Matt Fargo Sports Handicapper Review & Free Picks

This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Nuggets proved once again it is really hard to win in Denver but the Heat did themselves no favors in the loss. Miami shot just 40.6 percent from the floor including 33.3 percent from long range and those numbers clearly have to improve to even think about sniffing a victory. But the biggest issue was the fact the Heat went to the free throw line two times the entire game, breaking an NBA playoff record for fewest attempts. There was no aggressiveness from the offense and simply put, Miami needs to attack and first and foremost, that comes down to Jimmy Butler who was only 6-14 from the floor and he has shown in the past to be passive and the Heat cannot have that happen. The role players who have made a big difference in the postseason also have to be better as Caleb Martin, Max Strus and Duncan Robinson shot a combined 2-23 (8.7 percent) in the game. For the Heat to win this series, they have to steal a game in Denver and this has to be the one and they do benefit from already having played a game in the altitude and now being here for six days. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg, after scoring 105 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 49-23 ATS (68.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (515) Miami Heat

This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. We lost with Seattle yesterday but are coming back with the Mariners as rookie sensation Bryan Woo was a disaster through only two innings. The Mariners are back to .500 after losing the first two games of this series. The Rangers have won 11 of 14 games to maintain their lead in the American League West which is 2.5 games over the Astros. The bats broke out with 16 runs but Texas will have a challenge to even come close to repeating that. Rookie sensation Bryce Miller faces his first adversity test after allowing eight runs in 4.2 innings against the Yankees. This came after posting a 1.15 ERA through his first five starts with a 28:3 K:BB ratio. Nathan Eovaldi will be a test for Seattle as he has been solid this season with a 2.42 ERA in 11 starts. The home hitters park has not been as kind as he has a 4.15 ERA in four home starts with Texas going just 2-2. Here, we play against American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season, averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game on the season. This situation is 27-12 (69.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (969) Seattle Mariners

This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. The Tigers have squandered a great opportunity to inch closer in the American League Central as they have dropped the first two games of this series with an offense that has scored just one run but they are still just 3.5 games behind the Twins. Chicago remains inconsistent as it puts together some small run only to give them right back as it has been unable to make up much ground. Even with the two straight wins, the White Sox are 10 games under .500. It is baffling how Michael Kopach has been as inconsistent as he is has allowed four runs or more in five of his 11 starts and after tossing two straight shutouts over 15 innings, the Angels lit him up last time out and his ERA at home is 4.86. Matt Boyd has been the atypical where he has had his success on the road. In five home starts, he has an 8.34 ERA and 1.90 WHIP with the Tigers going 1-4 but on the road, he has a 3.86 ERA and 1.01 WHIP with Detroit going 5-0 in those five outings. Here, we play on road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher with a winning percentage between .460 and .499 after having lost four of their last five games, playing a losing team. This situation is 28-11 (71.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (965) Detroit Tigers

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. This was a big series for the Angels to get back into the mix at the top of the American League West but they have lost the first three games and need this one as they are 8.5 games behind the Rangers. Houston has now won seven of nine to keep pace with Texas as it is 2.5 games out of first place. The pitching has been the big part of the recent success as the Astros have allowed three runs or less in six of those victories. J.P. France has been decent but far from consistent as he has a 4.00 ERA overall in his five starts and his success has come on the road as he has been lit up in both home outings, posting a 9.31 ERA. Griffin Canning started the season with three solid outings before having a pair of rough starts to open May but he has bounced back nicely with a 2.95 ERA over his last three starts that includes two straight quality outings. Here, we play against American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 averaging between 4.4 and 4.9 rpg going up against a starter with an ERA between 4.70 and 5.70, after a combined score of 15 runs or more. This situation is 35-19 (64.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (963) Los Angeles Angels