We are less than a two away from the 151st running of the Kentucky Derby. The 2025 “Run for the Roses” is set to take place on Saturday, May 3rd, at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky.
With the field officially set and post positions drawn, I’m ready to release my early win/place/show predictions.
The official morning line odds may be different, but these will still likely be my selections. If you aren’t familiar with the morning-line odds, be sure to check out our Kentucky Derby betting guide.
Can’t get to your local sportsbooks to place a bet on the race? You can also wager online. In fact, several sportsbooks release odds to win the race several weeks in advance.
Expert Handicapper Predictions for the 2025 Kentucky Derby
Win: Journalism (7-2)
The Santa Anita Derby winner enters with sharp form and the fastest prep speed figure in the field. He’s got tactical speed and draws a solid post, making him dangerous if he gets a clean trip. Top connections and a strong resume put Journalism in prime position to wear the roses.
Place: Sandman (6-1)
Sandman has steadily improved with each start and showed off a lethal closing kick in his Arkansas Derby victory. He may be flying late again. If the pace heats up early he could be the one passing horses down the stretch.
Show: Luxor Cafe (15-1)
This Japanese-bred colt is the wild card in the field. He’s won four straight and qualified with a decisive victory overseas. With a strong pedigree (sired by American Pharoah) and one of the world’s most respected jockeys in João Moreira aboard, don’t be shocked if he makes a big splash in his U.S. debut.
More Derby Information
