This page is all about providing you a detailed look at the odds to win the Super Bowl. As soon as the previous season is in the books, we turn our attention to the future lines for all 32 teams for the next year.
We do our best to keep you informed with the latest information. We will update this page throughout the preseason and each week of the regular season. We will provide checkpoints of previous updates as reference points.
Updated NFL Super Bowl LIV Lines: Who Vegas Expects to Win in 2020
No more debating. The matchup for Super Bowl 54 has been set, as the Kansas City Chiefs will play host to the San Francisco 49ers.
According to the oddsmakers it’s one of the more evenly matched Super Bowls we have had. Right now the Chiefs are the slimmest of favorites at -1 and sitting at -120 on the money line. The 49ers are listed at +100.
Looking back at the history of Super Bowl point spreads, this is just the third time that a team has been listed at -1 or less (pick’em). It did just happen recently in Super Bowl 49 with the New England Patriots a 1-point favorite over Seattle Seahawks (NE won 28-24). The only other time was back in Super Bowl 5 with the Dallas Cowboys -1 over the Baltimore Colts (BAL won 16-13).
The Chiefs opened up at +800 to win the Super Bowl the day after Super Bowl 53 and that’s the same price they could be had going into Week 1. Kansas City’s odds to go as low as +500 after their 4-0 start, but they also climbed as high as +1400 when Mahomes was dealing with that dislocated knee. They were still at +1000 the final week of November and didn’t get back down under +800 until dropping to +650 in mid December. KC opened up the playoffs at +400.
The 49ers on the other hand opened up at +4500 the day after Super Bowl 53 (17 teams had better odds to win it all). That price didn’t last long. San Francisco could still be had at +3300 right before the season started and were still at +2000 after their 3-0 start. From their their odds just kept dropping. By the start of November they were at +650 and dropped as low as +550 after improving to 10-1 with a 37-8 win over the Packers in Week 12. They would jump back up to +700 for a few weeks, but like the Chiefs went into the playoffs listed at +400.
Be sure to check back on Monday, Feb. 3rd for our first look at the odds to win Super Bowl 55.
Odds to Win Super Bowl
|Team||Current Odds||Implied Probability|
Odds to Win Each Conference
Odds to Win Each Division
|AFC East||NFC East|
|AFC North||NFC North|
|AFC South||NFC South|
|AFC West||NFC West|
Past Champions & Preseason Las Vegas Odds to Win
This page is one of the most popular on our site, and it’s no surprise when you see how much is bet on the big game each year. People love their favorite teams and the NFL in general. When the end of the season gets here they want one last grab for gambling action. Otherwise they will have to wait seven months for a new season to begin.
Once the teams are set we will have a list of game props for those of you who are interested. It doesn’t matter if you like to bet on them or are wanting to put a list together for any parties you might have. We will have you covered.
I like reviewing these odds and comparing them to the game spreads each week. Is there a reason a team is favored that has worse line to win it all? It might be the schedule, some injury, or just a public bias.
Before the season starts we like to find win totals that might be profitable. One way you can do this by comparing teams with similar championship odds. Sometimes you’ll find drastic differences in expected victories. There is more than one way to put a futures bet on a team you like.
Previous Super Bowl Results
|2019||New England Patriots||+500|
|2017||New England Patriots||+600|
|2015||New England Patriots||+650|
|2012||New York Giants||+2200|
|2011||Green Bay Packers||+1100|
|2010||New Orleans Saints||+2000|
|2008||New York Giants||+3000|
|2005||New England Patriots||+600|
|2004||New England Patriots||+1500|
|2003||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+1200|
|2002||New England Patriots||+6000|
Over the previous 15 years the New England Patriots have pulled the biggest upset, that was back in 2002. It comes as no surprise that they were a 14 point underdog in the game, and were not even likely to win the AFC. That championship game was the infamous tuck rule game where Brady and company upset the Oakland Raiders.
You can also check out what the point spreads and totals were for each game on our Super Bowl line history page. We include score results and opponents to give you the complete picture.
The odds on next year’s Super Bowl are typically released the day after the current one is complete. We will keep an archived list so everyone can compare the current ones listed at the top of this page.
Some other key dates are right after the NFL draft, and if there are any coaching changes. The numbers will move during the season when the Vegas odds makers have had a chance to see the teams in action. We will also keep an archived version of the odds after some of these key dates.