Matt Fargo Sports Handicapper Review & Free Picks

This is a play on the ANAHEIM DUCKS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. San Jose has won four straight games following a five-game losing streak but it is still in second to last place in the Pacific Division. All four of those wins came at home however where the Ducks are a respectable 6-4 but they hit the road where they are 2-6-1 on the season. The Ducks are in a completely opposite place on a four-game losing streak, with all of those defeats at home. Anaheim will enter off a 4-3 overtime defeat to the Detroit Red Wings on Tuesday when they gave up the game-tying goal with 37 seconds remaining in regulation. Despite the recent struggles, Anaheim is 6-3-2 at home and we expect the turnaround here as we go contrarian. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing four goals or more going up against an opponent after scoring six goals or more in their previous game. This situation is 45-15 (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (60) Anaheim Ducks

This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Dallas will be out for some quick revenge after losing the first meeting of this series less than a week ago at home by four points. The Mavericks followed that up with a blowout win over Memphis before losing at Boston on Monday. Kristaps Porzingis was playing the revenge narrative against the Knicks after being traded but he fell short and now he gets some payback at MSG. Dallas is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 games off a road loss. Despite that victory in Dallas, New York is a bad team. The Knicks are just 2-9 with the only other win coming against 4-7 Chicago. New York is 1-4 ATS as an underdog of less than eight points this season and going back, it is 9-23 ATS when playing against a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .700. Here, we play on road favorites with a scoring differential of +3 to +7 ppg going up against teams with a scoring differential of -7 ppg or worse, after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (505) Dallas Mavericks

This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. North Carolina has been one of the unluckiest teams in college football this season. The Tar Heels are 4-5 with all five losses coming by just one possession. This includes three losses by a field goal or less highlighted by the one-point loss to Clemson. The Pittsburgh defense is no joke but this is one matchup that the Panthers can get burned. North Carolina is 14th nationally with 20 passing plays of more than 30 yards and 8th with 13 completions for more than 40 yards. The Panthers are 76th in the country with 10 passes of 30 or more yards allowed and 110th with 10 completions of more than 40 yards allowed. Running the ball is key as well. With the exception of Week Two against Miami, North Carolina has rushed for at least 144 yards in every game and racked up 186 yards against a good Virginia defense in their most recent contest. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (313) North Carolina Tar Heels

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. We played on Cleveland last Sunday and it resulted in a push for most and we are backing the Browns again this week in their back-to-back home spot. It was a must win then and it is a must win again this week and the Browns catch Pittsburgh coming off an upset win as a home underdog and now has to travel. With Mason Rudolph failing to exceed 200 passing yards in four of his seven starts, the Steelers will likely feature a run-heavy offensive attack. The key is whether Cleveland will be able to limit Pittsburgh on the ground on a short week. The money is coming in on the Steelers which is because of their recent success but they have played only one road game over the past seven weeks and they have been outgained in seven of nine games on the season. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 22-3 (88 percent) since 1983. 10* (310) Cleveland Browns