Best Free NBA Expert Predictions on Who Will Win Today’s Games

1* FREE INFO PLAY Blazers +6½ -115

Denver at home is always a premium angle, and Ball Arena remains one of the toughest environments in the league. Minnesota’s defense is strong, but Denver’s offensive versatility and altitude advantage tilt this matchup. The Nuggets’ half-court execution and late-game reliability give them the edge.

Jim's Free Play: Nuggets

This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our Sunday Free Play. Indiana is 0-5 coming out of the All Star Break while failing to cover any of those and now it is take time based on the contrarian value. Injuries have cursed the Pacers from the start as they opened without Tyrese Haliburton and have gone through numerous injuries and currently Aaron Nesmith and Pascal Siakam currently out but Andrew Nembhard and Obi Toppin, the former back to full strength while Toppin is playing his second game with minutes increasing. Memphis is dealing with its only injury concerns as five double digit starters listed as doubtful or out for Sunday. The Grizzlies snapped a three-game losing streak with a win at Dallas on Friday as significant underdogs against another banged up team. Memphis is 4-13 this season against the Eastern Conference. Here, we play on teams with the line +3 to -3  after two straight games allowing the opponent to shoot 55 percent or higher. This situation is 41-14 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1997. Play (510) Indiana Pacers

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SUNDAY NHL East Conf. TOTAL OF THE YEAR Headlines along with TOP CBB ( 2-0 TOP PLAY sweep on Saturday) NBA Comp play below

The NBA Comp play is on Portland plus the points at 6:10 eastern. The Blazers have covered the last 3 off a loss and the Hawks are 1-10 to the spread as a home favorite of 9 or less. Both teams are evenly matched here with 29 and 30 wins on the season. The Blazers have covered 3 of 4 as a road dog of more than 5 vs a losing opponent. Now to tie in a nice system from the database Rob notes that home favorites of more than 3 in non division games that have a losing record and are off 3 straight home favored wins are 3-14 to the spread long term. Look for the Blazers to hang in for the cover. GL Rob V-

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Kings/Lakers OVER 232.5

The Los Angeles Lakers are a dead nuts OVER team when the trio of Doncic, Reaves and James are healthy.  That's the case right now.  They rank 11th in offensive rating and 23rd in defensive rating this season.  They are a terrible defensive team, but they can light it up offensively with those three leading the way.

The Lakers have played five straight games against quality defensive teams coming out of the All-Star Break facing the Clippers, Celtics, Magic, Suns and Warriors.  That won't be the case tonight as they host the Sacramento Kings, who rank 28th in defensive rating this season.

The Kings are playing fast and playing no defense since the All-Star Break.  They are 4-0 OVER in their last four games overall going for 261 combined points with the Spurs, 237 with the Grizzlies, 225 with the Rockets and 251 with the Mavericks.

The OVER is 3-1 in the last four meetings between the Kings and Lakers with 236, 247 and 254 combined points in the three overs.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

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1* NBA - Pelicans/Clippers FREE PICK on Pelicans +9

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Orlando Magic +5.5

The Orlando Magic are playing with a sense of urgency right now currently sitting in the play-in and 1.5 games out of the 6th seed.  The Detroit Pistons have a 5.5-game lead for 1st place in the East and aren't playing with urgency because of it.  They are 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall barely surviving with wins against short-handed Cavs and Thunder teams.  They also lost by 11 at home to the Spurs.  The Magic are 6-3 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They just got Jalen Suggs back and he means a lot to them on both sides of the court.  The Magic have had the last two days off so they are rested as well.  Give me the Magic.

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1* Best Bet on Thunder/Mavs over 233½ -108

No analysis provided.

Sunday's NBA Free Pick

PLAY ON: Kings/Lakers OVER 232.5

The Atlanta Hawks take on the Portland Trail Blazers, with Atlanta entering as 6-point opening line favorites, riding a three-game winning streak that has seen them dominate in the paint and capitalize on defensive lapses from opponents, while Portland grapples with the rigors of a back-to-back schedule following a tough loss, setting up a potential edge for the home team in a contest ripe with betting angles. The Hawks, boasting a 30-31 record overall, have turned things around lately, going 4-1 against the spread in their last five games, fueled by efficient scoring inside where they outscore foes by an average of 10 points in home wins, and their playmaking shines through with 30.3 assists per game, creating mismatches against tired defenses like Portland's, which ranks near the bottom in opponent field-goal percentage on the road. Atlanta's home-court advantage looms large here, as they've covered in six of their last seven as favorites overall, leveraging a rebounding edge that averages plus-5 on the boards in recent victories, while their offense clips along at 117.1 points per outing, often exploiting transition opportunities against teams playing without rest.

On the flip side, the Trail Blazers, sitting at 29-32 this season, have shown resilience in rest-disadvantaged spots, posting an impressive 8-4 mark against the spread on the second night of back-to-backs, a trend that highlights their ability to grind out covers through gritty defense and timely three-point shooting, even as they allow 118.1 points per game overall. Portland's road warriors have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five visits to Atlanta, including straight-up wins in those matchups, thanks to balanced contributions from the perimeter where they hit 36 percent from deep in such games, and their rebounding prowess, led by key bigs averaging double-digit boards, could keep things competitive if they control the glass against Atlanta's frontcourt. However, the Blazers' fatigue factor can't be ignored, as they've struggled with turnovers exceeding 14 per game in recent road losses, allowing opponents to capitalize on fast breaks, and their defense has surrendered 120-plus points in four of their last six away contests, opening the door for Atlanta's high-volume attack.

Diving deeper into the stats, Atlanta holds a slight edge in offensive efficiency, shooting 47 percent from the field compared to Portland's 45 percent, while the Hawks force 9.4 steals per game to disrupt rhythms, a stat that jumps to 11 in home wins, potentially tilting the game in their favor against a Blazers squad that's 3-7 straight-up in its last 10 as road underdogs. This matchup screams value on the Hawks covering the spread, given their 6-1 ATS run against teams with losing records, and Portland's occasional lapses in paint protection, where they concede 52 points on average to opponents, aligning with Atlanta's strength in interior scoring.

Ultimately, while Portland's back-to-back ATS success adds an intriguing contrarian angle, Atlanta's momentum and home dominance make them the play here, especially as they've won four of five overall with covers in those spots, outrebounding opponents by eight per game in that stretch, and forcing defensive stops that lead to easy buckets, positioning me to lean toward the favorites in a game that could see the Hawks pull away late.

My selection is on Brooklyn plus the points over Cleveland at 3:40 pm et on Sunday.

I don't know how the Cavaliers get up for this matinee affair against the reeling Nets on Sunday. Cleveland has lost consecutive games on this trip and while it certainly wants to turn the tide here, it is still without Donovan Mitchell and undoubtedly has one eye on Tuesday's rematch with the Pistons at home. Note that the Cavs have displayed a fairly firm ceiling offensively in recent weeks, connecting on 43 or fewer field goals in five straight games. The Nets have been getting blown out game after game and enter this contest on a seven-game SU and ATS losing streak. While they're simply playing out the string at this point, I do think there comes a point where pride matters and off Friday's embarrassing 148-111 defeat in Boston, I'm confident we'll see them put forth a better effort here. Note that Brooklyn has held six straight opponents to 87 or fewer field goal attempts. With that type of volume, I'm just not convinced the Cavs can cover this double-digit pointspread. Take Brooklyn (8*).

1* on Spurs +1½