Best Free NBA Expert Predictions on Who Will Win Today’s Games

Friday NBA Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Indiana at 5:30 pm et on Friday.

We know what the Pacers want to do in this series as they've laid that out pretty well in the first two games. They want to play fast having hoisted up 90+ field goal attempts in each of the first two contests in this series. I do think the Bucks can keep pace on Friday, noting they've bounced back consistently following poor shooting efforts in recent weeks (they connected on just 38-of-86 field goal attempts in Game 2). The 'over' is 55-39 in the Bucks last 94 games with the total set in the 220's including an 18-11 mark this season. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 40-25 in the Pacers last 65 contests as a home favorite including an 18-12 record in that situation this season. Take the over.

1* Free Sharp Play on Wolves vs Suns over

Cavaliers vs Magic

1 ET | Kia Center

5-Unit Bet on the Over currently priced at 201.5 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 22-10-1 Over record good for 69% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·      Bet the Over.

·      The home team priced between a 3.5-point favorite and a 3.5-point underdog.

·      The game occurs in the playoffs.

·      The home team is coming off a home win.

·      The road team shot less than 25% from beyond the arc.

Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add the remaining 25% of your 8-Unit best bet at 196.5 points during the first half of action.

My predictive model shows an 82% probability that the Magic have an 85% probability that they will score 111 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. In home games over the last five seasons the Magic have seen the Over go 31-11 for 74% winning bets when they have met these performance measures in games that had a posted total of 200 or more points.

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Chip’s FREE NBA Playoff Winner

Minnesota at Phoenix 10:30 ET

Timberwolves (+) over Suns- prior to the past two games in Minnesota the Suns had cover 10 straight against the T’wolves going 9-1 ATS. But, things seem have turned around a the Wolves swept the opening two games covering easily. The beat go on here and Edwards back down Durant. Take MINNESOTA!

The Minnesota Timberwolves hold a 2-0 lead and have been doing it with their defense and some help from the Suns. Minnesota had the leagues number one defense and it showed up in the first two games, holding the zSuns to under 100 points in both home games. They were also helped out by sloppy guard play from the suns. Booker fouled out and committed 6 to and the team had 19 in total. Booker, Durant and Bradley Beal combined to shoot 18 for 45 and I dont expect that to happen at home. Depending on the market, the total was 214.5 in Game 1 and 213.5 in Game 2. The adjustment has been made for Game 3, as the number is a full seven points lower (depending on the market). The Suns played well at home during the regular season against the Wolves, and have covered in six straight at home. Phoenix failed to crack 10 made 3-point field goals in both Games 1 and 2, and Grayson Allen’s injury has a lot to do with that. They ranked fourth in 3-point field goal percentage at home this season. I think Phoenix will play a lot better on their home court and i think they have dropped this number too much.

Play on the OVER.

Dave's Friday Free Play:

1* on Phoenix Suns -4.5

The Key: The Phoenix Suns shot terribly in Minnesota in the first two games of this series.  They will shoot it much better at home and should get a lot more from Booker and Beal than they got in those two games in Minnesota.  Keep in mind the Suns won all 3 matchups in the regular season by double-digits and know what it takes to attack the Timberwolves.  They will put their best foot forward tonight with their season on the line in Game 3.  Phoenix is 35-21 ATS in its last 56 games as a home favorite of 6 points or less.  The Suns are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after scoring 100 points or less.  Take Phoenix.

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UNDER 223.5

An early start in Bucks/Pacers as this one will tip off at 5:30 to start the NBA slate. This is an odd series with the injuries and this is a game that is going to be played at a slower tempo. The Bucks just can’t keep up with their key pieces missing. They need to slow this game down and cannot get into a track meet with the Pacers. Look for this to be the kind of game that turns into a grind, which will feature a lot of deep shot clock shots and for both teams to not get out in transition as much. This will give value to the under in this spot on Friday. My daily free plays are meant to be .75% bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the UNDER tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray

Tuesday 5* NBA Free O/U Play

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