Below are the most recent odds to win the 2020 NCAA Tournament. The most recent numbers will be under the “Now” column. Teams will be ordered based on who has the best chance of cutting down the nets.
We will be back to look at the odds at several points throughout the season, so be sure to check back often. Our college basketball lines pages let’s you compare the live numbers from several top books.
Betting Odds & Favorites to Win the 2020 NCAA Basketball Tournament
|San Diego State||+4500||2.17%|
|San Diego State||+25000|
It’s officially 2020 and with the turn of the calendar it means we ready to get into the heart of conference play and really start to find out what these teams are made of.
Unlike a lot of years where there’s a team or two that looks to be a step above the rest of the field, that doesn’t seem to be the case this season. There’s so much parity at the top of the college basketball world right now, that I don’t think we really know who the best team is.
According to the oddsmakers Duke is the odds on favorite at +950, but there’s four teams right on their heels at +1000 in Louisville, Kansas, Gonzaga and Ohio State.
Not to far back from these five teams you got Michigan State at +1400, Oregon at +1500 and Kentucky/Maryland/Michigan all at +16000.
The next tier of teams starts with North Carolina at +2800, who are followed closely by Virginia/Arizona/Baylor at +3000, Villanova/Texas Tech at +3500 and Memphis/Auburn/Dayton at +4500.
You then have San Diego State at +4500, Seton Hall/Butler at +5000, Washington/Florida State at +6000, Purdue at +7000, West Virginia at +7500 and Xavier/Tennessee/Colorado and Utah State all at +8000.
Texas, LSU and Marquette, all at +9000 are the only other teams with odds better than 100 to 1.
Past Champions & Their Chances of Winning the Final Four
The table below lists the championship team for each season. The preseason column shows each team’s preseason chances to win the tournament.
Since the 2007 tournament, the Connecticut Huskies have the two biggest upsets in terms of overcoming their preseason odds. Both of those title games were interesting because of the seeds.
At 70 to 1 prior to the 2013-2014 season, UConn pulled off one of the most unlikely championships at any level. They entered the tournament as a 7 seed and went on to win as the second-lowest winning seed in NCAA history (#8 Villanova – 1985). It was the highest total seeds to make the championship game when the Huskies as a 7 seed took down the 8 seed Kentucky.
2011 was also interesting because they beat another 8-seed. This time it was the Butler Bulldogs. So, two massive upsets for UConn, but then again they had the easiest title games in recent memory too. If you think you can pick a massive underdog like this, just remember to look at our tournament winners by seed. You’ll see the probability of a team worse than 3-see of winning it all is very low.
Handicapping Who Has the Best Chance to Win
So how do you go about picking which team will conquer March Madness and cut down the nets? There is a lot that goes into handicapping postseason games. Throw motivation out the window. Nobody is taking these games lightly.
Does a team get to place close to home? They are worth a look. Is there a team that is over-rated? That’s not saying they can’t win it all, but it will typically drive all value out of their line. Kentucky is 2015 was a good example. They came into the tournament undefeated and everyone expected them to run the table. The number got down to less than even money and of course, they were beat.
Instead, look at a few sleepers that have a chance. Don’t ignore how each seed has performed. Trust coaches with a history of success over unknowns. Lastly, remember that no team seeded worse than 8th has made the championship game.
Don’t want such a long shot but really like a team? Check out their odds to win their conference tournament. Not nearly as much competition or level of difficulty required.