Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything.
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Free picks
The defending Super Bowl Champs started their season with a hard fought prime time win vs Baltimore and could easily follow that up with a letdown performance here vs a an opponent that choked against under rated New England in week 1 action and is badly looking for redemption. . Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow in his NFL career against sides like KC coming off a SU/ATS vcitroy , is 7-0 SU/ATS away. Im betting that the Bengals keep this game closer than the line might indicate. This game screams FG victory and it might not be the favorite taking the cheese.
Play on Cincinnati to cover
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
I know alot of pundits believe their will be regression offensively for the Jayhawks this season season because, of the absence of former Offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki who is now calling plays for Penn State. However there is still enough attacking talent on this team behind QB Jalon Daniels to make like difficult for opposing defenses. On the flipside, UNLV showed their explosiveness on offense vs Utah Tech last week when they put 70 points on the board and even though their passing game may not be optimal they are capable of burning down the field and moving chains via the run game. Lance Leipold in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses has seen 9 straight overs hit , with a combined average of 80.1 ppg scored. Also HC Lance Leipold in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers have seen a combined average of 82.5 ppg combined scored.
Play over
·Arizona’s below average performance against Northern Arizona has me backing away from them and actually betting against them. Im also not a big fan of first-year Arizona head coach Brent Brennan. Meanwhile, , I know the Wildcats had to work hard to get by Tulane, but as the season progresses Im betting that the Green Wave are a much better team then some of the oddsmakers odds suggested , thus giving credence to me backing them home side here tonight.
In games involving two ranked teams since 2017, the home side is 170-85 SU and 145-102-8 ATS for a 59% conversion rate for bettors and when the host side has been ranked above the visitor, those teams have gone 102-18 SU and 75-41-4 ATS for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.Also better ranked home teams have been single-digit favorites or underdogs, they have gone 53-15 SU and 46-19-3 ATS for 71% conversion rate dating back 11 seasons.
KState is 40-23-2 ATS for a 64% conversion rate since 2019.
Road underdogs vs. the money line like Arizona State - in conference games, with 8 offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are just 4-33 dating back to 2015 with the average margin ppg differential clicking in at -14.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering.
Play on KState to cover
.
I know alot of pundits believe their will be regression offensively for the Jayhawks this season season because, of the absence of former Offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki who is now calling plays for Penn State. However there is still enough attacking talent on this team behind QB Jalon Daniels to make like difficult for opposing defenses. On the flipside, UNLV showed their explosiveness on offense vs Utah Tech last week when they put 70 points on the board and even though their passing game may not be optimal they are capable of burning down the field and moving chains via the run game. Lance Leipold in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses has seen 9 straight overs hit , with a combined average of 80.1 ppg scored. Also HC Lance Leipold in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers have seen a combined average of 82.5 ppg combined scored.
Play over
Our Review of Betting Handicapper Alex Smart
For three decades, Alex has professionally engaged in sports and horse racing betting. His selections have been meticulously documented over the past 22 years. In 2009, he was honored as the NFL Handicapper of the Year at a renowned event and clinched the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. Additionally, he has secured the title of NBA World Champion in 9 out of the last 11 seasons. On an annual basis, Alex consistently outperforms the College Hoops bookmakers with a strategic high-volume approach.
This Guru’s Sports Handicapping Approach
Alex possesses unwavering confidence in his methodologies. There isn’t a sport he believes he can’t master. Smart’s handicapping strategy is best described as “The Smart Money Approach.” He is thorough in his research, leveraging a vast database of information and statistics. Factors such as injuries, current and historical trends, form, weather, surface conditions, and line movement are all integral to his decision-making process.
Perspective on Sports Betting as an Investment
Many draw parallels between the unpredictability in sports betting and the stock market, attributing streaks of performance to mere chance. However, both realms present significant variables that, when understood, can offer an investor an edge. With diligent research and a comprehensive understanding of the facts, long-term profitability is achievable.
In his view, sports betting offers an edge over traditional stock markets. In sports betting, the investor retains greater control over their funds, with the flexibility to take breaks without fearing unforeseen losses. Conversely, traditional markets expose investments like 401Ks to the whims of a volatile marketplace, often accompanied by exorbitant broker fees. While profiting consistently from sports betting is challenging, those who succeed often enjoy returns surpassing those of market investors. This philosophy underpins every wager he places, and he approaches his portfolio with utmost seriousness.
Money Management for Gamblers to Follow
Achieving success in sports betting requires a long-term vision. Before embarking on this journey, it’s crucial to establish a robust bankroll. Conservative bettors might allocate 1-2% of their bankroll per game, reserving up to 3% for the most promising bets. While this may seem modest, it ensures sustainability in the unpredictable world of sports betting.
Here are some guidelines he advocates for:
- Seek the most favorable betting lines from trustworthy sources.
- Maintain discipline; avoid deviating from the advised bankroll allocation for individual bets. Chasing losses is counterproductive.
- Recognize that your bankroll is vital. Treat it with the same care as funds allocated for a business venture.
- Consider buying off the hook on pivotal numbers.
- Grasp the significance and technique of middling.
- Maintain a detailed record of all bets and outcomes, incorporating them into your overarching statistical database.
In your pursuit of long-term gains, these factors are pivotal. As the late Jimmy the Greek wisely noted, “The house doesn’t beat the player; it merely provides him the chance to defeat himself.”