The NFL season still has its defensive storyline unwritten, but the top of the board already tells you where the smart money leans. Myles Garrett sits at +450 at DraftKings, good for 18.2% implied, with Will Anderson at +600 and Aidan Hutchinson at +800 chasing close behind. I pull this from 133 players priced across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, 4 sportsbooks in all, with the board refreshed as of September 10, 2026.

The spread from the top names down to the field is where the real work happens. Down near the bottom, Foyesade Oluokun sits at +50000, a price that only cashes if the stat sheet gets strange in a hurry. That gap between the favorites and the rest is exactly why shopping the number across books matters before you lock anything in.

2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award Odds

Updated Thursday, September 24 · best price across 4 booksbet365BetMGMDraftKingsCaesars
Favorite#1
Will Anderson
+50016.7% implied · bet365
7d –open +31%
Second favorite#2
Aidan Hutchinson
+55015.4% implied · DraftKings
7d –open +9%
Third favorite#3
T.J. Watt
+60014.3% implied · bet365
7d –open -36%
#PlayerBest priceBookImplied7 daysSince start
1Will Anderson+500bet36516.7%–+31%
2Aidan Hutchinson+550DraftKings15.4%–+9%
3T.J. Watt+600bet36514.3%–-36%
4Maxx Crosby+1400bet3656.7%–-4%
5Dallas Turner+1800BetMGM5.3%–-68%
6Nik Bonitto+2000DraftKings4.8%–+33%
7Nick Bosa+2500bet3653.8%–+4%
8Fred Warner+2500BetMGM3.8%–-6%
9Abdul Carter+3000BetMGM3.2%–-3%
10Trey Hendrickson+3000DraftKings3.2%–even
11Danielle Hunter+3000DraftKings3.2%–+12%
12Greg Rousseau+3500BetMGM2.8%–-12%
Show all 132 playersShow fewer
13Jalen Carter+3500bet3652.8%–+32%
14Josh Hines-Allen+5000Caesars2.0%–even
15Myles Garrett+5000bet3652.0%–+11%
16Devin Lloyd+5000BetMGM2.0%–-50%
17Christian Gonzalez+6600BetMGM1.5%–+5%
18Derek Stingley+6600BetMGM1.5%–+20%
19Jared Verse+6600BetMGM1.5%–+41%
20Devon Witherspoon+6600BetMGM1.5%–+10%
21Quinyon Mitchell+6600BetMGM1.5%–+21%
22Kyle Hamilton+6600BetMGM1.5%–+18%
23Pat Surtain+6600BetMGM1.5%–+14%
24Nick Emmanwori+7500bet3651.3%–even
25Aaron Donald+7500DraftKings1.3%–+31%
26Trent McDuffie+8000BetMGM1.2%–-3%
27Cooper DeJean+8000bet3651.2%–+12%
28Laiatu Latu+8000BetMGM1.2%–+7%
29Roquan Smith+8000BetMGM1.2%–-7%
30Andrew Van Ginkel+8000BetMGM1.2%–-33%
31Micah Parsons+8000bet3651.2%–even
32Jeffery Simmons+10000BetMGM1.0%–-20%
33Dexter Lawrence+10000BetMGM1.0%–-25%
34Chris Jones+10000bet3651.0%–even
35Chase Young+10000BetMGM1.0%–-29%
36Jonathan Greenard+10000BetMGM1.0%–even
37Jaelan Phillips+10000BetMGM1.0%–even
38Quinnen Williams+10000BetMGM1.0%–+13%
39Kamari Lassiter+10000bet3651.0%–even
40Jaycee Horn+10000DraftKings1.0%–+6%
41Carson Schwesinger+10000bet3651.0%–even
42Sauce Gardner+10000DraftKings1.0%–+11%
43Brian Burns+10000DraftKings1.0%–+81%
44Tuli Tuipulotu+10000BetMGM1.0%–even
45Alex Highsmith+12500BetMGM0.8%–+6%
46Boye Mafe+12500Caesars0.8%––
47Will McDonald+12500Caesars0.8%–even
48Byron Young+15000BetMGM0.7%––
49Travis Hunter+15000BetMGM0.7%–-33%
50Milton Williams+15000BetMGM0.7%–even
51Zach Allen+15000bet3650.7%–+25%
52Leonard Williams+15000BetMGM0.7%–even
53Montez Sweat+15000BetMGM0.7%–-9%
54Antoine Winfield+15000Caesars0.7%––
55Travon Walker+15000DraftKings0.7%–-17%
56Byron Murphy+15000DraftKings0.7%–+25%
57Derwin James+15000DraftKings0.7%–+25%
58Odafe Oweh+15000bet3650.7%–even
59Brian Branch+15000DraftKings0.7%–even
60K’Lavon Chaisson+15000bet3650.7%–even
61Ernest Jones+15000bet3650.7%–even
62Arvell Reese+15000bet3650.7%–even
63Ed Oliver+15000BetMGM0.7%–-8%
64Rueben Bain+17500Caesars0.6%–even
65Zack Baun+20000BetMGM0.5%–+50%
66George Karlaftis+20000BetMGM0.5%–+20%
67Jack Campbell+20000Caesars0.5%––
68DeMarcus Lawrence+20000BetMGM0.5%–-25%
69Xavier McKinney+20000DraftKings0.5%–+13%
70Kayvon Thibodeaux+20000DraftKings0.5%–even
71Kerby Joseph+25000BetMGM0.4%–even
72Josh Sweat+25000bet3650.4%–even
73Jalen Pitre+25000BetMGM0.4%–even
74Chop Robinson+25000DraftKings0.4%––
75Devin Bush+25000DraftKings0.4%––
76Khalil Mack+25000DraftKings0.4%––
77Bradley Chubb+30000bet3650.3%–+33%
78Rashan Gary+30000bet3650.3%–+20%
79Budda Baker+30000bet3650.3%–even
80Talanoa Hufanga+30000bet3650.3%–+50%
81Kevin Byard+30000bet3650.3%–even
82Deone Walker+30000bet3650.3%––
83Julian Love+30000DraftKings0.3%––
84Tre’von Moehrig+30000bet3650.3%–+20%
85Von Miller+30000DraftKings0.3%––
86Sonny Styles+30000DraftKings0.3%––
87T.J. Edwards+35000bet3650.3%––
88Harold Landry+35000bet3650.3%–even
89Vita Vea+35000bet3650.3%––
90D.J. Reed+35000bet3650.3%––
91Mike Sainristil+40000bet3650.2%––
92Zaire Franklin+40000bet3650.2%––
93Mike Green+40000bet3650.2%––
94Robert Spillane+40000bet3650.2%––
Only one book still prices these
95Lukas Van Ness+10000DraftKings1.0%––
96Jihaad Campbell+10000bet3651.0%––
97Jaylon Johnson+12500bet3650.8%––
98Jessie Bates+12500bet3650.8%––
99Daiyan Henley+12500bet3650.8%––
100David Bailey+12500Caesars0.8%––
101Nate Wiggins+15000bet3650.7%––
102Al-Quadin Muhammad+17500Caesars0.6%––
103Jadeveon Clowney+20000Caesars0.5%––
104Cameron Jordan+20000Caesars0.5%––
105Blake Cashman+25000DraftKings0.4%––
106Christian Benford+25000DraftKings0.4%––
107Kobie Turner+25000DraftKings0.4%––
108Patrick Queen+25000DraftKings0.4%––
109Jonathon Cooper+25000BetMGM0.4%––
110Nick Bolton+25000DraftKings0.4%––
111Minkah Fitzpatrick+25000DraftKings0.4%––
112Jalen Ramsey+30000DraftKings0.3%––
113Jalyx Hunt+30000DraftKings0.3%––
114Mansoor Delane+30000DraftKings0.3%––
115Charvarius Ward+30000DraftKings0.3%––
116Trevon Diggs+30000DraftKings0.3%––
117Derrick Brown+30000bet3650.3%––
118Caleb Downs+30000DraftKings0.3%––
119Arik Armstead+30000DraftKings0.3%––
120Walter Nolen+30000bet3650.3%––
121Josh Jobe+30000DraftKings0.3%––
122Akheem Mesidor+30000DraftKings0.3%––
123Edgerrin Cooper+40000bet3650.2%––
124Braden Fiske+40000bet3650.2%––
125Mason Graham+50000bet3650.2%––
126Dre Greenlaw+50000bet3650.2%––
127C.J. Gardner-Johnson+50000bet3650.2%––
128Shemar Stewart+50000bet3650.2%––
129Tyree Wilson+50000bet3650.2%––
130Foyesade Oluokun+50000bet3650.2%––
131Marlon Humphrey+50000bet3650.2%––
132Kool-Aid McKinstry+50000bet3650.2%––

Best price is the longest number we found across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars. Implied probability strips nothing out; the whole board adds to more than 100% and that gap is the books’ margin. Movement is the change in what a winning dollar pays, so a move means the same thing at the top of the board and at the bottom; green means the price shortened. It reads across the books quoting a player both then and now, and a row too thinly quoted to compare shows a dash rather than a number. Since start runs from the first day we have every book’s price, which is not the market’s opening line.

Sacks and Strips Beat Tape Study Every Time

This award has a long habit of going to whoever piles up sacks and forces turnovers, not whoever grades out best on film. Pass rushers own the history of this trophy for a reason. Voters gravitate toward the box score they can see, not the assignment-sound reps buried in coverage.

That bias should shape how you bet the board. A player racking up sacks and takeaways, even on a defense that isn’t dominant overall, holds more value than a lockdown corner or a stout run defender who never shows up in the highlight column. When you’re deciding between two similarly priced names, lean toward the one piling up the countable stats. Voters reward production you can point to, and the number usually follows that same logic before the season ever settles.

Cashing In Before the Sack Totals Pile Up

The best price on this market shows up before anyone has separated from the pack. Once a player starts stacking sacks or takeaways in bunches, the number tightens fast and the value dries up. Betting early, while the field is still bunched and the box scores are thin, is where the discount lives.

That early position also sets up a hedge later. If your pick opens a gap on the field as the sack and takeaway totals roll in, the shortened price lets you trade out for guaranteed profit or lock in partial value on the other side. Wait too long and you’re buying in at a number that’s already priced for the stats everyone can see, which strips out most of the edge that made the bet worth making in the first place.

Splash Plays Swing This Number, Not Tackle Counts

Tackle totals barely move this market. What actually shifts the price is the stuff that shows up in a highlight package: sacks, forced fumbles, and interceptions. A quiet stretch without a strip-sack or a pick-six can stall a favorite’s price just as fast as a hot streak can shorten it.

That kind of swing almost always traces back to a run of splash plays or a dry spell, not a change in how a defender is playing overall. Keep an eye on box-score production week to week, since that’s the signal the number actually reacts to, far more than any analytics grade or coach’s praise.

Get Jimmy's picks for free!

You'll get free picks via email, plus access to exclusive discounts!

We won't spam you - ever. No obligation. You can unsubscribe at any time.

×

Subscribe to Jimmy Boyd's Free Picks

The best free picks delivered to your email every single day!