Brandon Lee Free Sports Picks & Handicapper Review

9* NBA Situational ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -4.5:

10* NBA - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS +8.5: I'll gladly take my chances with the Lakers as a 8.5-point road dog against the Celtics. No question that Boston is the better team, but 8.5 is ridiculous given how well the Lakers have been playing and the fact that they got back Anthony Davis from injury and recently added a quality bench player in Rui Hachimura. He 12 points and 6 boards off the bench in just 22 minutes in his Lakers debut, posting a +17 +/-. They could also be getting back guard Lonnie Walker, who hasn't played since late December. Walker is 4th on the team in scoring (14.7 ppg) and arguably their best 3-point shooter (38.4%). 

Celtics will be playing without Marcus Smart, who might be the 3rd or 4th best player on their team, but easily the heart and soul of this team. He brings a different level of energy that I think the rest of the guys feed off of. Boston is also a team that has really solidified itself in terms of being an elite team. They don't got much to prove. Lakers are a team trying to save their season. Just too many points for me to pass up. Give me Los Angeles +8.5! 

9* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER 

PLAY ON KINGS/WOLVES OVER 237.5:

8* NCAAB Public Money ATS MASSACRE

PLAY ON WISCONSIN BADGERS +2: I got no problem backing the Badgers as a 2-point home dog against Illinois. I honestly don't think the Fighting Illini should be favored on the road here. Wisconsin has lost 5 of their last 6, which looks bad, but 4 of those 5 losses were on the road. That includes a 69-79 loss at Illinois, where the Badgers were missing their best player in Tyler Wahl. 

Illinois appears to have gotten things on track with wins in 5 of their last 6, but I'm not so sure. Outside of their win against a Wahl-less Wisconsin, they beat Mich St and Ohio St at home, while also winning at Minnesota and Nebraska. I just think it has them way overvalued on the road against a team like Wisconsin. Note those are the only two true road wins on Illinois' resume. Their other two Big 10 road games resulted in a 5-point loss at Maryland and a 13 point loss at Northwestern. Simply too much value on the Badgers at home. Give me Wisconsin +2! 

Saturday's Free NCAAB Pick

PLAY ON WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS -3.5: I'm guessing there's a lot of people that will look at this line and be immediately drawn to betting Auburn. The Tigers are 16-4 and ranked No. 15 in the country. They are off to a 6-2 start in SEC play. West Virginia is unranked, just 12-8 overall and a mere 2-6 in SEC play. What people will overlook is the resume of these two teams and how the Mountaineers have played one of the toughest schedules in the country. According to KenPom, WV has played the 10th toughest schedule to date. 

KenPom also has the Mountaineers ranked 21st overall and Auburn ranked 24th. The thing with the Tigers, is they have feasted on the bottom teams in a top-heavy SEC. The Tigers lone Top 50 win in non-conference came ina  43-42 win over Northwestern. They lost by 9 on a neutral to Memphis and by 3 at USC. Their only two Top 50 wins in conference play are a 61-58 win over No. 43 Florida and a 72-59 win over No. 22 Arkansas. They have won 3 straight on the road, but those have come against No. 92 Ole Miss, No. 123 LSU and No. 249 S Carolina. 

Last time out Auburn lost 63-79 at home to Texas A&M, which I think is worth noting. A lot of the areas that the Aggies were able to exploit Auburn, West Virginia does even better. I feel pretty good about Bob Huggins team delivering in this spot. It's a must-win for the Mountaineers if they want to make the NCAA Tournament. Give me West Virginia -3.5! 

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8* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT

PLAY ON TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS -2.5: I will gladly take my chances with Texas Tech as a slim 2.5-point road favorite against LSU. The Red Raiders couldn't have drawn up a worse start to Big 12 play. After going 10-2 in non-conference play with their only two losses coming to Creighton and Ohio State, Texas Tech sits winless at 0-8 in Big 12 play. 

I just think it speaks volumes to how good the Big 12 is this year and if you are off just the slightest bit, you are going to lose. It's not like the Red Raiders haven't been competitive. Of their 8 conference losses, 5 have come by 7 or fewer. If they just win 4 of those and are 4-4 in Big 12 play, the narrative on this team is completely different. 

I just think their record and the 8-game losing streak they bring into this game has them way undervalued against a bad LSU team. Tigers were 11-1 in non-conference play, but played the 347th toughest out of conference slate. They are 1-7 in SEC play and really have been competitive of late. Their last 6 losses have come by at least 11 points. I just think Texas Tech is a much better team from top to bottom. Give me the Red Raiders -2.5! 

9* NCAAB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE

PLAY ON OHIO STATE BUCKEYES +5.5: I will gladly take my chances with the Buckeyes as a slim 5.5-point road favorite against Indiana. I just think this a great spot and price to sell-high on the Hoosiers, who come into this game having won 4 straight. Also a good buy-low spot on Ohio State who has gone just 1-6 over their last 7. 

Buckeyes recent record may suggest they aren't that good, but it's been a bit of bad luck. During this stretch they have a 2-point loss at home to Purdue, 3-point loss at home to Minnesota, 2-point OT loss at Turgers and 3-point loss at Nebraska. You won't find many 11-9 teams that are ranked inside the Top 10 in the country in offensive efficiency (No. 9). Ohio State also is 27th in effective FG% defense. 

Indiana hasn't exactly fared well against top tier offenses. They are 9-0 vs teams that rank outside the Top 150. That makes them 5-6 vs teams in the Top 150 and 2-4 vs teams in the Top 50. They are also just 3-5 vs teams in the Top 100 in defensive effective FG%. Just a few too many points for the Hoosiers to be laying. Give me Ohio State +5.5! 

10* NCAAB Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON KANSAS STATE -4.5: I absolutely love the value and price with K-State as a mere 4.5-point home favorite against Florida. Wildcats should be pretty motivated for this one after losing at Iowa State on Tuesday. Just the third time all season K-State has failed to come out with a victory. The other two also coming in true road games. Wildcats are a perfect 10-0 at home. 

I also think it's a great spot here to sell-high on Florida. Gators come in having won 5 of their last 6, but all 5 wins came against teams ranked outside the Top 50 at KenPom. Florida is 0-7 this season against Top 50 teams. Of those 7 losses, 5 came out of conference, including losses by 9 on a neutral to Oklahoma and by 29 on a neutral to West Virginia, who are both 2-6 in Big 12 play this year (K-State is 6-2). Simply put, the Wildcats should be a much bigger favorite here. Give me K-State -4.5!