week-4-nfl-teaser

Each week of the season I’ll be providing readers with what is know as my NFL Teaser of the Week (below). Jimmy has profited on these picks three of the last four years. Coming into the 2016 season, I’m 35-25 with a profit of +500 units.

I will either provide a 2-team 6-point teaser or 3-team 10-point teaser. The 6-point teaser requires us to risk 110 units to win 100. For the 10-point teaser we have to lay 120 units to win 100. If you need some help with how to bet these wagers, be sure to check out my NFL teaser strategy guide.

While I pick my favorite, I also provide you with the best teaser odds each week. Those teams listed are based on teasing specific numbers. All of which have provided great long-term results (note: lines are based off of the odds at Bookmaker at the time this article was posted).

Week 3 Teaser Result:

3-Team/10-Point Teaser

  • Jaguars +11 (Lost 17-19)
  • Buccaneers +4.5 (Lost 32-37)
  • Colts +7.5 (Won 26-22)

Result: -120 units

NFL Week 4 Best Teaser Odds

Best Two-Team/6-Point Teaser Odds

  • Jaguars +8.5
  • Redskins -2
  • Titans +11
  • Cardinals -2
  • Giants +10.5

Best Two-Team/7-Point Teaser Odds

  • Bengals -0.5
  • Jaguars +9.5
  • Lions +4
  • Redskins -1
  • Seahawks +4
  • Titans +12
  • Broncos +4
  • Cardinals -1
  • Cowboys +4
  • Saints +11
  • Giants +11.5

Best Three-Team/10-Point Teaser Odds

  • Lions +7
  • Panthers +7
  • Ravens +7
  • Redskins +2
  • Seahawks +7
  • Titans +15
  • Broncos +7
  • Cardinals +2
  • Cowboys +7
  • Saints +14
  • Steelers +4.5
  • Giants +14.5
  • Vikings +5.5

Remember that these teams and odds simply represent the best value for teasers based on past results. Instead of just betting them blindly, I want to identify all of them each week and give out what I feel is the best teaser bet of the week. Also remember that you need to be able to get the odds listed on each game, or they may fall out of favor of this system.

***Week 4 NFL Teaser of the Week***

3-Team/10-Point Teaser

  • Titans +15
  • Steelers +4.5
  • Giants +14.5

Risking 120 to Win 100

Teaser of the Week Year to Date Record: 1-2 (-130 Units)

Why I Like It

TitansI already like the Titans to potentially win outright before the J.J. Watt injury news. Safe to say, I like their chances even more with him out. The one edge the Texans had was their defense. Watt is one of those special players who makes everyone around him better. Without him I think Houston is major trouble. Osweiler hasn’t shown me enough to believe he can carry the load. Tennessee is a lot better than people think. Win or lose, Titans should be able to keep this within two touchdowns. 

SteelersThe Chiefs are coming off an impressive 24-3 win at home over the Jets. A game where they forced 8 turnovers and scored two defensive touchdowns. I just don’t trust the offense enough to think they can beat the Steelers in primetime. Keep in mind the Chiefs aren’t getting much pressure on the quarterback. That’s going to make it really hard to stop Roethlisberger and Brown from putting up big numbers. Pittsburgh also has something to prove after last week’s embarrassing loss to the Eagles. They also get back one of the league’s best running backs in LeVeon Bell.

Giants: It won’t be easy for the Giants to win this game, but 14.5 points is a lot. Especially in a game that has the makings of a defensive battle. Minnesota’s stop unit is elite, but the offense isn’t anything special. New York has a pretty good defensive of their own. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Giants won this game outright. Making them an easy play on the tease to them catching over two touchdowns. 

Good luck this week!

Previous Season Results (wagering to win 100 units on each teaser)
  • 2012 Results:  8-2 +560 units
  • 2013 Results: 10-6 +290 units
  • 2014 Results: 7-10 -510 units
  • 2015 Results: 10-7 +160 units