Below are the most recent odds to win the 2020 NCAA Tournament. The most recent numbers will be under the “Now” column. Teams will be ordered based on who has the best chance of cutting down the nets.
We will be back to look at the odds at several points throughout the season, so be sure to check back often. Our college basketball lines pages let’s you compare the live numbers from several top books.
Betting Odds & Favorites to Win the 2020 NCAA Basketball Tournament
|Team||Current Odds||Implied Probability|
|San Diego State||+1550||6.06%|
|Saint Marys CA||+24500||0.41%|
|New Mexico State||+125000||0.08%|
|San Diego State||+1550||+4500||+25000|
|Saint Marys CA||+24500|
|New Mexico State||+125000|
As we approach the end of January, it’s time to take a look at the updated odds to win the 2020 NCAAB National Championship.
This is one of those years where it feels like we could see a Final Four that doesn’t have a single No. 1, No. 2 or No. 3 seed in it. At least right now there doesn’t appear to be any elite teams. There’s a lot of really good teams and a bunch of other teams who aren’t far back from the top of the back.
We definitely see that in the odds. Right now Kansas and Gonzaga are tied with the best odds at +1000, but Duke, Louisville and Baylor are all right on their heels at +1100. You also got Michigan State at +1600 and Oregon at +1800.
Next up we got Kentucky, Dayton, San Diego State, Seton Hall and West Virginia all at +2000. Not too far back from them there’s Butler at +2200, Villanova at +2500, Maryland at +2800, Ohio State at +3000 and Auburn/Florida State at +3300.
Arizona, Iowa, Illinois all come in at +4000, Virginia sits alone at +5000, followed by Florida/Colorado at +6600, Wichita State/Penn State at +7000 and North Carolina/Xavier at +7500.
Michigan, Texas Tech, Purdue, Houston, LSU and Indiana are the only other teams with odds better than 100 to 1 and they all currently sit at +8000.
Past Champions & Their Chances of Winning the Final Four
The table below lists the championship team for each season. The preseason column shows each team’s preseason chances to win the tournament.
Since the 2007 tournament, the Connecticut Huskies have the two biggest upsets in terms of overcoming their preseason odds. Both of those title games were interesting because of the seeds.
At 70 to 1 prior to the 2013-2014 season, UConn pulled off one of the most unlikely championships at any level. They entered the tournament as a 7 seed and went on to win as the second-lowest winning seed in NCAA history (#8 Villanova – 1985). It was the highest total seeds to make the championship game when the Huskies as a 7 seed took down the 8 seed Kentucky.
2011 was also interesting because they beat another 8-seed. This time it was the Butler Bulldogs. So, two massive upsets for UConn, but then again they had the easiest title games in recent memory too. If you think you can pick a massive underdog like this, just remember to look at our tournament winners by seed. You’ll see the probability of a team worse than 3-see of winning it all is very low.
Handicapping Who Has the Best Chance to Win
So how do you go about picking which team will conquer March Madness and cut down the nets? There is a lot that goes into handicapping postseason games. Throw motivation out the window. Nobody is taking these games lightly.
Does a team get to place close to home? They are worth a look. Is there a team that is over-rated? That’s not saying they can’t win it all, but it will typically drive all value out of their line. Kentucky is 2015 was a good example. They came into the tournament undefeated and everyone expected them to run the table. The number got down to less than even money and of course, they were beat.
Instead, look at a few sleepers that have a chance. Don’t ignore how each seed has performed. Trust coaches with a history of success over unknowns. Lastly, remember that no team seeded worse than 8th has made the championship game.
Don’t want such a long shot but really like a team? Check out their odds to win their conference tournament. Not nearly as much competition or level of difficulty required.