We go into each college football season trying to figure out what teams are title contenders. We also like to predict which players will be in the running for the Heisman Trophy. Trying to figure out which player is going to emerge is no easy task.

The obvious thing we do is focus on the top players coming back. Especially those who received attention for the award the previous season. While it makes sense, these players typically don’t end up winning. Why? The expectations are going to be even higher now that we have seen them play. More times than not, it’s the player who comes out of nowhere that steals our attention.

We also like to look for players in elite programs who will be taking on a bigger role due to a player departing. For example, whoever is the starting running back for Alabama is going to get attention. It doesn’t matter if it’s a player coming back or freshmen who has never seen the field.

Why do we focus on elite programs? That’s because there is a bias here when it comes to the voting. Players who put up big numbers on bad teams don’t get near the love as a players with similar or worse numbers on a national contender. Even if the player on the crap team is the best player in the country, chances are he won’t win.

Even when we know what players to lock in on, we just never really know. The unpredictability is what makes this award so great.

2018 Heisman Favorite, Front Runners & Latest Candidates to Win Trophy

We take our first look at the odds to win the 2018 Heisman Trophy. This can be one of the more difficult prop bets to get right, as there’s so much uncertainty with college football. We have so many freshmen that are taking on massive roles and playing at an exceptionally high level.

The other thing is it’s not always about stats or who is the most talented player. A lot of times players who aren’t on one of the teams fighting for a playoff spot, are completely left out of the picture when it comes to this award.

The odds on favorite is Wisconsin running back Jonathan Taylor at +600. For those that don’t remember, Taylor rushed for 1,847 yards (6.8 ypc) and 13 touchdowns as a true freshman in 2017.

Next up is Ohio State sophomore running back J.K. Dobbins at +650, who had a similar impact as a true freshman. Dobbins rushed for 1,364 yards (7.5 ypc) and 7 scores.

You then have a couple more familiar names. One is Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who everyone got to know with his amazing performance in the National Championship Game. The other is Stanford running back Bryce Love, who was the early frontrunner last year. Both of those players are at +700.

After that you have a bunch of quarterbacks (9) listed anywhere from +1200 to +2200. The only name you likely aren’t all that familiar with is Ohio State quarterback Dwayne Haskins, who will be replacing J.T. Barrett. Haskins did play in 8 games last year, throwing for 565 yards (70.2%) with a 4-1 TD-INT ratio on 57 attempts.

One last interesting note is that there are more defensive linemen with odds available than there are wide receivers. The only wide out currently listed is David Sills from West Virginia. The two d-line players are Houston’s Ed Oliver and Ohio State’s Nick Bosa. All 3 players are near the bottom of the list at +6600.

It’s also important to note that this list is not set in stone. Players who aren’t on this list will have odds before the season even starts, while several of these players will fall off the list in the first few weeks. One player that isn’t listed that I think will be in no time is new Michigan quarterback Shea Patterson (former Ole Miss recruit).

Be sure to check back often, as we will continue to update these odds over the offseason and each week of the reason-season.

Updated Vegas Betting Odds on Who Will Win Heisman Trophy This Year

PlayerCurrent OddsImplied Probability
Johnathan Taylor (RB, Wisconsin)+60014.29%
J.K. Dobbins (RB, Ohio State)+65013.33%
Tua Tagovailoa (QB, Alabama)+70012.50%
Bryce Love (RB, Stanford)+70012.50%
Jake Fromm (QB, Georgia)+12007.69%
Khalil Tate (QB, Arizona)+14006.67%
Jarrett Stidham (QB, Auburn)+16005.88%
Justin Herbert (QB, Oregon)+18005.26%
Trace McSorley (QB, Penn State)+18005.26%
Will Grier (QB, West Virginia)+20004.76%
Kelly Bryant (QB, Clemson)+20004.76%
Jake Browning (QB, Washington)+22004.35%
Dwayne Haskins (QB, Ohio State)+22004.35%
Cam Akers (RB, Florida State)+25003.85%
Rodney Anderson (RB, Oklahoma)+25003.85%
Drew Lock (QB, Missouri)+25003.85%
McKenzie Milton (QB, UCF)+28003.45%
D’Andre Swift (RB, Georgia)+28003.45%
Brandon Wimbush (QB, Notre Dame)+35002.78%
Nick Fitzgerald (QB,+35002.78%
Travis Etienne (RB, Clemson)+35002.78%
Trevor Lawrence (QB Clemson)+35002.78%
Ryan Finley (QB, NC State)+44002.22%
Damien Harris (RB, Alabama)+50001.96%
David Sills (WR, West Virginia)+66001.49%
Ed Oliver (DL, Houston)+66001.49%
Nick Bosa (DL, Ohio State)+66001.49%
Justice Hill (RB, Oklahoma State)+75001.32%
Frank Nutil (QB, Temple)+100000.99%
Baker Mayfield (QB Oklahoma)-2000-175+750+1200+550+325+225+300+175+400+700+850
Saquon Barkley (RB Penn State)+1000+150-175-275+140+125+125+175+900+900+900+1500
Bryce Love (RB Stanford)+1000+1000+400+300+140+400+1400+3300+2500+17500
Josh Adams (RB Notre Dame)+800+1000+2000
Mason Rudolph (QB Oklahoma State)+2800+3300+3300+900+800+900+700+900+1000+900+3600
JT Barrett (QB Ohio State)+3300+450+1400+900+2800+3300+3300+3300+2500+1400+1250
Lamar Jackson (QB Louisville)+4000+4000+3300+1800+1600+1000+700+550+175+400+950
Jalen Hurts (QB Alabama)+2000+5000+4000+4000+3300+2500+1800+900+2200
Will Grier (QB West Virginia)+3300+6600
Sam Darnold (QB USC)+4000+2500+1400+700+550+600+600+525
Jake Browning (QB Washington)+5000+4000+4000+4000+4000+3300+2000+2200
Luke Falk (QB Washington State)+6600+2800+2200+3300+6600+6600+5000+4900
Quinton Flowers (QB South Florida)+7500+6600+6600+4500
Rashad Penny (RB San Diego St)+7500+6600+6600
J.K. Dobbins (RB Ohio State)+7500+7500+5000+2500
Nick Chubb (RB Georgia)+7500+7500+7500+5000+2500+4300
Trace McSorley (QB Penn State)+10000+7500+7500+5000+5000+2500+3500
Kerryon Johnson (RB Auburn)+15000
Josh Rosen (QB UCLA)+7500+6600+3300+2500+1000+800+3500
Royce Freeman (RB Oregon)+5000+5000+2500+11500
Mark Walton (RB Miami Florida)+6600+20000
Justin Herbert (QB Oregon)+5000+2500+12500
Nick Fitzgerald (QB Mississippi State)+6600+3300+4000+4000+10000
Derrius Guice (RB LSU)+5000+2500+1600+1500
Kamryn Pettway (RB Auburn)+5000+4000+4700
Derwin James (S Florida State)+5000+4000+10000
Bo Scarbrough (RB Alabama)+6600+2000+2200
Jarrett Stidham (QB Auburn)+6600+2500
Deondre Francois (QB Florida State)+2200
Shane Buechele (QB Texas)+5500

More College Football Futures & Odds

It’s no secret that the winner of the Heisman is often the best player on the best team in the country. Before placing any wagers on this future, check out our National Championship Odds.

Looking for more ways to bet on college football before the season starts? You are going to want to check out our regular-season win totals page. 

Season already started? Build your bankroll with premium NCAAF picks from one of our expert handicappers. You are also going to want to visit our college football odds section. It’s the perfect place to stay up to date on the latest totals and spreads. Plus, you can shop lines from some of the top sportsbooks in the industry.

Heisman History – Invitees, Standings, Voting Polls & Past Champions

List of Finalists Invited to Heisman Ceremony in 2016

  • Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma
  • Bryce Love, RB Stanford
  • Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville

Voting Poll Standings Last 5 Years

Voting Rank20172016201520142013
1stBaker Mayfield (Oklahoma)Lamar Jackson (Louisville)Derrick Henry (Alabama)Marcus Mariota (Oregon)Jamies Winston (FSU)
2ndBryce Love (Stanford)Deshaun Watson (Clemson)Christian McCaffrey (Stanford)Melvin Gordon (Wisconsin)A.J. McCarron (Alabama)
3rdLamar Jackson (Louisville)Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma)Deshaun Watson (Clemson)Amari Cooper (Alabama)Jordan Lynch (Northern Illinois)
4thSaquon Barkley (Penn St)Dede WestBrook (Oklahoma)Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma)Trevone Boykin (TCU)Andre Williams (Boston College)
5thRashaad Penny (San Diego St)Jabrill Peppers (Michigan)Keenan Reynolds (Navy)J.T. Barrett (Ohio State)Johnny Manziel (Texas A&M)

Every Player Who has Won the Heisman Award

2017Baker MayfieldOklahoma
2016Lamar JacksonLouisville
2015Derrick HenryAlabama
2014Marcus MariotaOregon
2013Jameis WinstonFlorida State
2012Johnny ManzielTexas A&M
2011Robert Griffin IIIBaylor
2010Cam NewtonAuburn
2009Mark IngramAlabama
2008Sam BradfordOklahoma
2007Tim TebowFlorida
2006Troy SmithOhio State
2005Reggie BushUSC
2004Matt LeinartUSC
2003Jason WhiteOklahoma
2002Carson PalmerUSC
2001Eric CrouchNebraska
2000Chris WeinkeFlorida State
1999Ron DayneWisconsin
1998Ricky WilliamsTexas
1997Charles WoodsonMichigan
1996Danny WuerffelFlorida
1995Eddie GeorgeOhio State
1994Rashaan SalaamColorado
1993Charlie WardFlorida State
1992Gino TorrettaMiami (FL)
1991Desmond HowardMichigan
1990Ty DetmerBYU
1989Andre WareHouston
1988Barry SandersOklahoma State
1987Tim BrownNotre Dame
1986Vinny TestaverdeMiami (FL)
1985Bo JacksonAuburn
1984Doug FlutieBoston College
1983Mike RozierNebraska
1982Herschel WalkerGeorgia
1981Marcus AllenUSC
1980George RogersSouth Carolina
1979Charles WhiteUSC
1978Billy SimsOklahoma
1977Earl CampbellTexas
1976Tony DorsettPittsburgh
1975Archie GriffinOhio State
1974Archie GriffinOhio State
1973John CappellettiPenn State
1972Johnny RodgersNebraska
1971Pat SullivanAuburn
1970Jim PlunkettStanford
1969Steve OwensOklahoma
1968O.J. SimpsonUSC
1967Gary BebanUCLA
1966Steve SpurrierFlorida
1965Mike GarrettUSC
1964John HuarteNotre Dame
1963Roger StaubachNavy
1962Terry BakerOregon State
1961Ernie DavisSyracuse
1960Joe BellinoNavy
1959Billy CannonLSU
1958Pete DawkinsArmy
1957John David CrowTexas A&M
1956Paul HornungNotre Dame
1955Howard CassadyOhio State
1954Alan AmecheWisconsin
1953John LattnerNotre Dame
1952Billy VesselsOklahoma
1951Dick KazmaierPrinceton
1950Vic JanowiczOhio State
1949Leon HartNotre Dame
1948Doak WalkerSMU
1947John LujackNotre Dame
1946Glenn DavisArmy
1945Doc BlanchardArmy
1944Les HorvathOhio State
1943Angelo BertelliNotre Dame
1942Frank SinkwichGeorgia
1941Bruce SmithMinnesota
1940Tom HarmonMichigan
1939Nile KinnickIowa
1938Davey O’BrienTCU
1937Clint FrankYale
1936Larry KelleyYale
1935Jay BerwangerChicago