Quarterbacks dominate the NFL MVP board almost every year, and the 2026 NFL season isn’t shaping up any different. 63 players have a number attached right now, priced across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel, 5 sportsbooks in all, last refreshed October 23, 2026. The names bunched at the top all share one thing in common: a team good enough to matter deep in the season.
Josh Allen leads that group at +200, trailed closely by Brock Purdy and Patrick Mahomes, and that tight bunching near the top says the market already knows how short this list really is. Everything past the top handful is a longshot bet on a season nobody’s forecasting yet.
2026 NFL MVP Odds
| # | Player | Best price | Book | Implied | 7 days | Since start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh AllenQB · Bills | +200 | Caesars | 33.3% | -25% | -35% |
| 2 | Brock PurdyQB · 49ers | +270 | FanDuel | 27.0% | -25% | -84% |
| 3 | Patrick MahomesQB · Chiefs | +900 | FanDuel | 10.0% | +31% | -43% |
| 4 | Trevor LawrenceQB · Jaguars | +1100 | BetMGM | 8.3% | +18% | -29% |
| 5 | Joe BurrowQB · Bengals | +1200 | Caesars | 7.7% | +10% | even |
| 6 | Drake MayeQB · Patriots | +1700 | Caesars | 5.6% | -17% | -32% |
| 7 | Jordan LoveQB · Packers | +3500 | bet365 | 2.8% | -56% | +40% |
| 8 | Lamar JacksonQB · Ravens | +4000 | FanDuel | 2.4% | +192% | +438% |
| 9 | Jared GoffQB · Lions | +4000 | BetMGM | 2.4% | even | -22% |
| 10 | Bryce YoungQB · Panthers | +5000 | BetMGM | 2.0% | -20% | -73% |
| 11 | C.J. StroudQB · Texans | +6000 | DraftKings | 1.6% | -49% | -23% |
| 12 | Caleb WilliamsQB · Bears | +6500 | FanDuel | 1.5% | -31% | – |
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| 13 | Matthew StaffordQB · Rams | +6500 | FanDuel | 1.5% | +114% | +140% |
| 14 | Jahmyr GibbsRB · Lions | +6600 | BetMGM | 1.5% | even | -17% |
| 15 | Dak PrescottQB · Cowboys | +7000 | FanDuel | 1.4% | +173% | +233% |
| 16 | Kenneth WalkerRB · Chiefs | +8000 | BetMGM | 1.2% | -37% | -67% |
| 17 | Bijan RobinsonRB · Falcons | +15000 | BetMGM | 0.7% | +108% | +25% |
| 18 | Kyler MurrayQB · Vikings | +22500 | FanDuel | 0.4% | -25% | +50% |
| 19 | Aaron RodgersQB · Steelers | +30000 | BetMGM | 0.3% | -17% | +67% |
| 20 | Jayden DanielsQB · Commanders | +30000 | BetMGM | 0.3% | even | – |
| 21 | Michael PenixQB · Falcons | +30000 | BetMGM | 0.3% | +67% | even |
| 22 | Bo NixQB · Broncos | +30000 | BetMGM | 0.3% | +33% | +300% |
| 23 | Travis HunterWR · Jaguars | +30000 | bet365 | 0.3% | – | – |
| 24 | Tyler ShoughQB · Saints | +35000 | FanDuel | 0.3% | +100% | +285% |
| 25 | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · Seahawks | +40000 | FanDuel | 0.2% | +100% | +14% |
| 26 | Derrick HenryRB · Ravens | +50000 | FanDuel | 0.2% | +100% | +122% |
| 27 | Sam DarnoldQB · Seahawks | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | +100% | +167% |
| 28 | Deshaun WatsonQB · Browns | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | +9% | -25% |
| 29 | Kirk CousinsQB · Raiders | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | +14% | +100% |
| 30 | Christian McCaffreyRB · 49ers | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | +33% | +167% |
| 31 | Baker MayfieldQB · Buccaneers | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | even | +540% |
| 32 | CeeDee LambWR · Cowboys | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | +100% | +45% |
| 33 | James CookRB · Bills | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | +43% | +150% |
| 34 | Puka NacuaWR · Rams | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | +25% | +100% |
| 35 | Jacoby BrissettQB · Cardinals | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | even | +67% |
| 36 | Aidan HutchinsonDE · Lions | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | +11% | +11% |
| 37 | Ashton JeantyRB · Raiders | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | even | +67% |
| 38 | Cam WardQB · Titans | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | even | +67% |
| 39 | Geno SmithQB · Jets | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | +67% | +233% |
| 40 | Justin HerbertQB · Chargers | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | +25% | +1900% |
| 41 | Daniel JonesQB · Colts | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | +43% | +233% |
| 42 | Chris OlaveWR · Saints | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | – | – |
| 43 | Ja’Marr ChaseWR · Bengals | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | even | +150% |
| 44 | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · Lions | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | +11% | +43% |
| 45 | Nico CollinsWR · Texans | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | – | – |
| 46 | J.J. McCarthyQB · Giants | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | – | – |
| 47 | Jonathan TaylorRB · Colts | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | +67% | +233% |
| 48 | Maxx CrosbyDE · Raiders | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | – | – |
| 49 | Justin JeffersonWR · Vikings | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | +25% | +100% |
| 50 | Tetairoa McMillanWR · Panthers | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | – | – |
| 51 | Javonte WilliamsRB · Cowboys | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | – | – |
| 52 | Kyren WilliamsRB · Rams | +50000 | bet365 | 0.2% | – | – |
| 53 | Brock BowersTE · Raiders | +75000 | Caesars | 0.1% | even | even |
| 54 | T.J. WattLB · Steelers | +75000 | Caesars | 0.1% | +11% | +11% |
| 55 | Will AndersonDE · Texans | +100000 | Caesars | 0.1% | +5% | +13% |
| 56 | Drake LondonWR · Falcons | +100000 | Caesars | 0.1% | – | – |
| Only one book still prices these | ||||||
| 57 | Myles GarrettDE · Rams | +15000 | BetMGM | 0.7% | – | – |
| 58 | Christian WatsonWR · Packers | +50000 | DraftKings | 0.2% | – | – |
| 59 | Malik WillisQB · Dolphins | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | – | – |
| 60 | A.J. BrownWR · Patriots | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | – | – |
| 61 | George PickensWR · Cowboys | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | – | – |
| 62 | Travis EtienneRB · Saints | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | – | – |
| 63 | Mike EvansWR · 49ers | +50000 | BetMGM | 0.2% | – | – |
Best price is the longest number we found across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel. Implied probability strips nothing out; the whole board adds to more than 100% and that gap is the books’ margin. Movement is the change in what a winning dollar pays, so a move means the same thing at the top of the board and at the bottom; green means the price shortened. It reads across the books quoting a player both then and now, and a row too thinly quoted to compare shows a dash rather than a number. Since start runs from the first day we have every book’s price, which is not the market’s opening line.
A Trophy That Almost Always Finds a Quarterback
The MVP award talks about value, but in practice it goes to a quarterback on a team built for a top seed. That’s the identity of this market, and it should shape how you bet it. A stat-stuffing season on a losing team rarely gets rewarded here, so weigh team success and national exposure as heavily as raw numbers when you’re picking a side.
Because the award leans on perception, the price moves regularly based on nationally televised performances. Lamar Jackson drifted to +4000, a swing of 192% points, and one game is most of the reason why. The entry point on this bet is most of the wager. Get in before a signature win pushes a name up the board, and the return is worth chasing. Wait until after that game airs, and the value is already gone.
Favorites Win MVPs, Field Bets Rarely Do
Backing Josh Allen at +200 costs more because the market has already done the work: this is the quarterback most likely to finish the season on a top seed with the counting stats to match. That shape holds up year after year, and paying the shorter number on a real contender beats chasing a name buried on the board and hoping for a career year nobody sees coming.
Brock Purdy at +270 and Patrick Mahomes at +900 round out the group with a real path to winning. The middle of the board is where the pricing mistakes live, names that put up numbers early and get overpriced before the market catches up. The deepest name on the list, Drake London, sits at +100000, a price built for a season nobody currently expects. That’s a lottery ticket, and it’s priced accordingly.
What the Number Really Says About Your Chances
Every MVP price converts to an implied probability, and that number already has the sportsbook’s cut baked in. +200 implies a 33.3% chance of actually winning the award, and every other price on the board carries the same kind of juice. Add up the whole board and it runs well past 100 percent, and that gap is the house’s edge sitting on top of every single name.
That’s exactly why shopping matters more in this market than in most others. Josh Allen might price at +200 at Caesars and differently somewhere else across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel, and on a bet that can swing off one nationally televised performance, a few extra points of value compounds fast. Check the board before you bet, not after the number has already moved on you.

