College Football Championship Odds

 

This page is your one stop for the latest odds to win the 2017-18 NCAA Football Championship. We start tracking the odds for the next season right after the conclusion of the title game.

We will continue to update the lines throughout the year and provide checkpoints with each update.

The most current odds will be listed under the “Now” column.  You can also compare numbers from different books on our college football odds page. Teams with the best odds are listed at the top.

The implied probability shows the chance each of these teams has to win based on the latest update.

To convert to fractional odds take the numbers below and divide by 100. For example, +500 converts to 5/1.

Updated Betting Odds to Win the 2017-18 College Football Playoffs

TeamNowProb.12-Jan
Alabama+30025.00%+400
Ohio State+55015.38%+750
USC+70012.50%+900
Florida State+75011.76%+700
Oklahoma+12007.69%+900
Michigan+12007.69%+900
Penn State+12007.69%+2000
LSU+20004.76%+1200
Georgia+20004.76%+3300
Clemson+22004.35%+1600
Louisville+22004.35%+1800
Auburn+22004.35%+3300
Texas+28003.45%+2800
Washington+33002.94%+4000
Notre Dame+40002.44%+4000
Florida+40002.44%+5000
Oklahoma State+50001.96%+3300
Virginia Tech+50001.96%+3300
Wisconsin+50001.96%+5000
Miami-FL+66001.49%+3300
Kansas State+66001.49%+5000
Tennessee+66001.49%+5000
UCLA+66001.49%+5000
West Virginia+66001.49%+5000
Oregon+75001.32%+6600
TCU+75001.32%+7500
Texas A&M+100000.99%+6600
Michigan State+100000.99%+7500
Colorado+100000.99%+10000
Ole Miss+100000.99%+10000
NC State+100000.99%+10000
Nebraska+100000.99%+15000
Boise State+150000.66%+7500
Utah+150000.66%+15000
Iowa+250000.40%+15000
Arizona State+250000.40%+25000
Arkansas+250000.40%+25000
North Carolina+250000.40%+25000
BYU+300000.33%+25000
Baylor+300000.33%+25000
Houston+300000.33%+25000
Minnesota+300000.33%+25000
Mississippi State+300000.33%+25000
Northwestern+300000.33%+25000
Pittsburgh+300000.33%+25000
South Carolina+300000.33%+25000
Duke+300000.33%+50000
Arizona+500000.20%+25000
California+500000.20%+25000
Boston College+500000.20%+50000
Cincinnati+500000.20%+50000
Kentucky+500000.20%+50000
Maryland+500000.20%+50000
Missouri+500000.20%+50000

Spring practices are in the books. Now felt like a good time to check in on the odds to win the title next year. It’s our first checkpoint since we first looked at the lines after Clemson won the title in early January.

Betting Favorite: Alabama (+300)

As you can see, the odds on favorite to win is none other than Alabama. Not a big surprise here. As long as Nick Saban is in Tuscaloosa, the Crimson Tide will be near the top of the preseason list.

Note that when these are released initially, they are almost always based on what a team did last year and their reputation. The odds have now been up for a solid three months. While a lot of teams stayed put, we saw some decent movement at the top.

For example, Ohio State now has the second best odds at +550. That’s a decent jump from the +750 we saw them at back in January. Right behind them is USC. The Trojans are now at +700 after opening at +900.

A few other teams that are getting some love are Penn St, Georgia, Auburn, Washington and Florida.

Teams like Oklahoma and Michigan have seen their odds get worse. The Sooners and Wolverines are each at +1200 after originally being listed at +900.

My Early Value Prediction: Louisville (+2200)

It would be easy to predict Alabama to win it all, but that’s not fun. Plus, there’s zero value with the Crimson Tide at +300. A team that I like at a much better price is Louisville.

The Cardinals return Heisman quarterback Lamar Jackson to a team that returns a lot from last year. Louisville only had two players taken in the draft and they were in the 6th and 7th rounds. Keep in mind this is a team that tied Clemson at 7-1 in the ACC Atlantic. They started the season 9-1 with their only loss in conference a 36-42 defeat at Clemson.

The Cardinals lost their final 3 games, which is why I think they are under the radar. Struggling down the stretch after your playoff goals are out of reach is going to happen. I look for this team to come out with a chip on their shoulder and the ACC is theirs for the taking.

Preseason Vegas Lines for Past NCAA Football Championship Teams

The table below lists the preseason line on every team that went on to win the title since 2002.  The 2010 Auburn Tigers were the most unlikely champs in recent history.  A $100 bet on Auburn made before the start of the 2010 season would have paid $5,000 at the end of the year.  Compare that to the heavily-favored 2004 USC Trojans.  A $100 preseason bet on them would have paid just $300!

SeasonTeamPreseason
2016Clemson+750
2015Alabama+700
2014Ohio State+4000
2013Florida State+1600
2012Alabama+550
2011Alabama+600
2010Auburn+5000
2009Alabama+1200
2008Florida+600
2007LSU+800
2006Florida+1000
2005Texas+800
2004USC+300
2003LSU+4000
2002Ohio State+1900

FBS Championship Game Betting History: Spread, Total & Results

Next, find the results, spreads, and totals for every championship game since 1998.  This is when NCAA football started having an actual title game.

The biggest upset in the history of these games came in 2002 when Ohio State beat Miami.  The Buckeyes were 12-point underdogs.  They won thanks in large part to a controversial pass interference call in double overtime.

SeasonFavoriteScoreUnderdogScorePoint SpreadOver/UnderATS ResultTotal Result
2016Alabama31Clemson35-6.551UnderdogOver
2015Alabama45Clemson40-753.5UnderdogOver
2014Oregon20Ohio State42-7.574UnderdogUnder
2013Florida State34Auburn31-10.568UnderdogUnder
2012Alabama24Notre Dame14-1040FavoriteOver
2011Alabama21LSU0-2.541.5FavoriteUnder
2010Oregon19Auburn22-173.5UnderdogUnder
2009Alabama37Texas21-444.5FavoriteOver
2008Florida24Oklahoma14-371FavoriteUnder
2007LSU38Ohio State24-451.5FavoriteOver
2006Ohio State14Florida41-747UnderdogOver
2005USC38Texas41-769.5UnderdogOver
2004USC21Oklahoma19-354FavoriteOver
2003Oklahoma14LSU21-647UnderdogUnder
2002Miami24Ohio State31-1248UnderdogOver
2001Miami37Nebraska14-8.554.5FavoriteUnder
2000Florida State2Oklahoma13-11.556.5UnderdogUnder
1999Florida State46Virginia Tech29-649.5FavoriteOver
1998Florida State16Tennessee23-5.541.5UnderdogUnder