Free College Football Picks & Expert Predictions Against the Spread

*Free Play Over* Pitt wasn’t kidding when they said they were going to play fast. They are 3rd in the nation in tempo now. Throwing the ball on 56.1% of plays. Being aggressive. Eli Holstein is taking a lot of chances and is capable of big positive plays and/or pick sixes the other way.

I do think the West Virginia secondary is the weakness of the defense. We saw Drew Allar look very good against them and then Albany threw for more than 300 yards as well.

W VA’s OLine is excellent and they have a great tailback duo. Corey Kiner ran for 7.5 yards per carry on them last week. I think West VA runs wild on Pitt here. West VA above average in tempo at 48th in the country.

These two defenses are 131st and 123rd in the country in explosiveness allowed.

The tempo should be quick in this one and the defenses give up big plays. Take the over here.

(17-5 Last 22 College Football plays. 9-3 start to this season in CFB. Join in this weekend with a weekend pass or a CFB Saturday Trio for just $19 per play. Get on board!) 

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on North Texas +9.5

The Key: The Texas Tech Red Raiders are dealing with as many injuries as any team in the country right now.  That largely explains their awful start to the season.  They were fortunate to beat Abilene Christian 52-51 (OT) as 31.5-point home favorites.  And they were blasted 37-16 by Washington State as 2.5-point road favorites last week.  The Red Raiders are on upset alert again this week against a North Texas team that will be looking forward to this opportunity to face a Big 12 foe from their same state.  The Mean Green went on the road and upset South Alabama 52-38 in their opener and followed it up with a 35-20 home win over Stephen F. Austin.  This Mean Green offense is loaded averaging 527 YPG and 6.9 YPP this year behind TCU transfer Chandler Morries at QB.  Morris has already thrown for 737 yards and 7 TD while also rushing for 2 TD in 2 games.  He will light up this leaky, banged up Texas Tech defense and keep the Mean Green in this game for 4 quarters.  Take North Texas.

**4X Top 10 NCAAF Handicapper!** Dave was the #4 NCAAF Capper in 2011, the #7 NCAAF Capper in 2009 and the #5 NCAAF Capper in 2008! He had his best season to date finishing as the #2 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2020! He is riding a 315-273 NCAAF Run over the past couple seasons! He is also on a 113-71 Run on NCAAF 7* Top Plays! Give your book the beating it deserves today and hop on board for Dave's Saturday NCAA Football 11-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* NCAAF Situational Game of the Year along with ten 6* picks for you to crush your book with today! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Sunday's NFL picks for FREE!

#172 ASA FREE PLAY ON Eastern Michigan vs. Jacksonville State, Saturday at 7 PM ET - Understand, these are two bad teams, but EMU holds an advantage in a few key areas and are playing at home with revenge from last season. The Eagles are off a thrashing against Washington but did open the season with a road win against Massachusetts, who we grade similarly to Jax State. In the game vs. UMass the Eagles put up 28-points, 375 total yards at 5.9YPP.  EMU QB Snyder was an efficient 17/28 for 241 yards and a TD. Jacksonville State opened the season with a blowout loss to Coastal Carolina, then traveled to Louisville last week and lost 14-49. The Gamecocks defense has been lit-up for 581 YPG (126th), 7.9 YPP (124th), 263 rushing yards per game (122nd) and 17.6 yards per completion (126th). Offensively JST has some major issues at the QB position with Tyler Huff struggling in two games with just 333 total yards and 2 TD’s to 3 INT’s. The Gamecocks are averaging 5.5 yards per play and 323 YPG with only 5 total trips to opponents Red Zone. The Eagles have won 9 straight home openers, Jax State has failed to cover three straight non-conference games.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN/ILLINOIS CFB FREE PICK

Central Michigan is coming off a tough 52-16 loss to Florida International. That, along with Illinois pulling off an upset against Kansas, has led bookmakers to undervalue CMU in this matchup.

But don’t overlook the fact that despite last week's blowout loss, the Chippewas outgained FIU 369-309 in total yards. Turnovers were the real problem—they had six, and Illinois has forced eight turnovers this season. But there's a big luck factor in turnovers, and those kinds of things tend to even out over time.

3% FREE PICK ON CENTRAL MICHIGAN. 

Are you a subscriber of Mike Lundin's picks yet? If not, you've been missing out! He's 7-4 (64%) with his CFB picks for the season, and looking longer term, his top-rated (4-5%) CFB picks are on an 11-3 (79%) RUN!

His College Football 3-pack for Saturday includes Mike's 5% CFB GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET and his 5% CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET plus an additional 3% play. 

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Central Michigan +19

The Illinois Fighting Illini are in a massive letdown spot.  They stormed the field following their 23-17 upset home win over ranked Kansas last weekend.  This is also a sandwich spot for them with a Friday night road game at Nebraska on deck next week.  I just don't think they'll put their best foot forward given the situation, which is going to make it tough for them to cover this 19-point spread.

We'll 'sell high' on the Fighting Illini following that upset win over Kansas that they probably didn't deserve.  They only managed 271 total yards and 14 first downs, but were +3 in turnovers.  Kansas outgained them by 56 yards and held the Fighting Ilini to just 79 rushing yards in 34 attempts for an average of 2.3 per carry. 

We'll 'buy low' on Central Michigan coming off the most misleading loss of Week 2.  The Chippewas managed to lose 52-16 to Florida International as a 3.5-point road favorite despite outgaining them by 60 yards!  They were -6 in turnovers which was the difference.

This came after a 66-10 beat down of Central Connecticut State as a 32.5-point favorite in Week 1.  Iowa transfer QB Joe Labas threw for 342 yards and 3 touchdowns in that game, but came back to throw 5 INT against FIU.  I think the truth about his talent is somewhere in between, and I'm expecting the Chippewas to put their best foot forward this week getting to play a Big Ten opponent.  

We have already seen the MAC step up against the big boys this season with Northern Illinois upsetting Notre Dame as a 28-point dog and Bowling Green nearly upsetting Penn State as a 35-point dog, and I was on both of those dogs last week.  I'm backing the Chippewas here for many of the same reasons as this is another flat spot for Illinois just like it was for Notre Dame off the Texas A&M win and Penn State off the WVU win the previous week.  Bet Central Michigan Saturday.

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Crush your book on the NCAA gridiron this weekend and sign up for Jack's Saturday College Football 11-Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge are THREE 20* Top Plays as he adds to his 541-414 Run on college football top plays rated 20* or higher!

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Fresno State -19

The Fresno State Bulldogs have 13 starters back this year and are a contender to win the Mountain West.  The key is returning QB Mikey Keene, who completed 67.1% of his passes with 24 TD and 10 INT last season.  Keene led the Bulldogs into Michigan and had the Wolverines on the rope late in the 4th quarter.  They came back with a 46-30 home win over a very good Sacramento State team from the FCS.  They led by 23 in the 4th quarter before taking their foot off the gas.  New Mexico State is one of the worst teams in college football this season.  They lost head coach Jerry Kill and only brought back 8 starters.  They gave an 'all in' effort last week to try and get revenge on Liberty but came up short.  That was more due to a letdown for Liberty after beating this team twice last year including in the C-USA title game than anything.  I think we get a flat effort this week from the Aggies and they get crushed by a much superior Bulldogs team.  Give me Fresno State.

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The look-ahead line on this matchup was Notre Dame minus 16. But now after the Irish lost straight-up as four-touchdown favorites against Northern Illinois last week the line is down to a touchdown, Riley Leonard suddenly is a lousy quarterback and Marcus Freeman is the worst Notre Dame coach since Gerry Faust.

Time-out please. The Irish's loss to Northern Illinois was one of the biggest upsets of the decade. But the overreaction is way too over the top.

Look, I'm not sold on Freeman. Notre Dame, though, is 6-1 following a loss under Freeman. Leonard isn't a great downfield passer. He is a heady, experienced QB with outstanding intangibles and running ability. Nobody questioned Leonard's talents when he was at Duke last year.

Just who is Purdue? The Boilermakers are worse under second-year coach Ryan Walters than they were during the five-year Jeff Brohm era. Purdue was 4-8 SU and ATS last season. Brohm would have been appalled by the Boilermakers' lack of scoring as they were held to fewer than 21 points in seven of their games.

I certainly would take Leonard ahead of Purdue quarterback Houston Card. The Irish hold talent edges all across the field against Purdue. The Boilermakers are projected to be one of the lower-ranking Big Ten teams again this season.

And, now, the Irish certainly aren't going to lack motivation. This is a statement game for Freeman and his future. If the Irish were to lose here, their playoff hopes would already  be extinguished.

The point spread has dropped low enough to back the Irish.

I am 29-13-1 on my last 43 premium/free plays. I have five premium college football plays going Saturday in addition to this free selection. I also am looking to go 10-1-1 on my last 12 Canadian Football League plays with a Saturday CFL play.

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on West Virginia minus the points over Pittsburgh at 3:30 pm et on Saturday.

The Backyard Brawl will take place at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh on Saturday and this year's instalment features plenty of intrigue. I can't help but feel the wrong team is favored, even with Pittsburgh sporting the better record in the early going.

If you watched Pitt's come-from-behind win over Cincinnati last week you know that it really had no business winning that game. The Bearcats built a big lead and then stopped playing. I still find Cincinnati's hiring of head coach Scott Satterfield prior to last season a curious move but that's another story.

Last week's game was marred by poor quarterback play. Panthers QB Eli Holstein has shown flashes of brilliance but he's still a work-in-progress. Backfield burner Desmond Reid had to leave the game several times after getting banged-up. He can be a game-breaker but as a smallish back his durability is a question.

I'm high on the West Virginia defense in particular. This is a team that got off to a tough start to the season with a strange game against Penn State that included a long weather delay in Week 1. The Mountaineers rebounded as expected against FCS squad Albany last week, winning 49-14. I like the fact that they had a glorified scrimmage while Pitt was involved in such a hard-fought battle on the road against Cincinnati. Take West Virginia.

1* FREE INFO PLAY

MASSIVE CARD up from the ONL2 2 TIME CFB CHAMP ON THE NETWORK- 2024 NON CONF. TOTAL OF THE YEAR, EXECUTIVE LEVEL TIER 1 BLOWOUT and a RARE 6. Rob also has his September Specific MLB Systems and more. CFB Comp play below

The Comp play for Saturday is on Miami Oho plus the 3-4 points at noon Plus the bonus under Miami Ohio has early rest here after taking  northwestern to the wire on the road in their opener. They are 5-0 in home openers and we note that Home teams off a bye on non conference games that scored less than  14 points and are not laying 16+ points are a perfect 5-0 to the spread long term in early season games.  Cincy has a solid offense but they are awful on defense and while they have revenge for a home favored loss last year which snapped their 16 game series win streak we think they wont get the cover here as road favorites of 4 or less that have home favored loss revenge as a favorite of 12 or more last year are 1-6 straight up since 1994 vs a team off a road loss. Make it Miami Ohio plus the points. Dont miss the monster card going up with the 2024 non. conf. TOTAL OF THE YEAR, EXECUTIVE LEVEL TIER 1 and 3 more best bests along with MLB and more. For the Comp play. Take the points wit MIAMI O- Rob V

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Under in Nevada Wolf Pack @ Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 14 BTN) We hit a free pick under last week and we will try for two in a row in this game. Nevada offense is better than last year, but it still struggles to score points on a consistent basis. Minnesota will be able to stop the run and that will mean Nevada have to move the football through the air. I do not see them having much success in that department. Minnesota ran it up last week against an FCS team, but they scored just 17 points against North Carolina in Week 1, a team that is traditionally bad on defense. I see about 40 total points being scored in this game and we will hit the under with this free play. Do not miss out on our weekend football card, featuring a top play in the NFL and a slate of winners all weekend long. Sign-up now and let Doc’s Sports and their 53 years of handicapping experience work for you.

Utah vs Utah State 
4:30 ET, Saturday September 14, 2024 
Maverik Stadium, Logan Utah 
21-12 (64%) and $871 in profits for the $100 bettor since September 1.
2-0 ATS Thursday NFL w/Bills and ASU
30+ years of pro betting experience.
5 Premium 8-Unit picks go Saturday and 1 goes Friday night that you do not want to miss.

5-Unit Best Bet on Utah priced as 18.5-point favorites. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 51-9 straight-up (SU) and 40-20 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on road favorites. 

That team allowed 225 or fewer total offensive yards in their previous game. 

The opponent was outgained by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. 

If our road team is priced as a double-digit favorite, they have gone 38-3 SU and 28-13 ATS for 68% winning bets. 

Last week was an amazing week for us in college football. This weekend, I settle for nothing less than perfection with my: FRIDAY: FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS WINNER, SATURDAY: 1-0 EARLY WINNER, OREGON/OREGON STATE WINNER, BACKYARD BRAWL WINNER, 1-0 ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE, 1-0 CONSENSUS, & 1-0 NO LIMIT. Get them all and SWEEP THE BOARD.

Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Virginia.

Game 200.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

If you recall, a season ago, Virginia started off their campaign 0-5. That does include an ugly, 42-14 road loss at the hands of Maryland. This season, they have an opportunity to kick off the campaign at 3-0, which would be their first 3-0 start since 2019. On the other hand, Maryland started the regular season of destroying Connecticut at home. But last week got embarrassed as an 8.5-point favorite, losing outright to a mediocre, Michigan State, 27-24. It may take a while for them to bounce back from a devastating defeat like that. This is the first time they're taking it to the road this season, and they have to go into Scott Stadium to face a Cavaliers offense that's already accounted for over 65 points scored. Quarterback, Anthony Colandrea has many fans out there excited about this campaign. Neither team is known to stop the pass on the defensive side of the ball. But Virginia certainly is a little stronger against the rush. The Terrapins are still making adjustments in their first season without Tagovailoa at the helm. They're also not as experienced as their opponent here. The Cavaliers bring back eight starters on both sides of the ball. The old adage of taking the home 'dog rings true in this one. Take Virginia. Thank you.

Chip’s FAB-5 NCAAF Best Bet Winners

Las Vegas Hilton Handicapping Champion Chip Chirimbes the 'Big Game Player' has posted his Fab-5 of NCAAF Best Bet winners including his Highest-Rated Megabucks winner between Central Florida and Texas Christian. Saturday, also receive  his 'Top-Rated' Vegas Hotline winner between Indiana and UCLA, his Power Play winner between West Virginia and Pittsburgh, his Heavy Hitter winner between Washington State and Washington, and his Money Game winner between Boston College and Missouri. Get this 'Guaranteed' to 'Profit' FAB-5 of NCAAF Best Bet winners for only $99. 

Chip’s FREE SEC Best Bet Winner

LSU at South Carolina 12:00 ET

Tigers (-) over Gamecocks- South Carolina came up with their biggest win in over a decade by pounding Kentucky and is now 2-0 as the also defeated Old Dominion in their opener. LSU of course has yet to show the level of play that we expected and is 0-2 ATS after their loss to Southern Cal and a non-cover 44-21 win over power Nicholls State as a 41-point favorite. Yet, the Tigers opened a 7-point favorite at South Carolina which raises some eyebrows as to why. Maybe it’s because the Tigers have won the last five meetings. They own the Gamecocks! Take LOUISIANA STATE!

Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick

PLAY ON: Colorado State +7

I'm betting Colorado State +7 at home in Saturday's showdown with in-state rival Colorado. The Rams certainly will have this one circled on the schedule. Colorado State will also be out for revenge after giving away last year's matchup (lost in OT). I think they have a great shot of winning this game outright. Colorado might be the most overrated team in the country. They got a couple of really good players, but they are a complete mess on the offensive line and the defense is still a liability. I also think this is a potential letdown spot for the Buffaloes coming off their big road game against Nebraska last week. Give me Colorado State +7!

PSP Data Driven 1* Free Pick

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind.
Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. Colorado are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games. Colorado are 2-16 SU in their last 18 games on the road.