Odds on the NCAA Basketball tournament

Below are the most recent odds to win the 2020 NCAA Tournament. The most recent numbers will be under the “Now” column. Teams will be ordered based on who has the best chance of cutting down the nets.

We will be back to look at the odds at several points throughout the season, so be sure to check back often.  Our college basketball lines pages let’s you compare the live numbers from several top books.

Betting Odds & Favorites to Win the 2020 NCAA Basketball Tournament

TeamCurrentProb.
Michigan State+75011.76%
Duke+90010.00%
Kentucky+10009.09%
Louisville+10009.09%
Kansas+12007.69%
Memphis+14006.67%
North Carolina+16005.88%
Gonzaga+16005.88%
Florida+16005.88%
Virginia+20004.76%
Oregon+20004.76%
Villanova+25003.85%
Texas Tech+25003.85%
Maryland+25003.85%
Ohio State+25003.85%
Arizona+28003.45%
Seton Hall+30003.23%
Washington+30003.23%
Auburn+33002.94%
Michigan+40002.44%
Purdue+50001.96%
Xavier+50001.96%
Baylor+50001.96%
Texas+60001.64%
Houston+70001.41%
Tennessee+80001.23%
Marquette+80001.23%
Cincinnati+80001.23%
Syracuse+80001.23%
Florida State+80001.23%
LSU+80001.23%
Iowa+100000.99%
USC+100000.99%
Creighton+100000.99%
Alabama+100000.99%
Colorado+100000.99%
Wisconsin+100000.99%
Connecticut+100000.99%
Georgia+100000.99%
Indiana+100000.99%
West Virginia+100000.99%
Texas A&M+120000.83%
Mississippi State+125000.79%
UCLA+125000.79%
Ole Miss+125000.79%
Iowa State+125000.79%
Arizona State+150000.66%
Illinois+150000.66%
Arkansas+200000.50%
Oklahoma State+250000.40%
New Mexico State+250000.40%
Virginia Tech+250000.40%
Team10-Nov9-Apr
Michigan State+700+800
Duke+1000+650
Kentucky+800+600
Louisville+1400+2500
Kansas+1200+2000
Memphis+1400+6600
North Carolina+1600+1400
Gonzaga+2000+1600
Florida+1600+5000
Virginia+2000+750
Oregon+2800+2200
Villanova+2000+1600
Texas Tech+2500+3300
Maryland+2800+6600
Ohio State+3300+6600
Arizona+3300+2800
Seton Hall+4000+6600
Washington+4000
Auburn+3300+3300
Michigan+3300+1200
Purdue+3300+5000
Xavier+5000+6600
Baylor+5000
Texas+3300+4000
Houston+5000+5000
Tennessee+4000+3300
Marquette+5000+3300
Cincinnati+6600+5000
Syracuse+5000+5000
Florida State+4000+6600
LSU+6600+6600
Iowa+6600+5000
USC+10000+10000
Creighton+5000
Alabama+6600
Colorado+6600
Wisconsin+8000
Connecticut+8000
Georgia+10000
Indiana+10000
West Virginia
Texas A&M
Mississippi State+5000+3300
UCLA+10000+10000
Ole Miss+10000
Iowa State
Arizona State+10000
Illinois
Arkansas+15000
Oklahoma State
New Mexico State
Virginia Tech
Notre Dame+10000
Georgetown+15000
San Diego State+25000

It’s Thanksgiving week and we are roughly three weeks into the college basketball season. Here’s an updated look at the odds to win the 2020 NCAA Tournament.

The odds on favorite to win the title this year is Michigan State, who currently sits on top at +750. Not to far behind the Spartans you got Duke at +900, Kentucky/Louisville at +1000, Kansas at +1200, Memphis at +1400 and North Carolina/Gonzaga/Florida at +1600.

Next up it’s Virginia/Oregon at +2000, followed by Villanova/Texas Tech/Maryland/Ohio State at +2500, Arizona at +2800, Seton Hall/Washington at +3000 and Auburn at +3300.

You then have Michigan at +4000, Purdue/Xavier/Baylor at +5000, Texas at +6000, Houston at +7000 and Tennessee/Marquette/Cincinnati/Syracuse/Florida State and LSU at +8000.

Iowa, USC, Creighton, Alabama, Colorado, Wisconsin, UConn, Georgia, Indiana, and West Virginia all come in at +10000.

Past Champions & Their Chances of Winning the Final Four

The table below lists the championship team for each season. The preseason column shows each team’s preseason chances to win the tournament.

Since the 2007 tournament, the Connecticut Huskies have the two biggest upsets in terms of overcoming their preseason odds. Both of those title games were interesting because of the seeds.

At 70 to 1 prior to the 2013-2014 season, UConn pulled off one of the most unlikely championships at any level. They entered the tournament as a 7 seed and went on to win as the second-lowest winning seed in NCAA history (#8 Villanova – 1985). It was the highest total seeds to make the championship game when the Huskies as a 7 seed took down the 8 seed Kentucky.

2011 was also interesting because they beat another 8-seed. This time it was the Butler Bulldogs. So, two massive upsets for UConn, but then again they had the easiest title games in recent memory too. If you think you can pick a massive underdog like this, just remember to look at our tournament winners by seed. You’ll see the probability of a team worse than 3-see of winning it all is very low.

SeasonTeamPreseason
2018-2019Virginia+1800
2017-2018Villanova+1200
2016-2017North Carolina+1200
2015-2016Villanova+2000
2014-2015Duke+1000
2013-2014Connecticut+7000
2012-2013Louisville+800
2011-2012Kentucky+550
2010-2011Connecticut+4000
2009-2010Duke+1200
2008-2009North Carolina+450
2007-2008Kansas+1000
2006-2007Florida+530

Handicapping Who Has the Best Chance to Win

So how do you go about picking which team will conquer March Madness and cut down the nets? There is a lot that goes into handicapping postseason games. Throw motivation out the window. Nobody is taking these games lightly.

Does a team get to place close to home? They are worth a look. Is there a team that is over-rated? That’s not saying they can’t win it all, but it will typically drive all value out of their line. Kentucky is 2015 was a good example. They came into the tournament undefeated and everyone expected them to run the table. The number got down to less than even money and of course, they were beat.

Instead, look at a few sleepers that have a chance. Don’t ignore how each seed has performed. Trust coaches with a history of success over unknowns. Lastly, remember that no team seeded worse than 8th has made the championship game.

Don’t want such a long shot but really like a team? Check out their odds to win their conference tournament. Not nearly as much competition or level of difficulty required.