Jimmy Boyd in Picture a ticket on a longshot back who doubles his carries midseason, and this market reprices him overnight while MVP boards barely blink. That gap exists because this award is a stats award dressed up as a trophy. Quarterbacks pull almost all the attention toward MVP, so this board fills with backs and receivers chasing touches instead of headlines.
The price you see on Jahmyr Gibbs isn’t really a bet on talent. It’s a bet that his workload holds up for the whole season, since touch volume is what actually separates names on this board. A receiver sharing targets three ways can finish with better highlights than a bellcow back and still lose this market on volume alone.
2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds
| # | Player | Best price | Book | Implied | 7 days | Since start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr GibbsRB · Lions | +190 | FanDuel | 34.5% | -40% | -65% |
| 2 | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · Seahawks | +260 | DraftKings | 27.8% | -29% | -86% |
| 3 | Kenneth WalkerRB · Chiefs | +750 | FanDuel | 11.8% | +100% | -45% |
| 4 | Bijan RobinsonRB · Falcons | +1100 | BetMGM | 8.3% | +54% | +11% |
| 5 | Josh AllenQB · Bills | +2800 | BetMGM | 3.4% | -11% | -50% |
| 6 | Puka NacuaWR · Rams | +3000 | BetMGM | 3.2% | -12% | +57% |
| 7 | Malik NabersWR · Giants | +4000 | BetMGM | 2.4% | -6% | -18% |
| 8 | Ja’Marr ChaseWR · Bengals | +4000 | BetMGM | 2.4% | -12% | +133% |
| 9 | Brock BowersTE · Raiders | +4000 | BetMGM | 2.4% | -12% | -53% |
| 10 | CeeDee LambWR · Cowboys | +4500 | Caesars | 2.2% | +21% | +43% |
| 11 | Christian McCaffreyRB · 49ers | +5000 | BetMGM | 2.0% | +11% | +100% |
| 12 | Jonathan TaylorRB · Colts | +6600 | BetMGM | 1.5% | +25% | +150% |
Show all 83 playersShow fewer
| 13 | Tee HigginsWR · Bengals | +6600 | BetMGM | 1.5% | -36% | -70% |
| 14 | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · Lions | +6600 | BetMGM | 1.5% | +25% | +127% |
| 15 | Christian WatsonWR · Packers | +6600 | BetMGM | 1.5% | +10% | -8% |
| 16 | Trey McBrideTE · Cardinals | +6600 | BetMGM | 1.5% | even | -8% |
| 17 | Caleb WilliamsQB · Bears | +7500 | FanDuel | 1.3% | – | – |
| 18 | James CookRB · Bills | +8000 | Caesars | 1.2% | +65% | +100% |
| 19 | Parker WashingtonWR · Jaguars | +8000 | FanDuel | 1.2% | +44% | -37% |
| 20 | Jaylen WarrenRB · Steelers | +8000 | BetMGM | 1.2% | -50% | -70% |
| 21 | Chris OlaveWR · Saints | +8000 | BetMGM | 1.2% | +36% | +88% |
| 22 | Derrick HenryRB · Ravens | +10000 | BetMGM | 1.0% | +67% | +436% |
| 23 | Tetairoa McMillanWR · Panthers | +10000 | BetMGM | 1.0% | +73% | +27% |
| 24 | Javonte WilliamsRB · Cowboys | +10000 | BetMGM | 1.0% | +29% | -10% |
| 25 | Brock PurdyQB · 49ers | +10000 | bet365 | 1.0% | even | -33% |
| 26 | Drake MayeQB · Patriots | +10000 | bet365 | 1.0% | even | even |
| 27 | Bhayshul TutenRB · Jaguars | +10000 | BetMGM | 1.0% | – | – |
| 28 | Jameson WilliamsWR · Lions | +10000 | DraftKings | 1.0% | -18% | -45% |
| 29 | Justin JeffersonWR · Vikings | +10000 | bet365 | 1.0% | +33% | +567% |
| 30 | Garrett WilsonWR · Jets | +10000 | DraftKings | 1.0% | -15% | -24% |
| 31 | D’Andre SwiftRB · Bears | +12500 | BetMGM | 0.8% | even | +14% |
| 32 | Nico CollinsWR · Texans | +12500 | BetMGM | 0.8% | even | +233% |
| 33 | Patrick MahomesQB · Chiefs | +12500 | BetMGM | 0.8% | even | +25% |
| 34 | Drake LondonWR · Falcons | +12500 | BetMGM | 0.8% | +33% | +43% |
| 35 | Matthew GoldenWR · Packers | +12500 | BetMGM | 0.8% | even | -58% |
| 36 | Bucky IrvingRB · Buccaneers | +12500 | BetMGM | 0.8% | -20% | +25% |
| 37 | Zay FlowersWR · Ravens | +12500 | BetMGM | 0.8% | +150% | +100% |
| 38 | Josh JacobsRB · Packers | +12500 | bet365 | 0.8% | – | – |
| 39 | Luther BurdenWR · Bears | +15000 | BetMGM | 0.7% | +11% | even |
| 40 | Joe BurrowQB · Bengals | +15000 | DraftKings | 0.7% | -33% | even |
| 41 | Trevor LawrenceQB · Jaguars | +20000 | FanDuel | 0.5% | even | even |
| 42 | Jayden DanielsQB · Commanders | +20000 | bet365 | 0.5% | even | – |
| 43 | Chase BrownRB · Bengals | +20000 | bet365 | 0.5% | even | +100% |
| 44 | Chuba HubbardRB · Panthers | +22500 | Caesars | 0.4% | -17% | -10% |
| 45 | George PickensWR · Cowboys | +25000 | BetMGM | 0.4% | +100% | +300% |
| 46 | Jordan LoveQB · Packers | +25000 | BetMGM | 0.4% | even | -12% |
| 47 | C.J. StroudQB · Texans | +25000 | bet365 | 0.4% | even | +67% |
| 48 | Kyler MurrayQB · Vikings | +25000 | bet365 | 0.4% | even | even |
| 49 | Colston LovelandTE · Bears | +25000 | DraftKings | 0.4% | -20% | +33% |
| 50 | Saquon BarkleyRB · Eagles | +30000 | bet365 | 0.3% | even | +900% |
| 51 | Tyler ShoughQB · Saints | +30000 | bet365 | 0.3% | – | – |
| 52 | Ladd McConkeyWR · Chargers | +30000 | bet365 | 0.3% | even | +200% |
| 53 | Bo NixQB · Broncos | +30000 | BetMGM | 0.3% | even | +100% |
| 54 | Jared GoffQB · Lions | +30000 | bet365 | 0.3% | even | +50% |
| 55 | Quinshon JudkinsRB · Browns | +40000 | bet365 | 0.2% | – | – |
| 56 | Woody MarksRB · Texans | +40000 | bet365 | 0.2% | – | – |
| 57 | Jaylen WaddleWR · Broncos | +40000 | DraftKings | 0.2% | -30% | +108% |
| 58 | Kyren WilliamsRB · Rams | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | +50% | +88% |
| 59 | Bryce YoungQB · Panthers | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | – | – |
| 60 | Dak PrescottQB · Cowboys | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | +33% | +67% |
| 61 | Matthew StaffordQB · Rams | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | even | +69% |
| 62 | Ashton JeantyRB · Raiders | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | +233% | +1329% |
| 63 | Rome OdunzeWR · Bears | +50000 | DraftKings | 0.2% | even | +50% |
| 64 | Sam LaPortaTE · Lions | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | – | – |
| 65 | Travis KelceTE · Chiefs | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | – | – |
| 66 | Jeremiyah LoveRB · Cardinals | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | even | +400% |
| 67 | DeVonta SmithWR · Eagles | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | – | – |
| 68 | Carnell TateWR · Titans | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | – | – |
| 69 | Mike EvansWR · 49ers | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | +100% | +300% |
| 70 | Rashee RiceWR · Chiefs | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | – | – |
| 71 | Stefon DiggsWR · Commanders | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | even | +67% |
| 72 | Sam DarnoldQB · Seahawks | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | – | – |
| Only one book still prices these | ||||||
| 73 | Travis EtienneRB · Saints | +10000 | BetMGM | 1.0% | – | – |
| 74 | George KittleTE · 49ers | +10000 | FanDuel | 1.0% | – | – |
| 75 | Tony PollardRB · Titans | +10000 | FanDuel | 1.0% | – | – |
| 76 | DJ MooreWR · Bills | +15000 | BetMGM | 0.7% | – | – |
| 77 | A.J. BrownWR · Patriots | +20000 | BetMGM | 0.5% | – | – |
| 78 | Kyle MonangaiRB · Bears | +20000 | Caesars | 0.5% | – | – |
| 79 | Rhamondre StevensonRB · Patriots | +20000 | FanDuel | 0.5% | – | – |
| 80 | Malik WillisQB · Dolphins | +50000 | DraftKings | 0.2% | – | – |
| 81 | Michael PittmanWR · Steelers | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | – | – |
| 82 | Romeo DoubsWR · Patriots | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | – | – |
| 83 | Cam SkatteboRB · Giants | +50000 | DraftKings | 0.2% | – | – |
Best price is the longest number we found across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel. Implied probability strips nothing out; the whole board adds to more than 100% and that gap is the books’ margin. Movement is the change in what a winning dollar pays, so a move means the same thing at the top of the board and at the bottom; green means the price shortened. It reads across the books quoting a player both then and now, and a row too thinly quoted to compare shows a dash rather than a number. Since start runs from the first day we have every book’s price, which is not the market’s opening line.
A Workload Market Wearing a Trophy’s Name
This award rarely goes to a quarterback, and that’s by design of the market more than the voters. MVP soaks up passers, which leaves Offensive Player of the Year to whichever back or receiver is piling up the most work. When I scan the board, I skip past arm talent and look straight at role: is this player the clear first option in his offense, or is he fighting a committee for touches.
That’s the whole handicap. A bellcow back in a run-heavy offense is a safer price than a big-name receiver who still splits snaps with two other targets. Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Kenneth Walker often sit close in price for exactly this reason, their workloads are similar even if their name recognition isn’t. Betting this market on reputation instead of touch share is the fastest way to misread the board.
Before the Depth Chart Locks the Price
The best value here usually shows up before a backfield or receiver room has settled into a clear pecking order. A name like Cam Skattebo at +50000 only has a path if his touches are already trending up before the rest of the market notices. Once every book has priced in a workload that’s obvious to anyone watching the snap counts, that value is gone and you’re just paying for confirmation.
Because this market moves on role rather than box scores, a position here sets up a natural hedge. If you backed one player early and a teammate or rival starts eating into his touches, you can book a second ticket on the new workload leader at a fresh number. The original bet doesn’t need to lose for the hedge to make sense, it just needs the usage picture to shift.
Usage, Not Highlights, Resets This Price
Highlight catches and long touchdown runs barely move this market. What moves it is usage, a bigger snap share, a change at the goal line, or an injury to a teammate that funnels more carries or targets to the player still standing. Ashton Jeanty has drifted to +50000, a swing of 233% points, and moves like that almost always trace back to a workload change rather than a single big play.
That’s why I check bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel before locking in a number. One book can be slower to react to a usage shift than another, and that lag is where the value sits. Shopping the price across all of them costs nothing and it’s the simplest way to make sure a touch-driven market doesn’t quietly cost you a few points of value.
