NFL MVP Odds

Quarterbacks dominate the NFL MVP board almost every year, and the 2026 NFL season isn’t shaping up any different. 63 players have a number attached right now, priced across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel, 5 sportsbooks in all, last refreshed October 23, 2026. The names bunched at the top all share one thing in common: a team good enough to matter deep in the season.

Josh Allen leads that group at +200, trailed closely by Brock Purdy and Patrick Mahomes, and that tight bunching near the top says the market already knows how short this list really is. Everything past the top handful is a longshot bet on a season nobody’s forecasting yet.

2026 NFL MVP Odds

Updated Friday, October 23 · best price across 5 booksbet365BetMGMDraftKingsCaesarsFanDuel
Favorite#1
Josh AllenQB · Bills
+20033.3% implied · Caesars
7d -25%open -35%
Second favorite#2
Brock PurdyQB · 49ers
+27027.0% implied · FanDuel
7d -25%open -84%
Third favorite#3
Patrick MahomesQB · Chiefs
+90010.0% implied · FanDuel
7d +31%open -43%
Movers this weekLamar Jackson+1200 → +3500+192%Dak Prescott+2200 → +6000+173%Matthew Stafford+2800 → +6000+114%Bijan Robinson+6000 → +12500+108%
#PlayerBest priceBookImplied7 daysSince start
1Josh AllenQB · Bills+200Caesars33.3%-25%-35%
2Brock PurdyQB · 49ers+270FanDuel27.0%-25%-84%
3Patrick MahomesQB · Chiefs+900FanDuel10.0%+31%-43%
4Trevor LawrenceQB · Jaguars+1100BetMGM8.3%+18%-29%
5Joe BurrowQB · Bengals+1200Caesars7.7%+10%even
6Drake MayeQB · Patriots+1700Caesars5.6%-17%-32%
7Jordan LoveQB · Packers+3500bet3652.8%-56%+40%
8Lamar JacksonQB · Ravens+4000FanDuel2.4%+192%+438%
9Jared GoffQB · Lions+4000BetMGM2.4%even-22%
10Bryce YoungQB · Panthers+5000BetMGM2.0%-20%-73%
11C.J. StroudQB · Texans+6000DraftKings1.6%-49%-23%
12Caleb WilliamsQB · Bears+6500FanDuel1.5%-31%–
Show all 63 playersShow fewer
13Matthew StaffordQB · Rams+6500FanDuel1.5%+114%+140%
14Jahmyr GibbsRB · Lions+6600BetMGM1.5%even-17%
15Dak PrescottQB · Cowboys+7000FanDuel1.4%+173%+233%
16Kenneth WalkerRB · Chiefs+8000BetMGM1.2%-37%-67%
17Bijan RobinsonRB · Falcons+15000BetMGM0.7%+108%+25%
18Kyler MurrayQB · Vikings+22500FanDuel0.4%-25%+50%
19Aaron RodgersQB · Steelers+30000BetMGM0.3%-17%+67%
20Jayden DanielsQB · Commanders+30000BetMGM0.3%even–
21Michael PenixQB · Falcons+30000BetMGM0.3%+67%even
22Bo NixQB · Broncos+30000BetMGM0.3%+33%+300%
23Travis HunterWR · Jaguars+30000bet3650.3%––
24Tyler ShoughQB · Saints+35000FanDuel0.3%+100%+285%
25Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · Seahawks+40000FanDuel0.2%+100%+14%
26Derrick HenryRB · Ravens+50000FanDuel0.2%+100%+122%
27Sam DarnoldQB · Seahawks+50000BetMGM0.2%+100%+167%
28Deshaun WatsonQB · Browns+50000BetMGM0.2%+9%-25%
29Kirk CousinsQB · Raiders+50000BetMGM0.2%+14%+100%
30Christian McCaffreyRB · 49ers+50000BetMGM0.2%+33%+167%
31Baker MayfieldQB · Buccaneers+50000BetMGM0.2%even+540%
32CeeDee LambWR · Cowboys+50000BetMGM0.2%+100%+45%
33James CookRB · Bills+50000BetMGM0.2%+43%+150%
34Puka NacuaWR · Rams+50000bet3650.2%+25%+100%
35Jacoby BrissettQB · Cardinals+50000bet3650.2%even+67%
36Aidan HutchinsonDE · Lions+50000bet3650.2%+11%+11%
37Ashton JeantyRB · Raiders+50000bet3650.2%even+67%
38Cam WardQB · Titans+50000bet3650.2%even+67%
39Geno SmithQB · Jets+50000bet3650.2%+67%+233%
40Justin HerbertQB · Chargers+50000bet3650.2%+25%+1900%
41Daniel JonesQB · Colts+50000bet3650.2%+43%+233%
42Chris OlaveWR · Saints+50000BetMGM0.2%––
43Ja’Marr ChaseWR · Bengals+50000bet3650.2%even+150%
44Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · Lions+50000bet3650.2%+11%+43%
45Nico CollinsWR · Texans+50000bet3650.2%––
46J.J. McCarthyQB · Giants+50000bet3650.2%––
47Jonathan TaylorRB · Colts+50000bet3650.2%+67%+233%
48Maxx CrosbyDE · Raiders+50000bet3650.2%––
49Justin JeffersonWR · Vikings+50000bet3650.2%+25%+100%
50Tetairoa McMillanWR · Panthers+50000bet3650.2%––
51Javonte WilliamsRB · Cowboys+50000BetMGM0.2%––
52Kyren WilliamsRB · Rams+50000bet3650.2%––
53Brock BowersTE · Raiders+75000Caesars0.1%eveneven
54T.J. WattLB · Steelers+75000Caesars0.1%+11%+11%
55Will AndersonDE · Texans+100000Caesars0.1%+5%+13%
56Drake LondonWR · Falcons+100000Caesars0.1%––
Only one book still prices these
57Myles GarrettDE · Rams+15000BetMGM0.7%––
58Christian WatsonWR · Packers+50000DraftKings0.2%––
59Malik WillisQB · Dolphins+50000BetMGM0.2%––
60A.J. BrownWR · Patriots+50000BetMGM0.2%––
61George PickensWR · Cowboys+50000BetMGM0.2%––
62Travis EtienneRB · Saints+50000BetMGM0.2%––
63Mike EvansWR · 49ers+50000BetMGM0.2%––

Best price is the longest number we found across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel. Implied probability strips nothing out; the whole board adds to more than 100% and that gap is the books’ margin. Movement is the change in what a winning dollar pays, so a move means the same thing at the top of the board and at the bottom; green means the price shortened. It reads across the books quoting a player both then and now, and a row too thinly quoted to compare shows a dash rather than a number. Since start runs from the first day we have every book’s price, which is not the market’s opening line.

A Trophy That Almost Always Finds a Quarterback

The MVP award talks about value, but in practice it goes to a quarterback on a team built for a top seed. That’s the identity of this market, and it should shape how you bet it. A stat-stuffing season on a losing team rarely gets rewarded here, so weigh team success and national exposure as heavily as raw numbers when you’re picking a side.

Because the award leans on perception, the price moves regularly based on nationally televised performances. Lamar Jackson drifted to +4000, a swing of 192% points, and one game is most of the reason why. The entry point on this bet is most of the wager. Get in before a signature win pushes a name up the board, and the return is worth chasing. Wait until after that game airs, and the value is already gone.

Favorites Win MVPs, Field Bets Rarely Do

Backing Josh Allen at +200 costs more because the market has already done the work: this is the quarterback most likely to finish the season on a top seed with the counting stats to match. That shape holds up year after year, and paying the shorter number on a real contender beats chasing a name buried on the board and hoping for a career year nobody sees coming.

Brock Purdy at +270 and Patrick Mahomes at +900 round out the group with a real path to winning. The middle of the board is where the pricing mistakes live, names that put up numbers early and get overpriced before the market catches up. The deepest name on the list, Drake London, sits at +100000, a price built for a season nobody currently expects. That’s a lottery ticket, and it’s priced accordingly.

What the Number Really Says About Your Chances

Every MVP price converts to an implied probability, and that number already has the sportsbook’s cut baked in. +200 implies a 33.3% chance of actually winning the award, and every other price on the board carries the same kind of juice. Add up the whole board and it runs well past 100 percent, and that gap is the house’s edge sitting on top of every single name.

That’s exactly why shopping matters more in this market than in most others. Josh Allen might price at +200 at Caesars and differently somewhere else across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel, and on a bet that can swing off one nationally televised performance, a few extra points of value compounds fast. Check the board before you bet, not after the number has already moved on you.

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