Jimmy Boyd in 
The Rams sit atop the Super Bowl board at +500, and that price bakes in a 16.7% shot at winning Super Bowl LXI. That’s not a coin flip, it’s just the best number the market currently offers on the team the public likes most right now. 32 teams carry a live price, spread across 5 sportsbooks, and the whole board gets refreshed September 9, 2026.
This is the most bet futures market in sports, and it shows in how tight the number stays from book to book. A few points on a contender matter more than guessing the eventual winner, since most tickets never get held all the way through Super Bowl LXI anyway. The sharper the market prices, the more the middle of the board is where the real mistakes live.
Super Bowl LXI Odds
| # | Team | Best price | Book | Implied | 7 days | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Rams | +650 | bet365 | 13.3% | – | +100 |
| 2 | Buffalo Bills | +1000 | DraftKings | 9.1% | – | even |
| 3 | Baltimore Ravens | +1100 | FanDuel | 8.3% | – | -200 |
| 4 | Seattle Seahawks | +1200 | DraftKings | 7.7% | – | even |
| 5 | Kansas City Chiefs | +1600 | bet365 | 5.9% | – | -100 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Eagles | +1700 | BetMGM | 5.6% | – | -100 |
| 7 | Cincinnati Bengals | +1900 | FanDuel | 5.0% | – | -100 |
| 8 | Detroit Lions | +1900 | DraftKings | 5.0% | – | -100 |
| 9 | San Francisco 49ers | +1900 | DraftKings | 5.0% | – | even |
| 10 | Houston Texans | +2000 | BetMGM | 4.8% | – | even |
| 11 | Denver Broncos | +2000 | DraftKings | 4.8% | – | even |
| 12 | New England Patriots | +2300 | Caesars | 4.2% | – | +300 |
Show all 32 teamsShow fewer
| 13 | Chicago Bears | +2400 | DraftKings | 4.0% | – | -300 |
| 14 | Los Angeles Chargers | +2500 | BetMGM | 3.8% | – | +700 |
| 15 | Green Bay Packers | +2500 | bet365 | 3.8% | – | +300 |
| 16 | Dallas Cowboys | +3000 | BetMGM | 3.2% | – | +500 |
| 17 | Jacksonville Jaguars | +3000 | DraftKings | 3.2% | – | even |
| 18 | Minnesota Vikings | +5000 | BetMGM | 2.0% | – | even |
| 19 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +5500 | DraftKings | 1.8% | – | even |
| 20 | Pittsburgh Steelers | +6500 | FanDuel | 1.5% | – | -1500 |
| 21 | New York Giants | +7000 | DraftKings | 1.4% | – | even |
| 22 | Indianapolis Colts | +8000 | BetMGM | 1.2% | – | +1400 |
| 23 | Washington Commanders | +9000 | Caesars | 1.1% | – | +1500 |
| 24 | New Orleans Saints | +10000 | bet365 | 1.0% | – | +1000 |
| 25 | Carolina Panthers | +15000 | Caesars | 0.7% | – | +5000 |
| 26 | Atlanta Falcons | +15000 | Caesars | 0.7% | – | +2000 |
| 27 | Las Vegas Raiders | +15000 | bet365 | 0.7% | – | even |
| 28 | New York Jets | +25000 | bet365 | 0.4% | – | -10000 |
| 29 | Arizona Cardinals | +50000 | DraftKings | 0.2% | – | -50000 |
| 30 | Tennessee Titans | +75000 | BetMGM | 0.1% | – | +50000 |
| 31 | Cleveland Browns | +75000 | BetMGM | 0.1% | – | +40000 |
| 32 | Miami Dolphins | +100000 | bet365 | 0.1% | – | +25000 |
Best price is the longest number we found across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel. Implied probability strips nothing out; the whole board adds to more than 100% and that gap is the books’ margin. Movement is in odds points; green means the price shortened.
The Sharpest Book in Sports and Where It Slips
No futures market gets more handle than this one. Every book among bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel prices Super Bowl early and often, which means the number on a real contender rarely sits still for long. The practical lesson is simple: which team you land on matters less than the price you land at.
Public money chases the names everyone already knows, and that’s exactly where the value leaks out. A team with a real path to Super Bowl LXI can carry a number tighter than it should be, simply because bettors recognize the logo.
That’s also why a price like the Cardinals at +100000 still has a place on a ticket. Long shots rarely cash, but the ones that do pay for every miss around them, and the number only holds value if it’s grabbed before the board tightens back up.
What the Top of the Board Actually Pays
Backing the Rams or the Bills year after year is a losing habit if the price isn’t paying for it. At +500 and +1000, those two numbers already account for most of what the public believes about who wins Super Bowl LXI. The book isn’t guessing, it’s setting a price that matches the noise.
The real openings show up further down the board, where a team like the Seahawks at +1200 can be priced closer to a real shot than the number lets on. That middle tier is where books disagree with each other most, and where the gap across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel tends to run widest. A point or two of difference on a mid-tier contender is worth more over time than shaving juice off a favorite everybody already bets.
Futures on the favorite are easy to buy and hard to hedge for profit once the field narrows. The middle of the board gives more room to work the number as the season plays out, buying in before a run and trading out if the price gets rich.
Implied Probability, Juice, and the Case for Shopping Around
16.7% isn’t a stat, it’s just what +500 converts to once the vig gets stripped out. Every price on this board carries built-in juice, the book’s cut for taking the action, so the true odds of any team winning Super Bowl LXI run a little better than the number suggests on its face.
That’s why the same team can show a different price on bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel, and why the best number matters more than which sportsbook a bettor happens to use out of habit. A gap of a point or two on the Rams or on the Cardinals adds up fast across a full season of tickets. Shopping the board before placing a bet beats trusting a hunch on Super Bowl every single time.
