We go into each college football season trying to figure out what teams are title contenders. We also like to predict which players will be in the running for the Heisman Trophy. Trying to figure out which player is going to emerge is no easy task.

The obvious thing we do is focus on the top players coming back. Especially those who received attention for the award the previous season. While it makes sense, these players typically don’t end up winning. Why? The expectations are going to be even higher now that we have seen them play. More times than not, it’s the player who comes out of nowhere that steals our attention.

We also like to look for players in elite programs who will be taking on a bigger role due to a player departing. For example, whoever is the starting running back for Alabama is going to get attention. It doesn’t matter if it’s a player coming back or freshmen who has never seen the field.

Why do we focus on elite programs? That’s because there is a bias here when it comes to the voting. Players who put up big numbers on bad teams don’t get near the love as a players with similar or worse numbers on a national contender. Even if the player on the crap team is the best player in the country, chances are he won’t win.

Even when we know what players to lock in on, we just never really know. The unpredictability is what makes this award so great.

2019 Heisman Favorite, Front Runners & Latest Candidates to Win Trophy

Here’s an updated look at the 2019 Heisman odds as we approach Week 3 action.

Up until this week the books have heavily favored Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence and Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Both had odds less than 3 to 1 win last week. While they still have the best odds, the books have brought them back closer to the rest of the field.

Lawrence is the odds on favorite at +300 and Tagovailoa is next up at +400. Oklahoma quarterback Jalen Hurts is up to +600 after being listed at +900 last week and LSU quarterback has went from +2000 to +750. Jonathan Taylor is a little further back at +1200, but was at +2800 last week.

Ohio State’s Justin Fields (+1300), Georgia Jake Fromm (+1600), Clemson’s Travis Etienne (+2000) are next up with Georgia’s D’Andre Swift, Texas’ Sam Ehlinger and Oregon’s Justin Herbert all sitting at +2500.

Heisman Predictions – Pick to Win

Winner: Trevor Lawrence (QB, Clemson) +260

If I’m going to make an early wager on this prop, I’m going to go with one of the obvious choices in Lawrence at Clemson. I just think this kid is special and will put up even better numbers in his sophomore season. He’s going to have at least two elite targets Tee Higgins and Justyn Ross. Not to mention teams can’t just play the pass with Etienne returning. The other thing is the defense figures to take a step back losing 4 elite NFL talents on the defensive line. That should leader to fewer blowouts and he sits out the 4th quarter. Probably the one thing that cost Tua the award last year.

Value Play: Jonathan Taylor (RB, Wisconsin) +1200

Last week I listed Jalen Hurts at +900 as my favorite value pick. It was the ideal time to jump on Hurts, as he’s now listed at +600. This week my favorite value play would be Wisconsin running back Jonathan Taylor at +1200. I don’t know why people aren’t talking about this kid more.

Last year he rushed for 2,194 yards and that was after he put up 1,977 as a true freshman in 2017. He’s well on his way to approaching that elusive mark in 2019. He’s got 237 yards and 5 scores in 2 games on the ground. He also has 5 catches for 65 yard and 3 scores. Note he had only caught 16 passes for 155 yards his first two season (0 touchdown catches prior to this year).

Updated Vegas Betting Odds on Who Will Win Heisman Trophy This Year

PlayerCurrent OddsImplied Probability
Trevor Lawrence (QB Clemson)+30025.00%
Tua Tagovailoa (QB, Alabama)+40020.00%
Jalen Hurts (QB, Oklahoma)+60014.29%
Joe Burrow (QB, LSU)+75011.76%
Jonathan Taylor (RB, Wisconsin)+12007.69%
Justin Fields (QB, Ohio State)+13007.14%
Jake Fromm (QB, Georgia)+16005.88%
Travis Etienne (RB, Clemson)+20004.76%
D’Andre Swift (RB, Georgia)+25003.85%
Sam Ehlinger (QB, Texas)+25003.85%
Justin Herbert (QB,Oregon)+25003.85%
Tee Higgins (WR, Clemson)+30003.23%
Shea Patterson (QB, Michigan)+50001.96%
Jerry Jeudy (WR, Alabama)+50001.96%
Adrian Martinez (QB, Nebraska)+50001.96%
Kelly Bryant (QB, Missouri)+50001.96%
Austin Kendall (QB, Oklahoma)+60001.64%
Eno Benjamin (RB, Arizona State)+60001.64%
D’Eriq King (QB, Houston)+66001.49%
Najee Harris (RB, Alabama)+66001.49%
Ian Book (QB, Notre Dame)+66001.49%
A.J. Dillon (RB, Boston College)+66001.49%
Tate Martell (QB, Ohio State)+66001.49%
Kellen Mond (QB, Texas A&M)+66001.49%
J.K. Dobbins (RB, Ohio State)+80001.23%
Bo Nix (QB, Auburn)+80001.23%
Rondale Moore (WR, Purdue)+80001.23%
K.J. Costello (QB, Stanford)+80001.23%
Laviska Shenault Jr. (WR, Colorado+100000.99%
Trevor Lawrence (QB Clemson)+260+260+260+300
Tua Tagovailoa (QB, Alabama)+270+260+260+350
Jalen Hurts (QB, Oklahoma)+900+1000+900+3000
Joe Burrow (QB, LSU)+2000+5000
Jonathan Taylor (RB, Wisconsin)+2800+3000+1700+900
Justin Fields (QB, Ohio State)+1600
Jake Fromm (QB, Georgia)+1200+1400+1400+850
Travis Etienne (RB, Clemson)+2500+3000+2000+950
D’Andre Swift (RB, Georgia)+1400+2500+1700+950
Sam Ehlinger (QB, Texas)+1800+1500+2000+1000
Justin Herbert (QB,Oregon)+2800+1600+2200
Tee Higgins (WR, Clemson)+6600+8000+3500
Shea Patterson (QB, Michigan)+2200+2500+2600+2000
Jerry Jeudy (WR, Alabama)+4000+6000+3500+1400
Adrian Martinez (QB, Nebraska)+5500+1300+1200+3000
Kelly Bryant (QB, Missouri)+12500+7500+6500+4000
Austin Kendall (QB, Oklahoma)+7500+7500+3500+1400
Eno Benjamin (RB, Arizona State)+10000+8000+6500+3000
D’Eriq King (QB, Houston)+5000+2500+6500+4000
Najee Harris (RB, Alabama)+5000+3000+3000
Ian Book (QB, Notre Dame)+5000+4000+3000
A.J. Dillon (RB, Boston College)+10000+5000+7500+2000
Tate Martell (QB, Ohio State)+25000+8000+6000+1400
Kellen Mond (QB, Texas A&M)
J.K. Dobbins (RB, Ohio State)+6000
Bo Nix (QB, Auburn)+6600
Rondale Moore (WR, Purdue)+8000+6000+5000+2000
K.J. Costello (QB, Stanford)+8000+10000+6000+3000
Laviska Shenault Jr. (WR, Colorado+20000+10000
Khalil Tate (QB, Arizona)+4000+6000+6500+4000
Tylan Wallace (WR, Oklahoma State)+20000+10000+8500

More College Football Futures & Odds

It’s no secret that the winner of the Heisman is often the best player on the best team in the country. Before placing any wagers on this future, check out our National Championship Odds.

Looking for more ways to bet on college football before the season starts? You are going to want to check out our regular-season win totals page. 

Season already started? Build your bankroll with premium NCAAF picks from one of our expert handicappers. You are also going to want to visit our college football odds section. It’s the perfect place to stay up to date on the latest totals and spreads. Plus, you can shop lines from some of the top sportsbooks in the industry.

Heisman History – Invitees, Standings, Voting Polls & Past Champions

List of Finalists Invited to Heisman Ceremony in 2019

  • Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
  • Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Alabama
  • Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State

Voting Poll Standings Last 5 Years

Voting Rank20182017201620152014
1stKyler Murray (Oklahoma)Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma)Lamar Jackson (Louisville)Derrick Henry (Alabama)Marcus Mariota (Oregon)
2ndTua Tagovailoa (Alabama)Bryce Love (Stanford)Deshaun Watson (Clemson)Christian McCaffrey (Stanford)Melvin Gordon (Wisconsin)
3rdDwayne Haskins (Ohio State)Lamar Jackson (Louisville)Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma)Deshaun Watson (Clemson)Amari Cooper (Alabama)
4thWill Grier (West Virginia)Saquon Barkley (Penn St)Dede WestBrook (Oklahoma)Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma)Trevone Boykin (TCU)
5thGardner Minshew (Washington State)Rashaad Penny (San Diego St)Jabrill Peppers (Michigan)Keenan Reynolds (Navy)J.T. Barrett (Ohio State)

Every Player Who has Won the Heisman Award

2018Kyler MurrayOklahoma
2017Baker MayfieldOklahoma
2016Lamar JacksonLouisville
2015Derrick HenryAlabama
2014Marcus MariotaOregon
2013Jameis WinstonFlorida State
2012Johnny ManzielTexas A&M
2011Robert Griffin IIIBaylor
2010Cam NewtonAuburn
2009Mark IngramAlabama
2008Sam BradfordOklahoma
2007Tim TebowFlorida
2006Troy SmithOhio State
2005Reggie BushUSC
2004Matt LeinartUSC
2003Jason WhiteOklahoma
2002Carson PalmerUSC
2001Eric CrouchNebraska
2000Chris WeinkeFlorida State
1999Ron DayneWisconsin
1998Ricky WilliamsTexas
1997Charles WoodsonMichigan
1996Danny WuerffelFlorida
1995Eddie GeorgeOhio State
1994Rashaan SalaamColorado
1993Charlie WardFlorida State
1992Gino TorrettaMiami (FL)
1991Desmond HowardMichigan
1990Ty DetmerBYU
1989Andre WareHouston
1988Barry SandersOklahoma State
1987Tim BrownNotre Dame
1986Vinny TestaverdeMiami (FL)
1985Bo JacksonAuburn
1984Doug FlutieBoston College
1983Mike RozierNebraska
1982Herschel WalkerGeorgia
1981Marcus AllenUSC
1980George RogersSouth Carolina
1979Charles WhiteUSC
1978Billy SimsOklahoma
1977Earl CampbellTexas
1976Tony DorsettPittsburgh
1975Archie GriffinOhio State
1974Archie GriffinOhio State
1973John CappellettiPenn State
1972Johnny RodgersNebraska
1971Pat SullivanAuburn
1970Jim PlunkettStanford
1969Steve OwensOklahoma
1968O.J. SimpsonUSC
1967Gary BebanUCLA
1966Steve SpurrierFlorida
1965Mike GarrettUSC
1964John HuarteNotre Dame
1963Roger StaubachNavy
1962Terry BakerOregon State
1961Ernie DavisSyracuse
1960Joe BellinoNavy
1959Billy CannonLSU
1958Pete DawkinsArmy
1957John David CrowTexas A&M
1956Paul HornungNotre Dame
1955Howard CassadyOhio State
1954Alan AmecheWisconsin
1953John LattnerNotre Dame
1952Billy VesselsOklahoma
1951Dick KazmaierPrinceton
1950Vic JanowiczOhio State
1949Leon HartNotre Dame
1948Doak WalkerSMU
1947John LujackNotre Dame
1946Glenn DavisArmy
1945Doc BlanchardArmy
1944Les HorvathOhio State
1943Angelo BertelliNotre Dame
1942Frank SinkwichGeorgia
1941Bruce SmithMinnesota
1940Tom HarmonMichigan
1939Nile KinnickIowa
1938Davey O’BrienTCU
1937Clint FrankYale
1936Larry KelleyYale
1935Jay BerwangerChicago