Below are the most recent odds to win the 2017 NCAA Tournament. The most recent numbers will be under the “Now” column. Teams will be ordered based on who has the best chance of cutting down the nets.
We will be back to look at the odds at several points throughout the season, so be sure to check back often. Our college basketball lines pages let’s you compare the live numbers from several top books.
Favorites to Win the 2017 NCAA Basketball Tournament
|St Mary’s Ca||+6600||1.49%||+5000||+6600||+20000||+20000||+20000|
|San Diego State||+20000||0.50%||+30000||+20000||+20000||+20000||+20000|
We take another look at the odds to win the 2017 NCAA Tournament. At this point we are well into conference play. We are starting to get a better idea of who are the elite teams that can win it all.
According to the books, the odds on favorite is UCLA, who comes in at +550. Last time we checked, I mentioned how the Bruins have really come out of nowhere this season. When we first looked at the odds back in April, UCLA was sitting at +6600. They were still at +5000 prior to the season starting in early November. Now they are the team to beat and are a lot of peoples favorite to cut down the nets.
While UCLA is the front runner right now, a lot can change between now and March. In fact, they aren’t too far ahead of SEC power Kentucky, who comes in at +600. After the Wildcats we got Duke, North Carolina and Villanova all at +900. No other team is listed with odds at 10 to 1 or better.
We know those 5 teams will be serious threats come tournament time, but there’s plenty more to watch out for. For example, Kansas (+1100), Florida State (+1200), West Virginia (+2000) Wisconsin (+2500), Oregon (+2500), Louisville (+2500), Virginia (+2800) and Indiana (+3300) are all teams I think have the talent to win it all.
Looking even further down the list, there’s more teams that you can’t count out. Arizona (+3300), Michigan State (+4000) Notre Dame (+4000), Purdue (+4000) and Butler (+5000) are all teams to keep an eye on.
Past Champions & Their Chances of Winning the Final Four
The table below lists the championship team for each season. The preseason column shows each team’s preseason chances to win the tournament.
Since the 2007 tournament, the Connecticut Huskies have the two biggest upsets in terms of overcoming their preseason odds. Both of those title games were interesting because of the seeds.
At 70 to 1 prior to the 2013-2014 season, UConn pulled off one of the most unlikely championships at any level. They entered the tournament as a 7 seed and went on to win as the second-lowest winning seed in NCAA history (#8 Villanova – 1985). It was the highest total seeds to make the championship game when the Huskies as a 7 seed took down the 8 seed Kentucky.
2011 was also interesting because they beat another 8-seed. This time it was the Butler Bulldogs. So, two massive upsets for UConn, but then again they had the easiest title games in recent memory too. If you think you can pick a massive underdog like this, just remember to look at our tournament winners by seed. You’ll see the probability of a team worse than 3-see of winning it all is very low.
Handicapping Who Has the Best Chance to Win
So how do you go about picking which team will conquer March Madness and cut down the nets? There is a lot that goes into handicapping postseason games. Throw motivation out the window. Nobody is taking these games lightly.
Does a team get to place close to home? They are worth a look. Is there a team that is over-rated? That’s not saying they can’t win it all, but it will typically drive all value out of their line. Kentucky is 2015 was a good example. They came into the tournament undefeated and everyone expected them to run the table. The number got down to less than even money and of course, they were beat.
Instead, look at a few sleepers that have a chance. Don’t ignore how each seed has performed. Trust coaches with a history of success over unknowns. Lastly, remember that no team seeded worse than 8th has made the championship game.
Don’t want such a long shot but really like a team? Check out their odds to win their conference tournament. Not nearly as much competition or level of difficulty required.