000Caesars2.4%–+88%
9Andrew Van GinkelLB · Vikings+4000bet3652.4%+21%-64%
10Maxx CrosbyDE · Raiders+4500Caesars2.2%+43%+220%
11Josh Hines-AllenDE · Jaguars+5500Caesars1.8%+11%+25%
12Abdul CarterLB · Giants+6000FanDuel1.6%+13%+42%
Show all 90 playersShow fewer
13Nik BonittoLB · Broncos+6000bet3651.6%+20%+307%
14Kyle HamiltonS · Ravens+6000bet3651.6%+10%even
15Chase YoungDE · Saints+7500FanDuel1.3%-23%-60%
16Devin LloydLB · Panthers+7500bet3651.3%+50%-32%
17Danielle HunterDE · Texans+7500bet3651.3%+114%+170%
18Devon WitherspoonCB · Seahawks+8000Caesars1.2%+25%+41%
19Jalen CarterDT · Eagles+10000BetMGM1.0%+7%+192%
20Byron MurphyDT · Seahawks+10000FanDuel1.0%even-25%
21Travis HunterWR · Jaguars+10000bet3651.0%+33%-40%
22Trey HendricksonLB · Ravens+10000BetMGM1.0%+7%+210%
23Pat SurtainCB · Broncos+10000bet3651.0%even+67%
24Quinyon MitchellCB · Eagles+10000bet3651.0%+33%+111%
25Jihaad CampbellLB · Eagles+10000bet3651.0%––
26Leonard WilliamsDT · Seahawks+10000bet3651.0%even-20%
27Alex HighsmithLB · Steelers+10000bet3651.0%even+25%
28Carson SchwesingerLB · Browns+10000bet3651.0%eveneven
29Jared VerseDE · Browns+10000bet3651.0%even+135%
30Byron YoungLB · Rams+10000BetMGM1.0%+33%–
31Jessie BatesS · Jaguars+10000bet3651.0%––
32Derek StingleyCB · Texans+10000bet3651.0%even+100%
33Christian GonzalezCB · Patriots+10000bet3651.0%+14%+71%
34Trent McDuffieCB · Rams+10000bet3651.0%even+29%
35Nick EmmanworiS · Seahawks+10000bet3651.0%+7%+28%
36Arvell ReeseLB · Giants+10000bet3651.0%––
37Chris JonesDT · Chiefs+12500FanDuel0.8%eveneven
38Montez SweatDE · Bears+15000BetMGM0.7%even-27%
39Roquan SmithLB · Ravens+15000BetMGM0.7%+25%+33%
40Bradley ChubbLB · Bills+15000BetMGM0.7%even+11%
41Cooper DeJeanCB · Eagles+15000BetMGM0.7%even+52%
42Kamari LassiterCB · Texans+15000BetMGM0.7%+25%+38%
43DeMarcus LawrenceLB · Seahawks+15000BetMGM0.7%–-9%
44Zach AllenDE · Broncos+15000bet3650.7%even+50%
45Talanoa HufangaS · Broncos+15000bet3650.7%even+50%
46Laiatu LatuDE · Colts+15000BetMGM0.7%even+104%
47Boye MafeDE · Bengals+15000DraftKings0.7%–even
48Jevon HollandS · Giants+15000DraftKings0.7%––
49Travon WalkerDE · Jaguars+15000DraftKings0.7%-10%-17%
50Antoine WinfieldS · Buccaneers+15000bet3650.7%––
51Derwin JamesS · Chargers+20000DraftKings0.5%-17%+50%
52Xavier McKinneyS · Packers+20000DraftKings0.5%even+50%
53Nick BosaDE · 49ers+20000DraftKings0.5%-14%+567%
54Ed OliverDT · Bills+20000DraftKings0.5%+11%even
55Milton WilliamsDT · Patriots+20000DraftKings0.5%-20%+25%
56Myles GarrettDE · Rams+20000DraftKings0.5%-33%+233%
57Tuli TuipulotuLB · Chargers+20000DraftKings0.5%-29%+50%
58Aaron DonaldDT · Rams+20000DraftKings0.5%–even
59Kayvon ThibodeauxLB · Giants+20000bet3650.5%––
60Sauce GardnerCB · Colts+20000DraftKings0.5%+20%+114%
61Jalen PitreS · Texans+20000DraftKings0.5%-33%–
62Jonathan GreenardLB · Eagles+25000BetMGM0.4%-20%-20%
63Will McDonaldDE · Jets+25000BetMGM0.4%eveneven
64Quinnen WilliamsDT · Cowboys+25000BetMGM0.4%even+56%
65George KarlaftisDE · Chiefs+25000BetMGM0.4%even+100%
66Josh SweatLB · Cardinals+25000BetMGM0.4%eveneven
67Zack BaunLB · Eagles+25000bet3650.4%even–
68Micah ParsonsDE · Packers+25000BetMGM0.4%even+181%
69Odafe OwehLB · Commanders+25000bet3650.4%even+67%
70Ernest JonesLB · Seahawks+25000bet3650.4%even+67%
71D.J. ReedCB · Lions+30000bet3650.3%––
72Julian LoveS · Seahawks+30000bet3650.3%––
73Rueben BainLB · Buccaneers+30000bet3650.3%––
74Vita VeaDT · Buccaneers+40000bet3650.2%––
Only one book still prices these
75Alex SingletonLB · Broncos+10000DraftKings1.0%––
76DeForest BucknerDT · 49ers+10000FanDuel1.0%––
77Amani HookerS · Titans+10000DraftKings1.0%––
78Brian BranchS · Lions+15000BetMGM0.7%––
79Rashan GaryLB · Cowboys+15000BetMGM0.7%––
80Kyler GordonCB · Bears+15000DraftKings0.7%––
81Blake CashmanLB · Vikings+25000DraftKings0.4%––
82Kobie TurnerDE · Rams+25000DraftKings0.4%––
83Kevin ByardS · Patriots+25000BetMGM0.4%––
84Khalil MackLB · Chargers+25000DraftKings0.4%––
85Sonny StylesLB · Commanders+30000DraftKings0.3%––
86Mansoor DelaneCB · Chiefs+30000DraftKings0.3%––
87Minkah FitzpatrickS · Jets+30000DraftKings0.3%––
88Jalen RamseyCB · Steelers+30000DraftKings0.3%––
89Nick BoltonLB · Chiefs+30000DraftKings0.3%––
90Chop RobinsonLB · Dolphins+30000DraftKings0.3%––

Best price is the longest number we found across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel. Implied probability strips nothing out; the whole board adds to more than 100% and that gap is the books’ margin. Movement is the change in what a winning dollar pays, so a move means the same thing at the top of the board and at the bottom; green means the price shortened. It reads across the books quoting a player both then and now, and a row too thinly quoted to compare shows a dash rather than a number. Since start runs from the first day we have every book’s price, which is not the market’s opening line.

Sacks and Strips Beat Tape Study Every Time

This award has a long habit of going to whoever piles up sacks and forces turnovers, not whoever grades out best on film. Pass rushers own the history of this trophy for a reason. Voters gravitate toward the box score they can see, not the assignment-sound reps buried in coverage.

That bias should shape how you bet the board. A player racking up sacks and takeaways, even on a defense that isn’t dominant overall, holds more value than a lockdown corner or a stout run defender who never shows up in the highlight column. When you’re deciding between two similarly priced names, lean toward the one piling up the countable stats. Voters reward production you can point to, and the number usually follows that same logic before the season ever settles.

Cashing In Before the Sack Totals Pile Up

The best price on this market shows up before anyone has separated from the pack. Once a player starts stacking sacks or takeaways in bunches, the number tightens fast and the value dries up. Betting early, while the field is still bunched and the box scores are thin, is where the discount lives.

That early position also sets up a hedge later. If your pick opens a gap on the field as the sack and takeaway totals roll in, the shortened price lets you trade out for guaranteed profit or lock in partial value on the other side. Wait too long and you’re buying in at a number that’s already priced for the stats everyone can see, which strips out most of the edge that made the bet worth making in the first place.

Splash Plays Swing This Number, Not Tackle Counts

Tackle totals barely move this market. What actually shifts the price is the stuff that shows up in a highlight package: sacks, forced fumbles, and interceptions. A quiet stretch without a strip-sack or a pick-six can stall a favorite’s price just as fast as a hot streak can shorten it.

Danielle Hunter is the clearest example of that right now, having drifted by 114% to sit at +7500. That kind of swing almost always traces back to a run of splash plays or a dry spell, not a change in how a defender is playing overall. Keep an eye on box-score production week to week, since that’s the signal the number actually reacts to, far more than any analytics grade or coach’s praise.

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