Want to add a little more flavor to your MLB betting this season? You should add baseball series betting to your repertoire.
WWagering on this is not the most common bet, and it is one that many bettors aren’t even aware of. In case you aren’t exactly sure what I’m referring to, this is what I mean.
In the simplest of phrases, you are wagering on which team you think will win a series. Here’s a quick example. Say the Chicago Cubs just took two of three over the Milwaukee Brewers in a 3-game set at Wrigley Field.
If you liked the Cubs to win, you could have placed a bet on them to win at least two of the three games.
These aren’t wagers you want to make a lot of during the season. However, there are a number of situations when these bets are very effective.
Understanding Why You Don’t Always Take Great Teams v. Bad Teams
You might be asking yourself, why not wait around and bet the best team against one of the worst.
It’s the same reason why betting only elite clubs on a daily basis isn’t a smart investment.
Betting on a team that’s considered elite in the eyes of the public, will require you to pay heavy juice.
It’s no different here. The bigger the perceived gap in talent between two teams, the more juice you will have to pay to place a bet.
If you only place bets on the best clubs against the worst, it will require you to hit at a very high rate to show a profit.
You also have to keep in mind that even the worst team in the MLB usually wins close to 40% of their games.
Here’s something to keep in mind. Bad teams will get motivated to play their best baseball against a top level opponent. On the flip side, the best team is likely to overlook a weak opponent and not give them their best effort.
Help Making Smart Picks & Additional Risk of the Unknown
Another thing to consider is the risk involved with key players not playing. Whether it’s a position player taking a day off or a starter getting skipped over in the rotation.
When betting on an individual game you can list pitchers. That’s not an option here. You must make this bet several games in advance.
Figuring out who the projected starters are isn’t that difficult. It becomes a problem if one suddenly gets sick or an injury flares up. Then you have a rookie from double-A or a member of the bullpen taking the mound.
I’m not trying to sour you on this type of betting by any means, but it’s something to consider when placing a wager.
Pitching changes are going to happen over the course of a season. It’s still the most critical thing to look at before placing a bet.
Where You Can Take Advantage of the Prices, Lines & Odds
If the price is good on the team you think will win the set, then by all means go after the books in those spots.
Sometimes a bet will help you get even better value on a team than playing each game individually.
Here’s an example to help explain what I’m saying. When a team’s ace is taking the mound in Game 1 of a series, you will almost always see that team heavily favored. Especially if they are at home and it’s considered to be one of the best starters in the game.
Instead of paying heavy juice on a money line bet in this spot, it’s often times worth looking at the series price. In fact, it might not be all that different than the odds for Game 1.
Much like betting on games individually, it is all about finding value.
Here’s some other things that I like to look for:
- Teams who will be sending out their top three starters against an opponent that just saw their three best starters pitch in the previous series.
- Teams with poor records who are playing well of late and going up against a team with a winning record that is in a slump, especially if they are playing at home.
- Teams who are coming off a long road trip that have a strong record at home.