Alex Smart Free Picks & Sports Handicapper Review

Houston has had a good run of late, winning 3 straight, and last time out showed a strong defensive posture allowing just 89 points and Im expecting more of the same here vs a Thunder side, that has not scored above the 99 point plateau in 10 of their L/19 with only 1 of the other 9 games seeing more than 105 point scored and own the 30th ranked offensive output in the league. Advantage under.

HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER  against Northwest division opponents this season with a combined average of 203.5 ppg scored.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 UNDER when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 199.6 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 46-12 UNDER for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER 

Both the Celtics and 76ers enter Wednesday's matchup with 11-10 records after up-and-down starts to the season with both playing a stable defensive game and less than desire-able offense. Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

PHILADELPHIA is 15-5 UNDER  in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108  or less points/game over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the opening  total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - vs. division opponents, playing with 2 days rest are 87-48 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Heat are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Heat are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite.

CLEVELAND is 28-46 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.Cavaliers are 15-34-2 ATS in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Cavaliers are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Cavaliers are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Cavaliers are 1-12 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Miami.

Cavaliers are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

No comment

New Orleans has been playing better lately , but according to my power rankings are not equipped to face the style of hoops the Mavs implement. I know the inconsistent Mavericks do not inspire bettors, but they have an edge here tonight and Im recommending we back them. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. DALLAS is 28-15 ATS  as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. Dallas is 7-1 L/8 on this series SU. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 32-7 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog, with a losing record are 8-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Play on Dallas to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Timberwolves  are playing very good ball at the moment having won seven  games  in eight tires  but go against a  Wizards side that matches up well against them and that  has lost just twice in nine games  this season as a host. Home court advantage will prevail on a short chalk line. 

WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS  versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.Wizards are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Timberwolves are 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Washington.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 29-7 SU L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with average margin ppg diff clicking in at +7.3

Play on Washington to cover 

Charlotte runs and guns with wreck-less abandon behind the leagues most productive offense  but  don't take very good care of their defensive responsibilities in transition as they own the worst ppg D in the NBA and off allowing 133 and 146 points . Meanwhile, on the flip-side their hosts the Bucks rank 9th in offensive output in the league and 9th in overall defensive rating. Bucks are 4-0 /SU ATS in their last 4 games overall winning by DD margins.

CHARLOTTE is 14-25 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.Hornets are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 28-1 L25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 ppg which qualifies on this offered ATS line.