We go into each college football season trying to figure out what teams are title contenders. We also like to predict which players will be in the running for the Heisman Trophy. Trying to figure out which player is going to emerge is no easy task.
The obvious thing we do is focus on the top players coming back. Especially those who received attention for the award the previous season. While it makes sense, these players typically don’t end up winning. Why? The expectations are going to be even higher now that we have seen them play. More times than not, it’s the player who comes out of nowhere that steals our attention.
We also like to look for players in elite programs who will be taking on a bigger role due to a player departing. For example, whoever is the starting running back for Alabama is going to get attention. It doesn’t matter if it’s a player coming back or freshmen who has never seen the field.
Why do we focus on elite programs? That’s because there is a bias here when it comes to the voting. Players who put up big numbers on bad teams don’t get near the love as a players with similar or worse numbers on a national contender. Even if the player on the crap team is the best player in the country, chances are he won’t win.
Even when we know what players to lock in on, we just never really know. The unpredictability is what makes this award so great.
2019 Heisman Favorite, Front Runners & Latest Candidates to Win Trophy
I figured now was as good a time as any to update the odds to win the 2019 Heisman Trophy.
For those that need a refresher on last year, Oklahoma quarterback Kyler Murray won the award over Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa. It came just one season after Baker Mayfield won the award as the starting quarterback for Oklahoma. It marked the first time since the early 2000’s that we saw one school produce the Heisman winner in back-to-back year’s. USC accomplished that with Matt Leinart in 2004 and Reggie Bush in 2005.
Could the Sooners’ make it 3 straight? It’s definitely not out of the question. Lincoln Riley’s offense is built to make quarterbacks look great and Oklahoma landed Alabama transfer Jalen Hurts to be their new starter.
For Hurts to win, he will have to outperform the two overwhelming favorites in Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence and Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa.
Other serious contenders according to oddsmakers are Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields (+900), Nebraska quarterback Adrian Martinez (+1200), Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm (+1400), Wisconsin running back Johnathan Taylor (+1700), Georgia running back D’Andre Swift (+1700), Clemson running back Travis Etienne (+2000), Texas quarterback Sam Ehlinger (+2000), Oregon quarterback Justin Herbert (+2200) and Michigan quarterback Shea Patterson (+2600).
We will continue to update the odds throughout the offseason and then once a week when the season gets here, so be sure to check back often. You can also view the archive list to look back at all the previous checkpoints.
Heisman Predictions – Pick to Win
Winner: Trevor Lawrence (QB, Clemson) +260
If I’m going to make an early wager on this prop, I’m going to go with one of the obvious choices in Lawrence at Clemson. I just think this kid is special and will put up even better numbers in his sophomore season, especially when you take into consideration that he’s going to have at least two elite targets Tee Higgins and Justyn Ross. Not to mention teams can’t just play the pass with Etienne returning. The other thing is the defense figures to take a step back losing 4 NFL talents on the defensive line, so he’s likely going to be asked to score even more.
Value Play: Shea Patterson (QB, Michigan) +2600
I believe Michigan is the team to beat in the Big Ten this year and could easily finish the year undefeated. If the Wolverines finally break through under Jim Harbaugh, the media will more than likely fall in love with senior quarterback Shea Patterson. The even bigger thing here, is Michigan is going to run a similar offense to that of what we have seen at Alabama (up-tempo spread attack) under new offensive coordinator Josh Gattis.
Updated Vegas Betting Odds on Who Will Win Heisman Trophy This Year
|Player||Current Odds||Implied Probability|
|Trevor Lawrence (QB Clemson)||+260||27.78%|
|Tua Tagovailoa (QB, Alabama)||+260||27.78%|
|Jalen Hurts (QB, Oklahoma)||+900||10.00%|
|Justin Fields (QB, Ohio State)||+900||10.00%|
|Adrian Martinez (QB, Nebraska)||+1200||7.69%|
|Jake Fromm (QB, Georgia)||+1400||6.67%|
|Johnathan Taylor (RB, Wisconsin)||+1700||5.56%|
|D’Andre Swift (RB, Georgia)||+1700||5.56%|
|Travis Etienne (RB, Clemson)||+2000||4.76%|
|Sam Ehlinger (QB, Texas)||+2000||4.76%|
|Justin Herbert (QB,Oregon)||+2200||4.35%|
|Shea Patterson (QB, Michigan)||+2600||3.70%|
|Ian Book (QB, Notre Dame)||+3000||3.23%|
|Najee Harris (RB, Alabama)||+3000||3.23%|
|Austin Kendall (QB, Oklahoma)||+3500||2.78%|
|Jerry Jeudy (WR, Alabama)||+3500||2.78%|
|Tee Higgins (WR, Clemson)||+3500||2.78%|
|Rondale Moore (WR, Purdue)||+5000||1.96%|
|Tate Martell (QB, Ohio State)||+6000||1.64%|
|K.J. Costello (QB, Stanford)||+6000||1.64%|
|Eno Benjamin (RB, Arizona State)||+6500||1.52%|
|D’Eriq King (QB, Houston)||+6500||1.52%|
|Kelly Bryant (QB, Missouri)||+6500||1.52%|
|Khalil Tate (QB, Arizona)||+6500||1.52%|
|A.J. Dillon (RB, Boston College)||+7500||1.32%|
|Tylan Wallace (WR, Oklahoma State)||+8500||1.16%|
|Trevor Lawrence (QB Clemson)||+300|
|Tua Tagovailoa (QB, Alabama)||+350|
|Jake Fromm (QB, Georgia)||+850|
|Johnathan Taylor (RB, Wisconsin)||+900|
|D’Andre Swift (RB, Georgia)||+950|
|Travis Etienne (RB, Clemson)||+950|
|Sam Ehlinger (QB, Texas)||+1000|
|Austin Kendall (QB, Oklahoma)||+1400|
|Jerry Jeudy (WR, Alabama)||+1400|
|Tate Martell (QB, Ohio State)||+1400|
|A.J. Dillon (RB, Boston College)||+2000|
|Rondale Moore (WR, Purdue)||+2000|
|Shea Patterson (QB, Michigan)||+2000|
|Adrian Martinez (QB, Nebraska)||+3000|
|Eno Benjamin (RB, Arizona State)||+3000|
|Jalen Hurts (QB, Oklahoma)||+3000|
|K.J. Costello (QB, Stanford)||+3000|
|D’Eriq King (QB, Houston)||+4000|
|Kelly Bryant (QB, Missouri)||+4000|
|Khalil Tate (QB, Arizona)||+4000|
More College Football Futures & Odds
It’s no secret that the winner of the Heisman is often the best player on the best team in the country. Before placing any wagers on this future, check out our National Championship Odds.
Looking for more ways to bet on college football before the season starts? You are going to want to check out our regular-season win totals page.
Season already started? Build your bankroll with premium NCAAF picks from one of our expert handicappers. You are also going to want to visit our college football odds section. It’s the perfect place to stay up to date on the latest totals and spreads. Plus, you can shop lines from some of the top sportsbooks in the industry.
Heisman History – Invitees, Standings, Voting Polls & Past Champions
List of Finalists Invited to Heisman Ceremony in 2019
- Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
- Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Alabama
- Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
Voting Poll Standings Last 5 Years
|1st||Kyler Murray (Oklahoma)||Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma)||Lamar Jackson (Louisville)||Derrick Henry (Alabama)||Marcus Mariota (Oregon)|
|2nd||Tua Tagovailoa (Alabama)||Bryce Love (Stanford)||Deshaun Watson (Clemson)||Christian McCaffrey (Stanford)||Melvin Gordon (Wisconsin)|
|3rd||Dwayne Haskins (Ohio State)||Lamar Jackson (Louisville)||Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma)||Deshaun Watson (Clemson)||Amari Cooper (Alabama)|
|4th||Will Grier (West Virginia)||Saquon Barkley (Penn St)||Dede WestBrook (Oklahoma)||Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma)||Trevone Boykin (TCU)|
|5th||Gardner Minshew (Washington State)||Rashaad Penny (San Diego St)||Jabrill Peppers (Michigan)||Keenan Reynolds (Navy)||J.T. Barrett (Ohio State)|
Every Player Who has Won the Heisman Award
|2013||Jameis Winston||Florida State|
|2012||Johnny Manziel||Texas A&M|
|2011||Robert Griffin III||Baylor|
|2006||Troy Smith||Ohio State|
|2000||Chris Weinke||Florida State|
|1995||Eddie George||Ohio State|
|1993||Charlie Ward||Florida State|
|1992||Gino Torretta||Miami (FL)|
|1988||Barry Sanders||Oklahoma State|
|1987||Tim Brown||Notre Dame|
|1986||Vinny Testaverde||Miami (FL)|
|1984||Doug Flutie||Boston College|
|1980||George Rogers||South Carolina|
|1975||Archie Griffin||Ohio State|
|1974||Archie Griffin||Ohio State|
|1973||John Cappelletti||Penn State|
|1964||John Huarte||Notre Dame|
|1962||Terry Baker||Oregon State|
|1957||John David Crow||Texas A&M|
|1956||Paul Hornung||Notre Dame|
|1955||Howard Cassady||Ohio State|
|1953||John Lattner||Notre Dame|
|1950||Vic Janowicz||Ohio State|
|1949||Leon Hart||Notre Dame|
|1947||John Lujack||Notre Dame|
|1944||Les Horvath||Ohio State|
|1943||Angelo Bertelli||Notre Dame|