We wanted to find out the best possible numbers for teasing road underdogs in college football.  In order to do this, we took a look at the results of every regular season college football game since 1989 and ran the win percentages and every line between +0.5 and +15 for 6, 7, and 10 point teasers.  Next, we compared those percentages to the win rates needed to show a profit at typical teaser odds (see below).  This gives us the lines that have historically been profitable.  The hope is that we can use these numbers to make the smartest possible teaser wagers.

Teaser Win Rates Needed to Profit

  • 6-Point (at +100): 70.71%
  • 7-Point (at -120): 73.82%
  • 10-Point (at -120): 81.68%
Road Underdogs
Line 6 Point Win % 7 Point Win % 10 Point Win %
+0.5 75.86% 75.86% 75.86%
+1 68.71% 70.73% 78.67%
+1.5 73.53% 74.51% 76.47%
+2 72.31% 73.64% 78.68%
+2.5 71.06% 71.92% 77.08%
+3 71.31% 73.71% 78.60%
+3.5 63.30% 67.00% 71.92%
+4 70.87% 72.84% 78.39%
+4.5 68.22% 70.76% 76.27%
+5 68.67% 69.36% 73.62%
+5.5 65.40% 66.67% 72.57%
+6 64.15% 66.14% 71.88%
+6.5 66.23% 68.34% 74.67%
+7 62.68% 65.55% 70.83%
+7.5 63.61% 66.23% 71.80%
+8 63.02% 64.94% 70.15%
+8.5 65.89% 66.36% 73.36%
+9 65.85% 66.94% 71.54%
+9.5 59.60% 60.61% 66.67%
+10 62.39% 65.09% 71.43%
+10.5 65.02% 67.26% 72.65%
+11 67.42% 70.00% 76.26%
+11.5 68.67% 70.00% 76.67%
+12 71.63% 72.86% 78.10%
+12.5 60.21% 61.26% 69.11%
+13 67.61% 69.04% 75.81%
+13.5 60.47% 62.85% 69.17%
+14 56.93% 60.37% 67.99%
+14.5 63.71% 66.24% 72.15%
+15 66.67% 67.96% 79.40%

Be sure to check this table to see if you are getting good odds before you tease a road underdog in college football.

More College Football Teaser Situations