We go into each college football season trying to figure out what teams are title contenders. We also like to predict which players will be in the running for the Heisman Trophy. Trying to figure out which player is going to emerge is no easy task.

The obvious thing we do is focus on the top players coming back. Especially those who received attention for the award the previous season. While it makes sense, these players typically don’t end up winning. Why? The expectations are going to be even higher now that we have seen them play. More times than not, it’s the player who comes out of nowhere that steals our attention.

We also like to look for players in elite programs who will be taking on a bigger role due to a player departing. For example, whoever is the starting running back for Alabama is going to get attention. It doesn’t matter if it’s a player coming back or freshmen who has never seen the field.

Why do we focus on elite programs? That’s because there is a bias here when it comes to the voting. Players who put up big numbers on bad teams don’t get near the love as a players with similar or worse numbers on a national contender. Even if the player on the crap team is the best player in the country, chances are he won’t win.

Even when we know what players to lock in on, we just never really know. The unpredictability is what makes this award so great.

2017 Heisman Favorite, Front Runners & Latest Candidates to Win Trophy

The Heisman is such a big deal that Vegas releases futures on who will win. This section is focused on the betting side of things. Odds are released shortly after the title game from the previous year. We continue to update the odds all through the offseason and each week of the regular-season. Each time we update the page, we create a checkpoint to reference what the odds where at that time.

How the Betting Works

Oddsmakers put together a list of their top candidates in the offseason. They then place a betting line on each player. Note that the list of players to bet is limited early. Players will be added and removed over the course of the year.

For the purpose of this article we will look at the lines in money line format. Basically if a team is listed at +500. That means you can bet $100 to cash $500. Same thing as odds of 5 to 1. If a team is heavily favored, they will be with “-” in front of their odds instead of a “+” An example would be -250. In this case, you would have to wager $250 just to win $100.

This is considered a future wager, which means you are betting on an outcome that won’t happen for some time. So before you wager, just keep in mind that a portion of your bankroll will be tied up for several months. Also, the oddsmakes will adjust the lines over the course of the season.

Odds on Favorite & Top Front Runners

According to Vegas the 2017 Heisman race is over. Oklahoma’s Baker Mayfield is now the overwhelming favorite to win it all at -2000. Unless you got a massive bankroll and are willing to lay some serious cash, this is likely not worth betting anymore. You would have to risk $2,000 just to win $100 on Mayfield bringing home the trophy.

There’s only two other players even with odds available to bet and that’s Penn State’s Saquon Barkley and Stanford’s Bryce Love, who are both listed at +1000. Two players that at different points in the season looked like the frontrunners for the award. More than anything, both players were hurt by their team’s falling out of playoff contention.

It would take a couple record-setting type performances from either of these two to close the gap and give Mayfield a run for his money. Not only would they have to put up ridiculous numbers, but Mayfield would have to struggle in his final few games and that’s just not likely given the Sooners last two games are against Kansas and West Virginia.

Updated Heisman Predictions

Over the course of the season, I’m going to give out my prediction on who I think will win the award. I’ll continue to update my prediction at different points of the year.

Baker Mayfield (-175) 

11/7 – At this point in the season you have to give the favorite some serious credit. I know there’s not a ton of value with backing Mayfield at -175, but I really think it’s the best price we are going to see on him the rest of the way. In large part because the other top guys have disappointed. It also seems right that Mayfield would break through in his senior season, as he’s finished in the Top 5 in voting for this award each of the last two seasons.

Updated Vegas Betting Odds on Who Will Win Heisman Trophy This Year

PlayerCurrent OddsImplied Probability
Baker Mayfield (QB Oklahoma)-200095.24%
Saquon Barkley (RB Penn State)+10009.09%
Bryce Love (RB Stanford)+10009.09%
Baker Mayfield (QB Oklahoma)-175+750+1200+550+325+225+300+175+400+700+850
Saquon Barkley (RB Penn State)+150-175-275+140+125+125+175+900+900+900+1500
Bryce Love (RB Stanford)+1000+400+300+140+400+1400+3300+2500+17500
Josh Adams (RB Notre Dame)+800+1000+2000
Mason Rudolph (QB Oklahoma State)+2800+3300+3300+900+800+900+700+900+1000+900+3600
JT Barrett (QB Ohio State)+3300+450+1400+900+2800+3300+3300+3300+2500+1400+1250
Lamar Jackson (QB Louisville)+4000+4000+3300+1800+1600+1000+700+550+175+400+950
Jalen Hurts (QB Alabama)+2000+5000+4000+4000+3300+2500+1800+900+2200
Will Grier (QB West Virginia)+3300+6600
Sam Darnold (QB USC)+4000+2500+1400+700+550+600+600+525
Jake Browning (QB Washington)+5000+4000+4000+4000+4000+3300+2000+2200
Luke Falk (QB Washington State)+6600+2800+2200+3300+6600+6600+5000+4900
Quinton Flowers (QB South Florida)+7500+6600+6600+4500
Rashad Penny (RB San Diego St)+7500+6600+6600
J.K. Dobbins (RB Ohio State)+7500+7500+5000+2500
Nick Chubb (RB Georgia)+7500+7500+7500+5000+2500+4300
Trace McSorley (QB Penn State)+10000+7500+7500+5000+5000+2500+3500
Kerryon Johnson (RB Auburn)+15000
Josh Rosen (QB UCLA)+7500+6600+3300+2500+1000+800+3500
Royce Freeman (RB Oregon)+5000+5000+2500+11500
Mark Walton (RB Miami Florida)+6600+20000
Justin Herbert (QB Oregon)+5000+2500+12500
Nick Fitzgerald (QB Mississippi State)+6600+3300+4000+4000+10000
Derrius Guice (RB LSU)+5000+2500+1600+1500
Kamryn Pettway (RB Auburn)+5000+4000+4700
Derwin James (S Florida State)+5000+4000+10000
Bo Scarbrough (RB Alabama)+6600+2000+2200
Jarrett Stidham (QB Auburn)+6600+2500
Deondre Francois (QB Florida State)+2200
Shane Buechele (QB Texas)+5500

More College Football Futures & Odds

It’s no secret that the winner of the Heisman is often the best player on the best team in the country. Before placing any wagers on this future, check out our National Championship Odds.

Looking for more ways to bet on college football before the season starts? You are going to want to check out our regular-season win totals page. 

Season already started? Build your bankroll with premium NCAAF picks from one of our expert handicappers. You are also going to want to visit our college football odds section. It’s the perfect place to stay up to date on the latest totals and spreads. Plus, you can shop lines from some of the top sportsbooks in the industry.

Heisman History – Invitees, Standings, Voting Polls & Past Champions

List of Finalists Invited to Heisman Ceremony in 2016

  • Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville
  • Deshuan Watson, QB, Clemson
  • Jabrill Peppers, S, Michigan
  • Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma
  • Dede Westbrook, WR, Oklahoma

Voting Poll Standings Last 5 Years

Voting Rank20162015201420132012
1stLamar Jackson (Louisville)Derrick Henry (Alabama)Marcus Mariota (Oregon)Jamies Winston (FSU)Johnny Manziel (Texas A&M)
2ndDeshaun Watson (Clemson)Christian McCaffrey (Stanford)Melvin Gordon (Wisconsin)A.J. McCarron (Alabama)Manti Te’o (Notre Dame)
3rdBaker Mayfield (Oklahoma)Deshaun Watson (Clemson)Amari Cooper (Alabama)Jordan Lynch (Northern Illinois)Collin Klein (Kansas State)
4thDede WestBrook (Oklahoma)Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma)Trevone Boykin (TCU)Andre Williams (Boston College)Marqise Lee (USC)
5thJabrill Peppers (Michigan)Keenan Reynolds (Navy)J.T. Barrett (Ohio State)Johnny Manziel (Texas A&M)Braxton Miller (Ohio St)

Every Player Who has Won the Heisman Award

2016Lamar JacksonLouisville
2015Derrick HenryAlabama
2014Marcus MariotaOregon
2013Jameis WinstonFlorida State
2012Johnny ManzielTexas A&M
2011Robert Griffin IIIBaylor
2010Cam NewtonAuburn
2009Mark IngramAlabama
2008Sam BradfordOklahoma
2007Tim TebowFlorida
2006Troy SmithOhio State
2005Reggie BushUSC
2004Matt LeinartUSC
2003Jason WhiteOklahoma
2002Carson PalmerUSC
2001Eric CrouchNebraska
2000Chris WeinkeFlorida State
1999Ron DayneWisconsin
1998Ricky WilliamsTexas
1997Charles WoodsonMichigan
1996Danny WuerffelFlorida
1995Eddie GeorgeOhio State
1994Rashaan SalaamColorado
1993Charlie WardFlorida State
1992Gino TorrettaMiami (FL)
1991Desmond HowardMichigan
1990Ty DetmerBYU
1989Andre WareHouston
1988Barry SandersOklahoma State
1987Tim BrownNotre Dame
1986Vinny TestaverdeMiami (FL)
1985Bo JacksonAuburn
1984Doug FlutieBoston College
1983Mike RozierNebraska
1982Herschel WalkerGeorgia
1981Marcus AllenUSC
1980George RogersSouth Carolina
1979Charles WhiteUSC
1978Billy SimsOklahoma
1977Earl CampbellTexas
1976Tony DorsettPittsburgh
1975Archie GriffinOhio State
1974Archie GriffinOhio State
1973John CappellettiPenn State
1972Johnny RodgersNebraska
1971Pat SullivanAuburn
1970Jim PlunkettStanford
1969Steve OwensOklahoma
1968O.J. SimpsonUSC
1967Gary BebanUCLA
1966Steve SpurrierFlorida
1965Mike GarrettUSC
1964John HuarteNotre Dame
1963Roger StaubachNavy
1962Terry BakerOregon State
1961Ernie DavisSyracuse
1960Joe BellinoNavy
1959Billy CannonLSU
1958Pete DawkinsArmy
1957John David CrowTexas A&M
1956Paul HornungNotre Dame
1955Howard CassadyOhio State
1954Alan AmecheWisconsin
1953John LattnerNotre Dame
1952Billy VesselsOklahoma
1951Dick KazmaierPrinceton
1950Vic JanowiczOhio State
1949Leon HartNotre Dame
1948Doak WalkerSMU
1947John LujackNotre Dame
1946Glenn DavisArmy
1945Doc BlanchardArmy
1944Les HorvathOhio State
1943Angelo BertelliNotre Dame
1942Frank SinkwichGeorgia
1941Bruce SmithMinnesota
1940Tom HarmonMichigan
1939Nile KinnickIowa
1938Davey O’BrienTCU
1937Clint FrankYale
1936Larry KelleyYale
1935Jay BerwangerChicago