This page is all about providing you a detailed look at the odds to win the Super Bowl. As soon as the previous season is in the books, we turn our attention to the future lines for all 32 teams for the next year.
We do our best to keep you informed with the latest information. We will update this page throughout the preseason and each week of the regular season. We will provide checkpoints of previous updates as reference points.
Updated NFL Super Bowl Lines: Who Vegas Expects to Win in 2019
As we approach Week 11 of the NFL regular-season, there are just 7 weeks left before we narrow the field down to the 12 teams that will fight to win it all.
While the playoff picture is getting clearer, I don’t know that we have a clear-cut team that is better than the rest of the field. With that said I think we have a select few teams who have a realistic shot of winning the title.
The odds on favorite as of right now is the Rams at +325, followed closely by the Saints (+400), Chiefs (+500) and Patriots (+600).
After that you got the Steelers at +1000, Chargers at +1200, Vikings at +1600, Bears at +2000 and Texans at +2500.
There’s then another gap until we hit the Panthers, Eagles and Redskins all at +3300, followed closely by the Packers at +3500.
The next tier of teams starts out with the Cowboys and Titans at +5000. You then have the Ravens and Seahawks at +6600. The only other teams with odds better than 125 to 1 are the Bengals, Falcons and Colts, all of which are sitting at +8000.
Expert NFL Picks & Predictions to Win Super Bowl 53
Best Value Bet
Kansas City Chiefs (+500) – I think the best value on the board right now is the Chiefs at +500. As long as the Chiefs stay healthy on the offensive side of the ball, there’s not a team out there they can’t outscore. Mahomes has shown no signs of slowing down or that any of this is a fluke. The only reason they aren’t right there with the Rams, is the defense hasn’t been great, though it’s not like the Rams or Saints defenses are lighting it up. It may never be a great defense, but they are showing progress and could soon be getting back their All-Pro safety in Eric Berry. There were a lot of new faces and young guys added in in the offseason, it wasn’t going to be pretty right out of the gate. With the way this team can score, they don’t need a great defense to win the Super Bowl. They just need above-average. Maybe the most important thing is they have shown they can get after the quarterback. By the time January rolls around, they will be more than good enough. They are also on track to get the No. 1 seed in the AFC, which is huge with their home field advantage.
Odds to Win Super Bowl
|Team||Current Odds||Implied Probability|
Odds to Win Each Conference
Odds to Win Each Division
|AFC East||NFC East|
|AFC North||NFC North|
|AFC South||NFC South|
|AFC West||NFC West|
Past Champions & Preseason Las Vegas Odds to Win
This page is one of the most popular on our site, and it’s no surprise when you see how much is bet on the big game each year. People love their favorite teams and the NFL in general. When the end of the season gets here they want one last grab for gambling action. Otherwise they will have to wait seven months for a new season to begin.
Once the teams are set we will have a list of game props for those of you who are interested. It doesn’t matter if you like to bet on them or are wanting to put a list together for any parties you might have. We will have you covered.
I like reviewing these odds and comparing them to the game spreads each week. Is there a reason a team is favored that has worse line to win it all? It might be the schedule, some injury, or just a public bias.
Before the season starts we like to find win totals that might be profitable. One way you can do this by comparing teams with similar championship odds. Sometimes you’ll find drastic differences in expected victories. There is more than one way to put a futures bet on a team you like.
Previous Super Bowl Results
|2017||New England Patriots||+600|
|2015||New England Patriots||+650|
|2012||New York Giants||+2200|
|2011||Green Bay Packers||+1100|
|2010||New Orleans Saints||+2000|
|2008||New York Giants||+3000|
|2005||New England Patriots||+600|
|2004||New England Patriots||+1500|
|2003||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+1200|
|2002||New England Patriots||+6000|
Over the previous 15 years the New England Patriots have pulled the biggest upset, that was back in 2002. It comes as no surprise that they were a 14 point underdog in the game, and were not even likely to win the AFC. That championship game was the infamous tuck rule game where Brady and company upset the Oakland Raiders.
You can also check out what the point spreads and totals were for each game on our Super Bowl line history page. We include score results and opponents to give you the complete picture.
The odds on next year’s Super Bowl are typically released the day after the current one is complete. We will keep an archived list so everyone can compare the current ones listed at the top of this page.
Some other key dates are right after the NFL draft, and if there are any coaching changes. The numbers will move during the season when the Vegas odds makers have had a chance to see the teams in action. We will also keep an archived version of the odds after some of these key dates.