NFL survivor pools are becoming more and more popular every season. If you aren’t familiar with survivor pools, they also go by the names of suicide pools, eliminators, or knockout pools.
They basically work like this: Each week you pick one team that you think will win their game outright. The catch is that you are only able to use each team one time.
As easy as this might sound, it’s a lot harder than you think. The parity in the NFL makes it tough to consistently pick outright winners. Especially once you’ve used up some of the best teams in the league. The last man (or woman) standing wins the pool and the pot.
Each week I’m going to post the teams that I feel are your best bets for the week, those that are on the bubble, and those that I think you should avoid (that you might be tempted to take) if at all possible.
The strongest tool I use is the NFL lines. The bigger the favorite the more likely they are to win the game. But, I also use the same logic as I do when handicapping the point spreads. For more great free content this week check out my teaser of the week.
Week 11 NFL Last Man Standing Pool Picks
Best Survivor Team Pick – Week 11
- Kansas City Chiefs (@ New York Giants) – If you still have the Chiefs as an option, now is the time to let them loose. The Giants are a complete mess right now and have thrown the towel in on their season. Not to mention they are completely outclassed in terms of talent. The biggest thing is Kansas City is coming off a bye and it’s a spot where Andy Reid coached teams have excelled. In fact, Reid is 19-3 SU off a bye week. The Chiefs are also a perfect 9-0 SU in their last 9 games against a team that’s allowing 24 or more points/game.
Top Bubble Teams This Week
- New Orleans Saints (vs Washington Redskins) – The Saints are riding a 7-game winning streak and needless to say they are playing their best football of the season right now. New Orleans is also the second biggest favorite on the board this week and should be able to make easy work of a Redskins team that has really faded in the 2nd half with all the injuries they suffered on both sides of the ball. Look for the Saints to make it 8 in a row on Sunday.
- Pittsburgh Steelers (vs Tennessee Titans) – The Steelers haven’t looked great in their last two games against the Lions and Colts, but both of those came on the road. Pittsburgh is a completely different team at home and will have an even bigger edge with this being a Thursday night matchup. Tennessee is also a team that has had all kinds of trouble on the road. The Titans biggest trouble away from home is their offense has struggled to produce and figure to do so again against this talented Steelers defense.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (@ Cleveland Browns) – Congrats to anyone who has made it this far by just fading the Browns on a regular-basis.Hard to not like going against Cleveland yet again, as this looks like a horrible matchup for the Browns. The Jaguars have arguably the league’s best defense and will be facing an anemic Cleveland offense that constantly turns the ball over (at least 2 turnovers in each of their last 5 games). Even if Jacksonville’s offense struggles, which I doubt it will, the Browns don’t figure to score enough to get that elusive first win of the season.
Suicide Teams to Avoid This Week
- Philadelphia Eagles (@ Dallas Cowboys) – The Eagles have the best record in the NFL, are coming off a bye and Dallas managed just 7-points in a 20-point blowout loss at Atlanta in their first game without Ezekiel Elliott. Even with all those factors pointing towards a Philadelphia win, I think Dallas has a shot here. You can never count out a division home dog and there’s a little extra incentive here with this game being in prime time on Sunday Night Football.
- Minnesota Vikings (vs Los Angeles Rams) – This is more of a stay away game than anything. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Vikings pulled out the win, but at the same time, the Rams are not a team that I have any interest in going against this late in the season.
- New England Patriots (@ Oakland Raiders) – It’s worth noting that this is not a home game for the Raiders, as this will be played in Mexico City. I know the Patriots are close to a touchdown favorite, but I don’t love the spot here for New England. As good as they looked agains the Broncos in prime time on Sunday Night Football, Denver is broken right now. That’s not the same elite defense that we saw at the beginning of the season. This also feels like the Raiders last stand. Oakland is still in the AFC Wild Card race, even at 4-5, as Buffalo currently has the last spot and they are just 5-4. If that old Patriots defense that started the season so bad shows up, the Raiders will have a legit shot at a victory.