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[1%] Free Play on Magic over 212
1* Free Play on Grizzlies/Suns under232½ -109
Neither the Grizzlies (7-16) or Suns (11-12) own a winning record, but the latter team has a chance to get back to .500 when they play host to the former in Phoenix tonight. The over/under is set at 232.5 points.
The Grizzlies beat up on Golden State Monday evening, but they were previously on a run of one win out of their last 10 games. Offensively, Memphis has only managed to score more than 112 points once over their last six games. The Grizzlies scored 104 points or fewer in three of those contests.
On average, the Grizzlies are scoring 108.7 points while allowing 116.3 points per game.
No Memphis player is scoring 20 points per game. Ja Morant leads the way with his 19.1 points a game, and Jaren Jackson Jr. is second on the list with 16.2 points per contest.
Phoenix has followed up a three-game losing streak with three wins out of their last five. However, the Suns have scored more than 114 points just three times in their last nine games. In their most recent defeat, Phoenix scored 109 points against Houston.
On average, the Suns are scoring 115.7 points while allowing 114 points per game.
After Devin Booker, who’s averaging 25.5 points per game, no other Phoenix player is putting up more than 18 points a game.
10* FREE NBA PICK (Pacers +1)
I'll take my chances here with Indiana at basically a pick'em at home against the Celtics. I just think this is a great price to back the Pacers at home Indiana doesn't get the respect of Boston, but they have been every bit as impressive to start to the year. Pacers are 9-3 at home and you can bet they are going to be fired up for this game. Celtics are not nearly as strong on the road as they are at home and this just feels like a bit of a flat spot. Boston has played their last 3 at home and will return back home as soon as this is over for a big showdown with the 76ers tomorrow night. I just the Pacers are going to want this one a little more and that combined with their talent makes this a pretty easy play for me. Give me Indiana +1
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1* Free Sharp Play on Lakers vs Magic over 212 -102
My money is on the OVER 212 in Wednesday's NBA action between the Magic and Lakers. I just think the Lakers are playing too good on the offensive side of the ball to not take a shot at this low number. LA is averaging 120.8 ppg on 51.4% shooting in their last 5 games. The Magic aren't the most explosive offensive team, but are in good form right now, as they are scoring 109.8 ppg in their last 5. BET THE OVER 212!
This is a 1* free play on Orlando.
The Lakers have won four straight since losing to Dallas in a game that ended a 10-game win streak, so its hard to get bettors excited about betting against LA. For that reason we have seen this line bet up 2-points after opening at -5.5, and I like the Magic in the role of home underdog. Orlando isn't a great team, but they are one of the league's better home teams. The Magic have 11 wins, and eight of those have come at home. They have lost four home games, and only one of those home losses came by more than seven points. If there was ever a game that the Lakers don't need to care about, this is it. Keep in mind the Lakers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six visits to Orlando.
R&R Totals FREE NBA Over-Under Wednesday 12-11-19
OVER 220 LA Clippers/Toronto
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My free play is on the GS Warriors at 10:35 ET.
The New York Knicks finished with an NBA-worst 17-65 record last season, so no one is surprised that as the Knicks visit the Golden St Warriors tonight, they are on a 10-game losing streak and are owners of the NBA's wort record once again, at 4-20. Of course, with Kevin Durant leaving the Warriors for the Nets and Klay Thompson expected to be sidelined all season with an injury, no on expected the Warriors to be a threat to return to the NBA Finals for a SIXTH straight year. However, few expected that as Christmas approaches, the Warriors would be "right there" with the Knicks (at 5-20), for the NBA's worst record.
The New York Knicks fired head coach David Fizdale after the team's 8th straight loss left them at 4-18. "The Fizdale era" ended with a 21-83 (.202) record. Lead assistant coach Keith Smart was also dismissed and assistant Mike Miller, a former college and G League coach, was tabbed to take over the team on an interim basis. New York's front office has been viewed as dysfunctional and the squad put together by team president Steve Mills and general manager Scott Perry had lost seven games by 20 or more points this season. The last two games of the Fizdale Era were particularly ugly, as the Knicks lost by 44 to the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday and by 37 to the Denver Nuggets on Thursday.The Knicks almost beat the Pacers this past Saturday (lost 104-103) but last night it was "business as usual," as they lost 115-87 at Portland, the team's EIGHTH 20-point loss of the campaign. Forwards Morris (18.2 & 5.7) and Randle (16.7 & 8.5) are the team's top-two producers, followed by first-round draft choice RJ Barrett (13.9-5.3-3.1). As for the rest of the team...….
Golden State has traditionally dominated the Knicks and has won 10 straight meetings (27 of the last 33) but the Warriors haven't notched back-to-back victories this season with guards Stephen Curry (hand) and Klay Thompson (knee) out with lengthy injuries. Golden State is 2-8 in its sparkling new home venue in San Francisco and that type of poor record is just another oddity to a franchise used to competing for championships. Golden State lost a 110-102 decision to the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Monday as guard D'Angelo Russell (6-of-22) and forward Eric Paschall (2-of-10) suffered through poor shooting nights. Draymond Green matched his season high of 16 points in the loss to Memphis but "The Great Disruptor" is a non-factor these days, averaging 8.8-5.9-5.6. Russell leads the team in averaging 22.0 PPG (adds 6.2 APG) with rookie Paschal adding 16.6 & 5.2.
New York has allowed more than 110 points SIX times during its 10-game slide, while losing by 28 or more in four of its last SEVEN contests. I have to give Golden St a shot in this one but go 'lightly.'
The Bulls are off three straight close losses. Last time out, they lost by a single point to the defending champs. Prior to that, they lost by five, at Miami. That was preceded by a 2-point loss. Here, the Bulls have got both the venue and the schedule in their favor though which should allow them to break through with a much needed victory. They had yesterday off while the Hawks left it all on the floor, in losing an OT game at Miami. The last time that the Hawks played the second of b2b games? They lost by 49 points. Consider Chicago.
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Somethings not right with the Jazz as is evident by having dropped six out of their last eight games heading into Wednesday night's road game against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Utah's only victories during that stretch have come against a rebuilding Memphis squad which is not exactly something to brag about or to proverbially hang your hat on.Turnovers are a huge problem for the Jazz both ends of the floor. Jazz opposition have scored 19 or more points off turnovers in nine of Utah's last 10 games. As a result, Utah is allowing 20.1 fast-break points per game over their last eight tilts overall and are vulnerable again here in Minnesota tonight in their current form. Hey, I know the Wolves have lost five straight games, but Wiggins and Towns were banged up in those tilts and with them healthier the Wolves are dangerous.
Teams like the Jazz are 1-14 ATS L/15 with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss as a favorite when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home
NBA team (UTAH) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover
MIKE LUNDIN'S HORNETS @ NETS FREE PICK
The Brooklyn Nets won 111-104 at Charlotte on December 6 and followed that up with a solid 105-102 win over Denver. They're 4-1-1 to the under in their last 6 home games, and here they'll face a Charlotte Hornets side that ranks near the bottom of the league for points per game.
Four of the Hornets' last five games have stayed under the total and they own the fifth-lowest pace factor in the league. They should be particularly likely to try and slow down the tempo here playing on no rest after defeating Washington Tuesday night.
Free pick on UNDER.
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Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5
This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Sacramento Kings. They just capped off a four-game road trip with two straight upset wins at Dallas and Houston. Now it’s their first game back home, and they’ll still be riding high from those two victories.
We saw this same thing just over a week ago when the Kings were coming off an upset win over the Denver Nuggets. They promptly lost to the Bulls at home as 4.5-point favorites in their next game. Handling success and beating teams they should beat has been a problem for this young Kings team over the past few seasons.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are on a nice run themselves. They are 5-1 in their last six games overall, including upset road wins over Portland by 12 and Utah by 14 in their last two games. They are playing their best basketball of the season and I trust them more to show up tonight due to their veteran leadership of Chris Paul, Steven Adams and Dennis Shroeder.
The Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a losing record. Oklahoma City is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games as an underdog. The Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Bet the Thunder Wednesday.
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1 Dimer on Warriors -4½ -110
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Golden State Warriors -4.5
The New York Knicks are a dumpster fire. They are 4-20 overall and 1-10 on the road this year. They are getting outscored by over 15 points per game on the road. They have dropped 10 straight games coming in, including their 87-115 road loss at Portland last night. Now the Knicks will be playing for a second consecutive night. They’ll be facing a rested Warriors team that will be playing just their second game in five days. Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last six games off a non-cover. Golden State is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 meetings with the Knicks. Give me the Warriors.
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