Jimmy Boyd in 
Liberty carries the widest gap on the board, moving from 4 wins last season to a total of 8.5 this time around. A swing like that prices in real optimism, new pieces on the roster, a favorable slate, or oddsmakers betting on regression toward a program’s real ceiling. Numbers like this show where a book has done its homework, or hasn’t.
I built this page off lines from 5 books, last updated September 8, 2026, so the number you’re looking at reflects the market right now. Every FBS team is listed here with the best over price and the best under price available, side by side with what that team won a season ago. Shop before you bet. The difference between books adds up over 12 games.
2026 College football Win Totals
Updated Tuesday, September 15 · records through Tuesday, September 15 · lines closed Tuesday, September 8DraftKingsFanDuelBetRiversBetMGMCaesars
Highest totalTexas Tech 11.511 wins last season
Biggest jumpLiberty +4.54 wins to a 8.5 total
Biggest dropNorth Texas -5.511 wins to a 5.5 total
Right now84 of 137 on over pacenothing decided yet
| Team | Total | Over · Under | Last season | Record | Pace | Where it stands |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 11.5 | o +148 FanDuelu -184 FanDuel | 11 +0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 10 of 10 left |
| Georgia Bulldogs | 10.5 | o +130 DraftKingsu -148 FanDuel | 11 -0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 9 of 10 left |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 10.5 | o +105 DraftKingsu -104 FanDuel | 12 -1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 9 of 10 left |
| Miami (FL) Hurricanes | 10.5 | o -180 DraftKingsu +150 DraftKings | 10 +0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 9 of 10 left |
| Oregon Ducks | 10.5 | o +125 BetRiversu -140 BetMGM | 11 -0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 10 of 10 left |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 9.5 | o -178 FanDuelu +150 BetMGM | 12 -2.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 9 of 10 left |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 9.5 | o +110 BetRiversu -118 FanDuel | 6 +3.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 8 of 10 left |
| Texas Longhorns | 9.5 | o +122 FanDuelu -136 BetRivers | 9 +0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 8 of 10 left |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 8.5 | o -115 FanDuelu +105 BetMGM | 10 -1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Boise State Broncos | 8.5 | o +144 DraftKingsu -125 BetRivers | 8 +0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 8 of 10 left |
| BYU Cougars | 8.5 | o -150 DraftKingsu +140 FanDuel | 11 -2.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Houston Cougars | 8.5 | o +120 FanDuelu -136 DraftKings | 9 -0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 10 left |
| James Madison Dukes | 8.5 | o -137 BetRiversu +140 FanDuel | 11 -2.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 8.5 | o -105 DraftKingsu -110 BetMGM | 6 +2.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Liberty Flames | 8.5 | o +112 FanDuelu -125 BetMGM | 4 +4.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 8 of 10 left |
| Louisville Cardinals | 8.5 | o +125 BetMGMu -150 BetMGM | 8 +0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 8 of 10 left |
Show all 137 teamsShow fewer
| LSU Tigers | 8.5 | o -115 BetRiversu +134 DraftKings | 7 +1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 10 left |
| North Dakota State Bison | 8.5 | o -145 Caesarsu +123 BetRivers | – | 3-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 9 left |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 8.5 | o +140 DraftKingsu -125 BetMGM | 10 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 8 of 10 left |
| SMU Mustangs | 8.5 | o -136 DraftKingsu +138 BetRivers | 8 +0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 10 left |
| South Florida Bulls | 8.5 | o +118 FanDuelu -130 DraftKings | 9 -0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 8.5 | o +126 FanDuelu -136 DraftKings | 11 -2.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 10 left |
| USC Trojans | 8.5 | o +100 DraftKingsu -110 FanDuel | 9 -0.5 | 3-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 9 left |
| Utah Utes | 8.5 | o -144 FanDuelu +120 BetMGM | 10 -1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8.5 | o +115 BetMGMu -110 FanDuel | 10 -1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Air Force Falcons | 7.5 | o +130 DraftKingsu -127 BetRivers | 4 +3.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Arizona Wildcats | 7.5 | o +110 FanDuelu -120 DraftKings | 9 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Army Black Knights | 7.5 | o -120 BetRiversu +110 FanDuel | 6 +1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Clemson Tigers | 7.5 | o +145 BetMGMu -160 DraftKings | 7 +0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| East Carolina Pirates | 7.5 | o +135 BetMGMu -128 FanDuel | 8 -0.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 8 of 10 left |
| Florida Gators | 7.5 | o +130 BetMGMu -154 FanDuel | 4 +3.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Hawai’i Warriors | 7.5 | o +140 BetMGMu -165 BetMGM | – | – | ||
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 7.5 | o -156 DraftKingsu +135 BetMGM | 8 -0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 7.5 | o +140 DraftKingsu -121 BetRivers | 8 -0.5 | 1-2 | 4 | Under paceneeds 7 of 9 left |
| Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns | 7.5 | o +105 DraftKingsu -110 FanDuel | 6 +1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 7.5 | o +115 DraftKingsu -115 BetMGM | 5 +2.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Memphis Tigers | 7.5 | o -105 BetMGMu -115 BetMGM | 8 -0.5 | 2-1 | 8 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 9 left |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 7.5 | o +134 DraftKingsu -125 BetMGM | 7 +0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Michigan Wolverines | 7.5 | o +140 FanDuelu -146 DraftKings | 9 -1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Navy Midshipmen | 7.5 | o -160 BetMGMu +140 BetRivers | 10 -2.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| New Mexico Lobos | 7.5 | o -180 DraftKingsu +150 DraftKings | 9 -1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 7.5 | o +110 DraftKingsu +100 BetMGM | 9 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Ole Miss Rebels | 7.5 | o -166 DraftKingsu +135 BetRivers | 11 -3.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 7.5 | o -148 FanDuelu +150 BetMGM | 8 -0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 10 left |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 7.5 | o +130 DraftKingsu -134 FanDuel | 9 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Tennessee Volunteers | 7.5 | o -125 BetRiversu +120 BetMGM | 8 -0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Toledo Rockets | 7.5 | o +105 DraftKingsu +115 BetRivers | 8 -0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| UNLV Rebels | 7.5 | o -150 DraftKingsu +135 BetRivers | 10 -2.5 | 1-2 | 4 | Under paceneeds 7 of 9 left |
| UTSA Roadrunners | 7.5 | o -128 FanDuelu +120 BetMGM | 6 +1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 7.5 | o +134 DraftKingsu -124 FanDuel | 3 +4.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Washington Huskies | 7.5 | o -160 FanDuelu +140 BetRivers | 8 -0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Western Michigan Broncos | 7.5 | o +145 BetMGMu +144 DraftKings | 8 -0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 6.5 | o -128 FanDuelu +110 BetMGM | 8 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 6.5 | o +128 FanDuelu -139 BetRivers | 6 +0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Auburn Tigers | 6.5 | o -125 BetRiversu +118 FanDuel | 5 +1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Central Michigan Chippewas | 6.5 | o +140 DraftKingsu -135 BetMGM | 7 -0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Delaware Fightin Blue Hens | 6.5 | o +115 BetMGMu -128 FanDuel | – | – | ||
| Florida International Panthers | 6.5 | o +115 BetRiversu -124 FanDuel | 7 -0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 6.5 | o -104 FanDuelu +125 BetMGM | 8 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 6.5 | o -146 DraftKingsu +126 FanDuel | 8 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Kennesaw State Owls | 6.5 | o +100 BetMGMu +105 DraftKings | 9 -2.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers | 6.5 | o +122 FanDuelu -145 BetMGM | 7 -0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Missouri Tigers | 6.5 | o -104 FanDuelu +100 DraftKings | 8 -1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers | 6.5 | o +115 DraftKingsu -105 BetMGM | 7 -0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| North Carolina State Wolfpack | 6.5 | o -110 DraftKingsu -105 BetMGM | – | – | ||
| Ohio Bobcats | 6.5 | o -120 BetMGMu +105 BetRivers | 8 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| South Carolina Gamecocks | 6.5 | o +110 BetMGMu +100 DraftKings | 4 +2.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 6.5 | o +130 BetMGMu -130 DraftKings | 8 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Texas State Bobcats | 6.5 | o +120 DraftKingsu +112 FanDuel | 6 +0.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Troy Trojans | 6.5 | o -150 DraftKingsu +142 FanDuel | 8 -1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Tulane Green Wave | 6.5 | o +110 DraftKingsu -105 FanDuel | 10 -3.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| UCLA Bruins | 6.5 | o -143 BetRiversu +140 BetMGM | 3 +3.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 6.5 | o +110 FanDuelu +150 BetMGM | 8 -1.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 7 of 10 left |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 6.5 | o -120 BetMGMu +122 FanDuel | 4 +2.5 | 1-1 | 6 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Appalachian State Mountaineers | 5.5 | o -167 BetRiversu +145 BetMGM | 5 +0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Baylor Bears | 5.5 | o -136 DraftKingsu +115 DraftKings | 5 +0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Buffalo Bulls | 5.5 | o +138 FanDuelu +133 BetRivers | 5 +0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| California Golden Bears | 5.5 | o +105 BetMGMu -125 BetMGM | 7 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 5.5 | o -122 FanDuelu +105 BetMGM | 7 -1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Duke Blue Devils | 5.5 | o -182 BetRiversu +145 BetRivers | 7 -1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Eastern Michigan Eagles | 5.5 | o +120 DraftKingsu +135 BetMGM | 4 +1.5 | 1-2 | 4 | Under paceneeds 5 of 9 left |
| Florida Atlantic Owls | 5.5 | o -148 FanDuelu +135 BetMGM | 4 +1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Florida State Seminoles | 5.5 | o -105 BetMGMu +115 DraftKings | 5 +0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 5.5 | o +130 BetMGMu -155 BetMGM | 9 -3.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| Kansas Jayhawks | 5.5 | o -142 FanDuelu +125 DraftKings | 5 +0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 5.5 | o -148 BetRiversu +140 FanDuel | 7 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Maryland Terrapins | 5.5 | o +102 FanDuelu -120 BetMGM | 4 +1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 5.5 | o -110 DraftKingsu +110 FanDuel | 4 +1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| North Texas Mean Green | 5.5 | o -120 BetMGMu +116 FanDuel | 11 -5.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Northwestern Wildcats | 5.5 | o -110 BetRiversu +100 BetRivers | 6 -0.5 | 1-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 11 left |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 5.5 | o -115 BetMGMu +120 DraftKings | 4 +1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Temple Owls | 5.5 | o -106 BetRiversu +115 DraftKings | 5 +0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 5.5 | o -130 BetRiversu +115 BetMGM | 4 +1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| UCF Knights | 5.5 | o -155 BetRiversu +135 BetMGM | 5 +0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| UConn Huskies | 5.5 | o +120 BetMGMu -122 FanDuel | 9 -3.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 5.5 | o -104 FanDuelu +110 DraftKings | 10 -4.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 5.5 | o -134 FanDuelu +130 BetMGM | 8 -2.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Washington State Cougars | 5.5 | o +148 FanDuelu -130 BetMGM | 6 -0.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 6 of 10 left |
| West Virginia Mountaineers | 5.5 | o -125 DraftKingsu +120 BetRivers | 4 +1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Wyoming Cowboys | 5.5 | o +148 FanDuelu +115 BetMGM | 4 +1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Akron Zips | 4.5 | o +130 DraftKingsu -136 BetRivers | 5 -0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Bowling Green Falcons | 4.5 | o +128 FanDuelu +135 BetMGM | 4 +0.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 4.5 | o -135 BetMGMu +115 BetRivers | 6 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Colorado Buffaloes | 4.5 | o -150 FanDuelu +130 BetMGM | 3 +1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| Georgia Southern Eagles | 4.5 | o -158 FanDuelu +140 BetMGM | 6 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 4.5 | o -125 BetMGMu +116 FanDuel | 8 -3.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 4.5 | o -136 DraftKingsu +118 BetRivers | 5 -0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Michigan State Spartans | 4.5 | o +100 BetRiversu -105 DraftKings | 4 +0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 4.5 | o -144 FanDuelu +125 DraftKings | 5 -0.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 4.5 | o +105 BetRiversu -115 BetMGM | 3 +1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 4.5 | o +105 BetRiversu -102 FanDuel | 4 +0.5 | 1-2 | 4 | Under paceneeds 4 of 9 left |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys | 4.5 | o -110 DraftKingsu -105 BetMGM | 1 +3.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Oregon State Beavers | 4.5 | o +120 BetMGMu +114 FanDuel | 2 +2.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 5 of 10 left |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 4.5 | o +142 FanDuelu -120 BetMGM | 0 +4.5 | 1-2 | 4 | Under paceneeds 4 of 9 left |
| San Jose State Spartans | 4.5 | o -120 BetMGMu +100 BetMGM | – | – | ||
| Syracuse Orange | 4.5 | o -150 DraftKingsu +142 FanDuel | 3 +1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 3.5 | o -130 FanDuelu +134 DraftKings | 2 +1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| Ball State Cardinals | 3.5 | o -120 DraftKingsu +106 FanDuel | 4 -0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| Boston College Eagles | 3.5 | o +140 BetMGMu -125 DraftKings | 2 +1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| Colorado State Rams | 3.5 | o -152 BetRiversu +145 BetMGM | 2 +1.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 2 of 10 left |
| Georgia State Panthers | 3.5 | o -150 BetMGMu +130 FanDuel | 1 +2.5 | 2-0 | 12 | On pace for overneeds 2 of 10 left |
| Kent State Golden Flashes | 3.5 | o -105 DraftKingsu +100 BetMGM | 5 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 3.5 | o -125 DraftKingsu +125 BetMGM | 3 +0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| Missouri State Bears | 3.5 | o -144 FanDuelu +130 BetMGM | 7 -3.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| Northern Illinois Huskies | 3.5 | o +136 FanDuelu -156 DraftKings | 3 +0.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 4 of 10 left |
| Rice Owls | 3.5 | o -105 DraftKingsu -105 BetMGM | 5 -1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| Sam Houston State Bearkats | 3.5 | o +125 BetMGMu -115 DraftKings | – | – | ||
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 3.5 | o +100 BetRiversu +115 DraftKings | 7 -3.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| Stanford Cardinal | 3.5 | o -148 BetRiversu +130 DraftKings | 4 -0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| UAB Blazers | 3.5 | o -120 BetMGMu +100 BetMGM | 4 -0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| UL-Monroe Warhawks | 3.5 | o +132 FanDuelu -105 BetMGM | – | – | ||
| UTEP Miners | 3.5 | o +130 DraftKingsu -130 BetMGM | 2 +1.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 3 of 10 left |
| Charlotte 49ers | 2.5 | o +120 BetMGMu -145 BetMGM | 1 +1.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 3 of 10 left |
| Purdue Boilermakers | 2.5 | o -135 BetMGMu +125 DraftKings | 2 +0.5 | 1-1 | 6 | On pace for overneeds 2 of 10 left |
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 2.5 | o -150 BetMGMu +125 BetMGM | 5 -2.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 3 of 10 left |
| UMass Minutemen | 2.5 | o -182 BetRiversu +145 BetRivers | – | – | ||
| Utah State Aggies | 2.5 | o -115 FanDuelu -105 FanDuel | 6 -3.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 3 of 10 left |
The total is the number the books closed at; over and under show the best price on it. Pace is the team’s current rate stretched over 12 games. Green means on track for the over. College records count regular-season games only, no conference title games, bowls or playoffs.
The Schedule Is the Bet, Not Just the Roster
College football win totals aren’t like the pro version. A 12-game schedule means every team plays a mix of buy games, the light non-conference matchups athletic departments schedule to pad the record, and rivalry games where seeding, weather, and bad blood erase whatever the spreadsheet says. Schedule strength decides more of these totals than talent does.
Before I bet a number, I look at what’s actually on that team’s schedule. A total built on a soft slate is a different bet than the same number against a tougher run of conference games. Books put most of their research into the top of the board, teams like Texas Tech and Utah State. Mid-tier programs get a lot less attention, and that’s where a total can sit off where it should, if you’re willing to do the schedule work yourself.
The Price on Each Side Isn’t Boilerplate
The total isn’t the whole bet. The price attached to the over and the under moves with demand, and it can be the difference between a good number and one you should pass on. A team sitting at a big total might be plus money at one book and minus money at another, and that gap changes what you actually need to win the bet.
Shop the number across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, BetMGM, Caesars, because 5 books rarely agree past the half-game. A half-game here or a different price there compounds across a full season of bets. That kind of gap between books is real value sitting in plain sight for anyone who checks more than one source before placing a bet.
Reading the Jumps and the Drops
The number that should make you pause is the one with the biggest gap from a season ago. Liberty is being asked to jump from 4 wins to 8.5, and North Texas is projected to fall from 11 down to 5.5. Both are the book making a real claim about roster turnover, a new coaching staff, or a schedule that swings hard in one direction.
Those are the totals worth the most homework, not the least. A jump that big means the market expects real improvement, not just better luck. A drop that steep usually means the schedule got tougher, or the roster lost more than the record showed. Betting with the gap is betting on regression. Betting against it means you think the book overreacted to one season. Either way, know which side of that argument you’re on before you bet it.
