This page is all about providing you a detailed look at the odds to win the Super Bowl. As soon as the previous season is in the books, we turn our attention to the future lines for all 32 teams for the next year.
We do our best to keep you informed with the latest information. We will update this page throughout the preseason and each week of the regular season. We will provide checkpoints of previous updates as reference points.
NFL Super Bowl Odds: Current Betting Favorites & Updated Predictions
In less than 3 weeks NFL teams will start reporting to training camp. That means one thing, the new season is just around the corner. In fact, we are less than 2 months from the start of Week 1 action (59 days to be exact).
While this is quiet time for NFL teams, I wanted to check in on the odds. Why? Most experts have already completed the vast majority of their research. Now is when they start picking away at these future odds.
Nothing has changed at the top. The New England remain the overwhelming favorite to win it all at +357. The next best odds are the Packers +750. Note below that Green Bay was my best value play at +1200 back on May 3rd.
After the Packers, Dallas, Seattle, Oakland and Pittsburgh all come in at +1200. The Falcons are on their own in the next tier at +1600. Then we have the Texans, Broncos, Giants, and Panthers at +2200. The only other team at 30 to 1 or better is the Chiefs at +2500.
Don’t expect a lot of change in these odds until preseason games get going and even then they won’t move a ton. Be sure to check back during the season, as we will update these odds on a weekly basis.
My Early Value Prediction: Green Bay Packers +1200 (5/3)
New England certainly looks like the team to beat. Plus, there the only team you can be close to 100% that they will be in the playoffs. The problem is there’s just not a ton of value in betting the Patriots.
Right now the best thing to do is look for value. I believe that Green Bay is showing just that at +1200. I liked them at +1000 back in late March.
Aaron Rodgers might not have the records or trophies as Tom Brady, but he’s arguably the most talented quarterback in the league. At least right now. It’s amazing that Rodgers has only won 1 championship so far. I believe that second title is coming and Green Bay wasn’t too far off last year.
If I had to pick a value bet out of the AFC, it would be the Chiefs (+2500). Kansas City gets overlooked because most don’t think Alex Smith is good enough to win it all. The thing is, this Chiefs roster is one of the best from top to bottom in the NFL. So good in fact, that they could afford to trade up to No. 10 in the 1st round to draft a quarterback that isn’t expected to play this year and still be one of the best teams in the AFC.
Odds to Win Super Bowl
|Team||Current Odds||Implied Probability|
|Team||Post Draft (5/3)||21-Mar||Open (2/7)|
|AFC East||NFC East|
|AFC North||NFC North|
|AFC South||NFC South|
|AFC West||NFC West|
Super Bowl Betting History: Past Champions & Preseason Odds to Win
This page is one of the most popular on our site, and it’s no surprise when you see how much is bet on the big game each year. People love their favorite teams and the NFL in general. When the end of the season gets here they want one last grab for gambling action. Otherwise they will have to wait seven months for a new season to begin.
Once the teams are set we will have a list of game props for those of you who are interested. It doesn’t matter if you like to bet on them or are wanting to put a list together for any parties you might have. We will have you covered.
I like reviewing these odds and comparing them to the game spreads each week. Is there a reason a team is favored that has worse line to win it all? It might be the schedule, some injury, or just a public bias.
Before the season starts we like to find win totals that might be profitable. One way you can do this by comparing teams with similar championship odds. Sometimes you’ll find drastic differences in expected victories. There is more than one way to put a futures bet on a team you like.
Previous Super Bowl Results
|2017||New England Patriots||+600|
|2015||New England Patriots||+650|
|2012||New York Giants||+2200|
|2011||Green Bay Packers||+1100|
|2010||New Orleans Saints||+2000|
|2008||New York Giants||+3000|
|2005||New England Patriots||+600|
|2004||New England Patriots||+1500|
|2003||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+1200|
|2002||New England Patriots||+6000|
Over the previous 15 years the New England Patriots have pulled the biggest upset, that was back in 2002. It comes as no surprise that they were a 14 point underdog in the game, and were not even likely to win the AFC. That championship game was the infamous tuck rule game where Brady and company upset the Oakland Raiders.
You can also check out what the point spreads and totals were for each game on our Super Bowl line history page. We include score results and opponents to give you the complete picture.
The odds on next year’s Super Bowl are typically released the day after the current one is complete. We will keep an archived list so everyone can compare the current ones listed at the top of this page.
Some other key dates are right after the NFL draft, and if there are any coaching changes. The numbers will move during the season when the Vegas odds makers have had a chance to see the teams in action. We will also keep an archived version of the odds after some of these key dates.
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