Matt Fargo Sports Handicapper Review & Free Picks

This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Last week, Charlotte snapped a nine-game losing streak in this series as it defeated the Cavaliers by 32 points, its biggest margin of victory this season. The Hornets have now won three of their last four games to move back over .500 and are now a game and a half in front of Orlando in the Southeast Division. They are just 3-4 on the road and going back, Charlotte is 6-23 ATS in its last 29 games after covering three of its last four games against the spread. It has been a rough start to the season for the Cavaliers as they are now 1-11 following their fifth consecutive defeat. The loss to Charlotte is part of their seven double-digit losses but they have been playing better as since the loss to the Hornets, the Cavaliers have lost to Orlando, Oklahoma City and Chicago by a combined 12 points. Charlotte is the biggest consensus on the short NBA slate despite the line going up two points from the opening number. Cleveland falls into a solid contrarian situation as we play against favorites after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games going up against an opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games. This situation is 81-45 (64.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (502) Cleveland Cavaliers

This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. After a 4-0 start in the MAC, including three wins on the road, Western Michigan has dropped its last two games and neither of which were close as it fell by 27 and 45 points. The Broncos are now two games behind Northern Illinois in the MAC West and they can still compete in the MAC Championship if they win out as they play the Huskies next week and hope Northern Illinois loses tomorrow against Miami. Those games ended an overall six-game winning streak as well as a six-game string of winning the total yardage. In this particular matchup, the Broncos own all three yppl advantages and they have a chance to get the high-powered offenses back in gear after being stalled the last two games. Western Michigan is 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games off two straight losses to conference rivals, allowing 31 points or more. Ball St. lost its last game which was Halloween night and that eliminated the Cardinals from a chance at a bowl game as they fell to 3-7. They won their first game of the season against Central Connecticut St. from the FCS and the two conference wins came against 2-8 Kent St. and 1-10 Central Michigan. Ball St. is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games against teams averaging 6.25 or more yppl while going 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. Additionally, we play on road teams off a loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival, with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 on the season. This situation is 64-28 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (301) Western Michigan Broncos

This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS as part of our NHL Tuesday Hat Trick. Just when you think Edmonton has turned the corner, its offense shuts down for a stretch as it has lost four straight games by scoring a total of six goals. The Oilers were on a 5-1 run prior to this and we can expect them to bounce back here as the recent schedule has been brutal which has been the case for most of the season. They have played the third toughest slate with a league-high ten games coming against the top ten in the NHL, going 3-7 in those but they have excelled against the rest with a 5-2 record and that is where the Canadiens reside. We won with Montreal on Saturday as it rallied from a 4-3 third period deficit to win 5-4 over Vegas and while the season has been a success as a whole, there has been no consistency. The Canadiens have lost their last five games following a victory with three of those coming on the road where they have lost four of seven on the season and going back, Montreal is 9-31 in its last 40 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on favorites after scoring one goal or less in their previous game going up against an opponent after scoring five goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 30-4 (88.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (14) Edmonton Oilers

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING as part of our NHL Tuesday Hat Trick. The Sabres are a team on the rise as after their shootout win over Vancouver on Saturday which was their second straight victory, they are tied for sixth place in the Eastern Conference and are only five points behind first place Tampa Bay. They have played a very tame schedule however as it has been the third easiest so far and while they are 9-3 against teams ranked outside the top 16, they are 0-5 against teams inside that range. Going back, Buffalo is 4-19 in its last 23 games as a home underdog of +150 or less. This is a small price for Tampa Bay considering the true discrepancy in this matchup. The Lightning had a four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday against Ottawa as a -309 favorite and the road is no issue considering they have won five of their last six games on the highway. Tampa Bay is 10-1 in its last 11 road games after scoring three goals or more in four straight games and it falls into a great situation where we play on teams with a winning percentage of .700 or better after having won four of their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. this situation is 33-9 (78.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (9) Tampa Bay Lightning

This is a play on the NEW JERSEY DEVILS as part of our NHL Tuesday Hat Trick. New Jersey opened the season with a very favorable schedule as it played just one true road game through its first eight games and took advantage with a 5-2-1 record but was then dealt a dose of reality on a seven-game roadtrip where it went just 1-6. The Devils are back home for just one game and it is a big one to get some of that early momentum back and end a stretch of 18 goals allowed over their last three games. They are 17-8 in their last 25 games after allowing three goals or more in three straight games. Pittsburgh snapped a five-game losing streak with a 4-0 win over Arizona on Saturday with those four goals being just three goals fewer than the total during that skid. On the other side, the Penguins have allowed just two goals over the last two games but that was with Casey DeSmith between the pipes and Matt Murray is expected back tonight which is not ideal as he has been pulled in three of his last four starts after allowing 15 goals. Here, we play against road teams after allowing two goals or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after two straight losses by three goals or more. This situation is 24-6 (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (4) New Jersey Devils