Alex Smart

Cubs RH John Lackey (4-4, 4.82 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Brandon McCarthy (4-1, 3.76)

A pair of right-handers will take the hill in the second game of a three-game series between the Chicago Cubs and the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday at Dodger Stadium. John Lackey the Cubs starter owns a 4.82 ERA on the season, while allowing 12 HRS and 58 hits in 53.3 innings of action. Lackey lost to San Francisco in his last start as he gave up five runs and seven hits over five innings.He his most vulnerable in the early innings, as is evident by an ERA of 8.00 in the first inning this season and 4.15 from the second inning on. Meanwhile, the Dodgers starting thrower, Mccarthy , despite of some decent numbers, owns a 5.94 ERA in his L/3 turns. I expect the Cubs hitters will be very aggressive today, after being shutout yesterday. Note: Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Both offenses are capable of big outputs, and that's what I'm betting on today as both pitchers have shown vulnerabilities this season.


CHICAGO CUBS are 17-8 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season, with a combined average score of 9.9 rpg getting scored. CHICAGO CUBS are 21-10 OVER vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season, with a combined average of 10 rpg getting scored and are 12-4 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season, averaging 5.6 rpg on offense , with a combined average of 10.6 rpg getting scored.Over is 11-1-1 in Cubs last 13 Saturday games.Over is 6-1 in Lackeys last 7 road starts.Over is 11-2-2 in Lackeys last 15 starts overall.Over is 11-5-1 in umpire Gibson last 17 games behind home plate .

Home teams like the Dodgers - decent NL offensive team ( 4.7 runs/game or more ) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA3.33 or less), after shutting out their opponent are 60-17 OVER dating back 20 seasons, for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

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My WNBA Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

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