NFL survivor pools are becoming more and more popular every season. If you aren’t familiar with survivor pools, they also go by the names of suicide pools, eliminators, or knockout pools.
They basically work like this: Each week you pick one team that you think will win their game outright. The catch is that you are only able to use each team one time.
As easy as this might sound, it’s a lot harder than you think. The parity in the NFL makes it tough to consistently pick outright winners. Especially once you’ve used up some of the best teams in the league. The last man (or woman) standing wins the pool and the pot.
Each week I’m going to post the teams that I feel are your best bets for the week, those that are on the bubble, and those that I think you should avoid (that you might be tempted to take) if at all possible.
The strongest tool I use is the NFL lines. The bigger the favorite the more likely they are to win the game. But, I also use the same logic as I do when handicapping the point spreads. For more great free content this week check out my teaser of the week.
Week 10 NFL Last Man Standing Pool Picks
My Best Survivor Pick – Week 10
I like to give out what I think is the best value play on the board. What I’m referring to as value, is a team that has a high percentage chance of winning this week, who doesn’t figure to a strong play in upcoming weeks. This allows you to save a lot of the elite teams for later when others have already used them up.
- Los Angeles Chargers (@ Oakland Raiders) – I think Jon Gruden and the Raiders management have made it pretty clear they are looking ahead to the future. If you are going to trade your best players away to stockpile draft picks, you might as well throw the rest of your games and do whatever you can to get the No. 1 overall pick. To lose 34-3 to the 49ers with Nick Mullens making his first career start, tells you everything you need to know. They had to pull Derek Carr because the offensive line couldn’t protect him. No way is Philip Rivers and the Chargers losing this one, as they continue to stay within striking distance of KC.
Top Teams This to Back This Week
- Kansas City Chiefs (vs Arizona Cardinals) – This is the most obvious choice on the board, but chances are you may have used up the Chiefs. KC is also a team that will continue to be a great option going forward. Hard to see the Chiefs losing at home to a Cardinals team that struggles to score. There’s not a defense out there that can contain this offense at home. Your only hope of beating them in Arrowhead is to outscore them. Arizona is a massive 16.5-point dog for a reason. They got no shot at winning.
- Green Bay Packers (vs Miami Dolphins) – Hard to not like the Packers beating the Dolphins at home. Green Bay is getting to the point where they might need to win the NFC North to make the playoffs. Either way, this is one they have to have and it’s hard to bet against Aaron Rodgers at home in this spot against a team like the Dolphins.
- Philadelphia Eagles (vs Dallas Cowboys) – This might surprise some of you, as most probably assumed I would have the Rams listed here, as LA is a double-digit favorite. I just like the Eagles that much more. Philadelphia has too much talent to keep struggling and I think we will see a different Eagles team coming out of their bye. As for the Cowboys, they just don’t have the talent offensively to be taken seriously, especially on the road.
Suicide Teams to Avoid This Week
- Indianapolis Colts (vs Jacksonville Jaguars) – It might be tempting to play the Colts and fade the Jaguars, who have lost 4 straight and not exactly looked great in the process. I got a sneaky feeling that Jacksonville is going to save their season with a win here. They got the talent defensively to slow down Andrew Luck and the Colts and the offense should be able to move the ball and put up points on this Indy defense.
- New Orleans Saints (@ Cincinnati Bengals) – I’m not saying New Orleans won’t keep this thing going, but this is definitely a big letdown spot for the Saints off that huge win over the Rams. Keep in mind prior to that game against LA they played too physical games on the road vs the Ravens and Vikings. While New Orleans is potentially running on fumes, Cincinnati is coming in well rested off of their bye and will be extremely motivated to get a win at home against one of the best teams in the league.
- Atlanta Falcons (@ Cleveland Browns) – Here’s another one that might look tempting to some. Atlanta has won 3 straight and just rolled the Redskins 38-14 on the road last Sunday. Tough to win back-to-back on the road and is it really worth getting excited about a winning streak over the Bucs, Giants and Redskins. Browns were in a tough spot last week at home against the Chiefs juggernaut of an offense. I think this team is going to pull off some big upsets under interim head coach Gregg Williams and it wouldn’t surprise me at all if they took down Atlanta.