Matt Fargo Sports Handicapper Review & Free Picks

The Royals opened their roadtrip by getting swept against the Pirates as all three games were decided by just one run including identical 2-1 losses the last two games. The dreadful season is almost over for Kansas City which has the second worst record in baseball at 52-100 including a 22-53 record on the road. This includes a 12-37 record in road games after scoring one run or less. The Tigers were also swept in their most recent series as the Twins took all three games to open the week which extended their home losing streak to seven games. This includes an 8-2 loss yesterday and Detroit has won 12 of 20 games this season after a loss by six or more runs. One of the pleasant parts of the rotation has been Matthew Boyd as he has quietly been pitching outstanding. He has a 4.08 ERA which seems average but it comes with a 1.09 WHIP which is tied for sixth best in the American League. He has been even better at home as he has a 2.44 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 13 starts and the Tigers are a perfect 8-0 in his eight home games when working on five or six days of rest. Meanwhile, the Royals are 0-6 in their last six road games against left-handed starters. Kansas City counters with Jorge Lopez who had a near perfect game through eight innings against Minnesota two starts back but regressed after that against the same Twins team. He actually got hurt in that last outing as he has to leave with a rib injury so he might be 100 percent healthy on top of it. Here, we play against underdogs after two straight losses by two runs or less going up against an opponent after a loss by six runs or more. This situation is 55-18 (75.3 percent) since 1997. Play (916) Detroit Tigers

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This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. This is the final home series of the season for the Braves and the biggest series of the season for both teams. Philadelphia and Atlanta meet seven times over the final week and a half of the season including this four-game set that could go a long way in helping decide the National League East. The Braves have a 5.5-game lead over the Phillies so we could see a huge swing over the weekend have not much movement at all but this game is huge for Philadelphia in trying to close the gap. The Phillies took the final two games against the Mets to close out a disappointing homestand at 4-5 and at least gain a little momentum heading into this series. Atlanta has faltered this season in this price range at home as it is 13-22 -17.5 units as a home favorite between -125 and -175 while going 26-16 +11 units in all other games. Additionally, the Braves are 3-12 in their last 15 home games against teams with a winning record. Vince Velazquez looks to keep the solid pitching going and while he has electric stuff, he has had a rough stretch since early August which is adding to the underdog price he is getting. The Braves counter with Kevin Gausman who has been a great addition to the rotation since coming over from Baltimore. Atlanta has yet to lose any of his four home starts, which is also affecting the line, but it is hard to look past his only start this season against the Phillies in mid-July when he was still with the Orioles as he allowed five runs on 12 hits in just five innings. 10* (905) Philadelphia Phillies

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Cleveland is a couple kicks away from being 2-0 on the season, instead it remains winless since December 24, 2016 as it has gone 19 games without a victory. This is one of the last big chances to grab a victory as the upcoming seven-game schedule is not easy as the Browns have three difficult road games and the four home games are against the Ravens, Chargers, Chiefs and Falcons. Cleveland was fortunate to tie with Pittsburgh as it was outgained by 145 yards but it won the yardage battle last week against New Orleans as this defense has come to play thus far in the early part of the season. The players know they are close and are in a good spot in a nationally televised game. The Jets shocked many on opening Monday night as they defeated the Lions thanks to a 31-point third quarter but despite winning by 31 points, they only outgained Detroit by 10 yards. They did a better job on the stat sheet last week against Miami as Sam Darnold threw for 334 yards but he threw two picks and was not nearly as efficient as in his first game. This is a very difficult spot for a rookie quarterback coming off a Sunday game and playing on the first short week of his career. Additionally, this is the third game in 11 days for New York and Darnold will have to deal with a hyper-aggressive defensive coordinator in Gregg Williams, who loves to call blitzes, especially against young quarterbacks. In the first two games, the Browns blitzed 40 times out of 84 dropbacks, a league-high 47.6 percentage, against two Hall of Fame quarterbacks and that number figures to climb against Darnold. 10* (302) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. We played on Temple two weeks ago against Buffalo and it lost on a late touchdown by the Bulls, which are showing they are MAC contenders. The Owls bounced back last week with a blowout win over Maryland and the 21-point victory was backed up by a 234-yard differential over the Terrapins and that momentum comes at the right time heading into their conference opener. Temple backup quarterback Anthony Russo got the start last week over Frank Nutile who sat with an undisclosed injury and he was very solid so whoever gets the start this week will be in good shape as the Tulsa defense is allowing opponents a .682 completion percentage. Temple is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games against teams allowing a .580 or higher completion percentage while going 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. Tulsa opened the season with a less than impressive win over Central Arkansas and backed that up with a pair of losses against Texas and Arkansas St. While the two losses ended up being somewhat close, the Golden Hurricane fell behind 21-0 and 27-7 and made their comebacks late when the opposition was playing prevent. They have been on the same level as Temple on offense but the defense has been much worse and they have just four sacks, which is No. 93 in the nation, and have yet to intercept a pass. On top of it, this is a tough trip for Tulsa as it has to travel east on a short week whereas Temple got to make a short trip homer from Maryland. 10* (304) Temple Owls