Thinking about placing a wager on who is going to take home the NBA Finals this year? You have come to the right place. Each year I take a detailed look at the future odds for every team to win the championship. Not only does this page look at who will win it all, I also provide the betting lines on winning each conference and division. Plus I give out my predictions on who I think will win the title. You can also check out our NBA handicapping page for even more information on betting pro basketball.
I continuously update this page throughout the year. I’ve provided some key dates that you can expect to see them. There will also be other updates throughout the year as time allows. With each update we will create a checkpoint from the last time we looked at the lines. This way you can easily see how the oddsmakers have adjusted the numbers on each team.
- Immediately after the previous NBA Finals
- After key free agent signings
- Right before the season
- All Star Break
- Start of Playoffs
Understanding the Odds
The odd format on this page are money lines. It’s pretty easy to understand. It basically means if the number is positive you have to wager $100 to profit that amount. If the number is negative you have to bet that amount in order to profit $100. For example, if it was -300 then you have to bet $300 to cash $100. If it was +200 then a $100 bet would win you $200.
If you want to convert the money line into fractions. Simply take the line and divide it by 100. For example, if a team is +300, their fractional odd would be 3/1 (300/100).
2018 NBA Futures Odds to Win Finals, Conference Titles & Divisions
|Team||Current Odds||Implied Probability|
Favorites to Win 2018 NBA Championship & Betting Predictions
While we just three weeks into the NBA season, I felt like now was a good time to check in on the odds to win it all and see how the books have adjusted the lines based on what they have seen so far.
No surprise at the top, where the Warriors remain the overwhelming favorite at -175. It’s actually the highest odds we have seen on Golden State since they opened up at -175 shortly after winning the title this past summer. Though it is just a slight bump from them at -160 just prior to the season starting.
The Cavaliers remain the biggest threat according to the experts, but Cleveland’s odds have taken a hit with their sloppy play to start the year. Those looking to back the Cavs can get them at +550 right now. No other team currently has odds better than 10 to 1.
Next up is the Rockets at +1100, followed by the Celtics, Spurs and Thunder all at +1400. That’s about it as far as the legit contenders according to the oddsmakers, as the next best odds are the Wizards at +4000.
As far as how teams have adjusted, Houston has made the biggest jump of the top contenders, as they were at +1600 just a couple weeks before the season started. The Clippers are another that have turned some heads, as they went from 125 to 1 down to 75 to 1. Same thing goes for the Grizzlies, who were at 300 to 1 and are now at 125 to 1.
The most notable team to see their odds take a big hit are the Timberwolves. Minnesota was at +2800 prior to the season and are now at +5000. While it’s fun to see how the books have adjust the odds, that’s about all these odds are good for. Unless the Warriors lose a couple of their key players to serious injuries, it’s hard to imagine anyone overtaking them this season and if it does, it almost certainly will be one of the teams who are listed at 14 to 1 or better.
Early Prediction – Warriors (-160)’
Unlike other sports where several teams have a legit shot at the title, the best team typically takes the hardware in the NBA. That’s why I feel pretty confident when picking Golden State to win it all. If I had to go out on a limb and pick someone other than the Warriors or Cavs, it would have to be the Spurs at +1400.
Recent NBA Champion Winners & Vegas Odds to Win Title
|Year||Team||Preseason||Dec. 1||All-Star Break||Playoffs (Start)|
|2016-17||Golden State Warriors||+200||-130||-125||-160|
|2014-15||Golden State Warriors||+2800||+800||+425||+175|
|2013-14||San Antonio Spurs||+1200||+750||+900||+330|
|2009-10||Los Angeles Lakers||+225||+225||+225||+225|
|2008-09||Los Angeles Lakers||+300|
|2006-07||San Antonio Spurs||+550|