This page is all about providing you a detailed look at the odds to win the Super Bowl. As soon as the previous season is in the books, we turn our attention to the future lines for all 32 teams for the next year.
We do our best to keep you informed with the latest information. We will update this page throughout the preseason and each week of the regular season. We will provide checkpoints of previous updates as reference points.
Updated NFL Super Bowl Lines: Who Vegas Expects to Win in 2019
As we approach Week 14 of the NFL regular-season, there are just 4 weeks left before we narrow the field down to the 12 teams that will fight to win it all.
Not a lot has changed at the top from last week. The Rams are the betting favorite as of right now at +300, but the Saints are right on their heels at +330. You also have the Chiefs and Patriots both sitting at +550. No other team has odds better than 10 to 1.
The Chargers own the next best odds at +1100, followed by the Steelers and Texans both at +1600. You then have the Bears at +1800, followed by the Cowboys at +2500, Seahawks at +2800 and the Vikings at +3300.
Next up we got the Colts, Eagles and Ravens all at +4000. The only other teams with odds better than 100 to 1 are the Broncos (+6600), Panthers (+8000) and Titans (+8000)
Expert NFL Picks & Predictions to Win Super Bowl 53
Best Value Bet
Kansas City Chiefs (+550) – I’ve been on the Chiefs for quite a while now and just think that this is hands down the best value on the board. Note that even after losing star running back Kareem Hunt and a closer than expected win at Baltimore, the Chiefs odds actually improved from last week. I think a big reason for that is Kansas City is on track to get the No. 1 seed in the AFC, as they own the best record in the conference at 10-2.
If they hold onto that No. 1 seed and get homefield in the playoffs, I have a hard time seeing them lose. The offense is going to score regardless of where the game is played. The defense on the other hand is drastically better at home, where they can feed off the loudest venue in the NFL. Not to mention, former All-Pro safety Eric Berry is back practicing and could be back in action this week against the Ravens. If he’s healthy and anything close to what we have seen in the past, Berry is going to make that defense a heck of a lot better.
Odds to Win Super Bowl
|Team||Current Odds||Implied Probability|
Odds to Win Each Conference
Odds to Win Each Division
|AFC East||NFC East|
|AFC North||NFC North|
|AFC South||NFC South|
|AFC West||NFC West|
Past Champions & Preseason Las Vegas Odds to Win
This page is one of the most popular on our site, and it’s no surprise when you see how much is bet on the big game each year. People love their favorite teams and the NFL in general. When the end of the season gets here they want one last grab for gambling action. Otherwise they will have to wait seven months for a new season to begin.
Once the teams are set we will have a list of game props for those of you who are interested. It doesn’t matter if you like to bet on them or are wanting to put a list together for any parties you might have. We will have you covered.
I like reviewing these odds and comparing them to the game spreads each week. Is there a reason a team is favored that has worse line to win it all? It might be the schedule, some injury, or just a public bias.
Before the season starts we like to find win totals that might be profitable. One way you can do this by comparing teams with similar championship odds. Sometimes you’ll find drastic differences in expected victories. There is more than one way to put a futures bet on a team you like.
Previous Super Bowl Results
|2017||New England Patriots||+600|
|2015||New England Patriots||+650|
|2012||New York Giants||+2200|
|2011||Green Bay Packers||+1100|
|2010||New Orleans Saints||+2000|
|2008||New York Giants||+3000|
|2005||New England Patriots||+600|
|2004||New England Patriots||+1500|
|2003||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+1200|
|2002||New England Patriots||+6000|
Over the previous 15 years the New England Patriots have pulled the biggest upset, that was back in 2002. It comes as no surprise that they were a 14 point underdog in the game, and were not even likely to win the AFC. That championship game was the infamous tuck rule game where Brady and company upset the Oakland Raiders.
You can also check out what the point spreads and totals were for each game on our Super Bowl line history page. We include score results and opponents to give you the complete picture.
The odds on next year’s Super Bowl are typically released the day after the current one is complete. We will keep an archived list so everyone can compare the current ones listed at the top of this page.
Some other key dates are right after the NFL draft, and if there are any coaching changes. The numbers will move during the season when the Vegas odds makers have had a chance to see the teams in action. We will also keep an archived version of the odds after some of these key dates.