This page is all about providing you a detailed look at the odds to win the Super Bowl. As soon as the previous season is in the books, we turn our attention to the future lines for all 32 teams for the next year.
We do our best to keep you informed with the latest information. We will update this page throughout the preseason and each week of the regular season. We will provide checkpoints of previous updates as reference points.
Updated NFL Super Bowl Lines: Who Vegas Expects to Win in 2019
It’s time to get serious about the upcoming NFL season. With teams reporting to training camp this week and the first preseason game a little over a week away, I thought now was a great time to take a peak at the odds to win the Super Bowl. I’ve also added the most recent odds to win each conference and division.
Note that this will be our fourth checkpoint since the odds were released right after the conclusion of Super Bowl 52. You can click on the “odds archive” tab below to look back at the three previous checkpoints.
The Patriots have been the odds on favorite to win it all at every checkpoint so far and this time was no different, though New England’s odds did drop for the first time. In each of the three previous checkpoints they were at +500 and are now sitting at +650.
The Eagles are next up at +900, which is just slightly worse than their previous odds of +900. The Rams are next up at +1000, followed by the Steelers, Vikings and Packers all at +1200. The only other team with odds better than 20 to 1 are the Saints at +1600.
The next tier of teams starts with the Falcons, Jaguars and Chargers all at +2000. Not to far behind them we have the 49ers and Texans both at +2200, followed by the Raiders and Cowboys at +2500 and the Chiefs at +3000.
After KC we have a sizable gap until we find the Broncos, Panthers and Titans all at +4000. The Ravens are next in line at +4500 with the Seahawks and Giants not too far back at +5000.
Detroit is sitting alone at +6500. You then have the Colts, Bucs, Redskins and Browns all at +7500, followed by the Bears (+8000), Bengals (+10000), Cardinals (+12500), Bills (+15000), Dolphins (+15000) and Jets (+20000).
Expert NFL Picks & Predictions to Win Super Bowl 53
Los Angeles Rams (+1000) – A lot of people thought the Rams were going to better in the first season under new head coach Sean McVay. With that said, it really wasn’t going to take a lot for LA to improve. The Rams had gone just 4-12 the previous season, where they finished dead last in both total yards (262.7 ypg) and scoring (14.0 ppg).
LA didn’t just become more competitive, they sky-rocketed to the top tier of the NFC. The Rams went 11-5 and secured their first NFC West title since 2003. The offense went from the worst in the NFL to arguably the best. LA improved to 10th in total yards (361.5 ypg) and were 1st in scoring (29.9 ppg).
They did all of that with a second year QB in Jared Goff, who played in just 7 games during his rookie season in 2016. With Goff figuring to only get better in year-two in the new system installed by McVay, there’s no reason to think the Rams won’t be one of the higher scoring teams in the league again in 2018.
The Rams knew that for them to be a complete team and compete for a Super Bowl, the defense had to be better than it was. Needless to say, LA upgraded their stop unit for the upcoming season. The Rams added two of the top corners in the game in Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib. They also added one of the elite defenders in the game in defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh, who will play alongside maybe the only defensive tackle better than him in Aaron Donald.
I just think with all the pieces in place, the Rams are right there with the Eagles as the best teams on paper going into the 2018 season. That doesn’t guarantee anything, but I believe they are showing great value at +1000 and as of right now are my pick to win it all.
More Value Plays
- Vikings (+1200)
- Texans (+2200)
- Falcons (+2000)
- Jaguars (+2000)
- Chiefs (+3000)
Odds to Win Super Bowl
|Team||Current Odds||Implied Probability|
Odds to Win Each Conference
Odds to Win Each Division
|AFC East||NFC East|
|AFC North||NFC North|
|AFC South||NFC South|
|AFC West||NFC West|
Past Champions & Preseason Las Vegas Odds to Win
This page is one of the most popular on our site, and it’s no surprise when you see how much is bet on the big game each year. People love their favorite teams and the NFL in general. When the end of the season gets here they want one last grab for gambling action. Otherwise they will have to wait seven months for a new season to begin.
Once the teams are set we will have a list of game props for those of you who are interested. It doesn’t matter if you like to bet on them or are wanting to put a list together for any parties you might have. We will have you covered.
I like reviewing these odds and comparing them to the game spreads each week. Is there a reason a team is favored that has worse line to win it all? It might be the schedule, some injury, or just a public bias.
Before the season starts we like to find win totals that might be profitable. One way you can do this by comparing teams with similar championship odds. Sometimes you’ll find drastic differences in expected victories. There is more than one way to put a futures bet on a team you like.
Previous Super Bowl Results
|2017||New England Patriots||+600|
|2015||New England Patriots||+650|
|2012||New York Giants||+2200|
|2011||Green Bay Packers||+1100|
|2010||New Orleans Saints||+2000|
|2008||New York Giants||+3000|
|2005||New England Patriots||+600|
|2004||New England Patriots||+1500|
|2003||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+1200|
|2002||New England Patriots||+6000|
Over the previous 15 years the New England Patriots have pulled the biggest upset, that was back in 2002. It comes as no surprise that they were a 14 point underdog in the game, and were not even likely to win the AFC. That championship game was the infamous tuck rule game where Brady and company upset the Oakland Raiders.
You can also check out what the point spreads and totals were for each game on our Super Bowl line history page. We include score results and opponents to give you the complete picture.
The odds on next year’s Super Bowl are typically released the day after the current one is complete. We will keep an archived list so everyone can compare the current ones listed at the top of this page.
Some other key dates are right after the NFL draft, and if there are any coaching changes. The numbers will move during the season when the Vegas odds makers have had a chance to see the teams in action. We will also keep an archived version of the odds after some of these key dates.