Odds on the NCAA Basketball tournament

Below are the most recent odds to win the 2019 NCAA Tournament. The most recent numbers will be under the “Now” column. Teams will be ordered based on who has the best chance of cutting down the nets.

We will be back to look at the odds at several points throughout the season, so be sure to check back often.  Our college basketball lines pages let’s you compare the live numbers from several top books.

Betting Odds & Favorites to Win the 2019 NCAA Basketball Tournament

TeamCurrentProb.
Duke+22530.77%
Virginia+60014.29%
Gonzaga+60014.29%
North Carolina+75011.76%
Kentucky+12007.69%
Michigan State+12007.69%
Tennessee+16005.88%
Michigan+16005.88%
Texas Tech+20004.76%
Houston+33002.94%
Purdue+33002.94%
Auburn+33002.94%
Florida State+33002.94%
Iowa State+40002.44%
Virginia Tech+40002.44%
LSU+50001.96%
Villanova+50001.96%
Baylor+50001.96%
Kansas+55001.79%
Marquette+60001.64%
Kansas State+60001.64%
Nevada+80001.23%
Wisconsin+80001.23%
Buffalo+80001.23%
Louisville+80001.23%
Cincinnati+80001.23%
Syracuse+125000.79%
Mississippi State+150000.66%
Maryland+150000.66%
Florida+150000.66%
Oregon+150000.66%
Wofford+150000.66%
Iowa+200000.50%
Murray State+200000.50%
Washington+250000.40%
Seton Hall+250000.40%
Minnesota+250000.40%
UCF+250000.40%
Ole Miss+250000.40%
New Mexico State+250000.40%
Ohio State+350000.28%
Oklahoma+350000.28%
VCU+350000.28%
Arizona State+500000.20%
St. John’s+500000.20%
Belmont+500000.20%
Georgia State+500000.20%
Northern Kentucky+500000.20%
Old Dominion+500000.20%
St. Louis+500000.20%
St. Mary’s+500000.20%
Temple+500000.20%
Utah State+500000.20%
UC-Irvine+1000000.10%
Iona+1000000.10%
Liberty+1000000.10%
Montana+1000000.10%
Northeastern+1000000.10%
Vermont+1000000.10%
Yale+1000000.10%
Abilene Christian+2000000.05%
Bradley+2000000.05%
Colgate+2000000.05%
Fairleigh Dickinson+2000000.05%
Gardner Webb+2000000.05%
NC Central+2000000.05%
North Dakota State+2000000.05%
Prairie View A&M+2000000.05%
Team6-Mar14-Feb30-Jan3-Jan1-Oct3-Apr
Duke+210+170+170+180+450+500
Virginia+800+800+800+1100+2200+1800
North Carolina+1100+2500+2400+2300+1200+1200
Kentucky+900+800+1200+2000+500+800
Michigan State+1400+1100+1200+2800+2800+2200
Tennessee+1100+750+750+1200+4000+3000
Michigan+1200+850+750+900+3500+2600
Texas Tech+3500+5500+5000+5000+7000+5000
Houston+5000+6500+12500+12500
Purdue+5500+5000+8000+8500+6000+5000
Auburn+5500+5500+4000+2500+5000+2000
Florida State+8000+8500+7000+5500+9000+8000
Iowa State+4000+7000+7000+20000+20000
Virginia Tech+7000+7000+6000+7000+9000+8000
LSU+4000+10000+10000+11000+9500+8000
Villanova+5500+4000+4000+4500+1200+800
Baylor+20000+20000+20000+11000+15000+8000
Kansas+2800+1800+1600+1100+750+700
Gonzaga+800+900+1000+1000+800+2000
Marquette+5000+4500+8000+8000
Kansas State+8000+8500+8000+7500+12500
Nevada+2500+2200+2000+1600+800+3000
Wisconsin+4000+8000+9000+8500+10000+8000
Buffalo+7500+9000+9000+8500
Louisville+8000+7500+9000+11000+12500+8000
Cincinnati+12500+10000+10000+10000+9000+7000
Syracuse+8000+5000+5000+7000+5000+6000
Mississippi State+7000+10000+10000+7500+12500+8000
Maryland+10000+12500+12500+9000+12500+4000
Florida+12500+12500+11000+8500+6000+4000
Oregon+15000+10000+12500+8000+4000+3000
Wofford
Iowa+10000+12500+12500+9000
Murray State
Washington+12500+15000+15000+20000+20000
Seton Hall+15000+15000+15000+20000+15000+8000
Minnesota+15000+20000+20000+20000
UCF
Ole Miss
New Mexico State
Ohio State+10000+10000+11000+9000+9000+7000
Oklahoma
VCU
Arizona State+12500+12500+9000+9000+9000+7000
St. John’s+12500+12500+12500+12500+12500+8000
Belmont
Georgia State
Northern Kentucky
Old Dominion
St. Louis
St. Mary’s
Temple
Utah State
UC-Irvine
Iona
Liberty
Montana
Northeastern
Vermont
Yale
Abilene Christian
Bradley
Colgate
Fairleigh Dickinson
Gardner Webb
NC Central
North Dakota State
Prairie View A&M
NC State+9500+10000+11000+13500+12500+7000
Nebraska+10000+9000+10000+12500
Indiana+12500+10000+8500+8500+5000
Texas+12500+15000+12500+11000+12500+8000
TCU+12500+15000+12500+13000+15000+8000
Wichita State+15000+15000+12500+8500+6000+5000
Arizona+15000+15000+12500+11000+8500+10000
Xavier+15000+15000+15000+15000+12500+8000
Texas A&M+15000+15000+13500+12500+8000
Connecticut+15000+15000+15000
Miami (FL)+15000+17500+15000+11000+9000+7000
Butler+15000+17500+15000+11000+15000+8000
Furman+15000+20000+17500+20000
Clemson+20000+15000+15000+10000+9000+6000
Penn State+20000+15000+15000+13500+15000+8000
Vanderbilt+20000+17500+17500+13500+12500+6000
Memphis+20000+25000+25000+20000+20000
UCLA+25000+12500+12500+8500+5000+4000
Creighton+25000+20000+20000+20000
Notre Dame+25000+20000+20000+13500+15000+10000
Loyola-Chicago+30000+25000+25000+15000+20000+20000
West Virginia+15000+13000+6500+5000+3000

The field of 68 has been set and it is time to take a look at the opening odds for the 2019 NCAA Tournament.

No surprise at the top, as No. 1 overall seed Duke is the overwhelming favorite to win it all. The Blue Devils are currently listed at +225, which is the best odds for a team going into the Big Dance since Kentucky was near even money back in 2015.

Duke isn’t the only ACC team with great odds to win the title. The second best odds belong to both Virginia and Gonzaga at +600. Right behind them is North Carolina at +750. The four No. 1 seeds are the only teams with odds better than 10 to 1.

In fact, there’s only 5 other teams on the board with odds better than 30 to 1. Those being Kentucky (+1200), Michigan State (+1200), Michigan (+1600), Tennessee (+1600) and Texas Tech (+200).

After that you have Auburn, Florida State, Houston and Purdue all sitting at +3300. You then have Iowa State and Virginia Tech at +4000, LSU and Villanova at +5000, Kansas at +5500, Kansas State and Marquette at +6000 and then a whole bunch of teams at +8000.

We will continue to update the odds throughout the tournament.

Past Champions & Their Chances of Winning the Final Four

The table below lists the championship team for each season. The preseason column shows each team’s preseason chances to win the tournament.

Since the 2007 tournament, the Connecticut Huskies have the two biggest upsets in terms of overcoming their preseason odds. Both of those title games were interesting because of the seeds.

At 70 to 1 prior to the 2013-2014 season, UConn pulled off one of the most unlikely championships at any level. They entered the tournament as a 7 seed and went on to win as the second-lowest winning seed in NCAA history (#8 Villanova – 1985). It was the highest total seeds to make the championship game when the Huskies as a 7 seed took down the 8 seed Kentucky.

2011 was also interesting because they beat another 8-seed. This time it was the Butler Bulldogs. So, two massive upsets for UConn, but then again they had the easiest title games in recent memory too. If you think you can pick a massive underdog like this, just remember to look at our tournament winners by seed. You’ll see the probability of a team worse than 3-see of winning it all is very low.

SeasonTeamPreseason
2017-2018Villanova+1200
2016-2017North Carolina+1200
2015-2016Villanova+2000
2014-2015Duke+1000
2013-2014Connecticut+7000
2012-2013Louisville+800
2011-2012Kentucky+550
2010-2011Connecticut+4000
2009-2010Duke+1200
2008-2009North Carolina+450
2007-2008Kansas+1000
2006-2007Florida+530

Handicapping Who Has the Best Chance to Win

So how do you go about picking which team will conquer March Madness and cut down the nets? There is a lot that goes into handicapping postseason games. Throw motivation out the window. Nobody is taking these games lightly.

Does a team get to place close to home? They are worth a look. Is there a team that is over-rated? That’s not saying they can’t win it all, but it will typically drive all value out of their line. Kentucky is 2015 was a good example. They came into the tournament undefeated and everyone expected them to run the table. The number got down to less than even money and of course, they were beat.

Instead, look at a few sleepers that have a chance. Don’t ignore how each seed has performed. Trust coaches with a history of success over unknowns. Lastly, remember that no team seeded worse than 8th has made the championship game.

Don’t want such a long shot but really like a team? Check out their odds to win their conference tournament. Not nearly as much competition or level of difficulty required.