Have you ever wondered what the chances of a team winning was based off of the money line for the game?  That’s a key part of understanding money line bets. First, we have a simple calculator that you can use to plug in any moneyline (American style odds) and quickly get the fair market probability that it implies. We’ve also included a chart below the calculator for reference, and to see how favorites and underdogs compare.

Money Line Calculator (Implied Probability)

The following chart shows how likely a team is to win based off the odds. This is helpful in handicapping because you can see just what percentage of your wagers you need to win at each given money line in order to profit.

The left chart is to be used for favorites, the right for underdogs.

Win % – Percentage of wins required to show a profit at a given money line.

For example, you would need to win 80% of all of your bets just to break even if you only bet on -400 money line favorites (over 80% to turn a profit).

Moneyline Conversion: Odds to Percentage Chart

 Favorites Underdogs Money Line Win % Money Line Win % -400 80.00% +400 20.00% -395 79.80% +395 20.20% -390 79.60% +390 20.40% -385 79.40% +385 20.60% -380 79.20% +380 20.80% -375 78.90% +375 21.10% -370 78.70% +370 21.30% -365 78.50% +365 21.50% -360 78.30% +360 21.70% -355 78.00% +355 22.00% -350 77.80% +350 22.20% -345 77.50% +345 22.50% -340 77.30% +340 22.70% -335 77.00% +335 23.00% -330 76.70% +330 23.30% -325 76.50% +325 23.50% -320 76.20% +320 23.80% -315 75.90% +315 24.10% -310 75.60% +310 24.40% -305 75.30% +305 24.70% -300 75.00% +300 25.00% -295 74.70% +295 25.30% -290 74.40% +290 25.60% -285 74.00% +285 26.00% -280 73.70% +280 26.30% -275 73.30% +275 26.70% -270 73.00% +270 27.00% -265 72.60% +265 27.40% -260 72.20% +260 27.80% -255 71.80% +255 28.20% -250 71.40% +250 28.60% -245 71.00% +245 29.00% -240 70.60% +240 29.40% -235 70.10% +235 30.00% -230 69.70% +230 30.00% -225 69.20% +225 31.00% -220 68.80% +220 31.00% -215 68.30% +215 32.00% -210 67.70% +210 32.00% -205 67.20% +205 33.00% -200 66.70% +200 33.00% -195 66.10% +195 34.00% -190 65.50% +190 34.00% -185 64.90% +185 35.00% -180 64.30% +180 36.00% -175 63.60% +175 36.00% -170 63.00% +170 37.00% -165 62.30% +165 38.00% -160 61.50% +160 38.00% -155 60.80% +155 39.00% -150 60.00% +150 40.00% -145 59.20% +145 41.00% -140 58.30% +140 42.00% -135 57.40% +135 43.00% -130 56.50% +130 43.00% -125 55.60% +125 44.00% -120 54.50% +120 45.00% -115 53.50% +115 47.00% -110 52.40% +110 48.00% -105 51.20% +105 49.00% -100 50.00% +100 50.00%