Free Sports Picks

NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Ohio State vs. Navy
Navy
+16½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 2d

Obviously, the loss of quarterback Braxton Miller is a huge blow to Ohio St. but it is still a talented team all around and will still be playing for the Big Ten Championship. While the line has been adjusted to make up for the Miller absence, it has not gone down as much as I thought it would so we are still getting value on Navy. The Midshipmen are never an easy matchup for any team and especially one that does not see them very often. Navy is one of the few full-time practitioners of the triple-option left at the college level and it is very difficult to prepare for, no matter this being the first game of the season. Ohio St. knows that. Navy came into Ohio Stadium to open the 2009 season against an Ohio State team that would end up going 11-2, winning the Big Ten and then beating No. 7 Oregon in the Rose Bowl and lost by just four points as a 22-point underdog. Junior quarterback Keenan Reynolds leads an offense that was No. 2 in the FBS last year in rushing at 325.4 ypg. Reynolds ran for 1,346 yards and 31 touchdowns. It will be up to the Buckeyes defense to slow down the Navy attack in order to give its offense a chance. Redshirt freshman J.T. Barrett will be starting at quarterback for Miller and he will be the first freshman to start a season opener for the Buckeyes since Art Schlichter did so in 1978. Navy is one of the most experienced teams in the nation with 15 returning starters and that is an added asset when the team is one of the most disciplined in football. Navy has been one of the best underdog teams over recent years as it is 29-12-1 ATS in its last 42 games when getting points. Look for that run to continue Saturday. Play (158) Navy Midshipmen

Matt had an OUTSTANDING CFB Week 1 last season that included a PERFECT 4-0 SWEEP on Saturday! He is once again going for the CLEAN SWEEP the first Saturday of 2014 as he has FOUR plays going this Saturday as well! Matt is on a SPECTACULAR +$35,284 Football Run including a SWEET +$6,082 in profits in 2013 CFB! How about another SWEEP! Do not make a move without this info!

NFLX  |  Aug 28, 2014
New England Patriots vs. New York Giants
New England Patriots
+3+105
  at  BOVADA
in 9h


08/28 07:30 PM EST NFL   (113) NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS (114) NEW YORK GIANTS
Take: (113) NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Reason: Your free pick for Thursday, August 28th, 2014, comes in the NFL as the Patriots and the Giants meet in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Patriots have a real strong QB rotation for 2014 and rookie Jimmy Garrappolo will play the whole game. The kid has looked and he'll be facing NY Giant backups. Garoppolo has played well this preseason, throwing for 334 yards on 24-for-37 passing with four touchdowns and no interceptions. And this Patriots defense is deep. New York is playing its 5th preseason game and has little to prove at 4-0. The defense has allowed 26 and 24 points the last two weeks and the rotation behind Eli Manning isn't impressive with Curtis Painter and Ryan Nassib. With Odell Beckham Jr. still injured and Marcus Harris now on Injured Reserve, the wide receiver corps is thin. Their offensive line is a problem: Outside of J.D. Walton at center, the rest of the offensive line is in flux. Play the Patriots!

NCAA-F  |  Aug 29, 2014
Bowling Green vs. Western Kentucky
Bowling Green
-7-110
  at  BMAKER
in 1d

*3 Star NCAA FB Free Pick* Dino Babers is the new head coach at Bowling Green, and I expect a lot out of this Bowling Green team under Babers. He helped Art Briles institute the high-octane offense at Baylor, and we've seen the kind of success Baylor has had with that. Bowling Green has the players to run this offense. Matt Johnson is the best quarterback in the MAC. The Falcons have a solid offensive line, good depth at running back, and a solid group of receivers. Don't forget that Bowling Green also had the best defense in the MAC last year. The offense will be far more dangerous this season. Western Kentucky lost their star running back and the majority of their defense from last year. The Hilltoppers will play hard and they might hang around early, but I don't think they can keep this one in single digits. Lay the points with Bowling Green. 

**My 5 Star TOP Play of the Week is on the total in this game. Be sure to check out that one as well as my College Football Season Subscription which is DISCOUNTED to $450 until Thursday night. I'm up 47.44 units in football since 2010. All Documented. Good luck this year!**

NFL  |  Sep 07, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. Houston Texans
Washington Redskins
+3-125
  at  BMAKER
in 10d

Chip's NFL FREE Winner

Washington at Baltimore 7:30 ET

Redskins over Ravens- The Baltimore Ravens are playing like a team on a mission as they are now 17-9 straight-up in pre-season under John Harbaugh after their pounding of the Cowboys in Dallas. They opened their season with a 23-2 win over San Francisco and have established their macho approach. Still, The Redskins under new coach Jay Gruden will be working harder. Take WASHINGTON!

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NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Boston College vs. UMass
UMass
+17-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 2d

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #172 Take UMASS Minutemen over Boston College Eagles (Saturday 3 pm ESPN 3) The Mark Whipple Era gets underway facing an in-state opponent at a home game site that is actually closer to the Boston College than it is to UMASS. The Minutemen were just 1-11 last season but did cover the number in their fair share of games in 2013. Boston College is not a powerhouse and they did lose their workhorse in Andre Williams, who now plays for the New York Giants. Boston College went just 2-4 ATS in road games last season and they have just 9 of a potential 22 returning starters on offense and defense. UMASS stay below the number in their home opener and we collect in the process as well. Do not miss Doc’s Sports Opening Week of college football. Doc’s went a perfect 7-0 in college football last year in week 1 (+$3,000) and this week is one you cannot afford to miss. Jump on board now and let 43 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

NFLX  |  Aug 28, 2014
New York Jets vs. Philadelphia Eagles
New York Jets
+3-120
  at  BOVADA
in 8h

I'm recommending a play on the NY Jets plus the points on Thursday night.  While Jets' starters are expected to sit, the Eagles will go even a little deeper, not only not playing their starters, but also sitting several key second-string players.  The Eagle defense has been horrible in the second half of preseason games, at least the reserves, who're the players we'll see on the field tonight. Philly will reportedly start Matt Barkley at QB, while Michael Vick will see a little action early-on for Rex Ryan.  I do like the rotation for the Jets slightly, after tonight's starters take a spot on the bench.  The Jets fit a 35-14 preseason NFL spot.  You play on teams with a winning SU record if they're underdogs to a team with a preseason win percentage of .250 to .400.  The teams fit the bill.  We'll recommend a play on the Jets plus the points on Thursday night.  Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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NCAA-F  |  Aug 29, 2014
Bowling Green vs. Western Kentucky
Bowling Green
-7½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 1d

147 Bowling Green at Western Kentucky

New Head Coach Dino Babers from Eastern Illinois is looking to run 100 plays or more per game.  He was the Wide Receivers coach at Baylor Dave Clawson moved on to Wake Forest The offense is loaded with an experienced quarterback in Matt Johnson The running game returns everyone from last season that averaged 4.7 ypc The Falcons were 6-0 ATS the past two seasons as road favorites Bowling Green does have 32 point revenge with Indiana coming up in two weeks, but only VMI on deck next week
The Hilltoppers have posted a winning record in three straight years  Jeff Brohm takes over for Bobby Petrino who returned to Louisville He was the offensive coordinator last year So this is the third head coach in three years Western Kentucky is moving from the Sun Belt to Conference USA Next week the Hilltoppers travel to Illinois Despite returning eight offensive starters the team will be without 1700 yard rusher Antonio Andrews He led the nation in allpurpose yards the past two seasons On defense 6 of the back 7 need replacedPLAY BOWLING GREENWe've started loading our opening week college football selections. Don't miss out as we are way ahead of the competition after studying the college game all summer.  

NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Penn State vs. Central Florida
Penn State
+2-103
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

Courtesy of Tony George Sports

Penn State +2 vs Central Florida  (Dublin, Ireland)  8:30 AM EST

Avenging a loss where Penn State had over 450 yards of offense last year in this game, but no Blake Bortles for UFC this year and the Golden Knights lost 85% of their offensive production to the NFL including their RB.  Penn State has a great QB, and a great new Head coach and I doubt against a beatable team he will fail in his opener, even on the road in IRELAND!

I will say Penn State has lost their luster since the Joe Pa/ Sandusky scandal rocked the University, but Bill O’Brien (now head coach in the NFL) did a nice job of constructing a solid foundation and new head coach Franklin landed 12 Four Star recruits as ranked by Rivals last year, and many have made huge strides in fall camp.  A quick look at what it is, Penn State has their 2 best offense offensive players back at QB and RB, and CFU lost both of theirs and have to play a motivated team in another country and break in a whole new set of skill players on offense.

Advantage Penn State. – Free Play on the Penn State

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NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Temple vs. Vanderbilt
Temple
+14-115
  at  BOVADA
in 10h

Free Pick on Temple Owls +14

Vanderbilt should not be laying two touchdowns against Temple tonight. This is going to be a difficult year for the Commodores, who have just 10 starters back (6 offense, 4 defense) and lose one of the most underrated coaches in the country in James Franklin. Not to say Derek Mason won't end up being a good coach, but he's bringing in new schemes to an inexperienced bunch that lost their starting quarterback and big time playmaker in wide out Jordan Matthews.

While Temple is picked to finish near the bottom of the American Athletic, I look for the Owls to be greatly improved in year two under Matt Rhule. One of the big reasons I'm high on Temple is sophomore quarterback P.J. Walker. Once he took over as the starter the offense took off. In their final three games of last year the Owls lost to UCF by just 3-points, Cincinnati by only 7 and crushed Memphis on the road 41-21. Temple was clearly playing their best football at the end of last season and I look for that to carry over to the opener.

Rhule is 8-1 ATS when listed as an underdog as the head coach of Temple, 7-1 ATS in his last 8 games overall and the Owls are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in August. These combine to form a Dynamite 21-2 system in favor of the Owls. Take Temple!

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NFLX  |  Aug 28, 2014
Detroit Lions vs. Buffalo Bills
Detroit Lions
+4½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 8h


  On Thursday the NFLX Free Play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 103 at 7:00 eastern. The Lions are taking over 4 points here and have won and covered the last 6 in the series vs Buffalo. Detroit is 17-5 to the spread vs AFC Teams in Preseason play and have covered and won 6 straight in game 4 of the Preseason. Buffalo is laying points but is 1-13 straight up vs NFC teams and has failed to cover 6 of the last 8 on Thursday. Look for the Lions to keep this one close and no surprises if they pull the upset. Take the Points with Detroit. On Thursday jump on as we are using the Most Powerful data in the industry. There is a 15-0 NFLX Top play up and 3 more NFL plays all with systems cashing 90% or higher, There is also the first big College football play this season and MLB. Start off big in football. For the free play take the Detroit Lions. On Thursday Its a Huge NFLX 15-0 Game of the month and 3 More huge NFLX system plays all from systems cashing over 90%. There is a 100% Opening night College Football super system side and a 94% MLB Dominator system. Jump on Now and put the Most Powerful data in the industry on your side tonight. For the free play take Detroit. RV

MLB  |  Aug 28, 2014
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
Houston Astros
-143
  at  5DIMES
in 9h

1* Free Play Astros.

The visiting Texas Rangers will have Nick Tepesch (4-8, 4.45 ERA) toeing the rubber tonight; Tepesch gave up six earned runs in 6 1/3 innings on Saturday in a loss to the Royals. Note that Tepesch has just two wins since the beginning of June and is only 2-4 with a pedestrian 4.97 ERA in all road starts to date. The home side counters with Collin McHugh (6-9, 3.02 ERA) who is coming off a very solid stretch of pitching, the right-hander has allowed two runs or less in six of his last seven starts and has won two of his last three overall. I think this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the last place Rangers after their massive offensive output in Seattle yesterday. Note that the Astros have taken four of six from the Rangers when hosting this matchup this season; also note that Texas is just 28-40 away from friendly confines this year. McHugh gets the nod on the bump, I think that’s enough to warrant a second look at the home side in this matchup.

AAA Sports

NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Wake Forest vs. UL-Monroe
Wake Forest
+2-104
  at  PINNACLE
in 8h

This game features Wake Forest at UL Monroe and has some very huge line movement in this game. Wake opened up as 7 point favorites in this game and public money has pushed it all the way to Wake +2. Looking deeper into the numbers you will see 70% of the public on UL Monroe plus I haven't seen one capper on Wake Forest and a ton on UL Monroe. Everyone knows what happens when everyone is backing one side. I talked to several of my local contacts all 3 said they will make a shit ton on this game tonight! Take Wake Forest plus the points here for a small 10* winner. ***BE SURE TO CHECK OUT MY 20* (CFB ULTIMATE REVENGE PLAY FORSALE ON MY HOMEPAGE it's a 100% guaranteed winner)

NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Arkansas vs. Auburn
Arkansas
+19-110
  at  BOVADA
in 2d

I'm playing on ARKANSAS.  

Auburn is coming off a fairytale season.  After going 0-8 in the SEC in 2012, the Tigers were one play away from their second BCS Title in four years. This remarkable turnaround under Gus Malzahn has raised the bar in 2014 and you can see that by taking a look at the number for their first game of the season.  All of last year the Tigers were favored by more than 20 points just once - aganst Florida Atlantic.

Not that Auburn doesn't deserve to be favored in this situation. They did beat Arkansas by 18 last year and that was in Fayetteville. The Razorbacks are basically where Auburn was at this time last season. The Hogs failed to win a single SEC game in Bret Bielema's first year here. But if the faithful need to draw inspiration from somewhere all they need to do is look across the field Saturday afternoon.

This SEC West rivalry has a history of upsets.  The dog has taken the game outright eight of the last 13 years. The home team is just 4-8 straight up.

Arkansas will be better this year as they've had a year to adjust to Bielema's system. I don't think Auburn will be able to match last year's magic per se.  They'll win here, but it will be closer than the oddsmakers projection.  1* free play.

NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Texas A&M vs. South Carolina
Total
57½ un-110
  at  BETONLINE
in 7h

Play on #133 Texas AM/134 South Carolina UNDER the TOTAL

Texas AM @ South Carolina-----I like this game to stay UNDER the Total on this Thursday Night as the College Football season in finally underway. This game is tricky for the linesmakers to set the 'total' because of the differences in both teams style of play. In 2013, Texas AM's lowest total was 63 and that was vs. Alabama. We saw a high total of 81 posted for them when they played SMU. The average total for the Aggies last season was 72.5 and they ended up averaging 76 total points scored. For South Carolina, their average Total last season was 52.5 . The highest total was at 63 when they played Clemson and the game went UNDER by 15 points, 31-17.

Looking at this game, the Total of 58 is about 2 touchdowns less for Texas AM from last season. I do think that these 14 points are warranted though as Johnny Manziel is worth every bit of 2 -3 touchdowns in my opinion. Not only is Manziel gone, but so is WR Mike Evans who was a #1 Draft Pick. Evans was Manziel's favorite target as he caught 12 touchdowns and seemed to catch anything thrown in his vicinity. Now the Aggies more than likely will be starting a rFR in Kyle Hill. Regardless of who gets the start, I do not see the offense putting up more then 20-24 points in this game on the road in a rowdy environment. I will also note the Gamecocks have only allowed an average of 20 ppg over the last 4 seasons. I can see a lot of Texas AM drives stalling out and settling for field goals as touchdowns will be hard to come by.

For South Carolina, they lose QB Connor Shaw who was a dynamic dual threat that threw for 24 TD's and ran for 6 more last season. The replacement is Dylan Thompson who is not as agile and is more of a pocket passer. South Carolina will rely on their running game behind one of the nation's premier backs in Mike Davis who will be running behind an offensive line that returns 113 career starts. I look for Spurrier to call a conservative game for Thompson and this in turn will see more clock usage because of the majority of running plays.

A&M's defense was terrible last year, but they return 9 on defense this season. They should have one of the better offensive lines in the nation as everybody returns after allowing 222 rushing yards a game in 2013, they can only improve as everybody has another year under their belt. Also, I like the secondary for Texas A&M to make big improvements as well and I see them holding South Carolina to 27-30 points in this game for an easy UNDER.

In closing, I expect both offenses to be conservative and not efficient in the red zone with new starting quarterbacks. I clearly feel the loss of Manziel will be huge to the Aggies as it will take time for this offense to find an identity. Look for the Texas A&M defense to play inspired tonight as well as they got torched last year and HC Sumlin is under pressure to make the proper changes this season.

There are some key trends as well that we will use to our advantage for this game. The UNDER is 5-2 in Texas A&M' last 7 road games. The UNDER is 6-1-1 in South Carolina's last 8 Thursday games and South Carolina ended the season on a 4-0 UNDER run in conference games.

Brandon Shively finished 2013 +$7,490 in all Football plays (55.6%) and is having a Monster 2014 season as he is +$19,460 in ALL Sports and is ready to drop HUGE Bombs on Vegas this season. 

NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Rutgers vs. Washington State
Rutgers
+8-109
  at  PINNACLE
in 11h

82814

College Football

Play on:  Rutgers+ over Washington State (First Meeting)

Site:  CenturyLink Field, Washington (Seattle)

I am making this call knowing I did radio for many years in ear shot of the Scarlet Knights campus. Would love to see the Rutgers alumni and students finally settle into a conference where they can compete at a high level, but the Big-10 is not their best chance of success.  Dancing in the Big East for 2+ decades, the AAC for a brief stint and now the Big-10 has to, initially, complicate the schools approach to recruiting 4* and 5* HS student athletes?  Washington State plays in their second home, the daily concubine of the Seattle Seahawks of the NFL.  A little unearthing stat to play havoc with your mental processing, the Cougars are 0-6 SU in the Super Bowl Champions building.

HC Kyle Flood (15-11) brings back 16 starters to the Rutgers football team, whereas HC Mike Leach (93-59) of Washington State returns 14 starters form 2013.  The Scarlet Knights are more run oriented than the Cougars who only run out of sheer boredom.  In 2013 RU averaged 26.5 points per game, while allowing 29.8 points per game.  Washington State put together an offense last year that rolled to 31.0 points per game, defensively allowing 39.5 points per.  WSU gave up 4.5 yards per carry and 5.9 yards per pass.  With those numbers it’s amazing they beat USC (10-4) and Arizona (8-5).  Overall Rutgers has a solid DL and LB corpse, but lacks the secondary to stay with the Cougars wide outs. Washington State has many issues on defense, but in the early going within the environment at Seattle, they should win this SU.  Now the key point, who grabs cash?  If the Scarlet Knights can go on the road to Fresno State (11-2) and lose by one-point 52-51 in game #1 last year, they should cover here as a road puppy 17-8 ATS L25 in that role.

We are rolling now in the Majors ranked #2 in TOTALS YTD...Triple Crown Packages are 4-1, 13-2 in selections.

NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Rutgers vs. Washington State
Washington State
-8-103
  at  PINNACLE
in 11h

Free Pick:

Washington State -8

Information that is in on this game is to bet it small.  Also this game fits my power rating module as Washington is predicted to win by 14.

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NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Ole Miss vs. Boise State
Ole Miss
-9½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 9h

        We like Ole Miss -9.5 here as we are getting 2 teams that certainly have a gap in talent level and an Ole Miss team that looks like it is ready to contend for SEC Title and certainly give Alabama a run for money.The Rebs had some issues with pass rush last year, but it looks like Freeze has tools in place to correct this and even with some new starters on offensive line, this Rebel team still has superior weapons at skill positions. This is a spot we expect Ole Miss to win by double digits! 

         Lee has NFL Preseason Game of Year up Saturday, so be sure to get on board as he is 7-3 in Preseason and on 21-11(66%) NFLX run going back to 2013!

NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Texas A&M vs. South Carolina
Texas A&M
+10½-110
  at  BETONLINE
in 7h

College Football Free Pick

This is the first ever meeting between the Aggies and Gamecocks.  Everyone knows that the Aggies lost two key offensive weapons in Johnny Manziel and Mike Evans. However, the cupboard is not bare for these guys.  With 5 returning starters back on offense from a team that avg 44.3-ppg over the last two seasons, they will still be good this season.  Kenny Hill will take over at QB this season and he extremely athletic.  The defense needs to get better and it will with 9 returning starters back.  This unit will improve as the season progresses.

The Cocks are loaded this year especially on the defensive side of the ball.  The offense will be improved this year as we look for the 34.1-ppg numbers to get better with 8 starters returning on offense.  Dylan Thomspon is no slouch at QB for the Cocks as he filled in nicely for Connor Shaw when he was injured.  Offensively, the Cocks will be led by RB Mike Davis. Look for him to put up big numbers this year.  Defensively, the Cocks are loaded with talent.  Last year it was all about Jadeveon Clowney and no one talked about the other contributors. The defense only allowed 20.3-ppg last year and those numbers will improve this season.

Texas A&M is 12-30 on the road since 1992.  Spurrier usually does his best in conference games as he is 90-65 ATS as a head coach with Florida and South Carolina.  Texas A&M falls into a negative 9-50 ATS stat indicator in this one. Look for this game to be a shootout as the public is on South Carolina.  Our ratings have South Carolina -10 so the line is fair but our computer is calling for a 4-point Cocks win.  South Carolina wins this by a touchdown.  South Carolina 34 Texas A&M 27

Make sure you check out all of Carolina Sports college football picks for week 1. They will be posted by Wednesday evening at 6:00 pm est.

NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Tulane vs. Tulsa
Tulane
+7-125
  at  5DIMES
in 9h

The Tulsa Golden Hurricanes, coming in off a terrible season, have to play with a strong effort that they absolutely need behind their running game, I expect a healthy dosage of Zack Langer throughout. Tulane needs to keep moving guys around on the defensive side of the ball, and I trust them to get things done in Tulsa, mainly by stopping the expected running game. Tulane plus the points here as your comp play. 

NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Temple vs. Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt
-13½-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 10h

Play On favorites of 10.5 to 21 points like Vanderbilt in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with four or more straight wins, with four or fewer defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. How this has worked in the past is the carryover effect of winning, especially against what is typically weaker non-conference competition which is weaker. Eventually, this likely catches up with these favorites but early in the campaign not so much which is why they are 22-3 ATS, 88 percent.

College football returns and Nobody is more ready than Doug Upstone (that's me) having spent months of preparation and being 52-26 in my last premium football plays. I have Four Big Games thus far and am ready to Bring You the Cash!

NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Texas A&M vs. South Carolina
South Carolina
-10½+100
  at  PINNACLE
in 7h

FREE PLAY

South Carolina returns a great defense and they will look to feast on a new QB making his first road start.  A&M finished 0-4 ATS in road games last year with their experienced offensive fire power, so it's not too much of a stretch to see that continue into the start of this year. 

The Aggies defense has been very bad and starting on the road against South Carolina's offensive line, and RB Mike Davis, will do them no favors.  The Gamecocks also start a new QB, but Dylan Thompson does have some experience and has more talent and experience around him, not to mention the comfort of the home crowd. 

The Gamecocks win, 34-17, in a very entertaining season kick-off.  

NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Tulane vs. Tulsa
Tulsa
-6½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 9h

Last season Ryan had another typical winning season posting a 48-28 ATS mark for a very solid 63.2% ATS mark. He went 5-1 ATS with his College Football Games of the Year as well. He is now entering his 21st season and has a DOG backed by a ton of research showing you why this will be an easy cover.  

5* graded play on Tulane as they take on Tulsa in College Football action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Tulane will win this game by 10 or more points. The one item I don't like is that the public has been backing Tulane since the line came out weeks ago. However, it is not at a level that would generate a 'red flag' situation. In those situations, more than 76% of the betting public is on the same side. The public doesn't always lose, but they certainly lose more than they win overall as a composite total. Tulsa returns just 5 starters on offense and I strongly believe they will struggle mightily in this game. The SIM projects that they will score 15 to 21 points. In past games, where Tulane has allowed this range of points they are 3-0 ATS over the past three seasons and 26-9 ATS since 1992. Further supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 35-9 ATS for 80% winners since 2003. Play against home teams (TULSA) first month of the season and after closing out last season with 4 or more losses in last 5 games and with 5 offensive starters returning. In this brief report, it shows clearly that Tulane is the play. 

NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Ole Miss vs. Boise State
Boise State
+10½-110
  at  5DIMES
in 9h

Boise State +10.5

This matchup between the Rebels and Broncos is an interesting one. If Ole Miss is as good as people say they are they should win with ease but I am not writing off Boise State so quickly now that Chris Petersen has moved on.

New coach Bryan Harsin knows what winning is all about up in Boise and the Broncos always play smart football. Plus this is a neutral site contest in SEC country which means that just as many might be rooting against the Rebels as for them.

The Broncs are a great underdog.

Take the Broncos +10.5.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

5* NCAAF FREE ATS Play

CFB Week 1 going up! NFL Picks (+1998) 54-30 L84 64%, NCAA-B Picks (+2615) 138-103 L241 57%, Football Picks (+2247) 69-42 L111 62%, NCAA-F Totals (+792) 22-13 L35 63% Runs! Top 5 Football capper in 2013/14! Time to invest in a *DISCOUNTED* season long subscription for NFL, or NCAAF or the COMBO plan with Ray! The man we call "The Razor" is ready to make the NFL and NCAA grid iron his personal stomping ground in 2014! Get in now and know you're guaranteed to make money this season betting on NFL & NCAA football!

NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Wake Forest vs. UL-Monroe
UL-Monroe
-2-110
  at  BMAKER
in 8h

Louisiana Monroe to win by 3+ points

This game opened with ULM a 4 point dogs at most books and has steadily been moving towards ULM in a 6 point swing to this point.  I don't think this will reach the key number of 3, as the line is trending back towards Wake.  I would not take ULM at anything higher than -2.5 and think it will be possible to get this at pick or -1.

Both of these teams are extremely young, but ULM has a serious experience edge in terms of returning contributors.  ULM is looking to temper the youth movement with a 5th year transfer QB Pete Thomas taking the reigns from star Kolton Browning who carried the offense on his back last season.  Thomas won't be as much of a running threat as Browning was but should get a bit more help from the skill spots as nearly everyone returns outside of Browning.  RB DeVontae McNeal was lost for the season, but he may be missed more as a returner than as a rushing threat.  ULM was a heavy pass driven team last season and will likely be so again this year as they return a talented slot receiver in Rashon Ceasar who accumulated 936 yards on only 64 catches and had a solid 67.7% catch rate.  If Thomas can establish some chemistry with Ceasar early that should lead to some opportunities for the rest of the receiving group against a defense that will likely struggle to generate a threatening pass rush versus a veteran offensive line (79 starts among 3 returning starters).

Wake's new coach Dave Clawson is a turnaround specialist coming off a very good rebuild of Bowling Green.  He inherits an incredibly young team and is starting a true freshman QB tonight.  John Wolford isn't going to be surrounded with a lot of veteran talent as the top two rushers and receivers are gone from last season's squad.  Wake was a team that struggled to generate a consistent rushing attack last season and may struggle again this year.  Wake returns several lineman with starting experience and will remain fairly young on the front line.

ULM returns a ton of experience on defense and really played well down the stretch last season.  This is the third year in the system for many of these players and ULM held Wake to 19 points at Wake last season with a four year starter at QB.  ULM runs a 3-3-5 that constantly shifts making Wolford's job even tougher.  Compound that with Wolford making his first start on the road and the ability for ULM to run in a ton of players in expected 90 degree heat, ULM's defense has a big advantage in this game when Wake has the ball.

Wake returns a lot of experience to the back seven, but are thin along the defensive line as they transition from a 3 man to a 4 man front.  Wake's secondary is talented and is headlined by two solid corners in Kevin Johnson and Merrill Noel who combined for 6 picks and 18 pass break ups last season.  The issue is they won't likely match up with Ceasar and Wake is going to struggle to provide a pass rush against ULM's scheme and line. 

Special teams are a likely wash in this game.  Neither of these offenses are likely to be consistent or explosive, but ULM's experience along the lines and especially on defense gives them a pretty solid edge to go along with their first home game opening weekend in years.  I look for ULM to take an early lead they never relinquish and win this game by 7 to 10 points.

NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Clemson vs. Georgia
Clemson
+7½-110
  at  5DIMES
in 2d

I like the Bulldogs to be improved this season but this line is way out of whack. Cole Stoudt will step in at QB after completing 47 of 59 passes for 415 yards and five touchdowns as Tajh Boyd's backup last year. He has looked the part for Clemson this Summer. The Bulldogs have won 16 of their last 17 home openers, but will begin the season without four-year starting QB Aaron Murray for this matchup. Hutson Mason takes over and should get better as the season progresses. Both teams have extra time to prepare for this first game. Georgia is just 4-9 against the spread as home favorites of late and 1-4 ATS as home chalk of 6 to 9 points. The Tigers are a good team and have done very well against SEC foes. Take the road dog!

Selection: Clemson Tigers +7.5

Prediction: Clemson 31    Georgia 34

NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Western Michigan vs. Purdue
Western Michigan
+10½-115
  at  PINNACLE
in 2d

The Purdue Boilermakers finished last season on a dismal 1-11 SU run including 10 straight losses and were punished in those games on the stat sheet getting uncerimoniously out gained by an average 177 yards and 23 points per game. . Meanwhile their MAC conference opponents today Western Michigan also had a horrid season, behind some very inexperienced kids in key positions. These young men are now much more experienced and have enough talent to surprise some folks. Also HC Fleck has done well on the recruiting trail, and landed a few quality options that could make a splash in the MAC this season.  Bottom line: Purdue;s HC Hazell  after coming over from Kent State was thought to have some weapons at his disposal, but as is evident by his overall numbers unable to utilize them. With that said, I just cant see the Boilmakers as a 10 point favorite right now based on last seasons futility and Im betting the value lays with backing what Im also betting- will be an improved version of the Mustangs in 2014. 

Boilermakers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. MAC.

Play on the Western Michigan Mustangs 1/2 unit comp selection 

NCAA-F  |  Aug 30, 2014
Idaho vs. Florida
Florida
-34-110
  at  BMAKER
in 2d

Florida -34

Florida is looking to bounce back from a very disappointing season in 2013. The offense is healthy and the defense is always Florida's strong suit. Look for Florida to make a statement that last season is behind them and look forward to a successful 2014 season.

Pick= Florida -34

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NFLX  |  Aug 28, 2014
Seattle Seahawks vs. Oakland Raiders
Seattle Seahawks
-5-107
  at  5DIMES
in 11h

Seattle knows they have a target on their backs after winning the Super Bowl and they've lived up to the challenge by rolling through their competition during Preseason play. We wagered on them during Week #2 and Week #3 this exhibition season and cashed both times, as they easily beat the Chargers, 41-14, and followed that victory up with a 28 point victory over Chicago, 34-6, last Friday.  Seattle heads to Oakland for their final Preseason game this Thursday knowing that they're 8-0 ATS in their final exhibition game of the season, including 4-0 ATS in their final game behind Head Coach Pete Carroll. Seahawks roll into the Regular season with a third straight exhibition victory.

 7* Play On Seattle

NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Ole Miss vs. Boise State
Ole Miss
-10½-110
  at  5DIMES
in 9h

Boise didn't beat any good teams last year and lost 5 games. The best in the mountain west ought to get a beat down going on the road against a loaded SEC team with a good senior QB.Bo Wallace the Mississippi QB is very good when healthy, he has gotten banged up during the SEC season each year but he should be just fine for this game.Defensively, the Rebels are led by sophomore defensive tackle Robert Nkemdiche (eight tackles for loss), senior free safety Cody Prewitt (six interceptions) and sophomore safety Tony Conner (66 tackles). There are 2 main reasons I love this game.New coach and systems for Boise in Week 1 will having them running around like chickens with no heads. Ole Miss D will be very talented and very hungry to win this game.

 

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THIS IS A 2 UNIT GAME FOR RUTGERS VS WASHINGTON STATE!

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NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Wake Forest vs. Louisiana Monroe
Total
45½ un-111
  at  PINNACLE
in 8h

Wake Forest/LA Monroe U45.5 1.1* FREE PLAY
Defense is always ahead of offense at this point in the year and for both Wake Forest and LA Monroe, I think offense is going to be their biggest uphill battle in the early going especially since they both have to replace a veteran starting QB.  These teams met in a 21-19 battle last year and I don't see any of these offenses putting up much.  Wake lost all of their top offensive starters and only averaged 18.3 per game last year while their defense is in good shape particularly in the secondary which just didn't give up big plays a year ago.

Dave Clawson takes over for Wake Forest and has a history for turning programs around, but not in year 1.  This will be an ugly game I think Wake will hang in there with their defense, but LA Monroe will hold on.  Wake is under 31-15 in their last 46 non conference games and 21-7 on the under in their last 28 overall.

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