Testing 68-28 70% NBA Totals run that has made my dime players more than $36000 in bankroll expanding profits-plus 35-10 77% CFB side run that has made my dime players more than $24000 in bankroll expanding profits.
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
Basketball Totals (+11927) 1226-1010 L2236 55%
NBA Totals (+8128) 630-504 L1134 56%
All Sports Totals (+7384) 397-294 L691 57%
NCAA-B Totals (+4835) 187-126 L313 60%
NCAA-F Picks (+3522) 1141-1007 L2148 53%
NHL Money Lines (+3355) 116-74 L190 61%
MLB Money Lines (+2436) 1072-997 L2069 52%
Football Sides (+2217) 52-27 L79 66%
WNBA Picks (+947) 39-27 L66 59%
NFLX Sides (+431) 14-9 L23 61%
Fighting Picks (+345) 5-2 L7 71%
NFL Sides (+316) 11-7 L18 61%
CFL Picks (+285) 4-1 L5 80%
Soccer Totals (+100) 1-0 L1 100%
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
| Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Washington vs South Dakota State | OVER 153½ -107 | Premium | 53-74 | Loss | -107 | Show |
| Suns vs Heat | Suns +6 -110 | Premium | 111-121 | Loss | -110 | Show |
| Thunder vs Pelicans | Thunder -8 -107 | Premium | 119-109 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Kentucky vs Gonzaga | UNDER 167 -110 | Premium | 90-89 | Loss | -110 | Show |
| Utah Tech vs Utah State | OVER 150½ -110 | Premium | 62-92 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Weber State vs North Dakota | OVER 143 -110 | Premium | 75-80 | Win | 100 | Show |
| East Tennessee State vs Wichita State | OVER 145½ -110 | Premium | 87-96 | Win | 100 | Show |
| USC vs Washington | OVER 141 -110 | Premium | 85-61 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Grambling State vs Pepperdine | OVER 138 -110 | Premium | 57-85 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Lehigh vs Dayton | OVER 147 -105 | Premium | 62-86 | Win | 100 | Show |
| NC-Greensboro vs North Carolina A&T | OVER 147½ -110 | Premium | 67-55 | Loss | -110 | Show |
| Clemson vs Miami-FL | UNDER 147 -110 | Premium | 65-55 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Central Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | OVER 152½ -110 | Premium | 78-84 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Stephen F Austin vs Texas A&M Corpus Christi | Texas A&M Corpus Christi -2 -110 | Premium | 48-67 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Vermont vs Yale | UNDER 136½ -109 | Premium | 50-65 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Villanova vs Temple | Temple +10 -115 | Premium | 94-65 | Loss | -115 | Show |
| Indiana State vs Missouri State | Missouri State -4 -110 | Premium | 80-77 | Loss | -110 | Show |
| Wofford vs Elon | Elon -2 -110 | Premium | 56-79 | Win | 100 | Show |
| South Dakota vs Northern Arizona | Northern Arizona +1½ -113 | Premium | 82-95 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Texas-San Antonio vs Arkansas | OVER 155 -110 | Premium | 60-75 | Loss | -110 | Show |
| Clemson vs SMU | Clemson +2½ -110 | Premium | 34-31 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Ohio vs Miami-OH | OVER 44 -113 | Premium | 38-3 | Loss | -113 | Show |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
The Rockets are 9-30 SU and 12-27 ATS in its last 39 3rd Straight Road games situations. Home teams like the Clippers playing on 3 plus Days of Rest are 45-19 SU and 40-21-3 ATS hosting a side on their 3rd Straight Road game over the last three seasons. When the Rockets struggle its against good rim protection sides that rebound well - like the Clippers- HC Ime Udoka in away or neutral games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game is 0-6 ATS.
Play on the Clippers to cover ( LATE STEAM)
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Cheifs starter Mahomes is 0-3-1 ATS vs. AFC West this season and 4-10-1 ATS over the last three seasons vs. his division. As an underdog of more than 3 pts, Also Mahomes is now 24-39-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 pts or more since 2020 On the flipside Chargers QB Justin Herbert is 10-2-1 ATS in his pro career, including 6-1-1 ATS vs. the AFC West.In Herbert’s career, he is 6-0 ATS as a dog of 3.5 or more in night starts . Considering the way the Chiefs play most of their games close, as is evident by winnging 9 games so far this season by 7 points or less, it will not be hard for me to take the road dog here in this spot.
Play on LA Chargers to cover
QB Allen when has started games outside of the EST in his NFL career, is 14-8 ATS and 6-1 SU in his last seven starts in west trips away. Since 2020, Josh Allen is 29-4 SU vs. teams under .500, winning by 13.4 PPG and he gets the nod again here in this spot play vs the over hyped Rams who's QB Stafford is 3-15 SU as a dog.
Bills are also on a 7-game SU win streak, they are 10-2 SU and are traveling across the country on a short week coming off SNF and when NFL teams like the Bills are traveling from EST to play a tilt on the road game in PST they are 84-58-6 ATS dating back 8 season, including 21-12-1 ATS in the last two seasons.Since 2019, road favorites on a 3+ game SU win streak like buffalo having to make the trip from EST to PST are 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS.
Play on the Bills to cover
This non division game projects to be a high scoring one. Note: All game 13s non-division NFL confrontations are 12-1 OVER L/13 when the home team is favored in these non-division tilts for a potent 92% conversion rate.. Tampa Bay in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points (6 games dating back to 2022) have seen a combined average of 52.6 ppg scored. Las Vegas games after playing their last game on the road are 6-0 OVER with a combined average 50 ppg scored.
Over ha cashed at a 8-0-1 rate in the last nine in this series.
Play over
Saints over all body of work does not compute when it comes to making them road favs , no not even against a downtrodden NY Giants group. It must be noted that Saints QB Derek Carr is 5-11 SU and 1-14 ATS as a road favorite since 2020 and is fade material here again.New Orleans in away or neutral games on the money line after scoring 14 points or less last game have lost 7 of their L/8 SU and have not been able to take advantage of teams like the Gmen that own a poor passing defense - that allows a comp. pct. of 61% or worse losing 7 of their L/8 SU. Also Brian Daboll off a road loss against a division rival is a perfect 5-0 ATS L/5 opportunities. NYG QB Lock is 5-2 SU and 7-0 ATS at home in his NFL career when his team is coming off a loss.
Play on the NY Giants to cover
Our Review of Betting Handicapper Alex Smart
For three decades, Alex has professionally engaged in sports and horse racing betting. His selections have been meticulously documented over the past 22 years. In 2009, he was honored as the NFL Handicapper of the Year at a renowned event and clinched the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. Additionally, he has secured the title of NBA World Champion in 9 out of the last 11 seasons. On an annual basis, Alex consistently outperforms the College Hoops bookmakers with a strategic high-volume approach.
This Guru’s Sports Handicapping Approach
Alex possesses unwavering confidence in his methodologies. There isn’t a sport he believes he can’t master. Smart’s handicapping strategy is best described as “The Smart Money Approach.” He is thorough in his research, leveraging a vast database of information and statistics. Factors such as injuries, current and historical trends, form, weather, surface conditions, and line movement are all integral to his decision-making process.
Perspective on Sports Betting as an Investment
Many draw parallels between the unpredictability in sports betting and the stock market, attributing streaks of performance to mere chance. However, both realms present significant variables that, when understood, can offer an investor an edge. With diligent research and a comprehensive understanding of the facts, long-term profitability is achievable.
In his view, sports betting offers an edge over traditional stock markets. In sports betting, the investor retains greater control over their funds, with the flexibility to take breaks without fearing unforeseen losses. Conversely, traditional markets expose investments like 401Ks to the whims of a volatile marketplace, often accompanied by exorbitant broker fees. While profiting consistently from sports betting is challenging, those who succeed often enjoy returns surpassing those of market investors. This philosophy underpins every wager he places, and he approaches his portfolio with utmost seriousness.
Money Management for Gamblers to Follow
Achieving success in sports betting requires a long-term vision. Before embarking on this journey, it’s crucial to establish a robust bankroll. Conservative bettors might allocate 1-2% of their bankroll per game, reserving up to 3% for the most promising bets. While this may seem modest, it ensures sustainability in the unpredictable world of sports betting.
Here are some guidelines he advocates for:
- Seek the most favorable betting lines from trustworthy sources.
- Maintain discipline; avoid deviating from the advised bankroll allocation for individual bets. Chasing losses is counterproductive.
- Recognize that your bankroll is vital. Treat it with the same care as funds allocated for a business venture.
- Consider buying off the hook on pivotal numbers.
- Grasp the significance and technique of middling.
- Maintain a detailed record of all bets and outcomes, incorporating them into your overarching statistical database.
In your pursuit of long-term gains, these factors are pivotal. As the late Jimmy the Greek wisely noted, “The house doesn’t beat the player; it merely provides him the chance to defeat himself.”