Jimmy Boyd Handicapper Review & Free Sports Picks

3* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers +123

Give me the Dodgers as an underdog all day. LA won the series opener over the Mets 9-2 on Friday and roughed up Syndergaard in the process. I think they keep it rolling against deGrom, who just keeps being overvalued by the books. Guy is great, but Mets are are a mere 3-7 in his last 10 home starts and have lost 7 of 8 at home against a team with a winning record. 

Dodgers will counter with Hyun-Jin Ryu, who is 12-5 with a 2.56 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in 26 starts. LA has gone 15-5 in his last 20 starts and have won 8 of his last 11 after scoring 5 or more runs the previous time out. Take Los Angeles! 

4* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Rockies +104

Colorado is worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against the Padres. Rockies are wrapping up a disappointing season. While they don't have anything to play for, they come in having won 3 of their last 4. 

When this team is playing well they are really tough to beat at home with the way they can score runs at Coors Field (averaging 6.1 runs/game at home). I know the numbers aren't great for Rockies starter Lambert, but Padres are a miserable 2-15 in their last 17 road games against an NL team with a starter going that has an ERA of 5.40 or worse. Take Colorado!

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Diamondbacks -113

I'm confident the Diamondbacks are going to snap their 6-game losing streak with a win at home over the Reds tonight. It feels like do or die time for Arizona, as they need to make a move right now to have any hope of a Wild Card. 

Look for Merril Kelly to play a big part in the victory. Kelly has been throwing the ball great of late with a 3.18 ERA in his last 3 starts. Red will have Anthony Desclafani going and h's got a 4.72 ERA in 15 road starts. Cincinnati has lost 5 of his last 6 starts on the road and 4 straight vs a team with a winning record. Dbacks are 4-1 in Kelly's last 5 home starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Arizona! 

1* Free NCAAF Pick on Georgia Southern/Minnesota UNDER 46

I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's non-conference clash that has Georgia Southern visiting Minnesota. There just doesn't figure to be enough possessions for these two teams to sniff 50 points. 

Georgia Southern is an option team that no matter how much the struggle are going to keep running the ball. They lost 55-3 to LSU and had 39 rush attempts to 11 pass attempts. They really don't want to throw the ball. Last week they had 52 rushes and just 9 pass attempts.

Key here is we saw what a good defense could do their ground attack. LSU held them to just 74 rushing yards (they had 395 against Maine). Minnesota's run defense has looked good. Last week they went on the road and held Fresno State to 57 yards on 27 attempts. They are holding opponents almost a full yard under their average/per carry. 

Golden Gophers aren't an option team, but love to run the ball. They 42 rushes in Week 1 against South Dakota St and 52 at Fresno. Georgia Southern has given up 300+ passing yards in both of their games, but have looked good against the run. They held LSU to 122 yards on 33 attempts (Texas gave up 102 on 29 attempts to LSU).  

Projected score here based on the odds is 31.5 to 14.5. I see something more along the lines of 27-10. Take the UNDER! 

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4* NCAAF - Prime Time PUBLIC SHOCKER on UCLA +24½ -110

No way the public is going to want anything to do with UCLA against Oklahoma. The books know this and I think we are getting exceptional value here because of it. I think the Bruins aren't just going to cover, but give the Sooners a bit of a scare. 

It's not easy for midwest teams to go out west and play in a different time zone. I also think it could be hard for Oklahoma to take this UCLA team seriously after watching them start out 0-2 with losses to Cincinnati and San Diego State. More so how bad the offense has looked. With the way they are scoring, it will be hard for them to see the Bruins keeping it close. 

The thing is, both Cincinnati and San Diego State are two of the better Group of 5 teams in the country. They are also two teams built around their defense. Oklahoma is trying to get better on defense, but I don't think they are quite there. Chip Kelly is too good an offensive coach to not get that offense producing.

Sooners are 1-5 ATS last 6 road games vs a team with a losing home record and 1-5 ATS last 6 off a SU win by 20+ points. Take UCLA! 

4* NCAAF - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Western Kentucky/Louisville under 51½ -110

I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER. I think when most people think of WKU and Louisville they think of high-scoring offenses and sub-par defenses. That's just not how these two teams are anymore. 

Scott Satterfield is the new head coach at Louisville coming over from App State. I know they gave up 35 to Notre Dame, but the defense had their moments and that's a good ND offense with a top tier QB. Last week they pitched a shutout at Eastern Kentucky, giving up just 172 total yards. 

Tyson Helton is the new HC at Western Kentucky and he's the brother of USC head coach Clay Helton. Hilltoppers held FIU to just 14 points and 217 total yards on the road last week. 

These two teams also combined for just 37 points last year with a total of 54. I see this being a very similar type of game. 

Great system in play here. Non-conference games played at a neutral site with a total of 49.5 to 56 with two teams who are strong defensively (allowing 280 to 330 yards/game) have gone UNDER the total 38 out of the last 46 (83%). This system dates back to 1992, so it's no fluke. Take the UNDER!

3* NCAAF - Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on Indiana +17 -105

I just can't pass up Indiana at this price at home against the Buckeyes. The Hoosiers have been a thorn in the side of Ohio State for years now. Something that might surprise a lot of people given the talent gap between the two and the fact that Ohio State has won the last 24 meetings. 

Indiana has covered 7 of the last 8 in the series. The only game they didn't cover they should have. Hoosiers ended up losing 49-21 as a 20-point dog in 2017, despite having a 21-20 lead in the 2nd half! 

Indiana is also always gonna be undervalued as long as they are in the same division as Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State and Michigan State. No one is ever picking this team to win the East. Thing is, Tom Allen has really got them competitive and finally made them respectable on the defensive side of the ball. 

I think that defense could give Fields and the Buckeyes offense some problems here, as they are going to feed off the energy of the home fans. I also think Hoosiers QB Michael Penix is on his way to being a star in this league. Take Indiana! 

4* NCAAF - Vegas Big Money HEAVY HITTER on BYU +4 -105

BYU is worth a look here as a home dog against the Trojans. It didn't take long for USC to go from being undervalued to overvalued. While the Trojans are off a 45-20 beating of Stanford, they did just lose their starting QB in JT Daniels to a season-ending injury. Not to mention the Stanford team they beat didn't have K.J. Costello. 

Kedon Slovis' big day against the Cardinal is a big reason why people are back on the USC bandwagon. He lit up Stanford's defense for 377 yards and 3 scores. It was a great game, but he was also just 6 of 8 for 57 yards and a pick in a half against Fresno State. 

I think Slovis is going to struggle to come anywhere close to those numbers against Stanford in his first true road game. BYU's defense is no pushover and are definitely battle tested having opened up the season against Utah and Tennessee. 

Trojans are just 7-15 ATS under head coach Clay Helton as a favorite, 1-8 ATS last 9 non-conference matchups and 3-9-1 ATS last 13 on the road. Take BYU! 

4* NCAAF - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Temple +7½ -110

Now is the perfect time to fade Maryland. The public was against the Terps last week at home against a ranked Syracuse team. Maryland went on to win 63-20 and now everyone is on the Terps. Even the polls jumped on board and put this team at No. 21 in the country. 

I'm not saying Maryland isn't better than expected, but they should be laying this kind of a number on the road against a good program like Temple. The Owls are in the first year under Rod Carey, who came over after a successful stint at Northern Illinois. Carey took over a team that brought back 14 starters from a team that won 8 games. 

I also think people underestimate the value of an early bye. Temple basically got to play an exhibition against Bucknell in Week 1 and then spend two weeks fixing what needed fixed. There's also going to be a little extra fire with Temple being a home dog and hearing all this hype around this Maryland team. Take the Owls! 

5* NCAAF - Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Tulsa +14½ -105

Absolutely love the value here with Tulsa as a two touchdown dog at home against the Cowboys. I've really been impressed with what I've seen out of the Golden Hurricane to start out 2019. Tulsa kept it closer than just about everyone expected in a 28-7 loss at Michigan State in Week 1 as a 23.5-point dog. 

Instead of giving the Golden Hurricane's defense for going on the road and holding the Spartans to 28 points and just 303 total yards, they just wrote it off as Michigan State's offense being bad. That kinda doesn't work after watching the Spartans put up 51 points and 582 yards in a 34-point win at home against Western Michigan.

Tulsa's defense wasn't spectacular at San Jose State last week, but that second straight game on the road is always tough, plus it was a huge sandwich spot. Teams that can keep Oklahoma State's offense from getting into a rhythm tend to have a lot of success against them. Should be a rowdy crowd, as this is also their home opener. Outright win is definitely a possibility. Take Tulsa!