Frank Sawyer is on an 18 of 25 (72%) NBA featured plays run -- and he furthers his 47 of 62 (76%) NBA TOTALS TEAR with featured plays with a with tonight's Minnesota-Phoenix O/U winner at 9:40 PM ET!
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
Top All Sports Totals (+10726) 783-613 L1396 56%
Football Picks (+8421) 1017-847 L1864 55%
NFL Totals (+5362) 283-210 L493 57%
Basketball Totals (+4836) 514-427 L941 55%
NBA Picks (+4780) 203-141 L344 59%
NCAA-B Sides (+3972) 272-211 L483 56%
Top MLB Totals (+3612) 115-73 L188 61%
NCAA-F Sides (+2917) 231-184 L415 56%
NHL Money Lines (+2017) 135-93 L228 59%
PGA Picks (+1759) 66-40 L106 62%
Top NFLX Picks (+1708) 29-11 L40 73%
Soccer Totals (+1194) 75-54 L129 58%
Fighting Picks (+1000) 11-1 L12 92%
Top CFL Picks (+954) 27-16 L43 63%
WNBA Totals (+455) 10-5 L15 67%
NASCAR Picks (+190) 12-8 L20 60%
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks vs Mariners | Mariners -142 | Premium | 1-3 | Win | 100 | Show |
Nuggets vs Lakers | UNDER 218½ -115 | Premium | 108-119 | Loss | -115 | Show |
Stars vs Golden Knights | Golden Knights +103 | Free | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | Show |
Nuggets vs Lakers | Lakers +4 -110 | Top Premium | 108-119 | Win | 100 | Show |
Cavs vs Magic | OVER 201½ -110 | Free | 89-112 | Loss | -110 | Show |
Cavs vs Magic | Cavs +2½ -110 | Premium | 89-112 | Loss | -110 | Show |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
At 9:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Timberwolves (555) minus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (556) in Game Four of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (59-26) has won the first three games of this series as well as seven of their last nine contests after their 126-109 victory on the road against the Suns as a 5.5-point underdog on Friday. Phoenix (49-36) hopes to stave off elimination trailing 3-0 in this series.
REASONS TO THE TIMBERWOLVES MINUS THE POINTS: Minnesota has won all three of the games in this series by 12 or more points. If they were significant road favorites tonight, I might have been persuaded to take the Suns in a save-face spot to avoid getting swept with some point-spread insurance. But with the market moving on Kevin Durant (once again), let’s jump on the better team in a pick ‘em situation (or even as an underdog in some spots). As it is, the Timberwolves have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after an upset win by 15 or more points. They have also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after winning two or more games in a row by double-digits. Minnesota has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. The T-Wolves outrebounded the Suns by a 50-28 margin on Friday — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after outrebounding their last opponent by 20 or more rebounds. Additionally, they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games when not playing for more than the fourth time in ten days. And in their last 24 road games with the Total set in the 210s, Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of these contests. Phoenix has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after an upset loss as a home favorite. They have only covered the point spread once in their last five games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after failing to cover the point spread in four of their last five games. Additionally, the Suns have failed to cover the point spread when playing for no more than the fifth time in the last 14 days.
FINAL TAKE: Phoenix has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games as a pick ‘em or as an underdog getting up to six points. 8* NBA Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Minnesota Timberwolves (555) minus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.
At 9:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (555) and the Phoenix Suns (556) in Game Four of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (59-26) has won the first three games of this series as well as seven of their last nine contests after their 126-109 victory on the road against the Suns as a 5.5-point underdog on Friday. Phoenix (49-36) hopes to stave off elimination trailing 3-0 in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Phoenix head coach Frank Vogel did not make many changes in Game Three — he apparently thought that the return home would be enough to spark his veteran team to play better. Nope. The local media is ripping the Suns for their lack of effort — especially on the defensive end of the court. Phoenix allowed the Timberwolves to score at a 132.6 points per 100 adjusted possession rate on Friday as they continue to have their way crashing the rim. Vogel has to address this — whether it be changing to a zone defense or changing one-on-one assignments, the Suns have to get Minnesota shooting farther away from the basket. Not wanting to end their season with another embarrassing loss in front of their home fans, expect this team to at least play much harder on that end of the court tonight. As it is, Phoenix has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a loss by 15 or more points — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after an upset loss by 15 or more points. The Suns' lack of effort also showed on with their energy on the boards — they got outrebounded by a whopping 50-28 margin in Game Three. Minnesota pulled down 37.2% of their missed shots — Phoenix can clean much of that up by simply playing harder. They have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game where they got out-rebounded by 20 or more boards. The Suns have only covered the point spread once in their last five games — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after falling to cover the point spread in four of their last five games. They have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing for no more than the fifth time in the last 14 days. Phoenix stays at home where they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total in the second half of the season — and they have played 14 of their last 22 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 210s. Minnesota has played 15 of their last 24 games Under the Total after a win by 15 or more points. Additionally, they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after an upset win by 15 or more points — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after an upset win on the road by 15 or more points. Additionally, the Timberwolves have played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing for no more than the fifth time in the last 14 days. And in their last 11 games after out-rebounding their last opponent by 15 or more boards, they have played 7 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Suns have played 36 of their last 58 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they gave up 110 or more points. 10* NBA Sunday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (555) and the Phoenix Suns (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.
At 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Indiana Pacers (553) minus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (553) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Indiana (49-37) has won six of their last eight games after their 121-118 win in overtime as a 6.5-point favorite on Friday. Milwaukee (50-35) lost for the fourth time in their last five games and now trails in this series by a 2-1 margin.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PACERS MINUS THE POINTS: The Bucks will be without Damian Lillard tonight after he first twisted his ankle in Game Three before later wrenching his Achilles in the fourth quarter. While Lillard declared that he expected to play after the game, he was in a walking boot yesterday and was listed as doubtful. Milwaukee does not want to risk Lillard aggravating that injury the way Golden State did with Kevin Durant a few years ago. The team is already without Giannis Antetokounmpo who is doubtful to return from his calf injury. Khris Middleton stepped up with 42 points on Friday — but now he is being asked to carry the team on offense which is not his strength. Lillard scored 28 points in Game Three. As it is, the Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after a loss to a Central Division rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games after a straight-up loss on the road. They stay on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games on the road as an underdog. Indiana has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread — and they have covered the point spread in 27 of their last 38 games after a point spread loss. They have also covered the point spread in 29 of their last 44 games when playing for the second time in five days.
FINAL TAKE: The Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 25 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. 8* NBA Milwaukee-Indiana TNT Special with the Indiana Pacers (553) minus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (553). Best of luck for us — Frank.
At 1:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Detroit Tigers (962) versus the Kansas City Royals (961) listing both starting pitchers Tarik Skubal and Michael Wacha. THE SITUATION: Detroit (15-12) snapped a two-game losing streak with their 6-5 victory against the Royals in the second game of their three-game series on Saturday. Kansas City (17-11) had won four games in a row before the loss.
REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Royals had a 3-1 lead going into the bottom of the seventh inning yesterday — but their bullpen surrounded five runs in that inning to blow that save opportunity. Kansas City has lost 27 of their last 36 games after their bullpen blew a save. They have also lost 8 of their last 9 games after a one-run loss to an AL Central rival — and they have lost 18 of their last 20 games on the road after winning two of their last three games. And in their last 32 games on the road with the Total set in the 7-7.5 range, they have lost 25 of those games. Wacha gets the ball this afternoon looking to build on his 1-2 record with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in five starts. He has been more effective at home where he has a 1.59 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .244 in two starts as opposed to his 5.29 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .266 in his three starts on the road. Granted, the sample size is still small — but it is consistent with his numbers last season with San Diego. In his 14 starts in the spacious Petco Park, he enjoyed a 2.62 ERA — that mark rose to a 4.14 ERA in his 10 starts on the road. Wacha’s teams have lost 5 of their last 7 road games when he is the starting pitcher priced as a money-line underdog in the +125 to +175 price range. Furthermore, while he had a 3.22 ERA in his 24 starts last year, both his SIERA and xFIP projected an ERA of 4.43 and 4.47. I am leaning in to expected ERA (xERA) more this season as I am impressed with Statcast’s incorporation of hard-hit rate and exit velocity — and Wacha’s xERA last season was 4.27. He faces one of the biggest breakout stars in the game in Skubal. The left-hander comes off six shutout innings against Tampa Bay on Monday. He has a 3-0 record this season with a 1.82 ERA and a 0.74 WHIP in 29 2/3 innings. He has punched out 35 batters while only issuing five bases-on-balls — and he is striking out 31.2% of the batters he has faced. This start continues the great run he was on last year coming back from a midseason injury. Since the beginning of September through this month, Skubal has a 7-0 record with a 1.35 ERA. Last season, he had a 2.80 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP in 15 starts — and those numbers were validated by a 2.77 SIERA and a 2.56 xFIP along with an xERA of 2.30. In his eight starts at home last year, he sported a 1.37 ERA with a 0.79 WHIP and a .171 opponent batting average. This season, Skubal has a 2.56 SIERA and a 2.54 xFIP — and his xERA is 2.13. We can live with regression to those numbers from his current 1.82 ERA. The Tigers have won 6 of their last 8 games at home with Skubal pitching with the Total set in the 7-7.5 range. He should thrive once again against this Royals team that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .223 batting average, a .272 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .595.
FINAL TAKE: Manager A.J. Hinch makes sure his team is ready to play against divisional foes as Detroit has won 43 of their last 64 games against AL Central rivals. 25* MLB American League Central Game of the Month with the money-line on the Detroit Tigers (962) versus the Kansas City Royals (961) listing both starting pitchers Tarik Skubal and Michael Wacha. Best of luck for us — Frank.
At 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (553) and the Indiana Pacers (553) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (50-35) lost for the fourth time in their last five games in a 121-118 loss in overtime as a 6.5-point underdog on Friday. Indiana (49-37) has won six of their last eight games while taking a 2-1 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bucks will likely be without Damian Lillard tonight after he first twisted his ankle in Game Three before later wrenching his Achilles in the fourth quarter. While Lillard declared that he expected to play after the game, he was in a walking boot yesterday and was listed as doubtful. Milwaukee probably does not want to risk Lillard aggravating that injury the way Golden State did with Kevin Durant a few years ago. The team is already without Giannis Antetokounmpo who is doubtful to return from his calf injury. Even if one (or both) of these players take the court, neither is likely to be close to 100%. Khris Middleton stepped up with 42 points on Friday — but now he is being asked to carry the team on offense which is not his strength. Lillard scored 28 points in Game Three. With Lillard out, head coach Doc Rivers will likely turn to Malik Beasley who is an improvement on the defensive end of the court. Beasley’s size makes him an interesting choice to defend Tyrese Haliburton — and that would allow for their top defender Patrick Beverley to clamp down on Andrew Nembhard. One thing that seems certain is that Rivers will continue to do everything he can to get this game into “mud” as he declared before the series started. After the 97 mutual possessions (adjusted possessions per 48 minutes) in Game One, there were 92.5 possessions in Game Two before just the 89.2 adjusted possession rate in Game Three which includes the pace in overtime. That game went into overtime with the score tied at 111 — helped by Lillard’s 28 points. The Bucks have played 29 of their last 44 games Under the Total on the road after a point-spread loss. They have also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total on the road as an underdog. They have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Indiana only made 13 of their 49 shots from behind the arc for a 27% shooting percentage. Tyrese Halliburton does not appear to be at 100% as he recovers from the injuries that slowed him down during the regular season — he missed 11 of his 12 shots from downtown. The Pacers' bench scoring production is down as well. After leading the NBA by getting 46.8 Points-Per-Game from their bench in the regular season, the second unit is only scoring 23.3 PPG in this series, down -23.5 PPG. Indiana has played 4 of their 6 games this season Under the Total after a win by three points or less — and they have played 42 of their last 63 home games Under the Total after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread as the favorite. They have played 14 of their last 23 games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. And in their last 8 games when playing for no more than the fifth time in 14 days, they have played 5 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Bucks have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when avenging a loss of three points or less — and they have played 22 of their last 32 games Under the Total when playing with double revenge including six of those last nine circumstances. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (553) and the Indiana Pacers (553). Best of luck for us — Frank.
Our Review of Frank Sawyer Handicapper from Hollywood Sports
Frank Sawyer started Hollywood Sports over 20 years ago and has been helping clients win more of their bets every day since. He got his name from being an active writer-producer in the movie industry. He quickly got a name for himself as a sharp bettor. Before you even knew it many of LA’s biggest names started to Frank. He quickly realized there is a bigger market outside of the A-listers who crave winning picks on a daily basis.
Sawyer is one of the best sports handicappers around because he gives such detailed analysis with his winners. You will have no doubts as to why he likes the games that he does. He uses a nice combination of intuitive feel and technical situations.
Frank loves fading teams that are over-valued in public perception and taking teams most bettors will be down on. He is able to identify these teams well by keeping his ear on the ground and watching national television shows and listening to popular radio stations.
It doesn’t matter if you need help with baseball, basketball or football Frank can help you win more of your bets. He has a rating system of 25*, 20*, and 10* plays and while all have shown to be winners, his higher rated selections are as close to a sure thing as you’ll find.