The start of the 2017 MLB regular season is just around the corner. Now is the time to get in your future bets for the upcoming year.
The focus for this article will be on the Cy Young award, but there’s other betting options out there. One that goes right along with this one, is the MVP betting odds.
Another popular future bet is regular season win totals. Each team has a set number of wins and you bet over or under based on how many you think they will get.
Of course, the biggest future wager of them all is the World Series odds.
For now, let’s turn our attention to the aces of this season and their odds to win the coveted Cy Young title.
Updated Odds to win the 2017 National League Cy Young Award
Before we dig into this year’s candidates, let’s take a second to look back to last season. There was plenty of controversy over the NL winner last year. When it was all said and done, Washington’s Max Scherzer took home the hardware. Scherzer had a league-best 20 wins and 284 strikeouts. He also led all of baseball with a 0.968 WHIP and NL-leading 6.2 WAR.
Scherzer had 192 total points in the voting. Chicago Cubs’ ace Jon Lester was 2nd with 102 and his teammate Kyle Hendricks was 3rd with 85. It’s not so much that Hendricks finished 3rd that had some scratching their heads, it was by how much he lost by. Hendricks had a league best 2.13 ERA. It was almost as if Hendricks was punished for his lack of strikeouts (170), as he won 16 games.
It’s almost as if the number of strikeouts is more important than the number of runs you allow. Doesn’t seem right to me, but it’s definitely something to keep in mind when making your wagers on this prop bet.
|Clayton Kershaw (LAD)||+130|
|Max Scherzer (WSH)||+450|
|Noah Syndergaard (NYM)||+700|
|Madison Bumgarner (SF)||+800|
|Jacob deGrom (NYM)||+1000|
|Jake Arrieta (CHC)||+1400|
|Stephen Strasburg (WSH)||+1400|
|Jon Lester (CHC)||+1800|
|Johnny Cueto (SF)||+2200|
|Zack Greinke (ARI)||+2500|
|Matt Harvey (NYM)||+2500|
|Carlos Martinez (STL)||+2800|
|Gerrit Cole (PIT)||+2800|
|Kyle Hendricks (CHC)||+3300|
|Jon Gray (COL)||+3300|
|Kenta Maeda (LAD)||+4000|
|Adam Wainwright (STL)||+4000|
|Steven Matz (NYM)||+5000|
|Jameson Taillon (PIT)||+5000|
|Jeff Samardzija (SF)||+8000|
Not a big surprise to find Clayton Kershaw as the overwhelming favorite to win. Kershaw is widely considered the best pitcher in the game. He’s already won the award 3 times in 9 big league seasons. That includes back-to-back titles in 2013 and 2014. Had it not been for a back injury that cost him the majority of the 2nd half, he likely would have won the award last year. Note that he was listed at -140 odds to win in late June.
Scherzer is considered the clear-cut top contender to Kershaw at +450. The player with the next best odds is Noah Syndergaard at +700. Not to far back of Syndergaard you got Madison Bumgarner (+800) and Jacob deGrom (+1000).
Personally, I like to look for value when it comes to these future wagers. I think all three of Cubs starters on the list are worth a look. Those being 2015 winner Jake Arrieta (+1400), Lester (+1800) and Hendricks (+3300). I really think Hendricks is a major dark horse. He’s not going to have the strikeouts, but if he will get bonus points from the voters if he backs up his performance from last year.
One thing to keep in mind, is there could be a player not listed that wins. For example, I think Kershaw’s teammate Rich Hill is someone to keep an eye on. Hill has put up ridiculous numbers the last couple of years when healthy. He was in the mix for the AL Cy Young last year before being traded to the Dodgers.
Current American League Cy Young Betting Odds & Favorites to Win
Trying to predict the winner of the AL has been nearly impossible the last three seasons. Last year it was 200 to 1 long-shot Rick Porcello of the Red Sox who finished on top. The year before that it was 150 to 1 long shot Dallas Kuechel. Prior to Kuechel, it was Corey Kluber in 2014, who didn’t even have odds listed when the books first released them.
There was plenty of drama over the winner in the American League last year. Porcello won with 137 total points in voting, just edging out Justin Verlander with 132. The big talking point was that Verlander had 14 first place votes, while Porcello only had 8. The deciding factor was the 18 2nd place votes of Porcello compared to the mere 2 for Verlander.
These were the only two who thought they were deserving of the award. Corey Kluber, Chris Sale, Jose Quintana, Masahiro Tanaka, Aaron Sanchez and closer Zach Britton were all in contention. If that tells me anything, expect another wide-open race for the title in 2017.
|Chris Sale (BOS)||+200|
|Corey Kluber (CLE)||+300|
|Justin Verlander (DET)||+900|
|Yu Darvish (TEX)||+900|
|Carlos Carrasco (CLE)||+1000|
|Chris Archer (TB)||+1200|
|David Price (BOS)||+1400|
|Masahiro Tanaka (NYY)||+1600|
|Dallas Keuchel (HOU)||+2000|
|Cole Hamels (TEX)||+2000|
|Aaron Sanchez (TOR)||+2000|
|Danny Duffy (KC)||+2500|
|Felix Hernandez (SEA)||+2500|
|Kevin Gausman (BAL)||+2800|
|Lance McCullers (HOU)||+3300|
|Rick Porcello (BOS)||+3300|
|Drew Smyly (SEA)||+3300|
|Danny Salazar (CLE)||+4000|
|Jose Quintana (CWS)||+4000|
|Michael Fulmer (DET)||+4000|
|Michael Pineda (NYY)||+5000|
|Marcus Stroman (TOR)||+5000|
|Sonny Gray (OAK)||+5000|
|J.A. Happ (TOR)||+8000|
The odds on favorite in the AL is Chris Sale of the Boston Red Sox. Most presume that Sale is going to benefit from getting traded from a bad team (White Sox) to a contender. It certainly should help him reach or come close to the 20-win mark. My big concern is he goes from playing the majority of his games against the AL Central to the loaded AL East. He might be the favorite, but I’m not a buyer, especially at just +200.
With no clear top dog like Kershaw in the National League, I’m willing to gamble a little more. Tanaka (+1600), Cole Hamels (+2000), Danny Salazar (+4000) and even Marcus Stroman (+5000) are all worth a shot if you ask me.
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