Regular season handicapping and Super Bowl handicapping are not two peas in the same pod. The Super Bowl is the main event on the betting calendar. With that comes it’s own exclusive set of betting guidelines. What makes the Super Bowl so different?
Both teams are playing coming off a two-week break. Teams on a bye week during the regular season have an advantage, but that’s normally because they are playing a team on less rest. Here both teams are evenly matched, meaning fatigue won’t be an issue.
Longer halftimes also reduce fatigue from the first half to the second. If a defense was on the field for long periods of time in the first half, normally that would give them a disadvantage in the second. With the longer break they won’t be as tired.
There is no giving up or players saving themselves in this game. This is it for the season so don’t expect either squad to leave anything on the table.
NFL games are rarely played on neutral fields, the games in London are an exception. Plus these games are almost always played in perfect conditions, either in domes or in warm weather cities.
Both Teams Are Hot
To get to the Super Bowl you have to win at least two straight games against quality teams, sometimes three. That means both teams are somewhat hot coming into this game and playing good enough football to beat above average teams.
Divisional games are the easiest to handicap. They are the best games for teasing since they are normally close to the point spread and hard fought. Non-conference games are the opposite. These teams don’t face each other as often and they don’t have a lot of common opponents. This creates a lot more unknowns.
One thing I do like about these games is they get reffed by the best in the business. These eliminates a variable from the equation as you will have less mistakes on penalties called.
So with those factors considered how do we go about handicapping the big game? Here are a few tips to remember:
Know the Odds
Beware of the Hook
Remember the Spread
I recommend sticking to the same money management system you have been using all year. Because the Super Bowl is the only game on board and oddsmakers have had plenty of time to look at it, the lines set for it are often very tight.
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