NCAA Tournament Odds

The college basketball season is still building toward its bracket, and the top of this board already shows what makes this market different from picking a straight-up winner. Duke sits at +620, and even that price only implies a 13.9% shot at winning it all once the bracket actually starts.

361 teams carry a live price right now, shopped across 5 sportsbooks including bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel, with lines updated October 13, 2026. Down at the bottom of that list sits NJIT Highlanders at +800000, a number that tells you exactly how much respect this field has left once you get past the top names.

2027 NCAA Tournament Odds

Updated Tuesday, October 13 · best price across 5 booksbet365BetMGMDraftKingsCaesarsFanDuel
Favorite#1
Duke
+62013.9% implied · DraftKings
7d -3%open -3%
Second favorite#2
Florida
+65013.3% implied · Caesars
7d evenopen even
Third favorite#3
UConn
+12007.7% implied · Caesars
7d evenopen even
Movers this weekMichigan+2000 → +3000+50%Indiana+5000 → +6000+20%Virginia+3500 → +3000-14%Arkansas+2200 → +2500+14%
#TeamBest priceBookImplied7 daysSince start
1Duke Blue Devils+620DraftKings13.9%-3%-3%
2Florida Gators+650Caesars13.3%eveneven
3UConn Huskies+1200Caesars7.7%eveneven
4Illinois Fighting Illini+1300FanDuel7.1%eveneven
5Michigan State Spartans+2000bet3654.8%eveneven
6Texas Longhorns+2200FanDuel4.3%+13%+13%
7Louisville Cardinals+2200Caesars4.3%eveneven
8Arizona Wildcats+2300DraftKings4.2%eveneven
9Tennessee Volunteers+3000FanDuel3.2%eveneven
10Houston Cougars+3000FanDuel3.2%eveneven
11Texas Tech Red Raiders+3100DraftKings3.1%eveneven
12Arkansas Razorbacks+3300FanDuel2.9%+14%+14%
Show all 361 teamsShow fewer
13St. John’s Red Storm+3300FanDuel2.9%eveneven
14Gonzaga Bulldogs+3500BetMGM2.8%eveneven
15Virginia Cavaliers+3500bet3652.8%-14%-14%
16Michigan Wolverines+4000Caesars2.4%+50%+50%
17Kentucky Wildcats+4000Caesars2.4%eveneven
18Kansas Jayhawks+5000Caesars2.0%eveneven
19Miami (FL) Hurricanes+5000BetMGM2.0%eveneven
20LSU Tigers+6000Caesars1.6%eveneven
21Iowa State Cyclones+6000Caesars1.6%even-7%
22North Carolina Tar Heels+6500FanDuel1.5%eveneven
23USC Trojans+7000Caesars1.4%eveneven
24UCLA Bruins+7000Caesars1.4%eveneven
25Vanderbilt Commodores+7000Caesars1.4%eveneven
26Alabama Crimson Tide+7400DraftKings1.3%eveneven
27Indiana Hoosiers+8000Caesars1.2%+20%+20%
28Missouri Tigers+10000Caesars1.0%eveneven
29Purdue Boilermakers+10000Caesars1.0%eveneven
30BYU Cougars+10000Caesars1.0%eveneven
31Nebraska Cornhuskers+11500DraftKings0.9%eveneven
32Iowa Hawkeyes+12500Caesars0.8%eveneven
33Maryland Terrapins+12500Caesars0.8%eveneven
34Villanova Wildcats+12500Caesars0.8%eveneven
35Ohio State Buckeyes+15000DraftKings0.7%eveneven
36Marquette Golden Eagles+16500DraftKings0.6%eveneven
37Auburn Tigers+17500Caesars0.6%eveneven
38Cincinnati Bearcats+17500Caesars0.6%eveneven
39Providence Friars+20000Caesars0.5%eveneven
40Baylor Bears+20000Caesars0.5%eveneven
41TCU Horned Frogs+20000Caesars0.5%eveneven
42Wisconsin Badgers+25000Caesars0.4%eveneven
43Texas A&M Aggies+30000Caesars0.3%-24%-24%
44Oklahoma Sooners+30000Caesars0.3%eveneven
45Arizona State Sun Devils+30000Caesars0.3%eveneven
46Saint Louis Billikens+30000bet3650.3%eveneven
47Clemson Tigers+40000Caesars0.2%eveneven
48West Virginia Mountaineers+40000Caesars0.2%eveneven
49Creighton Bluejays+40000Caesars0.2%eveneven
50Xavier Musketeers+40000Caesars0.2%eveneven
51NC State Wolfpack+50000Caesars0.2%eveneven
52Oklahoma State Cowboys+50000Caesars0.2%eveneven
53Georgia Bulldogs+50000Caesars0.2%eveneven
54Ole Miss Rebels+50000Caesars0.2%eveneven
55Oregon Ducks+50000Caesars0.2%eveneven
56UCF Knights+50000BetMGM0.2%eveneven
57VCU Rams+50000BetMGM0.2%eveneven
58Stanford Cardinal+60000Caesars0.2%eveneven
59Syracuse Orange+60000Caesars0.2%eveneven
60Florida State Seminoles+60000Caesars0.2%eveneven
61Rutgers Scarlet Knights+60000Caesars0.2%eveneven
62Utah State Aggies+60000Caesars0.2%eveneven
63California Golden Bears+75000Caesars0.1%eveneven
64SMU Mustangs+75000Caesars0.1%eveneven
65San Diego State Aztecs+75000Caesars0.1%eveneven
66Minnesota Golden Gophers+75000Caesars0.1%eveneven
67Kentucky State Thorobreds+75000Caesars0.1%eveneven
68Virginia Tech Hokies+75000Caesars0.1%eveneven
69Boston College Eagles+75000BetMGM0.1%eveneven
70Georgetown Hoyas+75000Caesars0.1%eveneven
71Northwestern Wildcats+75000Caesars0.1%eveneven
72DePaul Blue Demons+75000Caesars0.1%eveneven
73Seton Hall Pirates+75000Caesars0.1%eveneven
74Colorado Buffaloes+75000Caesars0.1%eveneven
75High Point Panthers+75000bet3650.1%––
76Washington Huskies+100000Caesars0.1%eveneven
77Wake Forest Demon Deacons+100000Caesars0.1%eveneven
78Grand Canyon Lopes+100000BetMGM0.1%eveneven
79New Mexico Lobos+100000BetMGM0.1%eveneven
80Utah Runnin’ Utes+100000Caesars0.1%eveneven
81Dayton Flyers+100000BetMGM0.1%eveneven
82Butler Bulldogs+100000Caesars0.1%eveneven
83Mississippi State Bulldogs+100000Caesars0.1%eveneven
84George Washington Revolutionaries+100000bet3650.1%––
85Colorado State Rams+100000BetMGM0.1%eveneven
86Memphis Tigers+100000BetMGM0.1%eveneven
87Nevada Wolf Pack+100000BetMGM0.1%eveneven
88Boise State Broncos+100000BetMGM0.1%eveneven
89Saint Mary’s Gaels+100000DraftKings0.1%eveneven
90South Florida Bulls+100000BetMGM0.1%eveneven
91Notre Dame Fighting Irish+100000DraftKings0.1%eveneven
92Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets+100000DraftKings0.1%eveneven
93McNeese Cowboys+100000Caesars0.1%––
94Penn State Nittany Lions+125000Caesars0.1%eveneven
95South Carolina Gamecocks+125000Caesars0.1%eveneven
96Tulane Green Wave+125000Caesars0.1%eveneven
97Santa Clara Broncos+125000Caesars0.1%eveneven
98San Francisco Dons+125000Caesars0.1%eveneven
99UNLV Runnin’ Rebels+150000Caesars0.1%eveneven
100Florida Atlantic Owls+150000Caesars0.1%eveneven
101George Mason Patriots+150000Caesars0.1%eveneven
102Oregon State Beavers+150000Caesars0.1%eveneven
103Miami (OH) RedHawks+150000Caesars0.1%eveneven
104Wichita State Shockers+150000Caesars0.1%eveneven
105UC San Diego Tritons+150000Caesars0.1%eveneven
106Belmont Bruins+150000Caesars0.1%eveneven
107Bradley Braves+150000Caesars0.1%eveneven
108Arkansas State Red Wolves+150000Caesars0.1%––
109Akron Zips+150000Caesars0.1%eveneven
110Liberty Flames+150000Caesars0.1%––
111UC Irvine Anteaters+150000Caesars0.1%––
112Charleston Cougars+150000Caesars0.1%––
113Winona State Warriors+200000Caesars0.0%eveneven
114Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors+200000Caesars0.0%eveneven
115Saint Joseph’s Hawks+200000Caesars0.0%eveneven
116Tulsa Golden Hurricane+200000Caesars0.0%eveneven
117North Texas Mean Green+200000Caesars0.0%eveneven
118Illinois State Redbirds+200000Caesars0.0%eveneven
119Northern Iowa Panthers+200000Caesars0.0%eveneven
120Toledo Rockets+200000Caesars0.0%eveneven
121St. Thomas Tommies+200000Caesars0.0%––
122Sam Houston Bearkats+200000Caesars0.0%––
123Michigan Tech Huskies+200000Caesars0.0%––
124Towson Tigers+200000Caesars0.0%––
125Southern Illinois Salukis+200000Caesars0.0%eveneven
126Yale Bulldogs+200000Caesars0.0%––
127Utah Valley Wolverines+200000Caesars0.0%––
128Kennesaw State Owls+200000Caesars0.0%––
129Troy Trojans+200000Caesars0.0%––
130Hofstra Pride+200000Caesars0.0%––
131California Baptist Lancers+200000Caesars0.0%––
132Loyola Chicago Ramblers+200000BetMGM0.0%eveneven
133Murray State Racers+250000Caesars0.0%eveneven
134Northern Colorado Bears+250000Caesars0.0%––
135James Madison Dukes+250000Caesars0.0%––
136Northern Kentucky Norse+250000Caesars0.0%––
137UC Santa Barbara Gauchos+250000Caesars0.0%––
138Omaha Mavericks+250000Caesars0.0%––
139Robert Morris Colonials+250000Caesars0.0%––
140Furman Paladins+250000Caesars0.0%––
141North Dakota State Bison+250000Caesars0.0%––
142Drake Bulldogs+250000Caesars0.0%eveneven
143Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks+250000Caesars0.0%––
144Davidson Wildcats+300000Caesars0.0%eveneven
145St. Bonaventure Bonnies+300000Caesars0.0%eveneven
146Rhode Island Rams+300000Caesars0.0%eveneven
147Fordham Rams+300000Caesars0.0%eveneven
148Duquesne Dukes+300000Caesars0.0%eveneven
149Charlotte 49ers+300000Caesars0.0%eveneven
150Richmond Spiders+300000Caesars0.0%eveneven
151Kent State Golden Flashes+300000Caesars0.0%eveneven
152Samford Bulldogs+300000Caesars0.0%––
153UNC Wilmington Seahawks+300000Caesars0.0%––
154Western Kentucky Hilltoppers+300000Caesars0.0%––
155Siena Saints+300000Caesars0.0%––
156Wright State Raiders+300000Caesars0.0%––
157Ohio Bobcats+300000bet3650.0%eveneven
158Cal State Northridge Matadors+300000Caesars0.0%––
159South Alabama Jaguars+300000Caesars0.0%––
160Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks+300000Caesars0.0%––
161UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros+300000Caesars0.0%––
162Pittsburgh Panthers+400000bet3650.0%eveneven
163Wyoming Cowboys+400000Caesars0.0%eveneven
164UAB Blazers+400000Caesars0.0%eveneven
165Seattle Redhawks+400000Caesars0.0%eveneven
166UIC Flames+400000Caesars0.0%eveneven
167Northwest Missouri State Bearcats+400000Caesars0.0%––
168Chattanooga Mocs+400000Caesars0.0%––
169South Dakota State Jackrabbits+400000Caesars0.0%––
170Indiana State Sycamores+400000Caesars0.0%eveneven
171UTEP Miners+400000Caesars0.0%eveneven
172Tarleton State Texans+400000Caesars0.0%––
173Green Bay Phoenix+400000Caesars0.0%––
174Louisiana Tech Bulldogs+400000Caesars0.0%––
175Appalachian State Mountaineers+500000Caesars0.0%––
176Pacific Tigers+500000Caesars0.0%eveneven
177Texas State Bobcats+500000Caesars0.0%eveneven
178Fresno State Bulldogs+500000Caesars0.0%eveneven
179San Diego Toreros+500000Caesars0.0%eveneven
180Portland Pilots+500000Caesars0.0%eveneven
181Pepperdine Waves+500000Caesars0.0%eveneven
182East Tennessee State Buccaneers+500000Caesars0.0%––
183Brown Bears+500000Caesars0.0%––
184UNC Greensboro Spartans+500000Caesars0.0%––
185Missouri State Bears+500000Caesars0.0%––
186Oakland Golden Grizzlies+500000Caesars0.0%––
187Longwood Lancers+500000Caesars0.0%––
188Abilene Christian Wildcats+500000Caesars0.0%––
189Morehead State Eagles+500000Caesars0.0%––
190Colgate Raiders+500000Caesars0.0%––
191Winthrop Eagles+500000Caesars0.0%––
192Harvard Crimson+500000Caesars0.0%––
193Montana State Bobcats+500000Caesars0.0%––
194LIU Sharks+500000Caesars0.0%––
195Lehigh Mountain Hawks+500000Caesars0.0%––
196Howard Bison+500000Caesars0.0%––
197UMass Minutemen+500000Caesars0.0%eveneven
198Temple Owls+500000bet3650.0%eveneven
199UTSA Roadrunners+500000Caesars0.0%eveneven
200Rice Owls+500000Caesars0.0%eveneven
201East Carolina Pirates+500000Caesars0.0%eveneven
202La Sierra+500000Caesars0.0%eveneven
203San Jose State Spartans+500000Caesars0.0%eveneven
204Florida International Panthers+500000Caesars0.0%––
205Navy Midshipmen+500000Caesars0.0%––
206Portland State Vikings+500000Caesars0.0%––
207UT Arlington Mavericks+500000Caesars0.0%––
208Utah Tech Trailblazers+500000Caesars0.0%––
209Austin Peay Governors+500000Caesars0.0%––
210Boston University Terriers+500000Caesars0.0%––
211Cal Poly Mustangs+500000Caesars0.0%––
212Campbell Fighting Camels+500000Caesars0.0%––
213Columbia Lions+500000Caesars0.0%––
214Eastern Kentucky Colonels+500000Caesars0.0%––
215Georgia Southern Eagles+500000Caesars0.0%––
216Kansas City Roos+500000Caesars0.0%––
217Youngstown State Penguins+500000Caesars0.0%––
218Milwaukee Panthers+500000Caesars0.0%––
219Southern Miss Golden Eagles+500000Caesars0.0%––
220William & Mary Tribe+500000Caesars0.0%––
221William Carey+500000Caesars0.0%––
222Presbyterian Blue Hose+500000Caesars0.0%––
223Little Rock Trojans+500000Caesars0.0%––
224Northwestern State Demons+500000Caesars0.0%––
225Sacred Heart Pioneers+500000Caesars0.0%––
226Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons+500000Caesars0.0%––
227Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners+500000bet3650.0%––
228Loyola Marymount Lions+700000Caesars0.0%eveneven
229UC Davis Aggies+700000Caesars0.0%eveneven
230Jacksonville State Gamecocks+700000Caesars0.0%––
231Texas Southern Tigers+700000Caesars0.0%––
232American Eagles+700000Caesars0.0%––
233Drexel Dragons+700000Caesars0.0%––
234Alabama State Hornets+700000Caesars0.0%––
235Cleveland State Vikings+700000Caesars0.0%––
236Bowling Green Falcons+700000Caesars0.0%eveneven
237Valparaiso Beacons+700000Caesars0.0%eveneven
238Cal State Fullerton Titans+700000Caesars0.0%––
239Iona Gaels+700000Caesars0.0%––
240Long Beach State Beach+700000Caesars0.0%––
241Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens+700000Caesars0.0%––
242Loyola Maryland Greyhounds+700000Caesars0.0%––
243Wofford Terriers+700000Caesars0.0%––
244Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders+700000Caesars0.0%––
245UNC Asheville Bulldogs+700000Caesars0.0%––
246Vermont Catamounts+700000Caesars0.0%––
247Montreat+700000Caesars0.0%––
248Lipscomb Bisons+700000Caesars0.0%––
249Eastern Washington Eagles+700000Caesars0.0%––
250UMBC Retrievers+700000Caesars0.0%––
251Tennessee State Tigers+700000Caesars0.0%––
252Idaho Vandals+700000Caesars0.0%––
253Penn Quakers+700000Caesars0.0%––
254Georgia State Panthers+700000Caesars0.0%––
255Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns+700000Caesars0.0%––
256Ball State Cardinals+700000Caesars0.0%eveneven
257Western Michigan Broncos+700000Caesars0.0%eveneven
258Buffalo Bulls+700000Caesars0.0%eveneven
259Northern Illinois Huskies+700000Caesars0.0%eveneven
260Eastern Michigan Eagles+700000Caesars0.0%eveneven
261Central Michigan Chippewas+700000Caesars0.0%eveneven
262Evansville Purple Aces+700000Caesars0.0%eveneven
263Incarnate Word Cardinals+700000Caesars0.0%––
264Cornell Big Red+700000Caesars0.0%––
265Air Force Falcons+700000Caesars0.0%eveneven
266Marshall Thundering Herd+700000Caesars0.0%––
267Mercer Bears+700000Caesars0.0%––
268Merrimack Warriors+700000Caesars0.0%––
269Bethune-Cookman Wildcats+700000Caesars0.0%––
270Central Arkansas Bears+700000Caesars0.0%––
271Central Connecticut State Blue Devils+700000Caesars0.0%––
272Charleston Southern Buccaneers+700000Caesars0.0%––
273Coastal Carolina Chanticleers+700000Caesars0.0%––
274Dartmouth Big Green+700000Caesars0.0%––
275Denver Pioneers+700000Caesars0.0%––
276Elon Phoenix+700000Caesars0.0%––
277Fairfield Stags+700000Caesars0.0%––
278Florida Gulf Coast Eagles+700000Caesars0.0%––
279Hampton Pirates+700000Caesars0.0%––
280Idaho State Bengals+700000Caesars0.0%––
281Stonehill Skyhawks+700000Caesars0.0%––
282South Dakota Coyotes+700000Caesars0.0%––
283Stony Brook Seawolves+700000Caesars0.0%––
284Webster+700000Caesars0.0%––
285Southern Utah Thunderbirds+700000Caesars0.0%––
286UMass Lowell River Hawks+700000Caesars0.0%––
287UC Riverside Highlanders+700000Caesars0.0%––
288Lamar Cardinals+700000Caesars0.0%––
289Old Dominion Monarchs+700000Caesars0.0%––
290LSU New Orleans Privateers+700000Caesars0.0%––
291Radford Highlanders+700000Caesars0.0%––
292North Dakota Fighting Hawks+700000Caesars0.0%––
293Quinnipiac Bobcats+700000Caesars0.0%––
294Marist Red Foxes+700000Caesars0.0%––
295Northeastern Huskies+700000Caesars0.0%––
296Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers+700000Caesars0.0%––
297Nicholls State Colonels+700000Caesars0.0%––
298South Carolina State Bulldogs+700000Caesars0.0%––
299Alabama A&M Bulldogs+700000Caesars0.0%––
300Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions+700000Caesars0.0%––
301Army Black Knights+700000Caesars0.0%––
302Bucknell Bison+700000Caesars0.0%––
303Eastern Illinois Panthers+700000Caesars0.0%––
304Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs+700000Caesars0.0%––
305Maine Black Bears+700000Caesars0.0%––
306Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils+700000Caesars0.0%––
307North Carolina A&T Aggies+700000Caesars0.0%––
308North Carolina Central Eagles+700000Caesars0.0%––
309North Florida Ospreys+700000Caesars0.0%––
310Northern Arizona Lumberjacks+700000Caesars0.0%––
311Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles+700000Caesars0.0%––
312Sacramento State Hornets+700000Caesars0.0%––
313Norfolk State Spartans+800000Caesars0.0%––
314Southeast Missouri State Redhawks+800000Caesars0.0%––
315Stetson Hatters+800000Caesars0.0%––
316Oral Roberts Golden Eagles+800000Caesars0.0%––
317Grambling State Tigers+800000Caesars0.0%––
318Wagner Seahawks+800000Caesars0.0%––
319Bryant Bulldogs+800000Caesars0.0%––
320SIU Edwardsville Cougars+800000Caesars0.0%––
321Prairie View A&M Panthers+800000Caesars0.0%––
322Chicago State Cougars+800000Caesars0.0%––
323Southern University Jaguars+800000Caesars0.0%––
324Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles+800000Caesars0.0%––
325Southeastern Louisiana Lions+800000Caesars0.0%––
326Lindenwood Lions+800000Caesars0.0%––
327USC Upstate Spartans+800000Caesars0.0%––
328Webber International+800000Caesars0.0%––
329VMI Keydets+800000Caesars0.0%––
330University at Albany Great Danes+800000Caesars0.0%––
331Alcorn State Braves+800000Caesars0.0%––
332Bellarmine Knights+800000Caesars0.0%––
333Binghamton Bearcats+800000Caesars0.0%––
334Canisius Golden Griffins+800000Caesars0.0%––
335Coppin State Eagles+800000Caesars0.0%––
336Delaware State Hornets+800000Caesars0.0%––
337Florida A&M Rattlers+800000Caesars0.0%––
338Holy Cross Crusaders+800000Caesars0.0%––
339Houston Christian Huskies+800000Caesars0.0%––
340IU Indy Jaguars+800000Caesars0.0%––
341Jackson State Tigers+800000Caesars0.0%––
342Jacksonville Dolphins+800000Caesars0.0%––
343Lafayette Leopards+800000Caesars0.0%––
344Le Moyne Dolphins+800000Caesars0.0%––
345Manhattan Jaspers+800000Caesars0.0%––
346Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks+800000Caesars0.0%––
347Morgan State Bears+800000Caesars0.0%––
348New Hampshire Wildcats+800000Caesars0.0%––
349Niagara Purple Eagles+800000Caesars0.0%––
350North Alabama Lions+800000Caesars0.0%––
351The Citadel Bulldogs+800000Caesars0.0%––
352Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks+800000Caesars0.0%––
353East Texas A&M Lions+800000Caesars0.0%––
Only one book still prices these
354Detroit Mercy Titans+300000bet3650.0%––
355Princeton Tigers+500000Caesars0.0%––
356Saint Peter’s Peacocks+500000Caesars0.0%––
357FDU Knights+700000Caesars0.0%––
358Queens University Royals+700000Caesars0.0%––
359Rider Broncs+700000Caesars0.0%––
360Monmouth Hawks+800000Caesars0.0%––
361NJIT Highlanders+800000Caesars0.0%––

Best price is the longest number we found across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel. Implied probability strips nothing out; the whole board adds to more than 100% and that gap is the books’ margin. Movement is the change in what a winning dollar pays, so a move means the same thing at the top of the board and at the bottom; green means the price shortened. It reads across the books quoting a team both then and now, and a row too thinly quoted to compare shows a dash rather than a number. Since start runs from the first day we have every book’s price, which is not the market’s opening line.

Why the Best Team Still Isn’t a Real Favorite

Single elimination changes everything about how I read this board. A bad shooting night ends a run no matter how good the roster is, which is why Duke at +620 only implies a 13.9% chance of winning it all. I’m pricing variance across six straight win-or-go-home games, not picking the best roster in the country.

That’s where the value hides. Since no team, not even Duke, clears much past a quarter of the probability on the board, prices like Florida at +650 or UConn at +1200 deserve a longer look. A team just needs to get hot for two weeks, it doesn’t need to be the best roster in the country.

How Fast Results Can Rewrite the Board

This number moves with results, not opinions. A tough road win or a conference tournament run tightens a price fast, while a loss or a shaky seeding outlook sends it drifting the other way. Michigan Wolverines shows how quickly that happens, having drifted by 50% to sit at +4000.

Seeding chatter and committee projections push prices around even before the bracket tips off. That’s part of why I shop bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel, since one book can lag behind a run of good results while another has already moved. Checking for that gap before I bet is where the real value sits on this board.

Six Rounds Is a Long Time to Hold One Ticket

A tournament future ties up money for months before it settles, so I size these smaller than a single game bet. One ticket on Duke at +620 is fine if you can stomach watching it live or die across six straight rounds, but that’s a lot of variance riding on one number.

I’d rather spread a little across a few prices than load up on one. A small piece on Duke, a bit more on a mid-tier price like Florida, and a flier on NJIT Highlanders at +800000 covers more of the bracket without betting the whole field. Single elimination means anyone can catch fire for two weeks, so a small portfolio fits this market better than one big ticket.

×

Subscribe to Jimmy Boyd's Free Picks

The best free picks delivered to your email every single day!