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There isn’t much that can get an NFL fan base excited than to get a star offensive skill player in the draft.  That is why the books are pretty quick to post odds right after the draft on which players will take home the OROY award by the end of the season.

I’m not sure if any of these guys will give their teams a shift in the Super Bowl odds or NFL win totals, but let’s take a look at the betting favorites for offensive rookie of the year and see which one of these contenders will end up bringing home the hardware.

Current List of NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds for 2023

TeamOddsImplied Probability
Cj Stroud-120092.31%
Makea Puka Nacua+45018.18%
Bijan Robinson+120000.83%
Sam Laporta+150000.66%
Jahmyr Gibbs+150000.66%
Zay Flowers+150000.66%
Rashee Rice+200000.5%
Devon Achane+250000.4%

2023 OROY Betting Favorites & Contenders

Bijan Robinson

It’s not too often that you see a running back come in as such a heavy favorite when the quarterbacks in the class will see immediate playing time.  But Bijan Robinson was the eighth pick in the draft and there is no denying his talent.  He’s a reliable pass catcher who also has the size and strength to require multiple defenders to bring him down.  There hasn’t been a back generate this much excitement since Saquon Barkley and that turned out well for the New York Giants back in 2018 when he won OROY.

Bryce Young

The No. 1 pick in the draft was Bryce Young, quarterback from Alabama.  The Carolina Panthers and Frank Reich have to be excited to be getting such a good fit for the offense.  Young is accurate, has poise, and showed good decision-making ability in college.  He should make for an immediate upgrade on a team that completed just 58% of their passes last year and finished second to last in QBR.  He’s a little shorter than some scouts liked, but being a pocket passer with mobility should help him overcome the height disadvantage.

Anthony Richardson

The Indianapolis Colts taking Richardson at No. 4 was interesting to me.  He’s raw but has incredible size and strength.  He’s a good runner whose speed makes him a threat to beat teams on the ground as well as through the air.  I don’t love his chances to win this award because he’s going to take some time to develop.

CJ Stroud

The Houston Texans got their guy with the second pick in the draft.  Stroud comes out of Ohio State as the best pure pocket passer in the draft.  Again, you don’t get one of the top picks in the draft with quality play out of the quarterback position, so he should be able to show some improvement over Davis Mills last season.  If Houston can integrate play-action it should work out well for the accurate passer.

Jahmyr Gibbs

Another Alabama guy makes the list, this time it’s the 12th pick who will be going to the Detroit Lions.  He’s agile and can make would-be tacklers look pretty silly, and then if he gets into the open field he’s real difficult to catch.  He can also catch passes, which makes him a real threat to opposing defenses.  It’ll be interesting to see how much he opens the field up for the rest of the Lions offense, and if he gets enough playing time in a crowded backfield to win this award.

Previous Winners of Offensive Rookie of the Year

YearPosPlayerTm
2022WRGarrett WilsonNew York Jets
2021WRJa’Marr ChaseCincinnati Bengals
2020QBJustin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers
2019QBKyler MurrayArizona Cardinals
2018RBSaquon BarkleyNew York Giants
2017RBAlvin KamaraNew Orleans Saints
2016QBDak PrescottDallas Cowboys
2015RBTodd GurleySt. Louis Rams
2014WROdell Beckham Jr.New York Giants
2013RBEddie LacyGreen Bay Packers
2012QBRobert Griffin IIIWashington Redskins
2011QBCam NewtonCarolina Panthers
2010QBSam BradfordSt. Louis Rams
2009WRPercy HarvinMinnesota Vikings
2008QBMatt RyanAtlanta Falcons
2007RBAdrian PetersonMinnesota Vikings
2006QBVince YoungTennessee Titans
2005RBCadillac WilliamsTampa Bay Buccaneers
2004QBBen RoethlisbergerPittsburgh Steelers
2003WRAnquan BoldinArizona Cardinals
2002RBClinton PortisDenver Broncos
2001RBAnthony ThomasChicago Bears
2000RBMike AndersonDenver Broncos
1999RBEdgerrin JamesIndianapolis Colts
1998WRRandy MossMinnesota Vikings
1997RBWarrick DunnTampa Bay Buccaneers
1996RBEddie GeorgeHouston Oilers
1995RBCurtis MartinNew England Patriots
1994RBMarshall FaulkIndianapolis Colts
1993RBJerome BettisLos Angeles Rams
1992WRCarl PickensCincinnati Bengals
1991RBLeonard RussellNew England Patriots
1990RBEmmitt SmithDallas Cowboys
1989RBBarry SandersDetroit Lions
1988RBJohn StephensNew England Patriots
1987RBTroy StradfordMiami Dolphins
1986RBRueben MayesNew Orleans Saints
1985WREddie BrownCincinnati Bengals
1984WRLouis LippsPittsburgh Steelers
1983RBEric DickersonLos Angeles Rams
1982RBMarcus AllenLos Angeles Raiders
1981RBGeorge RogersNew Orleans Saints
1980RBBilly SimsDetroit Lions
1979RBOttis AndersonSt. Louis Cardinals
1978RBEarl CampbellHouston Oilers
1977RBTony DorsettDallas Cowboys
1976WRSammy WhiteMinnesota Vikings
1975RBMike ThomasWashington Redskins
1974RBDon WoodsSan Diego Chargers
1973RBChuck ForemanMinnesota Vikings
1972FBFranco HarrisPittsburgh Steelers
1971FBJohn BrockingtonGreen Bay Packers
1970QBDennis ShawBuffalo Bills
1969RBCalvin HillDallas Cowboys
1968WREarl McCullouchDetroit Lions
1967RBMel FarrDetroit Lions

Other NFL Futures Odds Worth Looking At: