Each week of the season I’ll be providing readers with what is known as my best NFL Teaser Pick of the Week (below). Jimmy has profited on these bets five of the last seven years.
I will either provide a 2-team 6-point teaser (-120), 2-team 7-point teaser (-140) or 3-team 10-point teaser (-120). The 6-point teaser requires us to risk 120 units to win 100. For the 10-point teaser we also have to lay 120 units to win 100. If you need some help with how to bet these wagers, be sure to check out my NFL teaser strategy guide.
While I pick my favorite, I also provide you with the best teaser odds each week. Those teams listed are based on teasing specific numbers. All of which have provided great long-term results (note: lines are based off of the odds at Bookmaker at the time this article was posted).
Wild Card Weekend Teaser Result:
- Saints -1.5 (Lost 20-26)
- Eagles +7.5 (Lost 9-17)
NFL Championship Games Teaser Odds – Best Available (6-Point, 7-Point & 10-Point)
Best Two-Team/6-Point Teaser Odds
- Chiefs -1.5
- 49ers -1.5
Best Two-Team/7-Point Teaser Odds
- Chiefs -0.5
- 49ers -0.5
Best 3 Game/10-Point Teaser Odds
Remember that these teams and odds simply represent the best value for teasers based on past results. Instead of just betting them blindly, I want to identify all of them each week and give out what I feel is the best teaser bet of the week. Also remember that you need to be able to get the odds listed on each game, or they may fall out of favor of this system.
Free Pro Football Betting Advice – NFL Teaser Pick of the Week
- Chiefs -1.5
- 49ers -1.5
Risking 120 to Win 100
2019 Teaser of the Week Record: 11-7 (+260 Units)
Why I Like It
Chiefs (from -7.5 to -1.5): After pulling off one of the most remarkable comebacks in NFL history, the Chiefs will be headed into the AFC Championship Game riding a wave of momentum. After falling behind 24-0 early to the Texans, Kansas City came roaring back and took a 28-24 lead at the half and wound up winning 51-31. I know the Titans beat the Chiefs in the regular-season, but that was at home and the Chiefs really gave it away. KC had a 530 to 371 edge in total yards. Derrick Henry and the Titans have been unreal the last two weeks, but I think they run out of gas in what will be their third straight on the road.
49ers (from -7.5 to -1.5): Exact same tease here with the 49ers, as we take San Francisco from -7.5 to -1.5, essentially going from needing them to win by 8 to just needing them to win outright. The 49ers hosted Green Bay in Week 12 and destroyed them 37-8 and that was with the Packers coming off a bye. San Francisco had a 339 to 198 edge in total yards and managed to hold Aaron Rodgers to a mere 104 yards passing. Green Bay probably won’t be that bad in the rematch, but I still don’t think they will be able to score enough to pull off the upset.
Good luck this week!
Previous Season Results (wagering to win 100 units on each teaser)
- 2012 – 8-2 (+560 units)
- 2013 – 10-6 (+290 units)
- 2014 – 7-10 (-510 units)
- 2015 – 10-7 (+160 units)
- 2016 – 11-6 (+450 units)
- 2017 – 7-11 (-620 Units)
- 2018 – 11-7 (+300 Units)
Overall Record – 64-49 (57%) +630
For more great content this week check out my NFL survivor pool picks.