This page is all about providing you a detailed look at the odds to win the Super Bowl. As soon as the previous season is in the books, we turn our attention to the future lines for all 32 teams for the next year.
We do our best to keep you informed with the latest information. We will update this page throughout the preseason and each week of the regular season. We will provide checkpoints of previous updates as reference points.
NFL Super Bowl Odds: Current Betting Favorites & Updated Predictions
While we are a long way from the start of a new season, now felt like a great time to check in on the odds to win Super Bowl 53. We first took a look at the odds for each team the day after the Super Bowl (Feb. 5th). Those initial odds are based almost entirely on the accomplishments from the previous season, as well as a franchises reputation.
Needless to say there’s been quite a bit of roster turnover since we last checked in. While there was some big free agent signings across the league, the real noise so far this offseason has come via trades. Keep in mind we are still a month away from the NFL Draft, which figures to provide a few more moves that shake-up the landscape of the NFL.
For now, let’s take a look at which teams saw their odds either improve or get worse from our last checkpoint.
No surprise at the top. The Patriots are the odds on favorite to win it all at +500, which is exactly the same odds the opened with the day after losing Super Bowl 52 to the Eagles. Speaking of the Eagles, Philadelphia has the 2nd best odds of any team at +850, though they are just marginally ahead of the Vikings at +900. Minnesota’s odds really improved, as they were at +1200 when we last checked and there’s no question the signing of Kirk Cousins played a big role in that.
After the Vikings we find the Steelers at +1200, followed by the Packers, Rams and 49ers are all +1400. This is actually a big step back for Green Bay, who were right there with the Eagles at +900 when the odds first came out. As for San Francisco and Los Angeles, these are two teams that a lot of people are really excited about.
There are 11 more teams that are listed at 33 to 1 or better, many of which have a realistic shot at winning it all. There’s a bunch more teams 50 to 1 or worse that also feel like they got a shot. That’s the beauty of the NFL, you just don’t know what is going to happen.
That team that comes out of nowhere in 2018 could very well be the Cleveland Browns. When the first Super Bowl odds were released, Cleveland had the worst odds of any team at +10000. After a promising start to their offseason, the Browns odds have sky-rocketed up to +6600, which is tied with the likes of the Redskins, Cardinals and Bills. I don’t know if I can get on the Browns Super Bowl bandwagon, but I do think Cleveland is going to be one of the most improved teams in the league. I could see a very similar jump to what we saw this past season with both the Jaguars and Rams.
Be sure to check back often, as I’ll continue to update the odds over the course of the offseason.
Odds to Win Super Bowl
|Team||Current Odds||Implied Probability|
Super Bowl Betting History: Past Champions & Preseason Odds to Win
This page is one of the most popular on our site, and it’s no surprise when you see how much is bet on the big game each year. People love their favorite teams and the NFL in general. When the end of the season gets here they want one last grab for gambling action. Otherwise they will have to wait seven months for a new season to begin.
Once the teams are set we will have a list of game props for those of you who are interested. It doesn’t matter if you like to bet on them or are wanting to put a list together for any parties you might have. We will have you covered.
I like reviewing these odds and comparing them to the game spreads each week. Is there a reason a team is favored that has worse line to win it all? It might be the schedule, some injury, or just a public bias.
Before the season starts we like to find win totals that might be profitable. One way you can do this by comparing teams with similar championship odds. Sometimes you’ll find drastic differences in expected victories. There is more than one way to put a futures bet on a team you like.
Previous Super Bowl Results
|2017||New England Patriots||+600|
|2015||New England Patriots||+650|
|2012||New York Giants||+2200|
|2011||Green Bay Packers||+1100|
|2010||New Orleans Saints||+2000|
|2008||New York Giants||+3000|
|2005||New England Patriots||+600|
|2004||New England Patriots||+1500|
|2003||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+1200|
|2002||New England Patriots||+6000|
Over the previous 15 years the New England Patriots have pulled the biggest upset, that was back in 2002. It comes as no surprise that they were a 14 point underdog in the game, and were not even likely to win the AFC. That championship game was the infamous tuck rule game where Brady and company upset the Oakland Raiders.
You can also check out what the point spreads and totals were for each game on our Super Bowl line history page. We include score results and opponents to give you the complete picture.
The odds on next year’s Super Bowl are typically released the day after the current one is complete. We will keep an archived list so everyone can compare the current ones listed at the top of this page.
Some other key dates are right after the NFL draft, and if there are any coaching changes. The numbers will move during the season when the Vegas odds makers have had a chance to see the teams in action. We will also keep an archived version of the odds after some of these key dates.