Jack Jones of BetFirm Free Sports Picks & Handicapper Review

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Toronto Blue Jays +113

The Toronto Blue Jays are showing good value today as underdogs to the Miami Marlins.  The Blue Jays have the way better lineup in this series and are hot at the plate while scoring 17 runs in winning each of their last two games.

The Marlins are averaging just 4.0 runs per game this season and have scored 4 or fewer in seven of their past nine games.  So while they may have the advantage on the mound today with Sandy Alcantara, they should not be favored over the Blue Jays.  Alcantara allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings of a 1-5 loss to the Blue Jays in his lone career start against them earlier this season.

Ross Stripling has been at his best of late at 2-1 with a 3.22 ERA in his last four starts while allowing 8 earned runs in 22 1/3 innings.  And three of those starts came against three of the best lineups in baseball in the Yankees, Red Sox and Astros.

Miami is 5-18 after scoring two runs or less this season.  Toronto is 11-2 against National League opponents this season.  The Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last six interleague games as underdogs.  Toronto is 8-2 in its last 10 games following an off day.  Miami is 0-5 in its last five against American League opponents.  Toronto is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.  Bet the Blue Jays Tuesday.

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15* Clippers/Suns ESPN Total DOMINATOR on OVER 222.5

The Los Angeles Clippers have embraced their small ball lineup and it is paying dividends while also resulting in high-scoring games.  The OVER is 5-1 in Clippers last six games overall with combined scores of 222 or more points in all six games and an average of 233.7 combined points per game.

The Phoenix Suns are without Chris Paul, which hurts them defensively but it makes them play at a faster pace offensively.  So this series should be an OVER series until he returns.  And that was the case in Game 1 which saw 234 combined points despite only 26 combined free throws attempted.  There will surely be more foul calls in Game 2 tonight.

The OVER is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Phoenix.  The OVER is 4-0 in Clippers last four games as underdogs.  The OVER is 12-4-1 in Suns last 17 games following an ATS win.  The OVER is 25-12-1 in Suns last 38 games overall.  Roll with the OVER in this game Tuesday.

25* Interleague GAME OF THE YEAR on Chicago White Sox -158

The Chicago White Sox are now 33-5 vs. left-handed starters over the last two seasons.  They are scoring 6.3 runs per game against left-handed starters in 2021.  And they will be highly motivated to get back in the win column today after losing four straight coming in.

Now they take on the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates, who have gone just 2-11 in their last 13 games overall.  They should feast on left-hander Tyler Anderson, who is 3-7 with a 4.89 ERA in 13 starts this season.

Lucas Giolito is back to being his dominant self after a slow start to the season.  Giolito has allowed one earned run or fewer in five of his last nine starts and hasn't been shelled in any of them.  He fired a no-hitter against the Pirates in his last start against them last season in a 4-0 victory.  Bet the White Sox Tuesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-125)

The Houston Astros are putting up the best offensive numbers in baseball this season.  They are hitting .277 as a team and scoring 5.7 runs per game, including .285 and 5.9 in road games.  They have won eight straight games coming in while scoring 6 or more runs in seven of those victories.

Now they take on a Baltimore Orioles team that is just 1-11 in their last 12 games with eight losses by two runs or more.  And they should feast on Jorge Lopez, who is 2-8 with a 5.95 ERA and 1.492 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  Lopez allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 2 1/3 innings of a 9-0 loss to the Astros in his only career start against them.

Zack Greinke has been solid this season at 7-2 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in 15 starts.  Greinke has been at his best on the road, going 4-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.867 WHIP in seven starts away from home.

Baltimore is 0-11 after a five-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or higher this season.  It is losing by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  Houston is 12-1 after allowing 4 runs or less in four straight games over the last two seasons.  It is winning by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Astros on the Run Line Tuesday.