We have put together a few of the items that our experts look for when doing their college football handicapping. There are plenty of different ways to go about trying to beat the sportsbooks each weekend, so this is by no means an all-inclusive list. Remember though that with all forms of gambling you can put all the time in the world in and use all the right resources and still end up losing more of your bets than you win. By putting the time and work in you will however, give yourself the best chance of profiting over the books and making money. We think that you will use a lot of the same techniques as in NFL handicapping, but this is really a different sport entirely. There isn’t as much parity and good teams should be able to win outright over their inferior opponents each week. In pro sports the talent difference is not nearly as significant.
The schedule is more important in NCAA action than in the pros. You’ll find kids overlooking this week’s opponent for their major rivalry is coming in one week later. You’ll see teams looking past to the next week more than you will in the NFL where the players are more focuses on what needs to be done now.
If you find a team that is terrible at stopping the run or pass and they are going against a school that is great at their weakness, the team isn’t likely going to be able to game plan around this like they can in the NFL. Take a look at the matchups and use any strengths v. weaknesses you find to your advantage.
You’ll find a huge difference between a star quarterback and his backup in the NCAA ranks. In the pros all these guys were stars at the previous level, but that’s not necessarily the case when a school gets a great recruit that takes them to national prowess, only to lose that star and hope to continue to compete.
Don’t take into account the public action nearly as much as you do for the pro football scene. You can make a living going against the public in the NFL, but in college a lot of small schools only see action from the area people who are wagering. These guys know more about their small team than the books do and you’ll get burnt going against them.
Our Handicapping Articles
- Home Field Advantage – which teams had the best and worst home/road splits the last 20 years.
- Key Numbers – how often games land on numbers and when you should buy a half point.
- Conference vs Conference Records – see how different conferences perform against each other.
- Non-Conference Games With Conference Game on Deck – how teams perform in non-conference games with a conference game next on the schedule.
- How Teams with Winning or Losing Streaks Do in Bowls – we took a look at all of the records of bowl teams who entered their game with different winning and losing streaks.
- Teams With Poor ATS Records in Bowl Games – if a team has struggled to cover during the season they are prime to do so in the postseason.
- Rest & Bowl Season – how rest plays a factor for the end of season college football games.
- College Football Revenge – how do teams do when playing a team for the second time in a season.
- SEC Revenge System – we look at how SEC teams doing after losing to a team the previous year.
- Teams Off Short Rest – both teams playing on five days or less.
- Rested Road Underdogs – how teams do when they have more than 6 days of rest.
- Teams Off Big Covers – how do teams do when they blew a team out against the spread.
- Betting College Football Totals – strong system for beating the over/unders in college football.
- Teams Off Offensive Explosion – how do teams do after they put up a lot of points the week before.
- Bye Week System – how college teams do after some time off.
- How Teams Do Off Blowouts – see how schools do when they blew out their previous opponent.
- How Often Point Spread Comes Into Effect – how often do the points come into play in deciding who covers.
- Opening Week Games – how teams have done in week 1 of the season.
- Best Single Season ATS Records – who were the best teams in history at covering the number?
- How Teams Do the Year After Winning ATS Seasons – do they continue the success or do odds makers adjust?
- Line Movements in Bowl Games – see what the spread movements normally mean.
- Bowl Teams with More Wins Than Opponents – see if more success in the regular season translates into post-season wins.
- Heisman Winners in Bowl Games – how do the best players in college football do finishing off their seasons.
- College Football ATS Records by Point Spread – see how often teams cover at every number.
- Double Digit Favorites in Bowl Games – how do teams that should win in a blowout actually do?
- Bowl Teams Off Blowout Loss – how do post-season teams do when they got destroyed in their final regular season game.
- Handicapping Conference Championship Game Winners & Losers – how teams do after playing in their conference’s title game.
- Conference Results in Bowl Games – how teams from specific conferences do in the bowl season.
- Triple Option Teams During Bowl Season – how do teams with quirky offenses do when a team has plenty of time to prepare.
- Streaks Going Into Bowl Season – how teams do who have been winning and losing.
- Rest During Bowl Season – how important extra days off are preparing for the final game.
- Non-Conference with Conference Game Up Next – how do teams do when they play a rival the following week.
- Best & Worst ATS Team in Non-Conference Games – see who starts off the season hot and who doesn’t.
Great Resources to Check Out:
- Athlon’s CFB section – news and notes covering the sport from one of the best in the business.
- Archives Scores & Odds – all you have to do is click on the calendar to set a specific date.
- CFB Stats – great site with stats covering all of the teams and in specific situations.
- College Football Talk – NBC Sports news and stories.
- Covers Matchups – get an idea of how each team has done recently, betting trends, stat comparison, and matchup history.
- Covers Statsheet – a downloadable PDF with a quick look at each game of the week.
- Data Warehouse – detailed archives of records for teams and coaches.
- Detailed Records – lists all of the teams and how they have done straight up, against the spread, and against the totals, or if you would prefer by conference.
- Don Best Injury Reports – find out the status of key players before making your bets.
- History – see how each team has done against the spread in previous seasons.
- Message Boards – listing of forums for each school and conference. Can find out how the fans think of their team’s chances.
- Phil Steele – a must read every summer is his magazine.
- Power Rankings – if you want a complete list of sources of power rankings, here they are.
- Prediction Tracker – I like the side by side comparison of different power rankings, plus you can see their records.
- SB Nation – their CFB blogs and articles.
- Scout – detailed football coverage from a well-known source.
- Statfox Matchups – compare offensive/defensive statistics along with betting trends for each game.
- Sporting News – another great site for well-rounded CFB coverage.
- Team Pages – index of unofficial sites covering each school.
- Team Rankings – computer based analysis on each game.
- Vegas Insider Matchups – quick look at each game this week if you want streaks and betting percentages.
- Weather Reports – make sure you check this page out before betting any totals.
Tools On Our Site
Handicapping Resources by Sport
- College Football Home Field Advantage
- Odds to Win Heisman Trophy
- College Football National Championship Odds
- Who Will Be Ohio State’s Starting Quarterback in 2015?
- Oregon Ohio State Odds
- GoDaddy Bowl Odds
- Birmingham Bowl Odds
- Cactus Bowl Odds
- Alamo Bowl Odds
- TaxSlayer Bowl Odds
- Armed Forces Bowl Odds
- Citrus Bowl Odds
- Outback Bowl Odds
- Orange Bowl Odds