Free Sports Picks

MLB  |  Jul 25, 2014
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
-134
  at  PINNACLE
in 10h

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Tampa Bay Rays -134

The Tampa Bay Rays are simply rolling right now.  They have won seven straight to get right back in the thick of the AL East and AL Wild Card races.  This team has been the best in baseball since late June, going 18-6 in their last 24 games overall.  I'll continue to ride this gravy train Friday.

That's especially the case with ace David Price on the mound.  The left-hander has claimed that he is pitching better than he ever has over the last month-plus.  He has gone 10-7 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 1.09 ERA and 0.811 WHIP in his last three.

Price has given up three earned runs or fewer in each of his last 10 starts.  The left-hander is also 10-7 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.086 WHIP in 23 career starts against Boston.  Jon Lester is pitching well this season, but he is 14-11 with a 4.10 ERA in 30 career starts against Tampa Bay.

Boston is bringing up the rear of the AL East at 47-55 as it has simply had a World Series hangover.  The Red Sox are 1-9 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Rays are 55-27 in Price's last 82 starts vs. AL East opponents.  Tampa Bay is 5-0 in Price's last five starts.  Bet the Rays Friday.

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MLB  |  Jul 25, 2014
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
-140
  at  PINNACLE
in 10h

Friday's MLB Free Pick   ---Tampa Bay Rays -140---

The Rays are the hottest team in baseball and I believe this is a great price to back them at home with their ace David Price on the mound. Price is 10-7 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.041 WHIP over 21 starts and has been lights out of late, posting a 1.09 ERA and 0.811 WHIP over his last 3 starts.

Key Trends - Boston is 1-9 in their last 10 games against a left-handed starter, 1-7 in their last 8 games played on astroturf and 6-13 in their last 19 as an underdog. Tampa Bay is 20-7 in their last 27 overall, 7-2 in Price's last 9 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 39-19 in his last 58 starts against a team with a losing record.

System - Play Against - Road teams (BOSTON) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games are 42-12 (78%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE RAYS -140!

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MLB  |  Jul 25, 2014
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
-111
  at  5DIMES
in 10h

I'm recommending a play on the Nationals on Friday.  The Reds enter the weekend series on a 0-6 slide, averaging just 2 rpg.  They're also on a 0-8 slide against right-handed starters and will face Tanner Roark tonight.  The Washington righty owns a 2.31 ERA & 1.15 WHIP in his last nine starts, spanning 58 1/3 innings.  While Simon owns strong numbers for the Reds, his lineup, sans Votto & Phillips, doesn't match Washington's, even with Ryan Zimmerman sidelined.  Jayson Werth (probable), Dennard Span, Anthony Rendon, and Ian Desmond are all producing strong offensive numbers of late.  The Nats head into this one on a 55-25 winning run as road chalk and they're "catching" the Reds at the right time, in my opinion.  I'm recommending a play on the Nationals on Friday.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

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MLB  |  Jul 25, 2014
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Total
8 ov-124
  at  PINNACLE
in 13h

Friday MLB Free Play from Doc’s Sports Take Detroit Tigers/Los Angeles Angels OVER 8 (Friday, 10:10pm EST) Two of the American League’s offensive powerhouses hook up on Friday night in Anaheim as the Angels host the Tigers. There’s no question that both of these teams can hit, evidenced by their numbers this season and in the past. However, that’s not the main reason that we like this game to go Over the total. Neither Tyler Skaggs nor Drew Smyly is throwing the ball very well lately, and these are not the kinds of teams that you all of a sudden figure it out against. Skaggs has given up five runs and six runs, respectively in each of his last two outings.  And neither was against a strong hitting team as he pitched against the Mariners and Rangers. For Smyly, he’s been in a funk recently as well. Over his last four starts, the left-hander has a robust 5.91 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. The Tigers also have a susceptible bullpen that may get some heavy work in this one. The Angels improved their bullpen significantly with some recent trades, but they still have some holes in middle relief. It’s hard to imagine a low scoring affair in this one, so we’ll play Over the total. 

MLB  |  Jul 25, 2014
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
+104
  at  PINNACLE
in 11h

Free Pick on Chicago White Sox +

The White Sox are once again showing great value against the Twins. Chicago cashed in on Thursday as a big road underdog and I look for them to carry over that momentum on Friday. I believe the White Sox have a huge edge on the mound with John Danks going up against the Twins' Kevin Correia.

Danks comes in with a not so impressive 4.35 ERA and 1.419 WHIP over 20 starts, but those poor numbers can be pinpointed to 4 really bad starts where he allowed 7 earned runs or more, including his most recent start at Houston. When you look past those horrible outings, you find a pitcher that has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 11 of his last 14 starts. On top of that, Danks is 8-4 with a much more respectable 3.68 ERA over 14 starts in night games. Corriea on the other hand is 2-7 with a 6.33 ERA and 1.556 WHIP at home and 2-6 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.488 WHIP in night games.

If you go back over previous seasons, Correia is just 6-22 in his last 28 starts at night and 3-13 in his last 16 starts at home. Plus, Minnesota is just 6-26 in their last 31 home games against AL teams with a batting average of .255 or worse. These three trends combine to form a massive 80% (61-15) system in favor of the White Sox. Take Chicago!

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MLB  |  Jul 25, 2014
Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
-117
  at  BETONLINE
in 11h


On Friday the Free MLB Play is on the KC. Royals. Game 924 at 8:10 eastern. The Royals fit a nice system here that has cashed 9 of 10 times playing on home favorites with a total of 8 or less that won as a home favorite by 1 run at less than -140 last night and scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits and had no errors, vs an opponent off a road dog loss and also scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits . The Royals have won 3 of 4 at home off a 1 run home win if they scored 2 or less runs. Cleveland has lost 14 of 22 here in KC, including the last 3. KC has the pitching edge with Ventura who has been slid in 3 starts against Cleveland allowing just 3 earned runs in 21 innings. Ventura has a superb 1.29 era in his last 3 starts. Tomlin for the Tribe has hit the skids losing his last 3 starts with a 6.88 era. Look for KC To Take another from Cleveland. On Friday there are 3 Huge Totals up in MLB Action led by the A.L. East total of the Year from a Huge 18-1 System, there is a Triple Perfect Late Totals system and a 90% Early evening totals system and a Never lost Dog with Bite system. Jump on all 4 and start the weekend big with the Most Powerful data out there. For the free Play take. Kansas City. RV

MLB  |  Jul 25, 2014
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
-168
  at  5DIMES
in 11h

This is a 1* Free Play on the Atlanta Braves.

I think the Braves are worth the price at home here. The visiting Padres will turn to rookie Jesse Hahn (5-2, 2.21 ERA); note that the right-hander was optioned to Triple A to continue pitching during the All-Star break. The Braves will start a promising young pitcher as well in Alex Wood (7-7, 3.24 ERA), who was solid in his last outing, limiting the Phillies to one run over six innings in the victory. The pitching matchup would seem to be a “wash”, but I’ll give the slight nod to Wood because of the home field advantage. Atlanta also has the advantage considering the Padres just played a late game in Chicago; and note that Atlanta is 10-6 as a home favorite in the -150 to -160 range this season. While Hahn has been pretty good so far at the professional ranks, I think the book is still out on him, the sample size is still too small in my opinion. Consider laying the “Wood” on Atlanta.

AAA Sports

MLB  |  Jul 25, 2014
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
-115
  at  BETONLINE
in 10h

072514

Arizona (Miley -1.15) over Philadelphia (Kendrick) @ 7:05 Eastern

Philadelphia is coming off a much needed series closing win over the Giants behind lefty Cole Hamels who is on an incredible run via quality starts.  Tonight, though, the Phillies return to action when Arizona comes to town.  The Phillies are 6-2 L8 in the series 13-3 in Philly vs. Arizona.  Actually, Arizona has a better road mark at 23-25 than the Phillies home record of 20-32.  For Arizona lefty Miley hits the hill with 4 straight quality starts.  The D’backs have won Miley’s last three team starts behind 20 2-2/3 innings and a 1.74 ERA.  Arizona is a PERFECT 5-0 off a loss and 4-0 vs. a losing unit.  Philadelphia is 3-10 in Kyle Kendrick’s L13 team starts.  Critical the Phillies are 0-6 as an underdog.  The club house in Philadelphia is riddled with trade talk because of aging veterans and inconsistent play up and down the lineup.  Manager Sandberg is trying to make changes, but the Phillies are hitting only .238 as team #27 in baseball.  Actually, Arizona is a better hitting unit #17  with a decent .256 average.  With the D’backs performing much better in July, I will take a ticket with the visitor.

MLB  |  Jul 25, 2014
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
-115
  at  5DIMES
in 12h

Pittsburgh -115

The Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 and getting key hits from Andrew McCutcheon and the rest of their underrated lineup. The Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 games and are off a nice home win against Stephen Strasburg to prevent a sweep from the Washington Nationals. The Rockies are without SS Troy Tulowitzi and Justin Morneau and that should hurt their offense.

Take the Pittsburgh Pirates -115 as our FREE PLAY for Friday and check out our WNBA TOTAL in the PREMIUM PLAYS!

MLB  |  Jul 25, 2014
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Total
7½ ov-105
  at  PINNACLE
in 10h

FREE MLB Over-Under FRIDAY  (7-25-14)

WASHINGTON NATIONALS @ CINCINNATI REDS  (7:10 PM EST)

PLAY ON: OVER 7.5 -105  (MLB)

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