NFL MVP Odds

Quarterbacks dominate the NFL MVP board almost every year, and the 2026 NFL season isn’t shaping up any different. 181 players have a number attached right now, priced across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel, 5 sportsbooks in all, last refreshed September 9, 2026. The names bunched at the top all share one thing in common: a team good enough to matter deep in the season.

Josh Allen leads that group at +650, trailed closely by Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert, and that tight bunching near the top says the market already knows how short this list really is. Everything past the top handful is a longshot bet on a season nobody’s forecasting yet.

2026 NFL MVP award Odds

Updated Thursday, September 24 · best price across 5 booksbet365BetMGMDraftKingsCaesarsFanDuel
Favorite#1
Josh Allen
+28026.3% implied · DraftKings
7d –open -9%
Second favorite#2
Lamar Jackson
+90010.0% implied · BetMGM
7d –open +23%
Third favorite#3
Brock Purdy
+9509.5% implied · FanDuel
7d –open -43%
#PlayerBest priceBookImplied7 daysSince start
1Josh Allen+280DraftKings26.3%–-9%
2Lamar Jackson+900BetMGM10.0%–+23%
3Brock Purdy+950FanDuel9.5%–-43%
4Joe Burrow+950FanDuel9.5%–-23%
5Patrick Mahomes+1000FanDuel9.1%–-47%
6Dak Prescott+2000FanDuel4.8%–-22%
7Trevor Lawrence+2200FanDuel4.3%–+29%
8Matthew Stafford+2200DraftKings4.3%–-20%
9Drake Maye+2500Caesars3.8%–even
10Jalen Hurts+2500BetMGM3.8%–even
11Jordan Love+4000FanDuel2.4%–+20%
12Caleb Williams+4000FanDuel2.4%––
Show all 167 playersShow fewer
13Tyler Shough+5000BetMGM2.0%–-38%
14Jared Goff+5000BetMGM2.0%–even
15Bo Nix+8000FanDuel1.2%–even
16Jahmyr Gibbs+8000BetMGM1.2%–-8%
17Bryce Young+8000BetMGM1.2%–-47%
18Jaxon Smith-Njigba+10000BetMGM1.0%–-43%
19Kyler Murray+11000DraftKings0.9%–-20%
20Kenneth Walker+12500bet3650.8%–-17%
21Baker Mayfield+12500BetMGM0.8%–+85%
22Justin Herbert+15000FanDuel0.7%–+140%
23Derrick Henry+15000BetMGM0.7%–+11%
24C.J. Stroud+15000FanDuel0.7%–+20%
25Sam Darnold+20000Caesars0.5%–even
26Jonathan Taylor+20000BetMGM0.5%–even
27Christian McCaffrey+20000bet3650.5%–+33%
28Kirk Cousins+25000BetMGM0.4%–-25%
29Bijan Robinson+25000BetMGM0.4%–+50%
30Daniel Jones+25000BetMGM0.4%–+33%
31Michael Penix+25000Caesars0.4%–-20%
32Puka Nacua+50000FanDuel0.2%–-40%
33Aaron Rodgers+50000FanDuel0.2%–+33%
34Cam Ward+50000BetMGM0.2%–-17%
35Malik Willis+50000BetMGM0.2%–+67%
36CeeDee Lamb+50000BetMGM0.2%–-17%
37Geno Smith+50000Caesars0.2%–+29%
38Jacoby Brissett+50000BetMGM0.2%–-17%
39Saquon Barkley+50000FanDuel0.2%–+14%
40Ja’Marr Chase+50000FanDuel0.2%–+25%
41James Cook+50000BetMGM0.2%–even
42Justin Jefferson+50000BetMGM0.2%–+40%
43Davante Adams+50000FanDuel0.2%––
44Travis Hunter+50000Caesars0.2%–even
45Ashton Jeanty+50000BetMGM0.2%–+17%
46Trey McBride+50000BetMGM0.2%–even
47Amon-Ra St. Brown+50000BetMGM0.2%–-25%
48Will Anderson+50000BetMGM0.2%–even
49T.J. Watt+50000BetMGM0.2%–even
50Tetairoa McMillan+50000BetMGM0.2%–even
51Nico Collins+50000BetMGM0.2%–+50%
52Maxx Crosby+50000Caesars0.2%–even
53Nick Bosa+50000BetMGM0.2%–-10%
54Zay Flowers+50000Caesars0.2%––
55Aidan Hutchinson+50000BetMGM0.2%–even
56George Pickens+50000bet3650.2%–even
57De’Von Achane+50000DraftKings0.2%–+11%
58Drake London+50000BetMGM0.2%–+11%
59Brock Bowers+50000bet3650.2%–even
60Fernando Mendoza+50000DraftKings0.2%–+67%
61Jeremiyah Love+50000bet3650.2%–even
62Tua Tagovailoa+50000bet3650.2%–+67%
63Deshaun Watson+50000bet3650.2%–+25%
64Garrett Wilson+50000bet3650.2%–even
65Tee Higgins+50000DraftKings0.2%–even
66Courtland Sutton+50000Caesars0.2%––
67Chase Brown+50000Caesars0.2%––
68Marvin Harrison+50000Caesars0.2%––
69Malik Nabers+60000DraftKings0.2%–+25%
70Nik Bonitto+75000Caesars0.1%–-10%
71Travis Etienne+75000Caesars0.1%–even
72Brian Burns+75000Caesars0.1%––
73Danielle Hunter+75000Caesars0.1%–-10%
74Rashee Rice+75000Caesars0.1%–even
75Breece Hall+75000Caesars0.1%–even
76Sam LaPorta+75000Caesars0.1%––
77DK Metcalf+75000Caesars0.1%––
78Cam Skattebo+75000Caesars0.1%––
79Carnell Tate+75000Caesars0.1%––
80TreVeyon Henderson+75000Caesars0.1%––
81Rome Odunze+75000Caesars0.1%––
82Carson Wentz+80000DraftKings0.1%––
83Chris Olave+100000Caesars0.1%–even
84Cooper DeJean+100000Caesars0.1%––
85Emeka Egbuka+100000Caesars0.1%–even
86Fred Warner+100000Caesars0.1%–-20%
87Kyren Williams+100000Caesars0.1%–even
88Ladd McConkey+100000Caesars0.1%–even
89Abdul Carter+100000Caesars0.1%–even
90Jalen Carter+100000Caesars0.1%–-20%
91Javonte Williams+100000Caesars0.1%–even
92Mike Evans+100000Caesars0.1%–even
93Terry McLaurin+100000Caesars0.1%–even
94Christian Watson+100000Caesars0.1%–even
95Colston Loveland+100000Caesars0.1%–even
96Tucker Kraft+100000Caesars0.1%––
97Jakobi Meyers+100000Caesars0.1%––
98Derek Stingley+100000Caesars0.1%––
99Brian Thomas+100000Caesars0.1%––
100Stefon Diggs+100000Caesars0.1%––
101Tyler Warren+100000bet3650.1%––
102Pat Surtain+100000bet3650.1%–even
103Jared Verse+100000bet3650.1%–+33%
104Bucky Irving+100000Caesars0.1%––
105Travis Kelce+100000bet3650.1%–even
106Kyle Hamilton+100000bet3650.1%–even
107George Kittle+100000Caesars0.1%––
108Shedeur Sanders+100000DraftKings0.1%–+43%
Only one book still prices these
109Myles Garrett+15000BetMGM0.7%––
110Jameis Winston+40000DraftKings0.2%––
111Anthony Richardson+50000Caesars0.2%––
112A.J. Brown+50000BetMGM0.2%––
113Aaron Donald+50000BetMGM0.2%––
114Kayshon Boutte+50000FanDuel0.2%––
115Bhayshul Tuten+50000FanDuel0.2%––
116Isaiah Likely+50000FanDuel0.2%––
117Makai Lemon+50000FanDuel0.2%––
118Jacory Croskey-Merritt+50000FanDuel0.2%––
119Justin Fields+50000Caesars0.2%––
120Omarion Hampton+50000FanDuel0.2%––
121Michael Wilson+50000FanDuel0.2%––
122Ty Simpson+50000Caesars0.2%––
123Quentin Johnston+50000FanDuel0.2%––
124Joe Flacco+50000Caesars0.2%––
125Jaylen Warren+50000FanDuel0.2%––
126Tyreek Hill+50000Caesars0.2%––
127Mac Jones+50000Caesars0.2%––
128Jameson Williams+50000FanDuel0.2%––
129J.J. McCarthy+50000Caesars0.2%––
130Tony Pollard+50000FanDuel0.2%––
131Harold Fannin+50000FanDuel0.2%––
132Matthew Golden+50000FanDuel0.2%––
133D’Andre Swift+50000FanDuel0.2%––
134Brenton Strange+50000FanDuel0.2%––
135J.K. Dobbins+50000FanDuel0.2%––
136Quinshon Judkins+50000FanDuel0.2%––
137Mark Andrews+50000FanDuel0.2%––
138DeVonta Smith+50000FanDuel0.2%––
139Wan’Dale Robinson+50000FanDuel0.2%––
140Chris Godwin+50000FanDuel0.2%––
141Parker Washington+50000FanDuel0.2%––
142Rhamondre Stevenson+50000FanDuel0.2%––
143Luther Burden+50000FanDuel0.2%––
144Jalen Coker+50000FanDuel0.2%––
145Hunter Henry+50000FanDuel0.2%––
146Chuba Hubbard+50000FanDuel0.2%––
147David Montgomery+50000FanDuel0.2%––
148Jordan Addison+50000FanDuel0.2%––
149Romeo Doubs+50000FanDuel0.2%––
150DJ Moore+50000FanDuel0.2%––
151Jaylen Waddle+50000FanDuel0.2%––
152Rueben Bain+75000Caesars0.1%––
153Jadarian Price+75000Caesars0.1%––
154Jauan Jennings+75000Caesars0.1%––
155Bradley Chubb+75000Caesars0.1%––
156Jordyn Tyson+75000Caesars0.1%––
157Arvell Reese+75000Caesars0.1%––
158David Bailey+75000Caesars0.1%––
159Zack Baun+100000Caesars0.1%––
160Sauce Gardner+100000Caesars0.1%––
161Roquan Smith+100000Caesars0.1%––
162Quinn Ewers+100000Caesars0.1%––
163Christian Gonzalez+100000Caesars0.1%––
164Xavier Worthy+100000Caesars0.1%––
165Marcus Mariota+100000Caesars0.1%––
166RJ Harvey+100000Caesars0.1%––
167Dillon Gabriel+100000Caesars0.1%––

Best price is the longest number we found across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel. Implied probability strips nothing out; the whole board adds to more than 100% and that gap is the books’ margin. Movement is the change in what a winning dollar pays, so a move means the same thing at the top of the board and at the bottom; green means the price shortened. It reads across the books quoting a player both then and now, and a row too thinly quoted to compare shows a dash rather than a number. Since start runs from the first day we have every book’s price, which is not the market’s opening line.

A Trophy That Almost Always Finds a Quarterback

The MVP award talks about value, but in practice it goes to a quarterback on a team built for a top seed. That’s the identity of this market, and it should shape how you bet it. A stat-stuffing season on a losing team rarely gets rewarded here, so weigh team success and national exposure as heavily as raw numbers when you’re picking a side.

Because the award leans on perception, the price moves regularly based on nationally televised performances. The entry point on this bet is most of the wager. Get in before a signature win pushes a name up the board, and the return is worth chasing. Wait until after that game airs, and the value is already gone.

Favorites Win MVPs, Field Bets Rarely Do

Backing Josh Allen at +650 costs more because the market has already done the work: this is the quarterback most likely to finish the season on a top seed with the counting stats to match. That shape holds up year after year, and paying the shorter number on a real contender beats chasing a name buried on the board and hoping for a career year nobody sees coming.

Joe Burrow at +1000 and Justin Herbert at +1000 round out the group with a real path to winning. The middle of the board is where the pricing mistakes live, names that put up numbers early and get overpriced before the market catches up. The deepest name on the list, Tyler Warren, sits at +100000, a price built for a season nobody currently expects. That’s a lottery ticket, and it’s priced accordingly.

What the Number Really Says About Your Chances

Every MVP price converts to an implied probability, and that number already has the sportsbook’s cut baked in. +650 implies a 13.3% chance of actually winning the award, and every other price on the board carries the same kind of juice. Add up the whole board and it runs well past 100 percent, and that gap is the house’s edge sitting on top of every single name.

That’s exactly why shopping matters more in this market than in most others. Josh Allen might price at +650 at BetMGM and differently somewhere else across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel, and on a bet that can swing off one nationally televised performance, a few extra points of value compounds fast. Check the board before you bet, not after the number has already moved on you.

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