Odds on the NCAA Basketball tournament

Below are the most recent odds to win the 2020 NCAA Tournament. The most recent numbers will be under the “Now” column. Teams will be ordered based on who has the best chance of cutting down the nets.

We will be back to look at the odds at several points throughout the season, so be sure to check back often.  Our college basketball lines pages let’s you compare the live numbers from several top books.

Betting Odds & Favorites to Win the 2020 NCAA Basketball Tournament

TeamCurrentProb.
Kentucky+60014.29%
Duke+65013.33%
Virginia+75011.76%
Michigan State+80011.11%
Michigan+12007.69%
North Carolina+14006.67%
Gonzaga+16005.88%
Villanova+16005.88%
Kansas+20004.76%
Oregon+22004.35%
Louisville+25003.85%
Arizona+28003.45%
Texas Tech+33002.94%
Auburn+33002.94%
Tennessee+33002.94%
Marquette+33002.94%
Mississippi State+33002.94%
Texas+40002.44%
Purdue+50001.96%
Houston+50001.96%
Cincinnati+50001.96%
Syracuse+50001.96%
Florida+50001.96%
Iowa+50001.96%
Florida State+66001.49%
LSU+66001.49%
Maryland+66001.49%
Seton Hall+66001.49%
Ohio State+66001.49%
Xavier+66001.49%
Memphis+66001.49%
UCLA+100000.99%
USC+100000.99%
Team1-Apr25-Mar18-Mar6-Mar14-Feb30-Jan3-Jan1-Oct3-Apr
Virginia+150+425+600+800+800+800+1100+2200+1800
Michigan State+185+1000+1200+1400+1100+1200+2800+2800+2200
Texas Tech+425+2200+2000+3500+5500+5000+5000+7000+5000
Auburn+600+2800+3300+5500+5500+4000+2500+5000+2000
Duke+300+225+210+170+170+180+450+500
Gonzaga+450+600+800+900+1000+1000+800+2000
North Carolina+600+750+1100+2500+2400+2300+1200+1200
Kentucky+1200+1200+900+800+1200+2000+500+800
Michigan+1500+1600+1200+850+750+900+3500+2600
Tennessee+1600+1600+1100+750+750+1200+4000+3000
Purdue+2000+3300+5500+5000+8000+8500+6000+5000
Houston+3000+3300+5000+6500+12500+12500
Virginia Tech+3500+4000+7000+7000+6000+7000+9000+8000
Florida State+4000+3300+8000+8500+7000+5500+9000+8000
LSU+5000+5000+4000+10000+10000+11000+9500+8000
Oregon+7000+15000+15000+10000+12500+8000+4000+3000
Iowa State+4000+4000+7000+7000+20000+20000
Villanova+5000+5500+4000+4000+4500+1200+800
Baylor+5000+20000+20000+20000+11000+15000+8000
Kansas+5500+2800+1800+1600+1100+750+700
Marquette+6000+5000+4500+8000+8000
Kansas State+6000+8000+8500+8000+7500+12500
Nevada+8000+2500+2200+2000+1600+800+3000
Wisconsin+8000+4000+8000+9000+8500+10000+8000
Buffalo+8000+7500+9000+9000+8500
Louisville+8000+8000+7500+9000+11000+12500+8000
Cincinnati+8000+12500+10000+10000+10000+9000+7000
Syracuse+12500+8000+5000+5000+7000+5000+6000
Mississippi State+15000+7000+10000+10000+7500+12500+8000
Maryland+15000+10000+12500+12500+9000+12500+4000
Florida+15000+12500+12500+11000+8500+6000+4000
Wofford+15000
Iowa+20000+10000+12500+12500+9000
Murray State+20000
Washington+25000+12500+15000+15000+20000+20000
Seton Hall+25000+15000+15000+15000+20000+15000+8000
Minnesota+25000+15000+20000+20000+20000
UCF+25000
Ole Miss+25000
New Mexico State+25000
Ohio State+35000+10000+10000+11000+9000+9000+7000
Oklahoma+35000
VCU+35000
Arizona State+50000+12500+12500+9000+9000+9000+7000
St. John’s+50000+12500+12500+12500+12500+12500+8000
Belmont+50000
Georgia State+50000
Northern Kentucky+50000
Old Dominion+50000
St. Louis+50000
St. Mary’s+50000
Temple+50000
Utah State+50000
UC-Irvine+100000
Iona+100000
Liberty+100000
Montana+100000
Northeastern+100000
Vermont+100000
Yale+100000
Abilene Christian+200000
Bradley+200000
Colgate+200000
Fairleigh Dickinson+200000
Gardner Webb+200000
NC Central+200000
North Dakota State+200000
Prairie View A&M+200000
NC State+9500+10000+11000+13500+12500+7000
Nebraska+10000+9000+10000+12500
Indiana+12500+10000+8500+8500+5000
Texas+12500+15000+12500+11000+12500+8000
TCU+12500+15000+12500+13000+15000+8000
Wichita State+15000+15000+12500+8500+6000+5000
Arizona+15000+15000+12500+11000+8500+10000
Xavier+15000+15000+15000+15000+12500+8000
Texas A&M+15000+15000+13500+12500+8000
Connecticut+15000+15000+15000
Miami (FL)+15000+17500+15000+11000+9000+7000
Butler+15000+17500+15000+11000+15000+8000
Furman+15000+20000+17500+20000
Clemson+20000+15000+15000+10000+9000+6000
Penn State+20000+15000+15000+13500+15000+8000
Vanderbilt+20000+17500+17500+13500+12500+6000
Memphis+20000+25000+25000+20000+20000
UCLA+25000+12500+12500+8500+5000+4000
Creighton+25000+20000+20000+20000
Notre Dame+25000+20000+20000+13500+15000+10000
Loyola-Chicago+30000+25000+25000+15000+20000+20000
West Virginia+15000+13000+6500+5000+3000

Congrats to Virginia for winning the 2019 National Championship. It was quite the comeback story. The beauty of sports is that as soon as one season comes to a close, the build and anticipation for the next starts immediately.

We are less than 24 hours removed from Virginia beating Texas Tech and we are already taking our first look at the odds to win the 2020 NCAA Tournament.

The books like what John Calipari has cooking in Lexington. Kentucky is the odds on favorite to win it all at +600. They are just slightly ahead of Duke (+650), Virginia (+750) and Michigan State (+800).

The big thing to keep in mind with the initial odds that come out, is they are almost completely based on how this past season finished up.

While we know guys like Duke’s Zion Williamson and R.J. Barrett won’t be back for their sophomore season, there’s a bunch of guys we don’t know about. A guy leaving early for the NBA can decimate some teams that don’t recruit at the level of Duke, Kentucky and all the other big boys.

Simply based on what we have seen work of late, I would look for veteran teams that are returning a bunch of junior/seniors, with a top of the line coach. The entire Final Four was basically made up of veteran teams who could score, but are built on their defense.

I also think it’s interesting to note that there’s teams with odds who didn’t even make the NCAA Tournament. The best odds of any team who wasn’t in the field of 68 is Arizona at +2800. Texas, which won the NIT is next in line at +4000. You then have both Xavier and Memphis at +6600, followed by both USC and UCLA at +10000.

We will continue to monitor and update the college basketball odds during the offseason.

Past Champions & Their Chances of Winning the Final Four

The table below lists the championship team for each season. The preseason column shows each team’s preseason chances to win the tournament.

Since the 2007 tournament, the Connecticut Huskies have the two biggest upsets in terms of overcoming their preseason odds. Both of those title games were interesting because of the seeds.

At 70 to 1 prior to the 2013-2014 season, UConn pulled off one of the most unlikely championships at any level. They entered the tournament as a 7 seed and went on to win as the second-lowest winning seed in NCAA history (#8 Villanova – 1985). It was the highest total seeds to make the championship game when the Huskies as a 7 seed took down the 8 seed Kentucky.

2011 was also interesting because they beat another 8-seed. This time it was the Butler Bulldogs. So, two massive upsets for UConn, but then again they had the easiest title games in recent memory too. If you think you can pick a massive underdog like this, just remember to look at our tournament winners by seed. You’ll see the probability of a team worse than 3-see of winning it all is very low.

SeasonTeamPreseason
2018-2019Virginia+1800
2017-2018Villanova+1200
2016-2017North Carolina+1200
2015-2016Villanova+2000
2014-2015Duke+1000
2013-2014Connecticut+7000
2012-2013Louisville+800
2011-2012Kentucky+550
2010-2011Connecticut+4000
2009-2010Duke+1200
2008-2009North Carolina+450
2007-2008Kansas+1000
2006-2007Florida+530

Handicapping Who Has the Best Chance to Win

So how do you go about picking which team will conquer March Madness and cut down the nets? There is a lot that goes into handicapping postseason games. Throw motivation out the window. Nobody is taking these games lightly.

Does a team get to place close to home? They are worth a look. Is there a team that is over-rated? That’s not saying they can’t win it all, but it will typically drive all value out of their line. Kentucky is 2015 was a good example. They came into the tournament undefeated and everyone expected them to run the table. The number got down to less than even money and of course, they were beat.

Instead, look at a few sleepers that have a chance. Don’t ignore how each seed has performed. Trust coaches with a history of success over unknowns. Lastly, remember that no team seeded worse than 8th has made the championship game.

Don’t want such a long shot but really like a team? Check out their odds to win their conference tournament. Not nearly as much competition or level of difficulty required.