Jimmy Boyd in 
Each week of the season I’ll be providing readers with what is known as my best free NFL Teaser Picks of the Week (below). These have been very profitable for me as I’ve made money on these bets in six of the last ten years.
While I pick my favorite, I also provide you with the best teaser odds each week. Those teams listed are based on teasing specific numbers in specific situations. All of these have provided great long-term results (note: lines are based on the odds at Bookmaker at the time this article was posted).
Last Week’s 2-Team 6-point Teaser:
- Steelers +8.5/Bucs PK (win)
Week 13 Teaser Result: 1-0-0 (+1.0 units)
Back on the winning track with the Steelers (outright winner) and the Bucs – who needed the points. Still a few weeks left to get into the black for the season. Let’s look at our upcoming slate.
NFL Week 14 Odds – Best Numbers to Tease
Here’s a look at our potential options for this week.
Best 2-Team/6-Point Teaser Odds for NFL Teaser Picks
We’ll occasionally throw a 3-team 10-point teaser in the mix if there is one with an extremely high expected ROI, however, for the most part, we’ll focus on 2-team 6-point teasers.
Remember that these teams and odds simply represent the best value for teasers based on past results. Instead of just betting them blindly, I want to identify all of them each week and give out what I feel is the best teaser bet of the week. Also remember that you need to be able to get the odds listed on each game, or they may fall out of favor of this system.
2024 Teaser of the Week Record: 6-6-1 (-1.4 Units)
Good luck this week!
Previous Season NFL Teaser Picks of the Week Results
| Season | Wins | Losses | Pushes | Win Rate | Risk Units | Units Won | Units Lost | Net Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 80.0% | 12 | 8 | -2.4 | 5.6 | 46.67% |
| 2013 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 62.5% | 19.2 | 10 | -7.2 | 2.8 | 14.58% |
| 2014 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 41.2% | 20.4 | 7 | -12 | -5 | -24.51% |
| 2015 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 58.8% | 20.4 | 10 | -8.4 | 1.6 | 7.84% |
| 2016 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 64.7% | 20.4 | 11 | -7.2 | 3.8 | 18.63% |
| 2017 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 38.9% | 21.6 | 7 | -13.2 | -6.2 | -28.70% |
| 2018 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 61.1% | 21.6 | 11 | -8.4 | 2.6 | 12.04% |
| 2019 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 63.2% | 22.8 | 12 | -8.4 | 3.6 | 15.79% |
| 2020 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 80.0% | 18 | 12 | -3.6 | 8.4 | 46.67% |
| 2021 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 53.3% | 18 | 8 | -8.4 | -0.4 | -2.22% |
| 2022 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 54.5% | 13.2 | 6 | -6 | 0 | 0.00% |
| 2023 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 52.9% | 20.4 | 9 | -9.6 | -0.6 | -2.94% |
| Totals | 111 | 79 | 1 | 58.4% | 228 | 111 | -94.8 | 16.2 | 7.11% |
For more great content this week check out my NFL survivor pool picks.
Why Our NFL Teaser Picks are Sharp
We’ve proven with our historical results that NFL teaser bets are a great way to increase your bankroll during the pro football season. The two team six point teaser is the most profitable, but we will occasionally release three team, ten point teasers as well.
If there are multiple quality options crossing as many key numbers as we like then a three team teaser is also an option. It also depends on the payout your book offers. Some books have better break even percentages on three teams over two teams.
The key to beating NFL teasers is that you are crossing over at least two key numbers. It’s not just that you are getting a few extra points on your bets.
You will rarely, if ever, see us release totals to tease. That’s just because you don’t get enough value adding points to the over/unders. Recreational bettors fall into this trap when they want to tease the side and total of a primetime game. However, you aren’t going to win long term using this strategy.
There might be a rare case if you can get an extremely low total that you can tease up to take the under, since points are worth a little more when the books don’t think there will be a high scoring game, but I doubt that issue comes up. Scoring has increased in the NFL and I can’t see the league wanting to send that trend in the other direction.
It is getting a little tougher to win with teasers in the NFL. The sportsbooks aren’t dumb. They have been increasing the juice that you have to pay on profitable legs for a long time now. Plus, they have recognized the value in moving a number to -9 or higher doesn’t move the needle much for bettors who are taking the point spread, but it does make teasing more difficult and less profitable.
Our NFL teaser picks aren’t a lock to be profitable in the future, so I’d recommend taking advantage why we still have the edge. And, like with everything I put out, if there is no advantage for us in betting them then I won’t force a pick just to have a complimentary prediction for my readers. I want you to win, not just be entertained.
If you want to learn how to bet the NFL and win you have to use every tool that’s available to you. You can’t just go in there and hammer sides on Sunday morning and expect to get as much out of it as if you looked at every possible angle. That’s just a losing proposition.
Want More Help Beating the NFL Betting Lines?
If you want help beating sides and totals this week then check out the free NFL picks released by our best NFL handicappers. Our group of guys are some of the sharpest bettors you can follow and they’ll help give you the best chance of winning each Sunday of the season.
No matter how you choose to attack your pro football wagering I want to wish you the best of luck!
