Rueben Bain sits at +475 with David Bailey tucked in right behind at +550, and a gap that tight tells you the voters haven’t settled on a story yet. 107 players carry a live price for the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award, and I pull those numbers from 5 sportsbooks so you can see where the field actually stands as of September 10, 2026.

Defensive rookie voting rewards the box score. A cornerback on a leaky defense who racks up picks can outprice a shutdown player on a unit nobody tests, and that’s the whole game plan for finding value on this board.

2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award Odds

Updated Friday, September 25 · best price across 5 booksbet365BetMGMDraftKingsCaesarsFanDuel
Favorite#1
David Bailey
+36021.7% implied · DraftKings
7d –open -15%
Second favorite#2
Caleb Downs
+55015.4% implied · DraftKings
7d –open -23%
Third favorite#3
Jacob Rodriguez
+90010.0% implied · FanDuel
7d –open even
#PlayerBest priceBookImplied7 daysSince start
1David Bailey+360DraftKings21.7%–-15%
2Caleb Downs+550DraftKings15.4%–-23%
3Jacob Rodriguez+900FanDuel10.0%–even
4Sonny Styles+1000BetMGM9.1%–+27%
5Arvell Reese+1600BetMGM5.9%–+40%
6Mansoor Delane+1900FanDuel5.0%–+56%
7Josiah Trotter+2500FanDuel3.8%–-29%
8Akheem Mesidor+3000BetMGM3.2%–even
9Anthony Hill+3500DraftKings2.8%–even
10Cashius Howell+3500BetMGM2.8%–even
11Rueben Bain+4000Caesars2.4%–+312%
12Dillon Thieneman+4000FanDuel2.4%–+20%
Show all 105 playersShow fewer
13Malachi Lawrence+4000BetMGM2.4%–+14%
14Treydan Stukes+4000bet3652.4%–even
15Gabe Jacas+5000BetMGM2.0%–-18%
16Emmanuel McNeil-Warren+7500FanDuel1.3%–even
17Brandon Cisse+7500bet3651.3%–even
18Peter Woods+8000FanDuel1.2%–even
19R Mason Thomas+8000FanDuel1.2%–even
20TJ Parker+8000FanDuel1.2%–+15%
21CJ Allen+8000FanDuel1.2%–-7%
22Keldric Faulk+8000BetMGM1.2%–even
23Jaishawn Barham+8000BetMGM1.2%–-7%
24D’Angelo Ponds+8000BetMGM1.2%–+14%
25Jake Golday+8000BetMGM1.2%–even
26Jordan van den Berg+8000DraftKings1.2%––
27Kaleb Elarms-Orr+8000bet3651.2%–even
28Caleb Banks+8000bet3651.2%–even
29Chris Johnson+10000Caesars1.0%–+17%
30Keionte Scott+10000BetMGM1.0%–-40%
31Derrick Moore+10000bet3651.0%–even
32Colton Hood+10000BetMGM1.0%–even
33AJ Haulcy+10000FanDuel1.0%–-10%
34Avieon Terrell+10000BetMGM1.0%–even
35Will Lee+10000Caesars1.0%––
36Anthony Lucas+10000bet3651.0%––
37Gracen Halton+10000BetMGM1.0%–even
38Kayden McDonald+10000bet3651.0%–even
39Vincent Anthony+10000bet3651.0%––
40Charles Demmings+10000bet3651.0%–even
41Malik Muhammad+10000BetMGM1.0%–+50%
42Jermod McCoy+10000bet3651.0%–even
43Kamari Ramsey+10000bet3651.0%–even
44Dani Dennis-Sutton+10000BetMGM1.0%–+20%
45Hezekiah Masses+12500FanDuel0.8%–-50%
46Romello Height+12500Caesars0.8%–-20%
47LT Overton+12500bet3650.8%–even
48Nadame Tucker+12500bet3650.8%––
49Mason Reiger+12500bet3650.8%––
50George Gumbs+12500bet3650.8%–even
51Tyreak Sapp+12500bet3650.8%––
52Mikail Kamara+12500bet3650.8%––
53Zion Young+15000BetMGM0.7%–even
54Bryce Boettcher+15000BetMGM0.7%–even
55Davison Igbinosun+15000BetMGM0.7%–+11%
56Joshua Josephs+15000BetMGM0.7%–+25%
57Trey Moore+15000BetMGM0.7%–even
58Zakee Wheatley+15000BetMGM0.7%–even
59Tacario Davis+15000BetMGM0.7%–even
60Max Llewellyn+15000BetMGM0.7%–+25%
61Keyron Crawford+15000BetMGM0.7%–even
62Daylen Everette+15000BetMGM0.7%–even
63Devin Moore+15000BetMGM0.7%–even
64Christen Miller+15000BetMGM0.7%–+25%
65Jacob Thomas+15000bet3650.7%––
66Keith Abney+15000DraftKings0.7%–even
67Chandler Rivers+15000BetMGM0.7%–even
68Julian Neal+20000bet3650.5%–+8%
69Domonique Orange+20000bet3650.5%–-12%
70Landon Robinson+20000FanDuel0.5%––
71Darrell Jackson+20000FanDuel0.5%––
72Lee Hunter+20000BetMGM0.5%–+20%
73Kyle Louis+20000BetMGM0.5%–even
74Tyler Onyedim+20000BetMGM0.5%–even
75Jalon Kilgore+20000bet3650.5%–even
76Jakobe Thomas+20000bet3650.5%–even
77VJ Payne+20000bet3650.5%–even
78Albert Regis+20000bet3650.5%–even
79Caden Curry+20000DraftKings0.5%–+50%
80Jack Kelly+20000bet3650.5%–even
81Ephesians Prysock+20000bet3650.5%–even
82Bishop Fitzgerald+20000bet3650.5%––
83Aiden Fisher+20000bet3650.5%––
84Cam Ball+20000bet3650.5%––
85Deontae Lawson+20000bet3650.5%––
86Harold Perkins+25000BetMGM0.4%–even
87Kaleb Proctor+25000BetMGM0.4%–+14%
88Jimmy Rolder+25000BetMGM0.4%––
89Wesley Williams+25000BetMGM0.4%––
90Robert Spears-Jennings+25000BetMGM0.4%–even
91Nick Barrett+25000BetMGM0.4%––
92Jadon Canady+25000BetMGM0.4%–even
93Chris McClellan+25000BetMGM0.4%–even
94Zane Durant+25000BetMGM0.4%––
95DeMonte Capehart+25000BetMGM0.4%––
96Jalen Huskey+25000BetMGM0.4%–even
97Genesis Smith+25000BetMGM0.4%–even
98Keyshaun Elliott+25000BetMGM0.4%––
99Rayshaun Benny+25000BetMGM0.4%––
100Michael Taaffe+25000BetMGM0.4%–even
101TJ Hall+25000BetMGM0.4%–even
Only one book still prices these
102Red Murdock+20000FanDuel0.5%––
103Tim Keenan+20000FanDuel0.5%––
104Taurean York+20000FanDuel0.5%––
105Zxavian Harris+20000FanDuel0.5%––

Best price is the longest number we found across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel. Implied probability strips nothing out; the whole board adds to more than 100% and that gap is the books’ margin. Movement is the change in what a winning dollar pays, so a move means the same thing at the top of the board and at the bottom; green means the price shortened. It reads across the books quoting a player both then and now, and a row too thinly quoted to compare shows a dash rather than a number. Since start runs from the first day we have every book’s price, which is not the market’s opening line.

Splash Stats Over Scheme Grades

This award rarely goes to the best pure technician. It goes to whoever piles up the plays that show up on a highlight reel, sacks, interceptions, defensive scores, since those are what voters actually remember when the ballot goes out.

That means a rookie stuck on a defense that gets torched all year can still rack up counting stats just by being on the field for more high leverage snaps. A shutdown player on a stingy unit might grade out cleaner on tape but never gets tested enough to pad his numbers.

Taurean York at +20000 is priced like an afterthought, but a role that puts a player near the quarterback or the ball every week is exactly the profile that can turn into real production, even on a defense nobody circles on the schedule.

A Turnover Streak Can Reprice a Rookie Fast

Nothing moves this board like production, and production shows up fast in a league that plays every week. A two sack game or a pick six can shorten a name’s price within days, long before the next slate even kicks off.

Snap counts matter just as much. A rookie who starts early because of an injury ahead of him gets more chances at the stats voters notice, and the price reacts to that opportunity as much as the production itself. I’d rather chase a role than a name, since the role keeps producing the numbers that push a price around all year.

Locking Up Cash for a Full Season

A defensive rookie of the year future ties up cash for the length of a season, and the number you bet today can look nothing like the number by the time voting closes. That’s a long hold, and it changes how I size a bet compared to a game line I’ll know the outcome of by the time the game ends.

I’d rather build a small portfolio than load up on one name. A modest stake on Rueben Bain paired with a couple of live longshots spreads the risk across different paths to the award, one built on sacks, another on picks, so one cold week doesn’t wreck the whole ticket.

Before locking any of it in, I check bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel since the same player can carry a noticeably different price from one sportsbook to the next. Grabbing the best number on a bet you’re holding for months is money left on the table if you skip that step.

Get Jimmy's picks for free!

You'll get free picks via email, plus access to exclusive discounts!

We won't spam you - ever. No obligation. You can unsubscribe at any time.

×

Subscribe to Jimmy Boyd's Free Picks

The best free picks delivered to your email every single day!