nba-finals-odds

Here’s a look at the most recent odds to win the 2016-17 NBA Finals for all 30 teams. The teams are ordered based on their current odds to win.

We first looked at the odds immediately following the Cavaliers winning the NBA Championship. While we are just a little over two weeks from that point, a lot has changed.

First there was the NBA Draft. While that doesn’t have a huge impact on the odds this far out, it’s worth noting. The big changes in the odds have come via the free agency frenzy.

Several high profile players have switched teams. None bigger than Kevin Durant, who decided to leave Oklahoma City. Durant teamed up with the Warriors. Giving them a dynamic core four of Durant, Steph Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green.

Even after losing the Finals to Cleveland, Golden State opened as the favorite at +200. Just slightly ahead of the Cavaliers at +225.

After adding Durant, Golden State is now the overwhelming favorite at -145. Based on the probability of the odds, they have close to a 60% chance of winning the title next year.

At the same time, Cleveland’s odds dropped down to +350. As for Oklahoma City, they went from +850 to +2500. Slipping behind the Clippers and Celtics for the best odds after the Warriors, Cavs and Spurs.

Other teams that saw a big jump in their odds are the Knicks, Hawks, Pelicans and Timberwolves. New York went from +7500 to +2800. Atlanta is down to +300 from +5000. New Orleans is now +4000 after opening at +6600. Lastly, Minnesota has went from +7500 to +4000.

 

Odds to Win the 2016-17 NBA Finals

TeamNowProb.20-Jun
Warriors-14559.18%+200
Cavaliers+35022.22%+225
Spurs+80011.11%+750
Clippers+20004.76%+2000
Celtics+20004.76%+2500
Thunder+25003.85%+850
Raptors+25003.85%+2500
Heat+25003.85%+3300
Knicks+28003.45%+7500
Hawks+33002.94%+5000
Pelicans+40002.44%+6600
Timberwolves+40002.44%+7500
Bulls+50001.96%+3300
Rockets+50001.96%+5000
Jazz+50001.96%+10000
Pacers+66001.49%+7500
Grizzlies+66001.49%+7500
Mavericks+80001.23%+6600
Pistons+80001.23%+7500
Trail Blazers+80001.23%+7500
Bucks+80001.23%+10000
Hornets+100000.99%+7500
Wizards+100000.99%+7500
Lakers+100000.99%+10000
Magic+100000.99%+12500
Nuggets+150000.66%+10000
Kings+200000.50%+10000
76ers+250000.40%+15000
Suns+250000.40%+15000
Nets+250000.40%+25000

I will continue to update the odds throughout the year. I’ve provided some key dates that you can expect to see updates. There will also be other updates throughout the year as time allows.

  • Immediately after the previous NBA Finals
  • After key free agent signings
  • Right before the season
  • Christmas
  • All Star Break
  • Start of Playoffs

The odds on this page are listed as money lines.  It’s pretty easy to understand. It basically means if the number is positive you have to wager $100 to win that amount.  If the number is negative you have to bet that amount to win $100.For example, if the odds are -300 then you have to bet $300 to win $100.  If the odds are +200 then a $100 bet would win you $200.

If you want to convert the odds into fractions. Simply take the odds and divide them by 100. For example, if a team is +300, there fractional odds would be 3/1 (300/100).

Previous NBA Champions

YearTeamPreseasonDec. 1All-Star BreakPlayoffs (Start)
2015-16Cleveland Cavaliers+300+280+340+475
2014-15Golden State Warriors+2800+800+425+175
2013-14San Antonio Spurs+1200+750+900+330
2012-13Miami Heat+225+185+185-125
2011-12Miami Heat+225+175+150+200
2010-11Dallas Mavericks+2000+2200+1600+1800
2009-10Los Angeles Lakers+225+225+225+225
2008-09Los Angeles Lakers+300
2007-08Boston Celtics+450
2006-07San Antonio Spurs+550
2005-06Miami Heat+280