Each week of the season I’ll be providing readers with what is know as my best NFL Teaser Pick of the Week (below). Jimmy has profited on these bets four of the last five years. Fresh off a great 2016 season, I’m now 46-31 (60%) with a profit of +950 units since we started this up back in 2012.
I will either provide a 2-team 6-point teaser (-120), 2-team 7-point teaser (-140) or 3-team 10-point teaser (-120). The 6-point teaser requires us to risk 120 units to win 100. For the 10-point teaser we also have to lay 120 units to win 100. If you need some help with how to bet these wagers, be sure to check out my NFL teaser strategy guide.
While I pick my favorite, I also provide you with the best teaser odds each week. Those teams listed are based on teasing specific numbers. All of which have provided great long-term results (note: lines are based off of the odds at Bookmaker at the time this article was posted).
Week 17 Teaser Result:
- Texans +10 (Lost 13-22)
- Panthers +10 (Lost 10-22)
Wild Card NFL Teaser Odds – Best Available (6-Point, 7-Point & 10-Point)
Best Two-Team/6-Point Teaser Odds
- Chiefs -3
- Jaguars -3
Best Two-Team/7-Point Teaser Odds
- Chiefs -2
- Jaguars -2
Best 3 Game/10-Point Teaser Odds
- Chiefs +1
- Jaguars +1
Remember that these teams and odds simply represent the best value for teasers based on past results. Instead of just betting them blindly, I want to identify all of them each week and give out what I feel is the best teaser bet of the week. Also remember that you need to be able to get the odds listed on each game, or they may fall out of favor of this system.
Free Pro Football Betting Advice – NFL Teaser Pick of the Week
- Chiefs -3
- Jaguars -3
Risking 120 to Win 100
Teaser of the Week Year to Date Record: 7-10 (-500 Units)
Why I Like It
Chiefs (from -9 to -3): Here we take Kansas City from laying almost double-digits at home to just a field goal. I look for the Chiefs to have no problem taking care of business against the Titans on Saturday. Kansas City was the talk of the NFL after their 5-0 start, but quickly fell out of favor during a dreadful 1-6 run that left them at 6-6 overall. The Chiefs were able to figure things out and closed out the season winning 4 straight to clinch the AFC West title. When the offense is clicking like it has been down the stretch, this is a very difficult team to beat. Tennessee was able to sneak into the playoffs, but haven’t looked much like a playoff team of late. The Titans also don’t have a whole lot of playoff experience, which will only make it that much harder for them to make a game of it.
Jaguars (from -9 to -3): Exact same tease on Sunday with the Jaguars going from a 9-point favorite down to just a 3-point home favorite against the Bills. I know Jacksonville closed out the season with a couple of losses on the road against the 49ers and Titans, but neither of those games really mattered in the grand scheme of things. Tennessee was basically locked into the No. 3 seed. I expect to see a drastically different Jags team take the field against Buffalo, who is fortunate to be in the field. The biggest concern here with the Bills is the ankle injury to running back LeSean McCoy. He’s currently listed as questionable, but even if he does play he’s likely not going to be at 100%. I just think that will make it near impossible for Buffalo to score enough points against this elite Jaguars defense.
Good luck this week!
Previous Season Results (wagering to win 100 units on each teaser)
- 2012 – 8-2 +560 units
- 2013 – 10-6 +290 units
- 2014 – 7-10 -510 units
- 2015 – 10-7 +160 units
- 2016 – 11-6 +450 units
Overall Record – 46-31 (60%) +950
For more great content this week check out my NFL survivor pool picks.