Brandon Lee Free Sports Picks & Handicapper Review

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 227.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 227.5 in Thursday's TNT matchup that has the Bucks hosting the Blazers. Portland's offense figures to be in a world of hurt in this one, as star point guard Damian Lillard is out with a bad back. They got no choice here but to try and slow this game down, as they simply can't go score for score with the Bucks and expect to keep it close. As for Milwaukee, I think they too will be looking to play at a slower pace given they are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and just finished up a 3-game road trip. Also, good chance this gets out of hand and I think blowouts are much more favorable to games staying under the mark. Give me the UNDER 227.5! 

40* NC STATE/GA TECH THURS NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Ga Tech -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Yellow Jackets as a slim 1-point home favorite against the Wolfpack. I think the public perception here is that Georgia Tech has no business being favored in this one, as they are just playing for pride and NC State is sitting at 4-6 and needing to win their final two to make a bowl. 

I just don't buy in as much to team that need to win out to make a bowl. Sure there's motivation there, but at the same time, there's a reason they are in this spot. I know Georgia Tech didn't play well last week in their blowout loss to Va Tech, but this team had shown some improvements over the season. I also think pride is more than enough for this team, as they are trying to build some positive momentum to close out their first year under head coach Geoff Collins. It also helps playing at home in a prime time game. Give me the Yellow Jackets -1! 

40* NFL COLTS/TEXANS TNF ATS SLAUGHTER (Texans -3.5) 

I just think this is a great price to get the Texans coming off their worst performance of the season. I was actually shocked with how much respect Houston was getting on the road against a Ravens team that is playing as well anyone right now.

It’s just a lot harder than people think to slow down Lamar Jackson and that Ravens offense. As is the case for a lot of teams that go against Baltimore, the Texans just couldn’t stop the Ravens running game. Baltimore piled on 263 yards on the ground.

The good news is that prior to giving up all those yards on the ground to the Ravens, Houston had gone 7 straight games where they held their opponent under 95 yards rushing. In the previous matchup with the Colts, they held Indy to just 62 yards on 26 attempts. I know the Colts got the win despite the low rushing numbers, but I don’t think it will be as easy for them to score without being able to run the ball on the road.

Another thing to keep in mind with that previous result against the Colts, is that Indianapolis had a big advantage in that game coming off their bye week. Now it’s the Texans who get the big scheduling advantage playing at home on just 3 days of rest.

You also have to love how Houston has responded after a bad game like they had against the Ravens. The Texans are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a game where they gave up more than 150 rushing yards. They are also 16-7-1 ATS last 24 after scoring fewer than 15 points. Houston is also 7-1-1 ATS last 9 off a game where they failed to cover and 27-12 ATS last 39 when revenging a loss where they gave up 28 or more points. Give me the Texans -3.5!

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Texas -6.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Longhorns covering the 6.5-point spread against Georgetown in the opening round of the Empire Classic at Madison Square Garden. I've really been impressed with what I've seen out of the Longhorns to start this season. They are 4-0 and have a big road win as a 6.5-point dog at Purdue. 

Georgetown is 3-1, but in their long game against a Power 5 team, Penn State, they lost at home by 14 as a favorite. Big thing here is the Hoyas are a very limited offense and really rely on their ability to score inside, as they don't take or make many 3's. That's a problem against what I think is an elite Texas defense that will give them no easy looks inside. Give me the Longhorns -6.5! 

10* NCAAB FREE PICK (Mississippi State -12) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs covering the 12 against Tulane in the first round of the Myrtle Beach Invitational. Mississippi State is one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the country and should feast on the offensive glass against the Green Wave's zone defense. Tulane has also lived off penetration and getting to the free throw line. Bulldogs are a great defensive team under Ben Howland and do a great job of not fouling. I also think the Green Wave are going to get a serious wake-up call here. They have started out 3-0 after winning just 4-games all of last season, but all 3 wins have come against teams ranked outside KenPom's top 300. Give me the Bulldogs -12! 

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40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Arizona -23.5) 

I'll take my chances with Arizona covering as a massive 23.5-point favorite against South Dakota State. The Wildcats were one of the biggest disappointments last year, but you could see it coming. They just didn't have the talent as years past. That's not the case this year. Arizona is loaded and are a team on a mission to start the season. They have gone 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in their first 4. All 4 wins coming by at least 20 points, including a 21-point win over Illinois. 

The Jackrabbits are a very young team with primary a bunch of freshmen and sophomores in their rotation. They just don't have the talent to hang with Arizona, especially given they are playing out west on just 1 day of rest after hosting North Alabama on Tuesday. GIve me the Wildcats -23.5!