Odds on the NCAA Basketball tournament

Below are the most recent odds to win the 2020 NCAA Tournament. The most recent numbers will be under the “Now” column. Teams will be ordered based on who has the best chance of cutting down the nets.

We will be back to look at the odds at several points throughout the season, so be sure to check back often.  Our college basketball lines pages let’s you compare the live numbers from several top books.

Betting Odds & Favorites to Win the 2020 NCAA Basketball Tournament

TeamCurrentProb.
Duke+9509.52%
Louisville+10009.09%
Kansas+10009.09%
Gonzaga+10009.09%
Ohio State+10009.09%
Michigan State+14006.67%
Oregon+15006.25%
Kentucky+16005.88%
Maryland+16005.88%
Michigan+16005.88%
North Carolina+28003.45%
Florida+30003.23%
Virginia+30003.23%
Arizona+30003.23%
Baylor+30003.23%
Villanova+35002.78%
Texas Tech+35002.78%
Memphis+40002.44%
Auburn+40002.44%
Dayton+40002.44%
San Diego State+45002.17%
Seton Hall+50001.96%
Bulter+50001.96%
Washington+60001.64%
Florida State+60001.64%
Purdue+70001.41%
West Virginia+75001.32%
Xavier+80001.23%
Tennessee+80001.23%
Colorado+80001.23%
Utah State+80001.23%
Texas+90001.10%
Houston+90001.10%
LSU+90001.10%
Marquette+100000.99%
Connecticut+100000.99%
Indiana+100000.99%
St. Mary’s+100000.99%
VCU+100000.99%
Cincinnati+125000.79%
Creighton+125000.79%
Alabama+125000.79%
Georgia+125000.79%
Illinois+125000.79%
Syracuse+150000.66%
Iowa+150000.66%
Wisconsin+150000.66%
Mississippi State+150000.66%
Arkansas+150000.66%
Oklahoma State+150000.66%
Wichita State+150000.66%
UCLA+175000.57%
Ole Miss+175000.57%
Arizona State+175000.57%
Virginia Tech+175000.57%
Penn State+175000.57%
USC+200000.50%
Texas A&M+200000.50%
BYU+200000.50%
DePaul+200000.50%
Missouri+200000.50%
Iowa State+250000.40%
NC State+250000.40%
Oklahoma+250000.40%
St. John’s+250000.40%
Notre Dame+300000.33%
Buffalo+300000.33%
Pittsburgh+300000.33%
Providence+300000.33%
Georgetown+400000.25%
Davidson+400000.25%
Kansas State+400000.25%
Stanford+400000.25%
California+500000.20%
Duquesne+500000.20%
SMU+500000.20%
Temple+500000.20%
Vermont+500000.20%
Team26-Nov10-Nov9-Apr
Duke+900+1000+650
Louisville+1000+1400+2500
Kansas+1200+1200+2000
Gonzaga+1600+2000+1600
Ohio State+2500+3300+6600
Michigan State+750+700+800
Oregon+2000+2800+2200
Kentucky+1000+800+600
Maryland+2500+2800+6600
Michigan+4000+3300+1200
North Carolina+1600+1600+1400
Florida+1600+1600+5000
Virginia+2000+2000+750
Arizona+2800+3300+2800
Baylor+5000+5000
Villanova+2500+2000+1600
Texas Tech+2500+2500+3300
Memphis+1400+1400+6600
Auburn+3300+3300+3300
Dayton
San Diego State+25000
Seton Hall+3000+4000+6600
Bulter
Washington+3000+4000
Florida State+8000+4000+6600
Purdue+5000+3300+5000
West Virginia+10000
Xavier+5000+5000+6600
Tennessee+8000+4000+3300
Colorado+10000+6600
Utah State
Texas+6000+3300+4000
Houston+7000+5000+5000
LSU+8000+6600+6600
Marquette+8000+5000+3300
Connecticut+10000+8000
Indiana+10000+10000
St. Mary’s
VCU
Cincinnati+8000+6600+5000
Creighton+10000+5000
Alabama+10000+6600
Georgia+10000+10000
Illinois+15000
Syracuse+8000+5000+5000
Iowa+10000+6600+5000
Wisconsin+10000+8000
Mississippi State+12500+5000+3300
Arkansas+20000+15000
Oklahoma State+25000
Wichita State
UCLA+12500+10000+10000
Ole Miss+12500+10000
Arizona State+15000+10000
Virginia Tech+25000
Penn State
USC+10000+10000+10000
Texas A&M+12000
BYU
DePaul
Missouri
Iowa State+12500
NC State
Oklahoma
St. John’s
Notre Dame+10000
Buffalo
Pittsburgh
Providence
Georgetown+15000
Davidson
Kansas State
Stanford
California
Duquesne
SMU
Temple
Vermont

It’s officially 2020 and with the turn of the calendar it means we ready to get into the heart of conference play and really start to find out what these teams are made of.

Unlike a lot of years where there’s a team or two that looks to be a step above the rest of the field, that doesn’t seem to be the case this season. There’s so much parity at the top of the college basketball world right now, that I don’t think we really know who the best team is.

According to the oddsmakers Duke is the odds on favorite at +950, but there’s four teams right on their heels at +1000 in Louisville, Kansas, Gonzaga and Ohio State.

Not to far back from these five teams you got Michigan State at +1400, Oregon at +1500 and Kentucky/Maryland/Michigan all at +16000.

The next tier of teams starts with North Carolina at +2800, who are followed closely by Virginia/Arizona/Baylor at +3000, Villanova/Texas Tech at +3500 and Memphis/Auburn/Dayton at +4500.

You then have San Diego State at +4500, Seton Hall/Butler at +5000, Washington/Florida State at +6000, Purdue at +7000, West Virginia at +7500 and Xavier/Tennessee/Colorado and Utah State all at +8000.

Texas, LSU and Marquette, all at +9000 are the only other teams with odds better than 100 to 1.

Past Champions & Their Chances of Winning the Final Four

The table below lists the championship team for each season. The preseason column shows each team’s preseason chances to win the tournament.

Since the 2007 tournament, the Connecticut Huskies have the two biggest upsets in terms of overcoming their preseason odds. Both of those title games were interesting because of the seeds.

At 70 to 1 prior to the 2013-2014 season, UConn pulled off one of the most unlikely championships at any level. They entered the tournament as a 7 seed and went on to win as the second-lowest winning seed in NCAA history (#8 Villanova – 1985). It was the highest total seeds to make the championship game when the Huskies as a 7 seed took down the 8 seed Kentucky.

2011 was also interesting because they beat another 8-seed. This time it was the Butler Bulldogs. So, two massive upsets for UConn, but then again they had the easiest title games in recent memory too. If you think you can pick a massive underdog like this, just remember to look at our tournament winners by seed. You’ll see the probability of a team worse than 3-see of winning it all is very low.

SeasonTeamPreseason
2018-2019Virginia+1800
2017-2018Villanova+1200
2016-2017North Carolina+1200
2015-2016Villanova+2000
2014-2015Duke+1000
2013-2014Connecticut+7000
2012-2013Louisville+800
2011-2012Kentucky+550
2010-2011Connecticut+4000
2009-2010Duke+1200
2008-2009North Carolina+450
2007-2008Kansas+1000
2006-2007Florida+530

Handicapping Who Has the Best Chance to Win

So how do you go about picking which team will conquer March Madness and cut down the nets? There is a lot that goes into handicapping postseason games. Throw motivation out the window. Nobody is taking these games lightly.

Does a team get to place close to home? They are worth a look. Is there a team that is over-rated? That’s not saying they can’t win it all, but it will typically drive all value out of their line. Kentucky is 2015 was a good example. They came into the tournament undefeated and everyone expected them to run the table. The number got down to less than even money and of course, they were beat.

Instead, look at a few sleepers that have a chance. Don’t ignore how each seed has performed. Trust coaches with a history of success over unknowns. Lastly, remember that no team seeded worse than 8th has made the championship game.

Don’t want such a long shot but really like a team? Check out their odds to win their conference tournament. Not nearly as much competition or level of difficulty required.