Big Al McMordie Sports Picks & Handicapper Review

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Jacksonville.  I'm not a big fan of laying a lot of points with teams that don't have a winning record.  And especially not against a winless team like Houston.  Consider that .500 or worse teams are 69-109-3 ATS when laying 9 or more points to winless opposition.  I’ll take the double-digits with Houston.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over the New York Jets. The Patriots come into this divisional match-up off back to back home losses in which they were underdogs, and failed to cover the point spread.  I'll take New England on the road vs. New York as NFL teams that failed to cover their first two games as underdogs have cashed 62% as favorites in Week 3.  Also, the Patriots are 16-0 ATS in the regular season on the road off a straight-up home loss, when not favored by 7+ points.  And the Jets are a miserable 68-120 ATS at home vs. foes that don't own a winning record.  Take New England.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Buffalo Bills.  The Commanders are a surprising 2-0 following wins over the Cardinals and Broncos, and have been installed as a big home underdog vs. Buffalo, which blew out the Raiders by 28 points at home last week.  I'll take the home team, as winning home underdogs have gone 99-60 ATS since 1980 vs. foes off a 15-point (or greater) blowout home win.  Take the Commanders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  The Bears have started the season 0-2 SU/ATS, with an 18-point loss to Green Bay in Week 1, and a 10-point defeat last Sunday at Tampa.  Meanwhile, KC is 1-1 SU/ATS as it lost to the Lions at home, but rebounded to take down the Jaguars in Jacksonville last week.  I like taking underdogs in Week 3 off back to back double-digit losses, as they’ve covered 63% since 1980.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over the Green Bay Packers.  The Saints come into this week's game with one of the four best scoring defenses, along with Dallas, Baltimore and San Francisco.  New Orleans has allowed just 16 ppg in its wins over Tennessee and Carolina.  That bodes well for them in Week 3, as NFL teams have cashed 72.3% off a win in Week 2, if their defense was giving up less than 20 points per game, and their opponent was off a straight-up loss.  Even better:  New Orleans is a solid 68-49 ATS as a road underdog off an ATS loss/tie in its previous game.  Take the Saints.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.