Below are the most recent odds to win the 2018 NCAA Tournament. The most recent numbers will be under the “Now” column. Teams will be ordered based on who has the best chance of cutting down the nets.
We will be back to look at the odds at several points throughout the season, so be sure to check back often. Our college basketball lines pages let’s you compare the live numbers from several top books.
Betting Odds & Favorites to Win the 2018 NCAA Basketball Tournament
|San Diego State||+10000||0.99%|
It’s been less than 24 hours since North Carolina defeated Gonzaga to win the title. Oddsmakers are already on to next season. The future odds to win the 2018 NCAA Tournament have already been released.
This is just more for show than anything, but it’s fun to look at. If you follow the game close enough you could spot some value bets on teams that should be greatly improved. Still, that’s quite a risk with so much unknown. Not to mention you are setting aside a chunk of your bankroll for an entire year. That’s money you could be using to profit more on the bases and next football season.
I would at least recommend holding off until you know what players are leaving early for the NBA. Players either staying or going can have a huge impact on a team’s outlook.
As far as the odds are concerned, not a big surprise with the teams listed as the favorites. Kentucky, Louisville and Duke share the top honors, as the odds on favorite at +1000 (10 to 1). Right behind them is the quartet of Kansas, UNC and Villanova and Gonzaga at +1200. Arizona is the only other team with odds better than 20 to 1 at +1500.
Be sure to check back often, as we will continue to update the odds in the months leading up to the start of the 2018 regular season.
Past Champions & Their Chances of Winning the Final Four
The table below lists the championship team for each season. The preseason column shows each team’s preseason chances to win the tournament.
Since the 2007 tournament, the Connecticut Huskies have the two biggest upsets in terms of overcoming their preseason odds. Both of those title games were interesting because of the seeds.
At 70 to 1 prior to the 2013-2014 season, UConn pulled off one of the most unlikely championships at any level. They entered the tournament as a 7 seed and went on to win as the second-lowest winning seed in NCAA history (#8 Villanova – 1985). It was the highest total seeds to make the championship game when the Huskies as a 7 seed took down the 8 seed Kentucky.
2011 was also interesting because they beat another 8-seed. This time it was the Butler Bulldogs. So, two massive upsets for UConn, but then again they had the easiest title games in recent memory too. If you think you can pick a massive underdog like this, just remember to look at our tournament winners by seed. You’ll see the probability of a team worse than 3-see of winning it all is very low.
Handicapping Who Has the Best Chance to Win
So how do you go about picking which team will conquer March Madness and cut down the nets? There is a lot that goes into handicapping postseason games. Throw motivation out the window. Nobody is taking these games lightly.
Does a team get to place close to home? They are worth a look. Is there a team that is over-rated? That’s not saying they can’t win it all, but it will typically drive all value out of their line. Kentucky is 2015 was a good example. They came into the tournament undefeated and everyone expected them to run the table. The number got down to less than even money and of course, they were beat.
Instead, look at a few sleepers that have a chance. Don’t ignore how each seed has performed. Trust coaches with a history of success over unknowns. Lastly, remember that no team seeded worse than 8th has made the championship game.
Don’t want such a long shot but really like a team? Check out their odds to win their conference tournament. Not nearly as much competition or level of difficulty required.